scholarly journals Prospective validation of a molecular prognostication panel for clival chordoma

2019 ◽  
Vol 130 (5) ◽  
pp. 1528-1537 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgios A. Zenonos ◽  
Juan C. Fernandez-Miranda ◽  
Debraj Mukherjee ◽  
Yue-Fang Chang ◽  
Klea Panayidou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tumor Cells ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Wide Spectrum ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Homozygous Deletion ◽  
Ki 67 ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Clival Chordoma

OBJECTIVEThere are currently no reliable means to predict the wide variability in behavior of clival chordoma so as to guide clinical decision-making and patient education. Furthermore, there is no method of predicting a tumor’s response to radiation therapy.METHODSA molecular prognostication panel, consisting of fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) of the chromosomal loci 1p36 and 9p21, as well as immunohistochemistry for Ki-67, was prospectively evaluated in 105 clival chordoma samples from November 2007 to April 2016. The results were correlated with overall progression-free survival after surgery (PFSS), as well as progression-free survival after radiotherapy (PFSR).RESULTSAlthough Ki-67 and the percentages of tumor cells with 1q25 hyperploidy, 1p36 deletions, and homozygous 9p21 deletions were all found to be predictive of PFSS and PFSR in univariate analyses, only 1p36 deletions and homozygous 9p21 deletions were shown to be independently predictive in a multivariate analysis. Using a prognostication calculator formulated by a separate multivariate Cox model, two 1p36 deletion strata (0%–15% and > 15% deleted tumor cells) and three 9p21 homozygous deletion strata (0%–3%, 4%–24%, and ≥ 25% deleted tumor cells) accounted for a range of cumulative hazard ratios of 1 to 56.1 for PFSS and 1 to 75.6 for PFSR.CONCLUSIONSHomozygous 9p21 deletions and 1p36 deletions are independent prognostic factors in clival chordoma and can account for a wide spectrum of overall PFSS and PFSR. This panel can be used to guide management after resection of clival chordomas.

Local Ablative Therapies in Oligometastatic NSCLC: New Data and New Directions

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (03) ◽  
pp. 369-376
Author(s):  
Pencilla Lang ◽  
Daniel R. Gomez ◽  
David A. Palma
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Treatment Phase ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Fractionated Radiotherapy ◽  
Disease States ◽  
Ablative Therapies ◽  
Clinical Scenarios

AbstractThe oligometastatic and oligoprogressive disease states have been recently recognized as common clinical scenarios in the management of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). As a result, there has been increasing interest in treating these patients with locally ablative therapies including surgery, conventionally fractionated radiotherapy, stereotactic ablative radiotherapy, and radiofrequency ablation. This article provides an overview of oligometastatic and oligoprogressive disease in the setting of NSCLC and reviews the evidence supporting ablative treatment. Phase II randomized controlled trials and retrospective series suggest that ablative treatment of oligometastases may substantially improve progression-free survival and overall survival, and additional large randomized studies testing this hypothesis in a definitive context are ongoing. However, several challenges remain, including quantifying the possible benefits of ablative therapies for oligoprogressive disease and developing prognostic and predictive models to assist in clinical decision making.

Prediction of benefit from treatment beyond the first line in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e11565-e11565
Author(s):  
Marta Bonotto ◽  
Lorenzo Gerratana ◽  
Alessandro Minisini ◽  
Elena Poletto ◽  
Stefania Russo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Metastatic Breast ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Consecutive Series ◽  
First Line ◽  
Her2 Positive ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
The Impact

