scholarly journals Characteristic temporal variability and trend of annual rainfall series in Port Harcourt Nigeria, a tropical coastal location

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 23-31
Author(s):  
M. E. Agbor ◽  
◽  
S. O. Udo ◽  
S. O. Amadi ◽  
◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Golab Moussa Omar ◽  
Jean-Emmanuel Paturel ◽  
Christian Salles ◽  
Gil Mahe ◽  
Mohamed Jalludin

<p><span>This study focus on the catchment of Ambouli wadi which is one of the country’s largest watersheds covering 794 km² (3.5 % of the total area of the Republic of Djibouti). Because of its groundwater resources, this exoreic watershed is of major importance. Indeed, the aquifer is the main source of drinking water supply for the city of Djibouti-city. In addition, this wadi is also responsible for floods causing human suffering and severe economic damages. Despite the importance of the catchment for the development of Djibouti-city, Ambouli wadi has been the subject of few scientific studies. This partly explains the scarcity of rainfall stations and therefore data in this area. Analysis of the spatio-temporal variability of rainfall is required to assess the risk of flooding. </span></p><p><span>In an arid country like the Republic of Djibouti flash floods are an important concern for the management of water resources systems and risk prevention and protection. The desertic climate of the country is characterized by high levels of temperature and evaporation, and also by very weak and irregular annual rainfall, distributed in two major seasons : a cooler season (from October to March) with high relative humidity and low temperatures comprised between 22°C and 30°C, and a hot and dry season (from June to September). </span></p><p><span>Rain data were collected from a network of 9 raingauge stations at different time scales, from monthly to hourly. These data are provided by the national meteorological agency (4 stations) and the early warning system of CERD National Research Center (5 stations).</span></p><p><span> </span><span>The spatio-temporal variability of rainfall, is characterized using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the analysis of rainfall normals over 30 years (1951-1980 and 1961-1990). Long time series data were available from 4 of the 9 stations: (Djibouti-serpent, Djibouti-aeorodrome, Oueah and Arta). At annual scale, the variability is clearly described by a succession of dry and humid years. Also, the monthly rainfall clearly demonstrates the well-known bimodal precipitation regime of east Africa. It shows, two peaks corresponding to the « long rain » and the « short rain » rainy seasons, which correspond to the period of March-April-May and of October-November-December, respectively. On the other hand, we also observe a dry period which is characterized by a rainfall deficit (negative rainfall index for almost all the stations) corresponding to the boreal summer (June to September). </span><span>Daily data is currently collecting from the Djibouti-aerodrome station (1981-2017) for a better understanding of the precipitation regime. Rainy days are computed from daily data (rainfall > 1 mm) and we find an annual average of 11 wet days with a minimum in 1988 (1 rainy day) and a maximum in 1993 (23 rainy days). </span></p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor Hugo De Morais Danelichen ◽  
Nadja Gomes Machado ◽  
Marcelo Sacardi Biudes ◽  
Maísa Caldas Souza

Rainfall is the key element in regional water balance, and have direct influence over economic activity. In this study, we evaluate the estimates of precipitation by TRMM satellite (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) on the Midwest region of Brazil. The rainfall measured by TRMM satellite was compared with rainfall series obtained by the Office of Instituto de Controle de Espaço Aéreo (ICEA) of Comando da Força Aérea. The TRMM satellite overestimated annual rainfall between 0.6 and 37.4%, with greater overestimation in the dry season. However, the rainfall estimate by TRMM satellite had a high correlation (0.88) with the rainfall series and had high Willmott coefficient. The Northern of Brazilian Midwest had the highest annual accumulated rainfall and the Southwest and Northeast of Midwest had the lowest annual accumulated rainfall. There was a inverse seasonal pattern of accumulated rainfall, with higher values in the Northern of Midwest during the rainy season in the Southwest and Northeast during the dry season.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 2019
Author(s):  
Jhon Lennon Bezerra da Silva ◽  
Geber Barbosa De Albuquerque Moura ◽  
Marcos Vinícios Da Silva ◽  
Roni Valter De Souza Guedes ◽  
Pabrício Marcos Oliveira Lopes ◽  
...  

