scholarly journals Positive mass balance during the late 20th century on Austfonna, Svalbard, revealed using satellite radar interferometry

2007 ◽  
Vol 46 ◽  
pp. 117-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzanne Bevan ◽  
Adrian Luckman ◽  
Tavi Murray ◽  
Helena Sykes ◽  
Jack Kohler

AbstractDetermining whether increasing temperature or precipitation will dominate the cryospheric response to climate change is key to forecasting future sea-level rise. The volume of ice contained in the ice caps and glaciers of the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard is small compared with that of the Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets, but is likely to be affected much more rapidly in the short term by climate change. This study investigates the mass balance of Austfonna, Svalbard’s largest ice cap. Equilibrium-line fluxes for the whole ice cap, and for individual drainage basins, were estimated by combining surface velocities measured using satellite radar interferometry with ice thicknesses derived from radio-echo sounding. These fluxes were compared with balance fluxes to reveal that during the 1990s the total mass balance of the accumulation zone was (5.6±2.0)×108m3 a–1. Three basins in the quiescent phase of their surge cycles contributed 75% of this accumulation. The remaining volume may be attributable either to as yet unidentified surge-type glaciers, or to increased precipitation. This result emphasizes the importance of considering the surge dynamics of glaciers when attempting to draw any conclusions on climate change based on snapshot observations of the cryosphere.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 2609
Author(s):  
Yaqiong Mu ◽  
Yanqiang Wei ◽  
Jinkui Wu ◽  
Yongjian Ding ◽  
Donghui Shangguan ◽  
...  

The melting of the polar ice caps is considered to be an essential factor for global sea-level rise and has received significant attention. Quantitative research on ice cap mass changes is critical in global climate change. In this study, GRACE JPL RL06 data under the Mascon scheme based on the dynamic method were used. Greenland, which is highly sensitive to climate change, was selected as the study area. Greenland was divided into six sub-research regions, according to its watersheds. The spatial–temporal mass changes were compared to corresponding temperature and precipitation statistics to analyze the relationship between changes in ice sheet mass and climate change. The results show that: (i) From February 2002 to September 2019, the rate of change in the Greenland Ice Sheet mass was about −263 ± 13 Gt yr−1 and the areas with the most substantial ice sheet loss and climate changes were concentrated in the western and southern parts of Greenland. (ii) The mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet during the study period was at a loss, and this was closely related to increasing trends in temperature and precipitation. (iii) In the coastal areas of western and southern Greenland, the rate of mass change has accelerated significantly, mainly because of climate change.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 281-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henning Åkesson ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
Rianne H. Giesen ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem

Abstract. Understanding of long-term dynamics of glaciers and ice caps is vital to assess their recent and future changes, yet few long-term reconstructions using ice flow models exist. Here we present simulations of the maritime Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in Norway from the mid-Holocene through the Little Ice Age (LIA) to the present day, using a numerical ice flow model combined with glacier and climate reconstructions. In our simulation, under a linear climate forcing, we find that Hardangerjøkulen grows from ice-free conditions in the mid-Holocene to its maximum extent during the LIA in a nonlinear, spatially asynchronous fashion. During its fastest stage of growth (2300–1300 BP), the ice cap triples its volume in less than 1000 years. The modeled ice cap extent and outlet glacier length changes from the LIA until today agree well with available observations. Volume and area for Hardangerjøkulen and several of its outlet glaciers vary out-of-phase for several centuries during the Holocene. This volume–area disequilibrium varies in time and from one outlet glacier to the next, illustrating that linear relations between ice extent, volume and glacier proxy records, as generally used in paleoclimatic reconstructions, have only limited validity. We also show that the present-day ice cap is highly sensitive to surface mass balance changes and that the effect of the ice cap hypsometry on the mass balance–altitude feedback is essential to this sensitivity. A mass balance shift by +0.5 m w.e. relative to the mass balance from the last decades almost doubles ice volume, while a decrease of 0.2 m w.e. or more induces a strong mass balance–altitude feedback and makes Hardangerjøkulen disappear entirely. Furthermore, once disappeared, an additional +0.1 m w.e. relative to the present mass balance is needed to regrow the ice cap to its present-day extent. We expect that other ice caps with comparable geometry in, for example, Norway, Iceland, Patagonia and peripheral Greenland may behave similarly, making them particularly vulnerable to climate change.


