scholarly journals NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF ARCTIC HALOCLINE FORMATION

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-90
Author(s):  
Marina A. Tarkhanova ◽  
Elena N. Golubeva

This paper discusses issues related to the analysis of the Arctic halocline state over the past decades. Observational data show that the layer of halocline in the Arctic Ocean significantly changed in the last 40 years, which may affect the Arctic ice cover. For the study we used a three-dimensional ocean and sea ice numerical model developed at the ICMMG SB RAS. The main attention was devoted to the analysis of the model distribution of water salinity in the upper 250-meter layer and its variability. Based on numerical experiments on the sensitivity of thermohaline stratification to variations in atmospheric effects and the intensity of river flow, we identified areas of the Arctic basin in which the variability of the Arctic halocline was the most pronounced.

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalia Kuzmina

Abstract. Some analytical solutions are found for the problem of three-dimensional instability of a weak geostrophic flow with linear velocity shear taking into account vertical diffusion of buoyancy. The analysis is based on the potential vorticity equation in a long-wave approximation when the horizontal scale of disturbances is taken to be much larger than the local baroclinic Rossby radius. It is hypothesized that the solutions found can be applied to describe stable and unstable disturbances on a planetary scale with respect, especially, to the Arctic Basin, where weak baroclinic fronts with typical temporal variability periods of the order of several years or more are observed and the beta-effect is negligible. Stable (decaying with time) solutions describe disturbances that, in contrast to the Rossby waves, can propagate to both the west and east, depending on the sign of the linear shear of geostrophic velocity. The unstable (growing with time) solutions are applied to describe large-scale intrusions at baroclinic fronts under the stable–stable thermohaline stratification observed in the upper layer of the Polar Deep Water in the Eurasian Basin. The proposed description of intrusive layering can be considered as a possible alternative to the mechanism of interleaving due to the differential mixing.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Li ◽  
Steven K. Krueger ◽  
Courtenay Strong ◽  
Gerald G. Mace ◽  
Sally Benson

AbstractLeads are a key feature of the Arctic ice pack during the winter owing to their substantial contribution to the surface energy balance. According to the present understanding, enhanced heat and moisture fluxes from high lead concentrations tend to produce more boundary layer clouds. However, described here in our composite analyses of diverse surface- and satellite-based observations, we find that abundant boundary layer clouds are associated with low lead flux periods, while fewer boundary layer clouds are observed for high lead flux periods. Motivated by these counterintuitive results, we conducted three-dimensional cloud-resolving simulations to investigate the underlying physics. We find that newly frozen leads with large sensible heat flux but low latent heat flux tend to dissipate low clouds. This finding indicates that the observed high lead fractions likely consist of mostly newly frozen leads that reduce any pre-existing low-level cloudiness, which in turn decreases downwelling infrared flux and accelerates the freezing of sea ice.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 116-123
Author(s):  
Polina Osipova ◽  
Vladimir Mogilatov ◽  
Arkadiy Zlobinskiy

Electromagnetic sounding of the Arctic region is hampered by the influence of the conductive layer of seawater. As part of the RSF project, it is proposed to use a circular electrical dipole (CED) to excite the field. Installation should be placed on drifting ice. This technique requires three-dimensional modeling for which there are complex algorithms. The paper proposes an approach using the Born approximation to simplify the implementation of three-dimensional modeling of the electromagnetic sounding signal using CED.


1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 155-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Ries ◽  
William D. Hibler

Seasonal simulations with large-scale coupled ice–ocean models have reproduced many features of the ice and ocean circulation of the Arctic Ocean and the Greenland and Norwegian seas (e.g. Hibler and Bryan, 1987; Semtner, 1987). However, the crude resolution and high lateral eddy viscosity used by these models prevent the simulation of many of the smaller-scale seasonal features and tend to produce sluggish circulation. Similarly, the use of a single year’s atmospheric forcing prevents the simulation of features on an interannual time-scale. As an initial step towards addressing these issues, an 80 km diagnostic Arctic ice–ocean model is constructed and integrated over a three-year period using daily atmospheric forcing to drive the model. To examine the effect of topographic resolution and eddy viscosity on model results, similar simulations were performed with a 160 km-resolution model. The results of these simulations are compared with one another, with buoy drift in the Arctic Basin, and with observed ice-edge variations. The model results proved most sensitive to changes in horizontal resolution. The 80 km results provided a more realistic and robust circulation in most areas of the Arctic and improved the modelled ice edge in the Barents Sea, while also successfully simulating the interannual variation in the region. Although it performed better than the 160 km model, the 80 km model still produced too large an ice extent in the Greenland Sea. No significant improvement in the ice-edge prediction was observed by varying the lateral eddy viscosity. The results indicate that problems remain in the vertical resolution in shallow regions, in treating penetrative convection, and in the simulation of inflow into the Arctic Basin through the Fram Strait.


