scholarly journals Performance Evaluation of Atmospheric Density Models for Satellite Reentry Predictions with High Solar Activity Levels.

2003 ◽  
Vol 46 (151) ◽  
pp. 42-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmen Pardini ◽  
Luciano Anselmo
Keyword(s):  
Performance Evaluation ◽  
Solar Activity ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Activity Levels ◽  
Atmospheric Density ◽  
Atmospheric Density Models

scholarly journals Dusk-to-nighttime enhancement of mid-latitude <i>Nm</i>F2 in local summer: inter-hemispheric asymmetry and solar activity dependence

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 711-718 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Chen ◽  
L. Liu ◽  
H. Le ◽  
W. Wan ◽  
H. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Peak Height ◽  
Activity Level ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Activity Levels ◽  
Solar Activity Level ◽  
Latitudinal Dependence ◽  
The Difference

Abstract. In this paper ionosonde observations in the East Asia–Australia sector were collected to investigate dusk-to-nighttime enhancement of mid-latitude summer NmF2 (maximum electron density of the F2 layer) within the framework of NmF2 diurnal variation. NmF2 were normalized to two solar activity levels to investigate the dependence of the dusk-to-nighttime enhancement on solar activity. The dusk-to-nighttime enhancement of NmF2 is more evident at Northern Hemisphere stations than at Southern Hemisphere stations, with a remarkable latitudinal dependence. The dusk-to-nighttime enhancement shows both increasing and declining trends with solar activity increasing, which is somewhat different from previous conclusions. The difference in the dusk-to-nighttime enhancement between Southern Hemisphere and Northern Hemisphere stations is possibly related to the offset of the geomagnetic axis from the geographic axis. hmF2 (peak height of the F2 layer) diurnal variations show that daytime hmF2 begins to increase much earlier at low solar activity level than at high solar activity level at northern Akita and Wakkanai stations where the dusk-to-nighttime enhancement is more prominent at low solar activity level than at high solar activity level. That implies neutral wind phase is possibly also important for nighttime enhancement.

scholarly journals Validation of GNSS-derived global ionosphere maps for different solar activity levels: case studies for years 2014 and 2018

GPS Solutions ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Wielgosz ◽  
B. Milanowska ◽  
A. Krypiak-Gregorczyk ◽  
W. Jarmołowski
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Mapping Function ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Electron Content ◽  
Activity Levels ◽  
International Gnss Service ◽  
Total Electron ◽  
Small Influence

AbstractIonosphere Associate Analysis Centers (IAACs) of the International GNSS Service (IGS) independently produce global ionosphere maps (GIMs) of the total electron content (TEC). The GIMs are based on different modeling techniques, resulting in different TEC levels and accuracies. In this study, we evaluated the accuracy and consistency of the IAAC GIMs during high (2014) and low (2018) solar activity periods of the 24th solar cycle. In our study, we applied two different evaluation methods. First, we carried out a comparison of the GIM-derived slant TEC (STEC) with carrier phase geometry-free combination of GNSS signals obtained from 25 globally distributed stations. Second, vertical TEC (VTEC) from GIMs was compared to altimetry-derived VTEC obtained from the Jason-2 and Jason-3 satellites and complemented for plasmaspheric TEC. The analyzed GIMs obtained STEC RMS values reaching from 1.98 to 3.00 TECU and from 0.96 to 1.29 TECU during 2014 and 2018, respectively. The comparison to altimetry data resulted in VTEC STD values that varied from 3.61 to 5.97 TECU and from 1.92 to 2.78 TECU during 2014 and 2018, respectively. The results show that among the IAACs, the Center for Orbit Determination in Europe global maps performed best in low and high solar activity periods. However, the highest accuracy was obtained by a non-IGS product—UQRG GIMs provided by Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. It was also shown that the best results were obtained using a modified single layer model mapping function and that the map time interval has a relatively small influence on the resulting map accuracy.