2005 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 217-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattias De Woul ◽  
Regine Hock

AbstractFuture climate warming is predicted to be more pronounced in the Arctic where approximately two-thirds of all small glaciers on Earth are located. A simple mass-balance model was applied to 42 glaciers and ice caps north of 60° N to estimate mass-balance sensitivities to a hypothetical climate perturbation. The model is based on daily temperature and precipitation data from climate stations in the vicinity of each glacier and ice cap. A regression analysis was made using a degree-day approach where the annual sum of positive daily air temperatures was correlated to measured summer mass balance, and the total annual snow precipitation was correlated to measured winter mass balance. The net mass-balance sensitivity to a hypothetical temperature increase of +1 K ranged from -0.2 to -2.0 m a-1, and an assumed increase in precipitation of +10% changed the mass balance by <+0.1 to +0.4 m a-1, thus on average offsetting the effect of a temperature increase by approximately 20%. Maritime glaciers showed considerably higher mass-balance sensitivities than continental glaciers, in agreement with similar previous studies. The highest sensitivities were found in Iceland, exceeding those reported in previous studies. Extrapolating our results, glaciers and ice caps north of 60° N are estimated to contribute ∼0.6 mm a–1 K–1 to global sea-level rise. Our results highlight the value of long-term mass-balance records and meteorological records in remote areas.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Fischer ◽  
Pascal Bohleber ◽  
Martin Stocker-Waldhuber

&lt;p&gt;Eastern Alpine Mountain Glaciers are threatened by current climate change, for which they are visible and prominent indicators. This makes them an important part of climate communication pushing our commitment for mitigation efforts. At the same time, this requires the scientific community to thoroughly understand and communicate the ongoing processes.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;From a scientific viewpoint, the link between classical in-situ mass balance data and the climate and environmental records potentially preserved in the so-called cold &amp;#8220;miniature ice caps&amp;#8221; sparks novel research perspectives. Summit stake measurements and ice core drillings are both rare, although the comparison of today&amp;#8217;s stake mass balance records with the variance of annual accumulation preserved in ice cores offers an intriguing hub to unravelling past processes.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We implemented summit stake mass balance measurements on two summits in the Austrian Alps, Wei&amp;#223;seespitze (3500 m) in &amp;#214;tztal Alps and Gro&amp;#223;venediger (3600 m) in Hohe Tauern National Park. At Wei&amp;#223;seespitze summit ice cap, two ice cores were drilled recently to bedrock and subsequently micro-radiocarbon dated. A stake network is complemented by a continuous monitoring of point thickness changes and a time lapse cam to monitor patterns of snow cover distribution. An energy balance station offers information on wind, air and ice temperatures and radiation.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The results from the first two years of monitoring at Wei&amp;#223;seespitze indicate that the remaining ice cap of about 10 m thickness will be gone within two decades even under current conditions. In view of present melt rates of about 0.6 m/year, a dated ice core record could eventually shed light on the question if similar conditions as today have occurred earlier in the past 6000 years of glacier cover at the summit. Learning more about (sub)seasonal patterns of accumulation is extremely import for the interpretation of these ice cores, as main accumulation takes place during early and late accumulation season, whereas the accumulation during colder periods is lost by wind erosion. The so far rarely studied miniature ice caps therefore open windows to complementary climate information, different from summer temperatures and winter precipitation which are widely accepted to be represented in total glacier mass balances.&lt;/p&gt;


2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (237) ◽  
pp. 79-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHRISTOPH MAYER ◽  
JULIA JAENICKE ◽  
ASTRID LAMBRECHT ◽  
LUDWIG BRAUN ◽  
CHRISTOF VÖLKSEN ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTMost Icelandic glaciers show high-accumulation rates during winter and strong surface melting during summer. Although it is difficult to establish and maintain mass-balance programs on these glaciers, mass-balance series do exist for several of the ice caps (Björnsson and others, 2013). We make use of the frequent volcanic eruptions in Iceland, which cause widespread internal tephra layers in the ice caps, to reconstruct the surface mass balance (SMB) in the ablation zone. This method requires information about surface geometry and ice velocity, derived from remote-sensing information. In addition, the emergence angle of the tephra layer needs to be known. As a proof-of-concept, we utilize a prominent tephra layer of the Mýrdalsjökull Ice Cap to infer local SMB estimates in the ablation area back to 1988. Using tephra-layer outcrop locations across the glacier at different points in time it is possible to determine local mass changes (loss and redistribution) for a large part of the ablation zone, without the use of historic elevation models, which often are not available.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ann-Sofie Priergaard Zinck ◽  
Aslak Grinsted

&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The ice thickness of the M&amp;#252;ller Ice Cap, Arctic Canada, is estimated using regression parameters obtained from an inversion of the shallow ice approximation by the use of a single Operation IceBridge flight line in combination with the glacier outline, surface slope, and elevation. The model is compared with an iterative inverse method of estimating the bedrock topography using PISM as a forward model. In both models the surface elevation is given by the Arctic Digital Elevation Model. The root mean squared errors of the ice thickness on the ice cap is 131 m and 139 m for the shallow ice inversion and the PISM model, respectively. Including the outlet glaciers increases the root mean squared errors to 136 m and 396 m, respectively. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The simplicity of the shallow ice inversion model, combined with the good results and the fact that only remote sensing data is needed, means that there is a possibility of applying this model in a global glacier thickness estimate by using the Randolph Glacier Inventory. Most global glacier estimates only provide the volume and not the ice thickness of the glaciers. Hence, global ice thickness models is of great importance in quantifying the potential contribution of sea level rise from the glaciers and ice caps around the globe. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;