1981 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-378
Author(s):  
Alexander Hittel

This paper was originally presented at the Second Symposium on Satellite-Doppler Positioning in Austin, Texas in January 1979.The application of doppler satellite technology to ice-movement studies requiring high-quality positional determination ( ± 1 m) has proved of great value in remote areas of Canada. Potential oil and gas anomalies in the Arctic Islands, hundreds of kilometres from land, can now be successfully monitored with regard to ice-floe movement by remote methods on an almost daily basis. Extensive field tests conducted in the Calgary area during the fall of 1976 showed that daily movements as small as 1 m could be detected with high-quality satellite receivers using rigorous three-dimensional multi-station computer processing methods.


2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 389-401 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Crespin ◽  
H. Goosse ◽  
T. Fichefet ◽  
M. E. Mann

Abstract. An ensemble of simulations of the climate of the past millennium conducted with a three-dimensional climate model of intermediate complexity are constrained to follow temperature histories obtained from a recent compilation of well-calibrated surface temperature proxies using a simple data assimilation technique. Those simulations provide a reconstruction of the climate of the Arctic that is compatible with the model physics, the forcing applied and the proxy records. Available observational data, proxy-based reconstructions and our model results suggest that the Arctic climate is characterized by substantial variations in surface temperature over the past millennium. Though the most recent decades are likely to be the warmest of the past millennium, we find evidence for substantial past warming episodes in the Arctic. In particular, our model reconstructions show a prominent warm event during the period 1470–1520. This warm period is likely related to the internal variability of the climate system, that is the variability present in the absence of any change in external forcing. We examine the roles of competing mechanisms that could potentially produce this anomaly. This study leads us to conclude that changes in atmospheric circulation, through enhanced southwesterly winds towards northern Europe, Siberia and Canada, are likely the main cause of the late 15th/early 16th century Arctic warming.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G. W. K. Moore ◽  
S. E. L. Howell ◽  
M. Brady ◽  
X. Xu ◽  
K. McNeil

AbstractThe ice arches that usually develop at the northern and southern ends of Nares Strait play an important role in modulating the export of Arctic Ocean multi-year sea ice. The Arctic Ocean is evolving towards an ice pack that is younger, thinner, and more mobile and the fate of its multi-year ice is becoming of increasing interest. Here, we use sea ice motion retrievals from Sentinel-1 imagery to report on the recent behavior of these ice arches and the associated ice fluxes. We show that the duration of arch formation has decreased over the past 20 years, while the ice area and volume fluxes along Nares Strait have both increased. These results suggest that a transition is underway towards a state where the formation of these arches will become atypical with a concomitant increase in the export of multi-year ice accelerating the transition towards a younger and thinner Arctic ice pack.


2020 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-36
Author(s):  
Nebojsa Vukovic

The foundation of and justification for the revision of an very important conceptual paradigm that, for decades past, have had a reputation for being the basic premise in the history of geopolitics as a (sub)discipline of (political) geographyare explored in the paper. It is classical Mackinder-Spykman?s dichotomy of the Eurasian mainland into the heartland and the rimland. Since humankind is a witness to undisputed climatic changes and global warming, which also manifests very intensively through the process of the melting of Arctic ice, the author of the paper explores whether the current retreating of ice from the Arctic annuls or at least relativizes the foundation of Halford John Mackinder?s concept of the heartland as a Eurasian ?strategic fortress? of its own kind, which inter alia owes the status it has to the existence of the white barrier (eternal ice) in the extreme north of the planet Earth. This dilemma gives rise to the next that is related to the familiar thesis of the American geopolitician Nicholas John Spykman of the crucial importance of the Eurasian rimland in the global competition of the great powers. If the Arctic Ocean stays without ice for the largest part of the yearone day, should in that case the northern mainland of the Russian Federation also be perceived as the rimland in the meaning as devised by Spykman? The author explores what the scope, content and meaning of the notions of heartland and rimland could be at all if the global warming trends present so far continued. So, the paper questions and critically perceives the two maybe most important (hypo)theses in the history of geopolitics, whose authors were Mackinder and Spykman, in the context of far-reaching climatic changes. Apart from this, the author of the paper proves/refutes the justification for the (hypo)thesis of the division of geopolitics into the so-called classical (i.e. ice) and post-ice (i.e. that which becomes relevant after a partial or maybe even full retreat of ice from the Arctic). At the very end of the paper, again in the context of the mentioned changes, the author points to the ever-increasing significance that is being assigned to the ?population? factor in geopolitics. Namely, even if climatic changes and the warming process were developing according to the scenario which is the best for man, we may yet pose a question of the possibility of the exploitation of all the potentials of the Arctic Basin in a situation when, with some rare exceptions, the northern hemisphere?s population does not increase, i.e. when it stagnates or even falls in numbers.


