scholarly journals Improvement in the Prediction of Summer Precipitation in the North China−Hetao Region Using the Tropospheric Temperature Over the Tibetan Plateau in Spring

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan Chen ◽  
Sulan Nan ◽  
Ge Liu ◽  
Changyan Zhou ◽  
Renrui Shi ◽  
...  

We investigated the relationship between the spring tropospheric temperature over the Tibetan Plateau (TPT) and summer precipitation in eastern China on an interannual timescale using the monthly mean ERA-Interim reanalysis dataset, the HadISST dataset and the daily mean precipitation dataset for China. We found that there is a significant positive correlation between the spring TPT and summer precipitation in the North China−Hetao region. The relationship is manifested in the context of the East Asia–Pacific pattern teleconnection. In the high spring TPT index years, the geopotential height anomalies over East Asia and the western North Pacific present a negative phase of the East Asia–Pacific pattern teleconnection in the subsequent summer. This circulation pattern is beneficial for the water vapor transport from the western Pacific to inland, which further transport to the North China−Hetao region from the Yangtze River–Yellow rivers region. Anomalous upward motion occurs in the North China–Hetao region, which increases precipitation. The East Asian subtropical westerly jet shifts further north and the South Asian high weakens and shrinks westward. These conditions all favor an increase in precipitation over the North China–Hetao region. The spring TPT plays an important part in the prediction of summer precipitation in the North China−Hetao region. The improvement in the use of the spring TPT to predict summer precipitation in the North China–Hetao region is examined by comparing the prediction equations with and without the prediction factor of the spring TPT on the basis of the sea surface temperatures in key regions. After considering the impact of the spring TPT, the explanatory variance of the prediction equation for precipitation in the North China–Hetao region increases by 17.3%.

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 770-789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoxiong Wu ◽  
Yimin Liu ◽  
Qiong Zhang ◽  
Anmin Duan ◽  
Tongmei Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract This paper attempts to provide some new understanding of the mechanical as well as thermal effects of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) on the circulation and climate in Asia through diagnosis and numerical experiments. The air column over the TP descends in winter and ascends in summer and regulates the surface Asian monsoon flow. Sensible heating on the sloping lateral surfaces appears from the authors’ experiments to be the major driving source. The retarding and deflecting effects of the TP in winter generate an asymmetric dipole zonal-deviation circulation, with a large anticyclone gyre to the north and a cyclonic gyre to the south. Such a dipole deviation circulation enhances the cold outbreaks from the north over East Asia, results in a dry climate in south Asia and a moist climate over the Indochina peninsula and south China, and forms the persistent rainfall in early spring (PRES) in south China. In summer the TP heating generates a cyclonic spiral zonal-deviation circulation in the lower troposphere, which converges toward and rises over the TP. It is shown that because the TP is located east of the Eurasian continent, in summertime the meridional winds and vertical motions forced by the Eurasian continental-scale heating and the TP local heating are in phase over the eastern and central parts of the continent. The monsoon in East Asia and the dry climate in middle Asia are therefore intensified.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 227-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangde Xu ◽  
Chungu Lu ◽  
Yihui Ding ◽  
Xiaohui Shi ◽  
Yudi Guo ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 3565-3583 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haijun Yang ◽  
Xingchen Shen ◽  
Jie Yao ◽  
Qin Wen

AbstractAs the most extensive highland in the world, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays an important role in shaping the global climate. Quantifying the effect of the TP on global climate is the first step for a full understanding of the TP’s standing on planet Earth. Through coupled model sensitivity experiments, we draw a panorama of the TP’s global impact in this paper. Our model results show that the absence of the TP would result in a 4°C colder and 10% drier climate in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). The TP has a striking remote effect on the North Atlantic. Removing the TP would enhance the westerlies in the mid- to high latitudes of the NH and weaken the easterlies over the tropical Pacific. More moisture would be relocated from the tropical Pacific to the North Atlantic, shutting down the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, which would eventually result in more than 15°C colder and 20% drier climate over the North Atlantic. Our model results suggest that the presence of the TP may have contributed greatly to the hospitable modern climate in the NH, by promoting the establishment of the thermohaline circulation in the Atlantic, and therefore enhancing the northward ocean heat transport and atmosphere moisture transport across the equator.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-40
Author(s):  
Qingzhe Zhu ◽  
Yuzhi Liu ◽  
Tianbin Shao ◽  
Run Luo ◽  
Ziyuan Tan

AbstractThe Tibetan Plateau (TP), the “Water Tower of Asia”, plays an important role in the water cycle. However, few studies have linked the TP’s water vapor supply with the climate over North China. In this study, we found that changes in the subtropical westerly jet (SWJ) dynamically induce drought in North China, and the TP plays an important role in this relationship. During July-August for the period of 1981-2019, the SWJ center between 75°E and 105°E obviously shifted northward at a rate of 0.04° per year. Correspondingly, the zonal winds in the southern subtropics were incredibly weakened, causing the outflow of water vapor from the TP to decrease dramatically. Combined with numerical simulations, we discovered that a reduction in water vapor transport from the TP can obviously decrease the precipitation over North China. Sensitivity experiments demonstrated that if the water vapor outflow from the eastern border of the TP decreases by 52.74%, the precipitation in North China will decrease by 12.69% due to a decrease in the local cloud fraction caused by a diminished water vapor content in the atmosphere. Therefore, although less water vapor transport occurs in the upper troposphere than in the lower troposphere, the impact of transport from the TP in the former on the downstream precipitation cannot be ignored.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuelong Chen ◽  
Yue Lai ◽  
Yaoming Ma

