STOCK MARKET IN A PANDEMIC, TRENDS IN ITS DEVELOPMENT AND IMPACT ON THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT OF STATES

2021 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Author(s):  
Vladimir M. Gribanich ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
The State ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Source Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Graphical Presentation ◽  
Official Information ◽  
Systematic Collection

The article is devoted to the analysis of the development of the stock market, its stages of development and the impact on the economic conjuncture of countries. The relevance of studies on the development of the stock market in modern realities is growing every day, the number of transactions also grows steadily despite the pandemic, and that forms huge cash flows. The purpose of the study carried out in the article is not only to identify the influence of the stock market on the development of countries in modern conditions, but also to conduct a statistical analysis of data reflecting the state of the main stock exchange indices in a pandemic, as well as to assess the state of the securities market in 2019 and 2020 and work out forecasts for its future development. Several methods were used in the work: analysis of official information sources, statistical observation (systematic collection of information), grouping of the source data, their graphical presentation, as well as building diagrams.

scholarly journals The Impact of Securities Margin Trading on Chinese Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 101
Author(s):  
Shaozhen Chen ◽  
Liang Su ◽  
Li Lin ◽  
Chaoqun Zhou ◽  
Haohui Lin
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Residual Distribution ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Asymmetry ◽  
The Impact ◽  
T Distribution ◽  
Distribution Assumption

In this paper, we take Shanghai Stock Market as the research object, conducts a multi-dimensional analysis of the volatility of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index before and after the introduction of margin trading. After the implementation of the securities margin trading policy, the historical volatility of the securities market has obviously been weakened. From the perspective of dynamic volatility, we establish a GARCH (1, 1) model by introducing the dummy variables according to the AIC and SC optimal rules, and establish TGARCH (1, 1), EGARCH (1, 1) and PGARCH (1, 1) to analyze the asymmetry. All of the model results show that the introduction of margin trading reduces the risk of the stock market and weakens the asymmetry. In order to test the effect of the residual distribution of returns, we assume that the residuals follow the t distribution and the GED distribution respectively and establish the optimal GARCH (1, 1) model. The final result is the same as those under the Gaussian distribution assumption.

scholarly journals Impact of Stock Market Liquidity on Investment of Listed Enterprises: Evidence from Vietnam

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 80-96
Author(s):  
Tho Tran Ngoc ◽  
Y Dang Nhu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Financial Constraints ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Firm Investment ◽  
Investment Opportunities ◽  
Stock Market Liquidity ◽  
The Impact

This paper studies the effects of market liquidity and other factors on investment of non-financial companies listed on Vietnam stock exchange for the 2008–2013 period by adopting different measures of investment and liquidity, and considering the impact of interaction between liquidity and others, including issuing, financial constraints, and growth opportunities, on firm investment. The estimated results of DGMM with fixed effects and interacting variables prove that stock market liquidity negatively relates to the investment. We do not find any compelling evidence of the liquidity–investment nexus among firms with tighter financial constraints and better investment opportunities. However, we do find the relations between firm investment and financial leverage and also firm investment and cash flows.

scholarly journals Study on Companies from the Energy Sector from the Perspective of Performance through the Operating Cash Flow

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3667
Author(s):  
Claudia Diana Sabău-Popa ◽  
Luminița Rus ◽  
Dana Simona Gherai ◽  
Codruța Mare ◽  
Ioan Gheorghe Țara
Keyword(s):  
Labor Productivity ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Average Duration ◽  
Significant Negative Correlation ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Or Management ◽  
Operating Cash Flow ◽  
The Impact

In this paper we analyzed the link between companies’ performance, in terms of cash and income, and the labor productivity or management rates, in case of the companies from the energy sector listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. We focused on the energy sector because of the impact that its expansion has on the evolution of economies around the world and because of its dynamics in the sense of gradually shifting to the use of energy from renewable sources. We have used panel regression models to analyze the operating cash flow and the profitability rates and the determination of a causal or dependency relationship with labor productivity or management rates. The results of this study show a significant negative correlation between operating cash flows and the average duration of stock rotation, and no correlation between productivity and the operating cash flow. Instead, the average duration of stock turnover does not at all influence the profitability rates, and productivity is always significant for the return on assets, ie forthe return on equitywith a positive coefficient, as expected. The gap between the average duration of payment of suppliers and the average duration of receivables does not significantly influence neither the cash flow nor the rates of return.

