Numerical Study of the Interaction between Oasis and Urban Areas within an Arid Mountains-Desert System in Xinjiang, China

The rapid oasis expansion and urbanization that occurred in Xinjiang province (China) in the last decades have greatly modified the land surface energy balance and influenced the local circulation under the arid mountains-plain background system. In this study, we first evaluated the ALARO regional climate model coupled to the land surface scheme SURFEX at 4 km resolution using 53 national climatological stations and 5 automatic weather stations. We found that the model correctly simulates daily and hourly variation of 2 m temperature and relative humidity. A 4-day clear sky period has been chosen to study both local atmospheric circulations and their mutual interaction. Observations and simulations both show that a low-level divergence over oasis appears between 19:00 and 21:00 Beijing Time when the background mountain-plain wind system is weak. The model simulates a synergistic interaction between the oasis-desert breeze and urban-rural breeze from 16:00 until 22:00 with a maximum effect at 20:00 when the downdraft over oasis (updraft over urban) areas increases by 0.8 (0.4) Pa/s. The results show that the oasis expansion decreases the nocturnal urban heat island in the city of Urumqi by 0.8 °C, while the impact of urban expansion on the oasis cold island is negligible.

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Future humidity extremes in an urban-rural context - using regional climate model projections down to convection permitting scales for Berlin

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-12054 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Gaby S. Langendijk ◽

Diana Rechid ◽

Daniela Jacob

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Urban Areas ◽

Climate Models ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Regional Climate Models ◽

Climate Projections ◽

Climate Data ◽

Urban Rural

Urban areas are prone to climate change impacts. A transition towards sustainable and climate-resilient urban areas is relying heavily on useful, evidence-based climate information on urban scales. However, current climate data and information produced by urban or climate models are either not scale compliant for cities, or do not cover essential parameters and/or urban-rural interactions under climate change conditions. Furthermore, although e.g. the urban heat island may be better understood, other phenomena, such as moisture change, are little researched. Our research shows the potential of regional climate models, within the EURO-CORDEX framework, to provide climate projections and information on urban scales for 11km and 3km grid size. The city of Berlin is taken as a case-study. The results on the 11km spatial scale show that the regional climate models simulate a distinct difference between Berlin and its surroundings for temperature and humidity related variables. There is an increase in urban dry island conditions in Berlin towards the end of the 21st century. To gain a more detailed understanding of climate change impacts, extreme weather conditions were investigated under a 2&#176;C global warming and further downscaled to the 3km scale. This enables the exploration of differences of the meteorological processes between the 11km and 3km scales, and the implications for urban areas and its surroundings. The overall study shows the potential of regional climate models to provide climate change information on urban scales.

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Regional modeling of urban climate: the impact of physical process representation

10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-7001 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Peter Huszár ◽

Jan Karlický ◽

jana Ďoubalová ◽

Tereza Nováková ◽

Filip Švábik ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Boundary Layer ◽

Urban Areas ◽

Climate Model ◽

Numerical Models ◽

Absolute Humidity ◽

Average Wind Speed ◽

Substantial Impact ◽

Mitigation And Adaptation ◽

Urban Rural ◽

The Impact

The urban heat island (UHI) is a relaively old concept and has been widely studied using both observational and modeling approches. However, urban canopies impact the meteorological conditions in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) and above in many other ways, e.g. urban breeze circulation can form, enhanced drag causes intensification of the turbulent diffusion leading to elevated PBL height, reduced evaporation results in decreased absolute humidity, changes in cloudiness etc. A well established regional model representation of these phenomena is crucial for both mitigation and adaptation in areas affected by intense urbanization and climate change. There are however large uncertainities how the underlying physical processes are represented in numerical models, i.e. what models are used along with which parameterizations and parameters.Here we perform a regional multi-model analysis over central Europe using the Regional Climate Model (RegCM4) and Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) regional models with different configurations representing different PBL treatment, convection parameterization, surface layer physics, microphysics and urban canopy models. Model results are extensively compared to surface measurements as well as satellite observation of surface temperatures. We analyse the model results mainly in terms of the urban-rural contrast which is a measure of the difference between the urban core value and the vicitinity (with respect to the particular city) for selected meteorological parameters. Our results show substantial impact of the choice of the model as well as the choice of parameterization on the intensity of UHI and other meteorological effects. The urban-rural difference of PBL height and average wind speed between urban areas and their vicinity is affected the most, controlled by the boundary layer physics parameterization. Our simulations confirm the large uncertainity in how models resolve the meteorological features specific to urbanized areas and this has to be taken into account when designing different strategies for urban planning and multimodel approaches should be preferred.