MEDIUM-TERM OSCILLATIONS OF THE SOLAR ACTIVITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 85-91
Author(s):  
V.N. Obridko ◽  
◽  
D.D. Sokoloff ◽  
V.V. Pipin ◽  
A.S. Shibalova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Activity Cycle ◽  
Solar Interior ◽  
Local Fields ◽  
Lower Atmosphere ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Dynamo Model ◽  
Sunspot Activity ◽  
Geomagnetic Variations ◽  
Near Surface

In addition to the well-known 11-year cycle, longer and shorter characteristic periods can be isolated in variations of the parameters of helio-geophysical activity. Periods of about 36 and 60 years were revealed in variations of the geomagnetic activity and an approximately 60-year periodicity, in the evolution of correlation between the pressure in the lower atmosphere and the solar activity. Similar periods are observed in the cyclonic activity. Such periods in the parameters of the solar activity are difficult to identify because of a limited database available; however, they are clearly visible in variations of the asymmetry of the sunspot activity in the northern and southern solar hemispheres. In geomagnetic variations, one can also isolate oscillations with the characteristic periods of 5-6 years (QSO) and 2-3 years (QBO). We have considered 5-6-year periodicities (about half the main cycle) observed in variations of the sunspot numbers and the intensity of the dipole component of the solar magnetic field. A comparison with different magnetic dynamo models allowed us to determine the possible origin of these oscillations. A similar result can be reproduced in a dynamo model with nonlinear parameter variations. In this case, the activity cycle turns out to be anharmonic and contains other periodicities in addition to the main one. As a result of the study, we conclude that the 5-6-year activity variations are related to the processes of nonlinear saturation of the dynamo in the solar interior. Quasi-biennial oscillations are actually separate pulses related little to each other. Therefore, the methods of the spectral analysis do not reveal them over large time intervals. They are a direct product of local fields, are generated in the near-surface layers, and are reliably recorded only in the epochs of high solar activity.

scholarly journals The Solar Twin Planet Search

2018 ◽  
Vol 619 ◽  
pp. A73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diego Lorenzo-Oliveira ◽  
Fabrício C. Freitas ◽  
Jorge Meléndez ◽  
Megan Bedell ◽  
Iván Ramírez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Activity Index ◽  
Open Clusters ◽  
Activity Level ◽  
Age Dating ◽  
Physical Parameters ◽  
Activity Levels ◽  
Sharp Drop ◽  
Activity Diagram ◽  
Activity Indices

Context. It is well known that the magnetic activity of solar-type stars decreases with age, but it is widely debated in the literature whether there is a smooth decline or if there is an early sharp drop until 1–2 Gyr that is followed by a relatively inactive constant phase. Aims. We revisited the activity-age relation using time-series observations of a large sample of solar twins whose precise isochronal ages and other important physical parameters have been determined. Methods. We measured the Ca II H and K activity indices using ≈9000 HARPS spectra of 82 solar twins. In addition, the average solar activity was calculated through asteroids and Moon reflection spectra using the same instrumentation. Thus, we transformed our activity indices into the S Mount Wilson scale (SMW), recalibrated the Mount Wilson absolute flux and photospheric correction equations as a function of Teff, and then computed an improved bolometric flux normalized activity index log R′HK (Teff) for the entire sample. Results. New relations between activity and the age of solar twins were derived by assessing the chromospheric age-dating limits using log R′HK (Teff). We measured an average solar activity of SMW = 0.1712 ± 0.0017 during solar magnetic cycles 23–24 covered by HARPS observations, and we also inferred an average of SMW = 0.1694 ± 0.0025 for cycles 10–24, anchored on a sunspot number correlation of S index versus. We also found a simple relation between the average and the dispersion of the activity levels of solar twins. This enabled us to predict the stellar variability effects on the age-activity diagram, and consequently, to estimate the chromospheric age uncertainties that are due to the same phenomena. The age-activity relation is still statistically significant up to ages around 6–7 Gyr, in agreement with previous works using open clusters and field stars with precise ages. Conclusions. Our research confirms that Ca II H & K lines remain a useful chromospheric evolution tracer until stars reach ages of at least 6–7 Gyr. We found evidence that for the most homogenous set of old stars, the chromospheric activity indices seem to continue to decrease after the solar age toward the end of the main sequence. Our results indicate that a significant part of the scatter observed in the age-activity relation of solar twins can be attributed to stellar cycle modulations effects. The Sun seems to have a normal activity level and variability for its age.

scholarly journals A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 4559
Author(s):  
Marjolijn Adolfs ◽  
Mohammed Mainul Hoque
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Solar Activity ◽  
Geomagnetic Latitude ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Electron Content ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Total Electron ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Winter Anomaly

