scholarly journals ANALISIS VALUASI HARGA WAJAR SAHAM DENGAN METODE FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY (FCFE) DAN METODE RELATIVE VALUATION PADA SAHAM-SAHAM IDX30 TAHUN 2012

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ria Puspitasari ◽  
Tekni Megaster
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Relative Valuation

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji relevansi penilaian harga wajar saham dengan metode Discounted Cash Flow Model (DCF) dengan pendekatan valuasi Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) dan metode relative valuation pada saham-saham yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Obyek penelitian pada karya tulis ini adalah saham-saham yang terdaftar pada IDX30. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa harga wajar saham IDX30 dengan metode relative valuation dengan pendekatan Price to Book Value (PBV) menghasilkan 6 saham perusahaan mengalami undervalued dan 24 saham mengalami overvalued dan dengan pendekatan Price Earning Ratio (PER) menghasilkan 12 saham mengalami undervalued dan 18 saham mengalami overvalued. Sedangkan dengan menggunakan metode Discounted Cash Flow Model dengan pendekatan Free Cash Flow to Equity menghasilkan 19 saham yang mengalami undervalued dan 11 saham yang mengalami overvalued.Kata Kunci : Valuasi, DCF, FCFE, Indeks IDX30, Relative valuation, Price to Book Value dan Price Earning Ratio

scholarly journals Stock Valuation in Pharmaceutical Sub-Sector Companies using the Discounted Cash Flow and Relative Valuation Methods in the 2013-2020 Period

2021 ◽  
pp. 167-176
Author(s):  
Afna Dalilah ◽  
Riko Hendrawan
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Valuation ◽  
Industry Growth ◽  
Valuation Method ◽  
Pessimistic Scenario ◽  
Relative Valuation

This research aims at calculating the fair value of shares of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The data used in this research is historical data from the 2013-2020 financial statements, which are used as the basis for projections in 2021-2025. The method used in this research is Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method with Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) approach and Relative Valuation method with Price to Earning Ratio (PER) and Price to Book Value (PBV) approaches in three scenarios. The three scenarios used are the optimistic scenario (condition above industry growth), the moderate scenario (the most likely condition for the company), and the pessimistic scenario (the average condition of the industry). The results of the research showed that by using the DCF-FCFF method, KAEF and PYFA stocks experienced overvalued conditions in all scenarios. Meanwhile, KLBF and DVLA stocks were undervalued in all scenarios. Then, from the calculation of the Relative Valuation method, each company was still within the industry range in all scenarios. Overall, KAEF stocks were overvalued by 57.817%, KLBF stocks were undervalued by 7.879%, DVLA stocks were undervalued by 370.865%, and PYFA stocks were overvalued by 16.662% both in DCF method and in Relative Valuation method.

scholarly journals Analysis of Islamic Banks’ Merger in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 112-120
Author(s):  
Fitri Mareta ◽  
Heliani Heliani ◽  
Siti Elisah ◽  
Andini Ulhaq ◽  
Indri Febriani
Keyword(s):  
Market Share ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Islamic Law ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Profit Sharing ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
The Public ◽  
Relative Valuation

Islamic bank is a bank that collects funds from the public by using system profit sharing for every profit it gets and in carrying out its activities in accordance with Islamic law. Remembering that in Indonesia most of the population is Muslim, therefore they need a bank that works in accordance with Islamic law. Considering the number of percentages of Islamic banks in Indonesia are still small and cannot yet dominate the market share, therefore this research is expected to find out whether the merging of 3 Islamic banks (BRIS, BSM and BNIS) able to control market share or not. To see the synergy resulting from this merger is used methods Discounted Cash Flow - Free Cash Flow to Equity and Relative Valuation - Price to Book Ratio. The data used are the financial statements of each bank from 2014 to 2019 which are available on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) or the websites of each bank.

scholarly journals Over-Valuation: Avoid Double Counting when Retaining Dividends in the FCFE Valuation

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Joao Marques Silva ◽  
Jose Azevedo Pereira
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Double Counting ◽  
Cost Of Equity ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Enterprise Valuation ◽  
A Value ◽  
The Cost

Valuation based on DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) has been the dominant valuation procedure during the last decades. In spite of this dominance, enterprise valuation using the discounted FCF (Free Cash Flow) model has some practical drawbacks, since there is often some confusion on how to effectively use it. Commonly, the valuation procedures start by estimating future FCF figures from historical data, such as mean FCF, growth and retention ratio, alongside many other variables. These FCF forecasts are discounted at the cost of equity (FCFE – FCF to Equity) or the Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACC (FCFF – FCF to Firm). Implicit in the above mentioned valuation procedures is the expectation that the company puts the retained free cash that is generating to good use, yielding a value capable of rewarding appropriately the level of risk inherent in the way it used. Some poorly performed valuation studies however tend to double count (Damodaran, 2006a) the retained cash’s interest in subsequent values of FCF, or include the accumulated cash build-up in the Terminal Value. This paper discusses how these two common double-counting mistakes are made and evaluates their weight in the final valuation figure for the particular case of retained FCFE (the case for the FCFF is analogous, but we focus on FCFE for simplicity) using projected figures.