Do Indian stock market sentiments impact contemporaneous returns?

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.

scholarly journals Financial contagion: The impact of the volatility of global stock exchanges on the Lima-Peru Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-27
Author(s):  
Pedro Pablo Chambi Condori
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Dynamic Correlation ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Impact

What happens in the international financial markets in terms of volatility, have an impact on the results of the local stock market financial markets, as a result of the spread and transmission of larger stock market volatility to smaller markets such as the Peruvian, assertion that goes in accordance with the results obtained in the study in reference. The statistical evaluation of econometric models, suggest that the model obtained can be used for forecasting volatility expected in the very short term, very important estimates for agents involved, because these models can contribute to properly align the attitude to be adopted in certain circumstances of high volatility, for example in the input, output, refuge or permanence in the markets and also in the selection of best steps and in the structuring of the portfolio of investment with equity and additionally you can view through the correlation on which markets is can or not act and consequently the best results of profitability in the equity markets. This work comprises four well-defined sections; a brief history of the financial volatility of the last 15 years, a tight summary of the background and a dense summary of the methodology used in the process of the study, exposure of the results obtained and the declaration of the main conclusions which led us mention research, which allows writing, evidence of transmission and spread of the larger stock markets toward the Peruvian stock market volatility, as in the case of the American market to the market Peruvian stock market with the coefficient of dynamic correlation of 0.32, followed by the Spanish market and the market of China. Additionally, the coefficient of interrelation found by means of the model dcc mgarch is a very important indicator in the structure of portfolios of investment with instruments that they quote on the financial global markets.

scholarly journals UKRAINIAN STOCK MARKET: STATE AND PROSPECTS OF DEVELOPMENT

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (87) ◽  
Author(s):  
Okseniuk Kateryna ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Innovation Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Market State ◽  
Legislative Framework ◽  
High Degree ◽  
Securities Trading

The article is devoted to the study of the current state, problems and prospects of development of the Ukrainian stock market. It is proved that the stock market is a tool for implementing the state's Innovation Policy and a priority factor in mobilizing financial and capital resources. Stock market commodities are securities (stocks, bonds, etc.). Trends, features of functioning and development of the Ukrainian stock market are analysed. The analysis of the main indicators of exchanges, the structure and volume of exchange contracts with securities is carried out. The structural distribution of exchange contracts by trading organizers is established. The analysis of operations with securities on the organized market, unorganized market and stock exchanges of the country is carried out. The largest volume of trading on financial instruments on trade organizers in 2019 was recorded with government bonds of Ukraine – UAH 295 billion according to the National Securities and stock market Commission, the exchange market during 2019 saw consolidation of securities trading on two stock exchanges “Perspektyva” and “PFTS Ukraine Stock Exchange”: 98.7% of the value of exchange contracts. Analysis of the main indicators that determine the state of the stock market has shown that the modern securities market of Ukraine is characterized by an extremely high degree of fragmentation, limited liquidity and a variety of types of securities, which, in turn, are the main obstacles to the development of the stock market and the capital market as a whole. Attention is focused on the main problems that hinder the functioning of the stock market. It is proved that the development of the stock market is hindered by: insufficient competitiveness of the domestic stock market; imperfect tax incentives for market development; low level of corporate governance development; imperfect regulatory and legislative framework of Ukraine; low liquidity and capitalization. The directions of development of the stock market of Ukraine are proposed: improving the efficiency of regulation of issuers; stimulating the inflow of investment to the stock market; ensuring reliable and efficient functioning of the market infrastructure; ensuring the functioning of the unified state policy for stimulating the improvement of the investment climate.