A gestão eficiente dos recursos hídricos no Nordeste brasileiro torna-se fundamental diante do regime hidrológico dos rios intermitentes, dos quais muitos são extremamente críticos. Todavia estes dependem de um regime pluviométrico irregular, tanto em escala de tempo mensal quanto anual. Objetivou-se determinar a variabilidade espaço-temporal da precipitação pluviométrica total anual, averiguando-se, também, as regiões com padrões de precipitação semelhantes por técnicas de análise multivariada (clusters e componentes principais) no Nordeste do Brasil. Foram analisados dados de precipitação pluviométrica total anual, entre os anos de 1995 e 2016, de 37 diferentes estações meteorológicas do INMET, estas situadas nos limites territoriais dos nove estados do Nordeste brasileiro. A análise de clusters verificou a formação de quatro grupos distintos, com padrões semelhantes de precipitação nas regiões dentro dos grupos, conforme também observado na análise de componentes principais. A padronização e/ou variabilidade espaço-temporal da precipitação pluviométrica dos municípios analisados mostrou-se está intimamente associada as condições das estações do ano e anomalias climatológicas, aos fatores de uso e ocupação do solo, condições de altitude e relevo, tais quais favorecem na formação e estabilidade de chuvas menores ou maiores no Nordeste brasileiro. A análise multivariada de cluster e componentes principal identificaram padrões e semelhanças pluviométricas de grupos, nos diferentes estados do Nordeste do Brasil entre os anos de 1995 e 2016. Exploratory Inference of Spatial-Temporal Data of Rainfall in the Brazilian Northeast ABSTRACTThe efficient management of water resources in the Northeast of Brazil is essential in view of the hydrological regime of intermittent rivers, of which many are extremely critical, as they depend on an irregular rainfall regime, both on a monthly and annual time scale. The objective of this study was to determine the spatial and temporal variability of the annual total rainfall, also investigating the regions with similar rainfall patterns by multivariate analysis techniques (clusters and principal components) in Brazilian Northeast. Data from total annual rainfall between the years 1995 and 2016, of 37 different INMET weather stations were analyzed, located within the territorial limit of the nine states of Brazilian Northeast. Cluster analysis verified the formation of four distinct groups, with similar precipitation patterns in the regions within the groups as also observed in the principal component analysis. The pattern and/or spatial-temporal variability of rainfall in the municipalities analyzed was shown to be intimately associated with the conditions of the year and climatic anomalies stations, and the factors of land use and occupation, altitude and relief conditions, such as favoring the formation and stability of minor or major rain in the Brazilian Northeast. Multivariate cluster and principal component analysis identified rainfall patterns and similarities of groups, in the different states of Northeastern Brazil between the years 1995 and 2016.Keywords: multivariate analysis, climate change, semiarid, regional climate patterns.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Getachew Bayable Tiruneh ◽  
Gedamu Amare ◽  
Getnet Alemu ◽  
Temesgen Gashaw

Abstract Background: Rainfall variability is a common characteristic in Ethiopia and it exceedingly affects agriculture particularly in the eastern parts of the country where rainfall is relatively scarce. Hence, understanding the spatio-temporal variability of rainfall is indispensable for planning mitigation measures during high and low rainfall seasons. This study examined the spatio-temporal variability and trends of rainfall in the West Harerge Zone, eastern Ethiopia.Method: The coefficient of variation (CV) and standardized anomaly index (SAI) was employed to analyze rainfall variability while Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test and Sen’s slop estimator were employed to examine the trend and magnitude of the rainfall changes, respectively. The association between rainfall and Pacific Ocean Sea Surface Temperature (SST) was also evaluated by the Pearson correlation coefficient (r).Results: The annual rainfall CV ranges from 12-19.36% while the seasonal rainfall CV extends from 15-28.49%, 24-35.58%, and 38-75.9% for average Kiremt (June-September), Belg (February-May), and Bega (October-January) seasons, respectively (1983-2019). On the monthly basis, the trends of rainfall decreased in all months except in July, October, and November. However, the trends of rainfall were not statistically significant (α = 0.05), unlike November. The annual rainfall trends showed a non-significant decreasing trend. On a seasonal basis, the trend of mean Kiremt and Belg seasons rainfall was decreased. But, it increased in Bega season although it was not statistically significant. Moreover, the correlation between rainfall and Pacific Ocean SST was negative for Kiremt while positive for Belg and Bega seasons. Besides, the correlation between rainfall and Pacific Ocean SST was negative at annual time scales.Conclusions: High spatial and temporal rainfall variability on monthly, seasonal, and annual time scales was observed in the study area. Seasonal rainfall has high inter-annual variability in the dry season (Bega) than other seasons. The trends in rainfall were decreased in most of the months. Besides, the trend of rainfall was increased annually and in the Bega season rather than other seasons. Generally, the occurrence of droughts in the study area was associated with ENSO events like most other parts of Ethiopia and East Africa.