1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 155-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Ries ◽  
William D. Hibler

Seasonal simulations with large-scale coupled ice–ocean models have reproduced many features of the ice and ocean circulation of the Arctic Ocean and the Greenland and Norwegian seas (e.g. Hibler and Bryan, 1987; Semtner, 1987). However, the crude resolution and high lateral eddy viscosity used by these models prevent the simulation of many of the smaller-scale seasonal features and tend to produce sluggish circulation. Similarly, the use of a single year’s atmospheric forcing prevents the simulation of features on an interannual time-scale. As an initial step towards addressing these issues, an 80 km diagnostic Arctic ice–ocean model is constructed and integrated over a three-year period using daily atmospheric forcing to drive the model. To examine the effect of topographic resolution and eddy viscosity on model results, similar simulations were performed with a 160 km-resolution model. The results of these simulations are compared with one another, with buoy drift in the Arctic Basin, and with observed ice-edge variations. The model results proved most sensitive to changes in horizontal resolution. The 80 km results provided a more realistic and robust circulation in most areas of the Arctic and improved the modelled ice edge in the Barents Sea, while also successfully simulating the interannual variation in the region. Although it performed better than the 160 km model, the 80 km model still produced too large an ice extent in the Greenland Sea. No significant improvement in the ice-edge prediction was observed by varying the lateral eddy viscosity. The results indicate that problems remain in the vertical resolution in shallow regions, in treating penetrative convection, and in the simulation of inflow into the Arctic Basin through the Fram Strait.


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 338-339
Author(s):  
W.D. Hibler ◽  
Peter Ranelli

The seasonal cycle of sea ice, especially the ice margin location in the East Greenland region, is significantly affected by ocean circulation. The ocean circulation in turn can be altered by ice dynamics which cause large amounts of ice to be transported to the ice margin to be melted, thus stratifying the ocean there. By responding to wind changes, the ice dynamics can also create rapid melting or freezing events which can destabilize the ocean.In an earlier study, Hibler and Bryan (1987) carried out a diagnostic simulation of the Arctic ice-ocean system in which a coupled ice-ocean circulation model was integrated for about five years beginning with mean annual estimates by Levitus (1982) of the observed temperature and salinity fields. As a consequence of this short integration, the mean baroclinic circulation of the ocean deviated little from the initial fields, although seasonal and local effects due to the interactive models were simulated. One particularly interesting result of this study was the presence of fluctuations of oceanic heat flux at the ice margin, which appeared to coincide with strong wind events occurring over a few days which induced periods of freezing.With this diagnostic model, good results for the location of the ice margin were obtained. However, a global budget analysis indicated that the net northward heat transport through the Faero–Shetland passage was not adequate to balance the heat loss to the atmosphere sustained by the ocean in the fifth year. Moreover, a 20-year simulation without diagnostic terms showed a degraduation of the baroclinic fields in the Arctic Basin possibly due to the very weak wind stress used for this particular years's wind forcing, or perhaps due to excessive damping in the ocean due to computational requirements imposed by the coarse grid.As a first step in the development of a higher-resolution fully interactive prognostic model, we have modified this model and carried out two prognostic simulations of the Arctic ice ocean system by employing 50-year integrations. The ocean model used for this study is essentially that of Hibler and Bryan (1987). However, the boundary conditions, atmospheric forcing, and ice model have been changed. In particular, a much more robust wind forcing was obtained by replacing the monthly mean wind fields with a 30-year means in order to obtain a seasonal forcing closer to climatology. With regard to the ice rheology, a cavitating fluid model in spherical coordinates which fully conserves ice mass and air sea heat exchanges was employed. The idea here is to attenuate less of the stress into the ocean so that even though the circulation is somewhat sluggish due to large viscous damping, a reasonable current field for the Arctic Basin might be obtained.Two types of prognostic circulation experiments were carried out with this model using different southern boundary conditions. In one case, a diagnostic relaxation near the boundary as used by Hibler and Bryan (1987) was employed. In this case, heat mass and salt transports through the southern boundary are essentially simulated. In the second case, the net burotropic flow through the Faero-Shetland passage and Denmark Strait were specified with the baroclinic transports partially specified by diagnostic relaxation terms. The results from both these models are analyzed with special attention to the ice edge location and the character of the baroclinic fields in the Arctic Basin.


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