e11565 Background: Despite the availability of several therapeutic options for MBC, palliative treatments beyond 1st line lack of predictive factors that could help clinical decision making. We aimed to determine which is the impact of benefit at 1stline into the benefit from subsequent therapeutic lines. Methods: We analyzed a consecutive series of 472 MBC patients treated with chemotherapy (CT) and/or endocrine therapy (ET) at the Department of Oncology of Udine, Italy, between 2004 and 2012. We evaluated Progression Free Survival at 1st (PFS1), 2nd (PFS2), 3rd (PFS3) and 4th (PFS4) line of treatment. Three distinct analyses were conducted: the first for the lines of CT, the second for the lines of ET and the third by considering both CT and ET as a line of treatment. A PFS longer than 6 months was defined as “6-month benefit". Results: Median Overall Survival was 34.5 mo (25th – 75th percentile: 14.5 – 58.8), median overall PFS1 and PFS2 was 8.9 mo and 4.3 mo respectively. Median PFS1 and PFS2 in CT lines only was 7 mo and 3.7 mo, respectively. Median PFS1 and PFS2 in ET lines only was 9.4 mo and 4.6 mo respectively. Overall, 289 patients (63.5%) presented 6-month benefit at 1st line, 128 (40.5%) at 2nd, 76 (33.8%) at 3rd and 34 (23.3%) at 4th. Not having a 6-month benefit in overall PFS1 was associated with a lack of benefit both at 2nd line (OR=0.48; p=0.0026) and at any line beyond the 1st (OR=0.39; p< 0.0001). Taking into consideration CT lines only, not having a 6-month benefit in CT PFS1 was associated with a lack of benefit both at 2nd line (OR=0.45; p=0.0072) and at any line beyond the 1st (OR=0.43; p=0.0026). A lack of benefit at the 1st ET line was not associated with further ET outcome neither in 2nd line nor in any line beyond the 1st. Stratification according to immunophenotype highlighted a statistical significance only among HER2 positive tumors (OR=0.2; p=0.0152 in 2nd line and OR=0.14; p=0.0036 beyond 1st line). Conclusions: Our results suggest that the absence of a “6-month benefit” in PFS1 predicts a lack of benefit in subsequent therapy lines, especially in HER2 positive disease. However, a lack of benefit at first line ET appears not to be detrimental to further anti-hormonal lines.

scholarly journals An easy-to-operate web-based calculator for predicting the progression of chronic kidney disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Xu ◽  
Yunyun Wang ◽  
Yiqun Fang ◽  
Shanshan Feng ◽  
Cuiyun Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Web Based ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Validation Set

Abstract Background This study aimed to establish and validate an easy-to-operate novel scoring system based on simple and readily available clinical indices for predicting the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods We retrospectively evaluated 1045 eligible CKD patients from a publicly available database. Factors included in the model were determined by univariate and multiple Cox proportional hazard analyses based on the training set. Results Independent prognostic factors including etiology, hemoglobin level, creatinine level, proteinuria, and urinary protein/creatinine ratio were determined and contained in the model. The model showed good calibration and discrimination. The area under the curve (AUC) values generated to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year progression-free survival in the training set were 0.947, 0.931, and 0.939, respectively. In the validation set, the model still revealed excellent calibration and discrimination, and the AUC values generated to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year progression-free survival were 0.948, 0.933, and 0.915, respectively. In addition, decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model was clinically beneficial. Moreover, to visualize the prediction results, we established a web-based calculator (https://ncutool.shinyapps.io/CKDprogression/). Conclusion An easy-to-operate model based on five relevant factors was developed and validated as a conventional tool to assist doctors with clinical decision-making and personalized treatment.

scholarly journals Multimodal imaging patterns predict survival in recurrent glioblastoma patients treated with bevacizumab

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 1680-1687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken Chang ◽  
Biqi Zhang ◽  
Xiaotao Guo ◽  
Min Zong ◽  
Rifaquat Rahman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Recurrent Glioblastoma ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Imaging Biomarkers ◽  
Imaging Features ◽  
Mri Features ◽  
Fluid Attenuated Inversion Recovery ◽  
Multimodal Mri

Abstract Background Bevacizumab is a humanized antibody against vascular endothelial growth factor approved for treatment of recurrent glioblastoma. There is a need to discover imaging biomarkers that can aid in the selection of patients who will likely derive the most survival benefit from bevacizumab. Methods The aim of the study was to examine if pre- and posttherapy multimodal MRI features could predict progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) for patients with recurrent glioblastoma treated with bevacizumab. The patient population included 84 patients in a training cohort and 42 patients in a testing cohort, separated based on pretherapy imaging date. Tumor volumes of interest were segmented from contrast-enhanced T1-weighted and fluid attenuated inversion recovery images and were used to derive volumetric, shape, texture, parametric, and histogram features. A total of 2293 pretherapy and 9811 posttherapy features were used to generate the model. Results Using standard radiographic assessment criteria, the hazard ratio for predicting OS was 3.38 (P < .001). The hazard ratios for pre- and posttherapy features predicting OS were 5.10 (P < .001) and 3.64 (P < .005) for the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Conclusion With the use of machine learning techniques to analyze imaging features derived from pre- and posttherapy multimodal MRI, we were able to develop a predictive model for patient OS that could potentially assist clinical decision making.

scholarly journals Prognostic Threshold for Circulating Tumor Cells in Patients With Pancreatic and Midgut Neuroendocrine Tumors

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalvinder Mandair ◽  
Mohid S Khan ◽  
Andre Lopes ◽  
Luke Furtado O’Mahony ◽  
Leah Ensell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Tumor Cells ◽  
Circulating Tumor Cells ◽  
Neuroendocrine Tumors ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Optimum Threshold