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An observation-constrained multi-physics WRF ensemble for simulating European mega heat waves

Geoscientific Model Development ◽

10.5194/gmd-8-2285-2015 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 8 (7) ◽

pp. 2285-2298 ◽

Cited By ~ 17

Author(s):

A. I. Stegehuis ◽

R. Vautard ◽

P. Ciais ◽

A. J. Teuling ◽

D. G. Miralles ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heat Wave ◽

Land Surface ◽

Western Europe ◽

Climate Models ◽

Climate Model ◽

Heat Waves ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Shortwave Radiation ◽

Cold Bias ◽

The Impact

Abstract. Many climate models have difficulties in properly reproducing climate extremes, such as heat wave conditions. Here we use the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate model with a large combination of different atmospheric physics schemes, in combination with the NOAH land-surface scheme, with the goal of detecting the most sensitive physics and identifying those that appear most suitable for simulating the heat wave events of 2003 in western Europe and 2010 in Russia. In total, 55 out of 216 simulations combining different atmospheric physical schemes have a temperature bias smaller than 1 °C during the heat wave episodes, the majority of simulations showing a cold bias of on average 2–3 °C. Conversely, precipitation is mostly overestimated prior to heat waves, and shortwave radiation is slightly overestimated. Convection is found to be the most sensitive atmospheric physical process impacting simulated heat wave temperature across four different convection schemes in the simulation ensemble. Based on these comparisons, we design a reduced ensemble of five well performing and diverse scheme configurations, which may be used in the future to perform heat wave analysis and to investigate the impact of climate change during summer in Europe.

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Modeling the effects and feedbacks of irrigation on the regional climate in Northern Italy

10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8913 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Christina Asmus ◽

Peter Hoffmann ◽

Diana Rechid ◽

Jürgen Böhner

Keyword(s):

Land Cover ◽

Land Surface ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Sensitivity Study ◽

Moist Convection ◽

Moisture Fluxes ◽

Spatiotemporal Behavior ◽

Italian Model ◽

The Impact

Large parts of the earth&#8217;s land surface are modified by humans. Since the land surface and the atmosphere are constantly in energy exchange and in interactions with each other, anthropogenic modifications of the land&#8217;s surface can lead to effects on the climate. The objective of this study is to quantify and investigate the effects and feedbacks of irrigation on the local to regional climate. Irrigation is a land use practice, which does not change the land cover type but changes the biophysical properties of the land&#8217;s surface and the soil and thus alters energy and moisture fluxes. These local to regional process responses, detectable in different meteorological variables, are investigated using the regional climate model REMO. High resolution simulations at convection permitting scales will be performed in order to particularly investigate irrigation effects on the spatiotemporal behavior of moist convection. Newly developed parameterizations of different types of irrigation are tested on the example of a northern Italian model domain, where cropland and rice paddies are the dominating land cover. The focus of the sensitivity study is on the impact of the parameterizations on the surface moisture and energy balance as well as on heavy rainfall events.

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Assessment of the Urban Impact on Surface and Screen-Level Temperature in the ALADIN-Climate Driven SURFEX Land Surface Model for Budapest

Atmosphere ◽

10.3390/atmos12060709 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 (6) ◽

pp. 709

Author(s):

Gabriella Zsebeházi ◽

Sándor István Mahó

Keyword(s):

Surface Temperature ◽

Regional Climate Model ◽

Land Surface ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Urban Impact ◽

Model Driven ◽

The Impact

Land surface models with detailed urban parameterization schemes provide adequate tools to estimate the impact of climate change in cities, because they rely on the results of the regional climate model, while operating on km scale at low cost. In this paper, the SURFEX land surface model driven by the evaluation and control runs of ALADIN-Climate regional climate model is validated over Budapest from the aspect of urban impact on temperature. First, surface temperature of SURFEX with forcings from ERA-Interim driven ALADIN-Climate was compared against the MODIS land surface temperature for a 3-year period. Second, the impact of the ARPEGE global climate model driven ALADIN-Climate was assessed on the 2 m temperature of SURFEX and was validated against measurements of a suburban station for 30 years. The spatial extent of surface urban heat island (SUHI) is exaggerated in SURFEX from spring to autumn, because the urbanized gridcells are generally warmer than their rural vicinity, while the observed SUHI extent is more variable. The model reasonably simulates the seasonal means and diurnal cycle of the 2 m temperature in the suburban gridpoint, except summer when strong positive bias occurs. However, comparing the two experiments from the aspect of nocturnal UHI, only minor differences arose. The thorough validation underpins the applicability of SURFEX driven by ALADIN-Climate for future urban climate projections.