scholarly journals Stock Valuation using Discounted Cash Flow Method with Free Cash Flow to Equity and Relative Valuation Approaches on State-Owned Banks Listed on IDX for 2021 to 2025 Period Projection

2021 ◽  
pp. 191-201
Author(s):  
Almirah Jumran ◽  
Riko Hendrawan
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Intrinsic Value ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Industry Growth ◽  
Valuation Method ◽  
Price Earnings Ratio ◽  
Relative Valuation

This study aims to project the intrinsic value of state-owned banks listed on IDX for the 2021 to 2025 projection. This study uses the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method with the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) approach specifically for banks by looking at the regulatory capital. Meanwhile, it is also used the Relative Valuation method with the Price to Book Value (PBV) and Price Earnings Ratio (PER) approaches. This study uses three scenarios will be used, which consist of a pessimistic scenario (the average condition of the industry), a moderate scenario (the same condition as the company's growth), and an optimistic scenario (a condition above industry growth), which aims to project the stock value over the next five years. The data used in this study comes from historical data during the 2016 to 2020 period. Based on the results, the stock prices of state-owned banks using the FCFE method shows undervalued results for all scenarios. Meanwhile, using the relative valuation method, PBV in the optimistic scenario only shows BBNI undervalued conditions. In addition, in moderate and pessimistic scenarios, only BBRI shows overvalued conditions. Furthermore, PER shows undervalued results for all scenarios.

scholarly journals Equity- And Entity-Based Multiples In Emerging Markets: Evidence From The JSE Securities Exchange

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 829 ◽  
Author(s):  
WS Nel ◽  
BW Bruwer ◽  
NJ Le Roux
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
South African ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Font Size ◽  
Research Results ◽  
Relative Valuation

<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span><p style="margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; text-align: justify; mso-pagination: none;" class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: black; font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Analysts typically distinguish between equity- and entity-based approaches when employing the free cash flow model to perform equity valuations. However, when multiples are used to perform equity valuations, analysts often neglect to distinguish between equity- and entity-based approaches. In addition, limited empirical evidence exists on the relative valuation performance of equity- and entity-based multiples in developed capital markets and the emerging markets literature is entirely silent in this regard. In this paper the valuation accuracy of equity-based multiples is compared to that of entity-based multiples in valuing the equity of South African companies listed on the JSE Securities Exchange for the period 2001-2010. The research results reveal that equity-based multiples significantly outperform entity-based multiples, indicating a potential increase in valuation accuracy of as much as 15.37%.</span></span></p><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span>

scholarly journals KEWAJARAN NILAI PASAR SAHAM PERUSAHAAN PASCA RIGHT ISSUE

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rifki Khoirudin ◽  
Desta Rizky Kusuma
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Rights Issue ◽  
Relative Valuation

<p><em><span>This study aims to estimate the fair value per share of PT BW Plantation Tbk after the company offered right issue. This study is also intended to find out the fair market value per share of PT BW Plantation Tbk post-rights issue. The information used in this study was obtained from secondary data from the financial statements of PT BW Plantation Tbk., which were audited by public accountants and other information available in the financial statements. BW Plantation Tbk., The company's financial statements comparison, and the company's stock price data comparison. The methods of analysis used in determining the fair value per share is the Discounted Cash Flow and Relative Valuation. Discounted Cash Flow analysis was done by: projections of financial statements i.e. balance sheet and income statement, the projected Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE), the determination of the discount rate, the determination of Terminal Value, and the estimated fair value of equity. Analysis of Relative Valuation begins with finding the comparison companies in the same business line, select and assign the appropriate multiple of the comparison companies. Multiple used are: Price Earnings Ratio (PER), Price to Book Value (PBV), and Price to Sales Ratio (P / S).</span></em></p><p><em><span>Keywords: valuation of shares, rights issue, discounted cash flow, relative valuation</span></em></p>

Measuring Wildfire Impacts: Method and Case Study

1987 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 143-147
Author(s):  
W. L. Mills ◽  
S. D. Shnitzler ◽  
R. S. Meldahl
Keyword(s):  
Economic Impact ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Growth And Yield ◽  
Timber Production ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Data Requirements

Abstract A discounted cash flow model called the Impact Appraisal Model (IAM) computes the economic impact due to a change in timber production caused by a wildfire. Data requirements for the IAM can be obtained using standard inventory procedures to estimate the pre- and post-fire stand conditionsneeded to initiate a growth and yield simulator. The model is demonstrated using five loblolly plantations that burned in 1980 and 1981. South. J. Appl. For. 11(3):143-147.

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