Abstract Background Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are detectable in patients with neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and are accurate prognostic markers although the optimum threshold has not been defined. Objective This work aims to define optimal prognostic CTC thresholds in PanNET and midgut NETs. Patients and Methods CellSearch was used to enumerate CTCs in 199 patients with metastatic pancreatic (PanNET) (90) or midgut NETs (109). Patients were followed for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for a minimum of 3 years or until death. Results The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for progression at 12 months in PanNETs and midgut NETs identified the optimal CTC threshold as 1 or greater and 2 or greater, respectively. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, these thresholds were predictive for 12-month progression with an odds ratio (OR) of 6.69 (P &lt; .01) for PanNETs and 5.88 (P &lt; .003) for midgut NETs. The same thresholds were found to be optimal for predicting death at 36 months, with an OR of 2.87 (P &lt; .03) and 5.09 (P &lt; .005) for PanNETs and midgut NETs, respectively. In multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis for PFS in PanNETs, 1 or greater CTC had a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.6 (P &lt; .01), whereas 2 or greater CTCs had an HR of 2.25 (P &lt; .01) in midgut NETs. In multivariate analysis OS in PanNETs, 1 or greater CTCs had an HR of 3.16 (P &lt; .01) and in midgut NETs, 2 or greater CTCs had an HR of 1.73 (P &lt; .06). Conclusions The optimal CTC threshold to predict PFS and OS in metastatic PanNETs and midgut NETs is 1 and 2, respectively. These thresholds can be used to stratify patients in clinical practice and clinical trials.

scholarly journals P14.95 Is the pathological-grade relevant in “IDH-wild type, TERT-mutant” diffuse-gliomas? An analysis in 147 patients

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii90-iii90
Author(s):  
A E Danyeli ◽  
C B Akyerli ◽  
A Dinçer ◽  
E Coşgun ◽  
U Abacıoğlu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Genetic Alterations ◽  
Lower Grade ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Ki 67 ◽  
Who Grade ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Tert Promoter ◽  
Diffuse Gliomas

Abstract BACKGROUND Although the word “glioblastoma” still denotes a grade-IV pathology, basic molecular studies have clearly indicated that a significant proportion of lower-grade gliomas harbor genetic alterations typical of glioblastomas. Based on these findings cIMPACT-NOW update 3 has defined an entity called the “diffuse astrocytic glioma, IDH-wildtype, with molecular features of glioblastoma, WHO grade IV”. A TERT-promoter mutation is one of these typical molecular markers of glioblastomas. In this study we analyzed IDH-wild type, TERT-mutant diffuse gliomas of different pathological grades to look for differences in demographic, clinical and survival characteristics. MATERIAL AND METHODS 147 adult hemispheric diffuse-gliomas with wild-type IDH1/2 and mutant TERT-promoter (C228T or C250T) were retrospectively analyzed. Primary thalamic, cerebellar brainstem or spinal cases were excluded. 126 (86%), 16(11%) and 5(3%) patients were WHO grade IV, III and II respectively. After surgical treatment or stereotactic biopsy all patients underwent chemoradiation. Median follow-up was 16mo (1–110). Tumors of different grades were compared for age, gender, multifocality, gliomatosis pattern, Ki-67 index, progression-free survival and overall-survival. RESULTS Mean age at presentation for grade II, III and IV were comparable (58.1, 58 and 58.1; ANOVA, p=0.72). There was a slight male predominance in both lower-grades and WHO-grade IV (M:F ratios 1.625 and 1.74). Mean Ki-67 index was significantly higher in higher grades (0.06, 0.14 and 0.25 for grades II, III and IV; ANOVA, p=0.001). Multifocality was comparable (chi-sq, p=1) in lower-grades (3/21; 14.3%) vs. WHO-grade IV (18/126; 14.3%). Gliomatosis pattern was comparable (chi-sq, p=0.095) in lower-grades (2/21; 9.5%) vs. (3/126; 2.3%). Median recurrence free survival (RFS) was 16 months (0–63) in lower-grades and 8months (1–50) in WHO-grade IV. PFS was significantly different between 3 WHO-grades (Log rank, p=0.007) and also between lower-grades and WHO-grade IV (Log rank, p=0.002). Median overall survival was 26 months(2–110) in lower-grades and 15mo(1–91) in WHO-grade IV. OS was significantly different between 3 WHO-grades (Log rank, p=0.014) and also between lower-grades and WHO-grade IV (Log rank, p=0.007). CONCLUSION Increasing pathological grades of hemispheric “IDH-wild type, TERT-mutant diffuse gliomas” have similar demographic and clinical characteristics but incrasing proliferation indices, decrasing progression free survival and shorter overall survival. The findings may be suggesitve of different grades of one common tumor entity.