1997 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
pp. 283-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir N. Mikhalenko

Glaciers of both the Arctic and mid-latitude mountain systems within Eurasia have retreated intensively during the past century. Measured and reconstructed glacier mass balances show that glacier retreat began around the 1880s. The mean annual mass-balance value for 1880–1990 was −480 mm a−1 for glaciers with maritime climatic conditions, and −140 mm a−1 for continental glaciers. It can be concluded that warming in the Caucasus occurred during at least the last 60 years, according to the distribution of crystal sizes in an ice core from the Dzhantugan firn plateau. Temperatures measured in 1962 at 20 m on the Gregoriev ice cap, Tien Shan, were −4.2°C while in 1990 they were −2°C, a warming of 2.2°C over 28 years. Changes in the isotopic composition of glacier ice during the 20th century indicate recent and continuing warming in different regions of Eurasia. The δ18O records reveal an enrichment at the Gregoriev ice cap during the last 50 years, while surface temperatures at the Tien Shan meteorological station have increased 0.5°C since 1930.


2018 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 293-306
Author(s):  
I. S. Bushueva ◽  
A. F. Glazovsky ◽  
G. A. Nosenko

The glaciers and ice caps in the Arctic are experiencing noticeable changes which are manifested, in particular, in the intensification of their dynamic instability. In this paper we present data on a largescale surge in the Western basin of the Vavilov ice dome on the archipelago Severnaya Zemlya, derived from satellite images and supplemented by airborne RES-2014 and available publications. Analysis of 28 space images of 1963–2017 demonstrated that the surge developed over the whole period. In the fi st decade (1963–1973), the advance was very slow – from 2–5 to 12 m/year. Since the 1980-ies, the ice movement began to accelerate from tens to a hundred of meters per a year in the 2000-ies. The sudden change happened in the year 2012 when the surge front began to move already at speeds of about 0.5 km/year. In 2015, the volume of advanced part reached almost 4 km3. Maximal speed 9.2 km/year was recorded in 2016. From 1963 to 2017, the edge of the glacier advanced by 11.7 km, and its area increased by 134.1 km2 (by 47% relative to the basin area of 1963), that caused spreading of crevasse zone up the glacier. Surface speeds reached a maximum of 25.4 m/day in 2016 and decreased to 7.6 m/day in 2017. The authors suggest that the initial activation of the southern and western edges of the ice dome could be a reaction to the climate signal, possibly occurred several centuries ago. The ice crevassing and cryo-hydrological warming of ice, enhanced by positive feedback, resulted in instability of the glacier and the displacement of the edge of the ice belt containing moraine and frozen to the bed, which transformed into a catastrophic movement. The surge was facilitated by change of bedrock conditions as the ice lobe progressed offshore from permafrost coastal zone to the area of loose marine bottom sediments with low shear strength. The surge seems to be also stimulated by anomalously warm summer of 2012.


2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Moholdt ◽  
J. O. Hagen ◽  
T. Eiken ◽  
T. V. Schuler

Abstract. The dynamics and mass balance regime of the Austfonna ice cap, the largest glacier on Svalbard, deviates significantly from most other glaciers in the region and is not fully understood. We have compared ICESat laser altimetry, airborne laser altimetry, GNSS surface profiles and radio echo-sounding data to estimate elevation change rates for the periods 1983–2007 and 2002–2008. The data sets indicate a pronounced interior thickening of up to 0.5 m y−1, at the same time as the margins are thinning at a rate of 1–3 m y−1. The southern basins are thickening at a higher rate than the northern basins due to a higher accumulation rate. The overall volume change in the 2002–2008 period is estimated to be −1.3±0.5 km3 w.e. y−1 (or −0.16±0.06 m w.e. y−1) where the entire net loss is due to a rapid retreat of the calving fronts. Since most of the marine ice loss occurs below sea level, Austfonna's current contribution to sea level change is close to zero. The geodetic results are compared to in-situ mass balance measurements which indicate that the 2004–2008 surface net mass balance has been slightly positive (0.05 m w.e. y−1) though with large annual variations. Similarities between local net mass balances and local elevation changes indicate that most of the ice cap is slow-moving and not in dynamic equilibrium with the current climate. More knowledge is needed about century-scale dynamic processes in order to predict the future evolution of Austfonna based on climate scenarios.


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