scholarly journals Transactions Volume, Exchange Direction and Asymmetry of Volatility in Emerging Market: Evidence From Tunisian Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 318
Author(s):  
Jaber Yasmina
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Trading Activity ◽  
Auto Correlation ◽  
The Asymmetry ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This study is an attempt to explain the relationship between intraday return and volume in Tunisian Stock Market. Indeed, former researches avow that the trading activity have the main explanatory power for volatility. However, most theories measure the activity of transactions through the size of exchange or the number of transactions. Nevertheless, these components are not aware enough of the importance of the direction of exchange when explaining the phenomenon of asymmetry of volatility. In the most of studies, the technique “Augmented Tick Test” (ATT) is employed so as to identify the direction of exchange. Such technique is adapted for the markets directed by orders like the Tunisian financial market. Again, this paper shows that the impact of the direction of exchange differs according to the market trend. In other words, if the returns are positive, the transactions of sale (of purchase) generate a decrease (increase) of volatility; whereas, they induce an increase (drop) of volatility if returns are negative. This result stresses the significance of exchange direction in explaning the asymmetry of volatility. Moreover, throughout this study, one may affirm that “Herding trades” are at the origin of the increase of volatility, while the “Contrarian trades” reduce volatility. Similarly, the identification of the direction of exchange enables us to affirm that the transactions of the initiates are characterized by the absence of returns auto- correlation; whereas, the transactions carried out by uninformed investors present an auto- correlation of the returns. In fact, the sign of this correlation varies according to transaction direction.

An Empirical Research of Impact of the Merger of Pan-European and Oslo Stock Exchanges on the Efficiency of Tobacco Securities Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 568-587
Author(s):  
Dongpeng Xu ◽  
Deqin Lin ◽  
Dan Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Market Theory ◽  
Efficient Market Theory ◽  
The Impact

Objectives: Europe is one of the important markets for traditional tobacco. We analyzed the impact of exchange consolidation on securities market efficiency, so as to enable tobacco enterprises to improve the financing efficiency of the stock market and carry out transformation and upgrading. Methods: In this work. We’re based on efficient market theory, the merger of Pan-European Stock Exchange and Oslo Stock Exchange, Norway in June 2019 is analyzed through empirical analysis. The logarithmic returns of 25 listed companies in the Oslo Stock Exchange OBX-25 index were analyzed using OLSN Chow and KPSS tests. Results: It is found that of 72% of securities, the explanatory power of market returns for securities returns is increased, which shows significant improvement in market efficiency. The merger of stock exchanges can indeed improve the market efficiency. In addition, through the KPSS test, it is found that the merger of stock exchanges can improve the market efficiency. As time goes by, however, the validity decreases. Conclusion: The improvement of the efficiency of the securities market will be conducive to the financing efficiency of listed tobacco companies in the secondary market, promote the transformation of enterprises, and contribute to the tobacco control and the health of the population in Europe.

The Effect of Macroeconomic Conditions on the Performance of Vietnamese Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 73-82
Author(s):  
Hien-Ly Pham ◽  
Ching-Chung Lin ◽  
Shih-Ju Chan
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global Supply Chain ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
The Impact

Vietnam plays an important role in the global supply chain. As one of important emerging markets, many studies have focused on Vietnam-related issues. Vietnam established two stock markets in 2000s. The market performance becomes one of interesting issues to explore. This study is to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables, including inflation rate, exchange rate, interest rate, imports, exports, and gold price, on Ho Chi Minh stock market. The study period is from July 2000 to October 2014. Using the monthly data collected from Vietnam General Statistic Office, IMF International Financial Statistics, and Ho Chi Minh stock exchange, the empirical findings of our regression model show that there exists a positive relationship for imports and gold price, while the relationships for exchange rate and interest rate are negative. No significant relationship has been found for the variables of inflation rate and exports.

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