scholarly journals Clinical value of measurable residual disease testing for assessing depth, duration, and direction of response in multiple myeloma

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (14) ◽  
pp. 3295-3301
Author(s):  
Joaquin Martinez-Lopez ◽  
Sandy W. Wong ◽  
Nina Shah ◽  
Natasha Bahri ◽  
Kaili Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multiple Myeloma ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Residual Disease ◽  
Clinical Care ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Routine Practice ◽  
Clinical Value ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Measurable Residual Disease

Abstract Few clinical studies have reported results of measurable residual disease (MRD) assessments performed as part of routine practice. Herein we present our single-institution experience assessing MRD in 234 multiple myeloma (MM) patients (newly diagnosed [NDMM = 159] and relapsed [RRMM = 75]). We describe the impact of depth, duration, and direction of response on prognosis. MRD assessments were performed by next-generation sequencing of immunoglobulin genes with a sensitivity of 10−6. Those achieving MRD negativity at 10−6, as well as 10−5, had superior median progression-free survival (PFS). In the NDMM cohort, 40% of the patients achieved MRD negativity at 10−6 and 59% at 10−5. Median PFS in the NDMM cohort was superior in those achieving MRD at 10−5 vs &lt;10−5 (PFS: 87 months vs 32 months; P &lt; .001). In the RRMM cohort, 36% achieved MRD negativity at 10−6 and 47% at 10−5. Median PFS was superior for the RRMM achieving MRD at 10−5 vs &lt;10−5 (PFS: 42 months vs 17 months; P &lt; .01). Serial MRD monitoring identified 3 categories of NDMM patients: (A) patients with ≥3 MRD 10−6 negative samples, (B) patients with detectable but continuously declining clonal numbers, and (C) patients with stable or increasing clonal number (≥1 log). PFS was superior in groups A and B vs C (median PFS not reached [NR], NR, 55 respectively; P &lt; .001). This retrospective evaluation of MRD used as part of clinical care validates MRD as an important prognostic marker in NDMM and RRMM and supports its use as an endpoint in future clinical trials as well as for clinical decision making.

scholarly journals Diagnostic Performance of Electronic Syndromic Surveillance Systems in Acute Care

2013 ◽  
Vol 04 (02) ◽  
pp. 212-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Kashiouris ◽  
J.C. O’Horo ◽  
B.W. Pickering ◽  
V. Herasevich
Keyword(s):  
Acute Care ◽  
Syndromic Surveillance ◽  
Diagnostic Performance ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Wide Spectrum ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Significant Heterogeneity ◽  
Surveillance Systems ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Decision Points

SummaryContext: Healthcare Electronic Syndromic Surveillance (ESS) is the systematic collection, analysis and interpretation of ongoing clinical data with subsequent dissemination of results, which aid clinical decision-making.Objective: To evaluate, classify and analyze the diagnostic performance, strengths and limitations of existing acute care ESS systems.Data Sources: All available to us studies in Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE, CINAHL and Scopus databases, from as early as January 1972 through the first week of September 2012.Study Selection: Prospective and retrospective trials, examining the diagnostic performance of inpatient ESS and providing objective diagnostic data including sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values.Data Extraction: Two independent reviewers extracted diagnostic performance data on ESS systems, including clinical area, number of decision points, sensitivity and specificity. Positive and negative likelihood ratios were calculated for each healthcare ESS system. A likelihood matrix summarizing the various ESS systems performance was created.Results: The described search strategy yielded 1639 articles. Of these, 1497 were excluded on abstract information. After full text review, abstraction and arbitration with a third reviewer, 33 studies met inclusion criteria, reporting 102,611 ESS decision points. The yielded I2 was high (98.8%), precluding meta-analysis. Performance was variable, with sensitivities ranging from 21% –100% and specificities ranging from 5%-100%.Conclusions: There is significant heterogeneity in the diagnostic performance of the available ESS implements in acute care, stemming from the wide spectrum of different clinical entities and ESS systems. Based on the results, we introduce a conceptual framework using a likelihood ratio matrix for evaluation and meaningful application of future, frontline clinical decision support systems.Citation: Kashiouris M, O’Horo JC, Pickering BW, Herasevich V. Diagnostic performance of electronic syndromic surveillance systems in acute care – a systematic review. Appl Clin Inf 2013; 4: 212–224http://dx.doi.org/10.4338/ACI-2012-12-RA-0053

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