<p>The spatial-temporal structure of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) over mountainous areas can be strongly modified by topography. The PBL over the mountainous terrain of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is more complex than that observed over its flat areas. To date, there have been no detailed analyses which have taken into account the topography effects exerted on PBL growth over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). A clear understanding of the processes involved in the PBL growth and depth over the TP’s mountainous areas is therefore long overdue.<br>The PBL in the Himalayan region of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is important to the study of interaction between the area’s topography and synoptic circulation. This study used radiosonde, in-situ measurements and ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis dataset to investigate the vertical structure of the PBL and the land surface energy balance in the Rongbuk Valley on the north of the central Himalaya, and their association with the Westerlies, which control the climate of the Himalaya in winters. Measurements show that the altitude of the PBL’s top in November was the highest of three intensive observation periods (i.e., June, August and November). The PBLs in November appeared to have been influenced by the Westerlies which prevails in this region during the non-monsoon season. We discovered that the deep PBLs seen in November correlate with the downward transmission of the Westerlies to the valley floor (DTWTV). It was found that DTWTV happened in the direction of southwest when the synoptic wind above the valley ridges height blow from southwest, which is parallel to the valley axis. DTWTV happened in the direction of southwest promotes a stronger near-surface wind, smaller aerodynamic resistance, and larger sensible heat flux, which cause PBLs grow high.</p>


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (18) ◽  
pp. 7379-7398 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunlüe Zhou ◽  
Kaicun Wang ◽  
Qian Ma

Abstract Land surface temperature Ts provides essential supplementary information to surface air temperature, the most widely used metric in global warming studies. A lack of reliable observational Ts data makes assessing model simulations difficult. Here, the authors first examined the simulated Ts of eight current reanalyses based on homogenized Ts data collected at ~2200 weather stations from 1979 to 2003 in China. The results show that the reanalyses are skillful in simulating the interannual variance of Ts in China (r = 0.95) except over the Tibetan Plateau. ERA-Interim and MERRA land versions perform better in this respect than ERA-Interim and MERRA. Observations show that the interannual variance of Ts over the north China plain and south China is mostly influenced by surface incident solar radiation Rs, followed by precipitation frequency, whereas the opposite is true over the northwest China, northeast China, and the Tibetan Plateau. This variable relationship is well captured by ERA-Interim, ERA-Interim land, MERRA, and JRA-55. The homogenized Ts data show a warming of 0.34°C decade−1 from 1979 to 2003 in China, varying between 0.25° and 0.42°C decade−1 for the eight reanalyses. However, the reanalyses substantially underestimate the warming trend of Ts over northwest China, northeast China, and the Tibetan Plateau and significantly overestimate the warming trend of Ts over the north China plain and south China owing to their biases in simulating the Rs and precipitation frequency trends. This study provides a diagnostic method for examining the capability of current atmospheric/land reanalysis data in regional climate change studies.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 630
Author(s):  
Rongxiang Tian ◽  
Yaoming Ma ◽  
Weiqiang Ma ◽  
Xiuyi Zhao ◽  
Duo Zha

The vertical motion of air is closely related to the amount of precipitation that falls in a particular region. The Tibetan Plateau and the North Pacific are important determinants of the East Asian climate. We use climate diagnosis and statistical analysis to study the vertical motion of the air over the North Pacific and Tibetan Plateau and the relationship between the vertical motion of air over them and the climate in East Asia. Here we show that there is a downward movement of air over the Tibetan Plateau during the winter, with a maximum velocity of downward movement at 500 hPa, whereas there is an upward movement of air with a maximum velocity of upward movement at 600 hPa during the summer. Precipitation in East Asia has a significant negative correlation (The correlation coefficient exceeds −0.463 and confidence level is greater than 99%) with the vertical motion of air over the Tibetan Plateau and the North Pacific during both the winter and summer. There is also a negative correlation of precipitation in the region south of the Yangtze River with the vertical motion of air over the Tibetan Plateau in winter, whereas the area of negative correlation to the vertical motion of air over the North Pacific in winter is located to the east of the Tibetan Plateau and the Yangtze–Huaihe river basin. The research results provide a climatic framework for the vertical motion of air over both the Tibetan Plateau and the North Pacific.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anqi Lyu ◽  
Qiuzhen Yin ◽  
Michel Crucifix ◽  
Youbin Sun

<p>The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is an important component of the climate system and it influences about one-third of the world’s population. Numerous paleoclimate records and climate simulations have been used to study its long-term evolution and response to different forcings. The strong regional dependence of the EASM variation questions the relative role of ice sheets and insolation on the EASM precipitation in different sub-regions in East Asia. A Gaussian emulator, which was generated and calibrated by interpolating the outputs of 61 snapshot simulations performed with the model HadCM3, is used to quantitatively assess how astronomical forcing, CO<sub>2</sub> and northern hemisphere ice sheets affect the variation of the summer precipitation over the last 800 ky. Our results show that in the north of 25°N of the EASM domain, the variation of the summer precipitation is dominated by precession and insolation. This leads to strong 23-ky cycles in the summer precipitation. However, in the southern part (south of 25°N), the impact of ice volume becomes more important, leading to strong 100-ky cycles. Ice sheets influence the summer precipitation in the south mainly through its control on the location of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) which is very sensitive to ice volume. ITCZ is shifted significantly to the south under large ice sheets conditions. Therefore, the region under control of the ITCZ is more sensitive to the influence of ice volume than other regions. Our results also show that obliquity and CO<sub>2</sub> have relatively small effect on the summer precipitation as compared to precession and ice sheets.</p>


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