scholarly journals Structural changes and economic growth in the world economy and Russia

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valeriy V. Mironov ◽  
Liudmila D. Konovalova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The World ◽  
Preliminary Version ◽  
The One ◽  
Relationship Of

The article considers the problem of the relationship of structural changes and economic growth in the global economy and Russia in the framework of different methodological approaches. At the same time, the paper provides the analysis of complementarity of economic policy types, which, on the one hand, are aimed at developing the fundamentals of GDP growth (institutions, human capital and macroeconomic stabilization), and on the other hand, at initiating growth (with stable fundamentals) with the help of structural policy measures. In the study of structural changes in the global economy, new forms of policies of this kind have been revealed, in particular aimed at identifying sectors — drivers of economic growth based on a portfolio approach. In a given paper a preliminary version of the model of the Russian economy is provided, using a multisector version of the Thirlwall’s Law. Besides, the authors highlight a number of target parameters of indicators of competitiveness of the sectors of the Russian economy that allow us to expect its growth rate to accelerate above the exogenously given growth rate of the world economy.

scholarly journals Freelance in Modern Russian Society: Job Search Through the Internet and by Means of the Internet

2021 ◽  
Vol 93 ◽  
pp. 03003
Author(s):  
Anatoly Gretchenko ◽  
Alexander Gretchenko
Keyword(s):  
Job Search ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Negative Attitude ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Russian Society ◽  
Remote Work ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Stage Of Development ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Modern Russian

Freelancing is largely based on finding a job through the Internet and by means of the Internet, which allows you to open up new opportunities for the Russian economy and make structural changes to it. But the attitude of Russian society to the new form of employment is still poorly understood. At the moment in Russia, freelancing is at the stage of development and its further development depends on the attitude of the society towards this type of employment. Today, Russian society is undergoing especially important changes in connection with the pandemic, which turned out to be an unexpected test for every person, as well as for the whole society. The self-isolation regime has strongly affected the economic spheres of life, confronted companies with remote work, and people with an understanding of all the positive and negative aspects of working outside the office. The hypotheses put forward have been partially confirmed. In modern Russian society, the attitude towards the freelancers is rather neutral, but the share of positive assessments is also high. A small proportion of respondents expressed a negative attitude towards the freelancers, which indicates an overall good attitude towards freelancing. Therefore, the main goal of this article is to identify the attitude towards freelancing in modern Russian society.

Russian external risk management constrains growth

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Structural Changes ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Pivot To Asia ◽  
Technological Cooperation ◽  
External Risk

Subject Russian management of external risks. Significance The Russian economy has become more resilient to external shocks since 2014, owing to adherence to tight monetary and fiscal policies rather than structural changes. It remains vulnerable to oil price shocks and a further deterioration in the geopolitical environment. Impacts A worsening external environment in 2019-20 will require sustained fiscal tightening, limiting growth. Western sanctions will reinforce the pivot to Asia for trade and technological cooperation. Continued foreign technology shortages may result in two-thirds of Russian oil and gas reserves being classed as ‘hard to recover’ by 2035.

scholarly journals Innovations in Industry as a Factor of Structural Changes in the Economy: Russian Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 110 ◽  
pp. 01051
Author(s):  
Victoria Akberdina ◽  
Olga Smirnova
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Industrial Complex ◽  
Technological Changes ◽  
Structural Dynamic ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Innovative Climate

Sustainable development the industrial complex is impossible without the creation and maintenance of an innovative climate. The article presents a study of the patterns and trends of structural changes in the Russian economy. The authors describe the model of structural-dynamic processes, justify the thesis that the dynamics of economic indicators and structural technological changes are in a certain correspondence. In conclusion, the authors identify a number of reasons for Russia’s lagging behind developed countries.

scholarly journals The nationalization of the scientific and technological sphere of the Russian Federation: problems and consequences

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 164-174
Author(s):  
N. G. Kurakova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Technology Policy ◽  
Technological Development ◽  
Science And Technology ◽  
Modern Science ◽  
Science And Technology Policy ◽  
Technological Breakthrough ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Russian Federation

It is noted that the interim results of the achieved structural changes and the level of technological renewal of the Russian economy make it relevant to reassess the effectiveness of innovative practices and models used in the Russian Federation. The basic provisions of modern science and technology policy are analyzed. The absence of a direct dependence of the level of scientific and technological development of the country on the level of development of the national research and development sector is substantiated. It was recommended to develop a set of measures of modern science and technology policy aimed at reducing the nationalization of the scientific and technological sphere and targeting large and medium-sized companies in the real sector of the economy as the main subjects of the «technological breakthrough».

scholarly journals Polymodeling of time series structures, neighborhood of residuals distribution, wavelet transformation for meso-dynamics assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 1951-1972
Author(s):  
Valerii K. SEMENYCHEV ◽  
Galina A. KHMELEVA ◽  
Anastasiya A. KOROBETSKAYA
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Middle Term ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Regular Time ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Auto Regression ◽  
Adequate Analysis