2010 ◽  
Vol 24 (14) ◽  
pp. 3817-3833 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed M. Meddi ◽  
Ali Arkamose Assani ◽  
Hind Meddi

Author(s):  
Dr. Vasudev S. Salunke ◽  
Pramila. P. Zaware

Rainfall is one of the vital form of precipitation which affects not only agricultural activity but also entire ecology in any region. Hence rainfall distribution and its trends in district is important to understand water availability and to take decisions for the agricultural activities in area. This research paper is an effort to assess the spatial and temporal rainfall variability of Ahmednagar district of Maharashtra State. Ahmednagar is popularly known as the largest district of Maharashtra with fourteen Talukas. The average annual rainfall of this district is 621 mm with an average of 46 rainy days. In this study the spatial and temporal rainfall distribution of this district is taken in to account. Short-term annual rainfall data are considered from 1998 to 2014. The daily rainfalls of monsoon months of all the fourteen Taluka are analyzed for the year 2015.It was found that spatial and temporal variability is high in the District.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajaram Prajapati ◽  
Rocky Talchabhadel ◽  
Priya Silwal ◽  
Surabhi Upadhyay ◽  
Brandon Ertis ◽  
...  

Abstract Understanding spatio-temporal variability in rainfall patterns is crucial for evaluating water balances needed for water resources planning and management. This paper investigates spatio-temporal variability in rainfall and assesses the frequency of daily rainfall observations from seven stations in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, from 1971–2015. Daily rainfall totals were classified into five classes, namely, A (light rain, daily rainfall < 10 mm in a day), B (between 10–50 mm), C (between 50–100 mm), D (between 100–150 mm) and E (> 150 mm). The relationship between daily rainfall and rainfall frequency of various rainfall rate classes were analysed. Kriging method was used for interpolation in interpreting seasonal and annual rainfall data and spatial maps were generated using QGIS. The Mann-Kendall (MK) test was performed to determine the temporal trends and Theil-Sen’s (TS) slope estimator was used in quantifying the magnitude of trends. Mountain stations showed a decreasing trend in rainfall for all seasons, ranging from − 8.4 mm/year at Sankhu to -21.8 mm/year at Thankot, whereas, a mixed pattern was found on the Valley floor. Mean annual rainfall in the Valley was 1610 mm. Both annual rainfall and the number of rainy days decreased in the Kathmandu Valley over the study period. The study indicated a significant reduction in rainfall after 2000. Since springs and shallow groundwater are the primary sources of water supply for residents in the Kathmandu Valley, it is apparent that decreasing rainfall will have (and is already having) an adverse impact on domestic, industrial, and agricultural water supplies, and the livelihoods of people.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-72
Author(s):  
PRAGYAN KUMARI ◽  
RAJAN KUMAROJHA ◽  
AWADOOD WADOOD ◽  
RAMESH KUMAR

Daily rainfall data of 56 years (1956-2011) of Palamau district of Jharkhand have been considered to analyse the long term average and its temporal variability on weekly, monthly, seasonal and annual basis. The average annual rainfall at Palamau was 1138 mm with 34 per cent coefficient of variation indicating thereby that the rainfall was not much stable over the years. July was the highest rainfall recipient month (332 mm) followed by August (310 mm) during the monsoon period. Trend analysis on rainfall of past 56 years exhibited a decreasing pattern of 8.33 mm and 7.04 mm per year in annual and kharif season rainfall, respectively. Agricultural drought was most frequently observed in early (23-26 SMW) as well as late (37-40 SMW) stages of kharif crops. Meteorological droughts of different intensities, viz., mild, moderate and severe over the observed periods showed that station is prone to mild-moderate type of drought. Short duration, low water requiring but high value crops like maize, pulses, oilseeds and some vegetables can be opted for this region to minimize the production risk.


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