With the availability of fast computing machines, as well as the advancement of machine learning techniques and Big Data algorithms, the development of a more sophisticated total electron content (TEC) model featuring the Nighttime Winter Anomaly (NWA) and other effects is possible and is presented here. The NWA is visible in the Northern Hemisphere for the American sector and in the Southern Hemisphere for the Asian longitude sector under solar minimum conditions. During the NWA, the mean ionization level is found to be higher in the winter nights compared to the summer nights. The approach proposed here is a fully connected neural network (NN) model trained with Global Ionosphere Maps (GIMs) data from the last two solar cycles. The day of year, universal time, geographic longitude, geomagnetic latitude, solar zenith angle, and solar activity proxy, F10.7, were used as the input parameters for the model. The model was tested with independent TEC datasets from the years 2015 and 2020, representing high solar activity (HSA) and low solar activity (LSA) conditions. Our investigation shows that the root mean squared (RMS) deviations are in the order of 6 and 2.5 TEC units during HSA and LSA period, respectively. Additionally, NN model results were compared with another model, the Neustrelitz TEC Model (NTCM). We found that the neural network model outperformed the NTCM by approximately 1 TEC unit. More importantly, the NN model can reproduce the evolution of the NWA effect during low solar activity, whereas the NTCM model cannot reproduce such effect in the TEC variation.

scholarly journals Characterization of ionospheric irregularities over Vietnam and adjacent region for the 2008-2018 period

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dung Nguyen Thanh ◽  
Minh Le Huy ◽  
Christine Amory-Mazaudier ◽  
Rolland Fleury ◽  
Susumu Saito ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Occurrence Rate ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
Electron Content ◽  
Total Electron ◽  
Plasma Irregularities ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Continuous Gps

This paper presents the variations of the rate of change of Total Electron Content (TEC) index (ROTI), characterizing the occurrence of ionospheric plasma irregularities over Vietnam and neighboring countries in the Southeast Asian region using the continuous GPS data during the 2008-2018 period. The results showed that the occurrence of strong ROTI in all stations is maximum in equinox months March/April and September/October and depends on solar activity. The ROTI is weak during periods of low solar activity and strong during periods of high solar activity. There is an asymmetry between the two equinoxes. During maximum and declining phases of 2014-2016, occurrence rates in March equinox are larger than in September equinox, but during the descending period of 2010-2011, the occurrence rates in September equinox at almost all stations are larger than in March equinox. The correlation coefficients between the monthly occurrence rate of irregularities and the F10.7 solar index at the stations in the equatorward EIA crest region are higher than at those in the magnetic equatorial and the poleward EIA crest regions. The irregularity occurrence is high in the pre-midnight sector, maximum between 2000 LT to 2200 LT. The maximum irregularity occurrence is located around 4-5° degrees in latitude equator-ward away from the anomaly crests.

scholarly journals New possibilities of the PCA-Seq method in the analysis of time series (on the example of solar activity)

2021 ◽  
Vol 2099 (1) ◽  
pp. 012034
Author(s):  
V M Efimov ◽  
K V Efimov ◽  
D A Polunin ◽  
V Y Kovaleva
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Solar Activity ◽  
Maunder Minimum ◽  
High Solar Activity ◽  
External Influence ◽  
Average Period ◽  
Time Axis ◽  
Constant Amplitude ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

Abstract When analyzing a 1D time series, it is traditional to represent it as the sum of the trend, cyclical components and noise. The trend is seen as an external influence. However, the impact can be not only additive, but also multiplicative. In this case, not only the level changes, but also the amplitude of the cyclic components. In the PCA-Seq method, a generalization of SSA, it is possible to pre-standardize fragments of a time series to solve this problem. The algorithm is applied to the Anderson series – a sign alternating version of the well-known Wolf series, reflecting the 22-year Hale cycle. The existence of this cycle is not disputed at high solar activity, but there are doubts about the constancy of its period at this time, as well as its existence during the epoch of low solar activity. The processing of the series by the PCA-Seq method revealed clear oscillations fluctuations of almost constant amplitude with an average period of 21.9 years, and it was found that the correlation of these oscillations with the time axis for 300 years does not differ significantly from zero. This confirms the hypothesis of the existence of 22-year oscillations in solar activity even at its minima, like the Maunder minimum.

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