Subject. The article provides the results of meso-dynamics analysis of main twelve industries, based on monthly data for 82 Russian regions, from January 2005 till December 2020. Objectives. The purpose of the study is to address the problem of balanced and stable spatial development of Russia’s regions and Russia, which requires modeling of adequate tools and forecasting nonlinear mesodynamics. Methods. The study follows the econophysics methodology. Results. We consider additive and multiplicative interactions of regular time series components between each other and the residuals, thus expanding the scope of tools application for the variety of considered industries and their models. Using the common and new trend models, we analyze structural changes, introduce the topological measure of proximity to the neighborhood of residuals with heavy-tailed distribution, which is estimated by median values of trends and cycles for regular components. The traditional time series decomposition (by trend, cycle, seasonality, and residual) is supplemented by our unique complex of wavelet transformations, which forms the models of cycles, using auto regression. We obtained representative and time-synchronized analytical estimates of regular components of industries’ dynamics for meso- and macro-indicators of the Russian economy that have higher accuracy than the known results for the accuracy of modeling and forecasting. Conclusions. The offered methodology and tools enable a more adequate analysis of non-linear dynamics of regions’ middle-term development. They help shift to growth point identification, create the atlas of economic industrial cycles, analyze stages of bifurcations and scenario predictive planning.

scholarly journals Structural transformations of Russian economy in the conditions of accelerated digitalization of industrial relations

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Mihail Mihailovich Gudov ◽  
Eka Revazievna Ermakova
Keyword(s):  
Structural Changes ◽  
Industrial Relations ◽  
Structural Transformations ◽  
Soviet Period ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Current Period ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The goal of this research is to determine the consequences of accelerated digitalization of industrial relations in the context of structural transformation of Russian economy, as well as substantiate the need and the possibility for structural changes namely in the current period of time. The object of this research is the current and exhausted raw mineral export model of the Russian economy, which requires immediate modification. The subject of this research consists in the study of the impact of current external shocks (abrupt drop in the price of energy resources) upon the changes in the structure of Russian economy (in the sectoral and component views). The structural reform of the Russian economy, which started back in the Soviet period, could not be fully implemented via evolutionary path.  Same as all world’s economies, the Russian economy is currently functioning in a state of uncertainty and under influence of external shocks. In the authors’ opinion, these external shocks presently force the accelerated digitalization of industrial relations, which can produce powerful structural transformations of economy, it the government will provide support for corresponding projects.

scholarly journals Structure of Technological Dynamics and Economic Growth of Russia

Federalism ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 5-25
Author(s):  
O. S. Sukharev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Technological Development ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Technological Structure ◽  
Innovative Products ◽  
Technological Modernization ◽  
Technological Effectiveness

The slowdown in Russia’s economic growth to the “covid crisis”, as well as the possibility of restoring growth and forming a new model of it, are associated with the need to overcome structural constraints. Moreover, the plans for the recovery of the Russian economy note the need not only for a stimulating macroeconomic policy, but also for the implementation of structural changes through technological renewal. However, technological modernization is highly dependent on the existing mode of technological development – the current and future demand for new technologies. The implementation of the country’s technological development strategy requires an assessment of the existing technological structure with a measurement of its reaction to ongoing investments in support of obsolete and emergence of new technologies. Different sectors of the economy and its regions, having a different set of technologies and their structure, show a different level of manufacturability, which is understood as the ratio of the volume of innovative to non-innovative products. The sensitivity of this parameter to investments in new and outdated technologies is also different, which cannot be taken into account in the formation of investment and technological development policies for both individual regions and Russia as a whole. Using structural and regression analysis, this study provides a picture of the structure of the technological Russian economy. It is shown that technological modernization also involves the movement of resources in the sectoral and regional context in order to eliminate structural and technological imbalances in development. Investment policy should be reduced not only to increasing investments, but also to managing their structure in conjunction with replacing old technologies in order to level and improve the overall manufacturability. This will require solving the promising problem of increasing the sensitivity of manufacturability to investments in new technologies. In the long term, this approach will make it possible to single out the modes of regional technological development, not only ranking regions in terms of sensitivity to new and old technologies, but also developing a selective set of regional policy measures.Keywords: “covid crisis”, economic growth, industrialization, investments, structural changes, structural dynamics, technologies, technological effectiveness of the regional economy.

scholarly journals Challenges and risks in the process of Russia’s post-pandemic economic recovery

2021 ◽  
pp. 133-138
Author(s):  
O. M. Makhalina ◽  
V. N. Makhalin
Keyword(s):  
Structural Changes ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Action Plan ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
National Action Plan ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The World ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Government

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has had a negative impact on economies around the world. The article analyses the macroeconomic indicators characterising the Russian economy after the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of this action on Russia’s global indicators have been compared with those of some countries in the world. The objectives and activities of the “National Action Plan for Employment and Income Recovery, Economic Growth and Long-Term Structural Changes in the Economy” (hereinafter the “National Action Plan”) have been considered. This document sets out the country’s development over the next two years and measures to recover the economy from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Government of the Russian Federation is allocating 5 trillion roubles for the implementation of the “National Action Plan”. Meanwhile, the main objective is to ensure a sustainable economic development and income growth path within two years. The indicators of the main goal to be achieved by the end of 2021 are: sustainable growth of the personal income; reduction of unemployment to 5%; growth of the gross domestic product by 2.5% per annum. In conclusion, the challenges and risks in implementing the “National Action Plan” have been formulated. 

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