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The regional impact of urban emissions on air quality in Europe: the role of the urban canopy effects

10.5194/acp-2021-355 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Peter Huszar ◽

Jan Karlický ◽

Jana Marková ◽

Tereza Nováková ◽

Marina Liaskoni ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Air Quality ◽

Rural Areas ◽

Land Surface ◽

Urban Areas ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Regional Scale ◽

Urban Canopy ◽

Near Surface ◽

Urban Emissions ◽

The Impact

Abstract. Urban areas are hot-spots of intense emissions and they influence air-quality not only locally but on regional or even global scales. The impact of urban emissions over different scales depends on the dilution and chemical transformation of the urban plumes which are governed by the local and regional scale meteorological conditions. These are influenced by the presence of urbanized land-surface via the so called urban canopy meteorological forcing (UCMF). In this study, we investigate for selected central European cities (Berlin, Budapest, Munich, Prague, Vienna and Warsaw), how the urban emission impact (UEI) is modulated by the UCMF for present day climate conditions (2015–2016) using three regional climate-chemistry models: the regional climate models RegCM and WRF-Chem (its meteorological part), the chemistry transport model CAMx coupled to either RegCM and WRF and the “chemical” component of WRF-Chem. The UCMF was calculated by replacing the urbanized surface by rural one while the UEI was estimated by removing all anthropogenic emissions from the selected cities. We analyzed the urban emissions induced changes of near surface concentrations of NO2, O3 and PM2.5. We found increases of NO2 and PM2.5 concentrations over cities by 4–6 ppbv, and 4–6 μgm−3, respectively meaning that about 40–60 % and 20–40 % of urban concentrations of NO2 and PM2.5 are caused by local emissions and the rest is the result of emissions from surrounding rural areas. We showed that if UCMF is included, the UEI of these pollutants is about 40–60 % smaller, or in other words, the urban emission impact is overestimated if urban canopy effects are not taken into account. In case of ozone, models due to UEI usually predict decreases around −2 to −4 ppbv (about 10–20 %), which is again smaller if UCMF is considered (by about 60 %). We further showed that the impact on extreme (95th percentile) air-pollution is much stronger, as well as the modulation of UEI is larger for such situations. Finally, we evaluated the contribution of the urbanization induced modifications of vertical eddy-diffusion to the modulation of UEI, and found that it alone is able to explain the modelled decrease of the urban emission impact if the effects of UCMF are considered. In summary, our results showed that the meteorological changes resulting from urbanization have to be included in regional model studies if they intend to quantify the regional fingerprint of urban emissions. Ignoring these meteorological changes can lead to strong overestimation of UEI.

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Land Surface Feedbacks on Spring Precipitation in the Netherlands

Journal of Hydrometeorology ◽

10.1175/jhm-d-14-0072.1 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 16 (1) ◽

pp. 232-243 ◽

Cited By ~ 10

Author(s):

Emma E. Daniels ◽

Ronald W. A. Hutjes ◽

Geert Lenderink ◽

Reinder J. Ronda ◽

Albert A. M. Holtslag

Keyword(s):

Soil Moisture ◽

The Netherlands ◽

Land Surface ◽

Urban Areas ◽

Urban Expansion ◽

Sensible Heat Flux ◽

Maximum Temperature ◽

Spring Precipitation ◽

Average Output ◽

The Impact

Abstract In this paper, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is used to investigate the sensitivity of precipitation to soil moisture and urban areas in the Netherlands. The average output of a 4-day event during 10–13 May 1999 for which the individual days had similar synoptical forcing is analyzed. Four simulations are conducted to test the impact of soil moisture changes on precipitation. A positive soil moisture–precipitation feedback is found, that is, wet (dry) soils increase (decrease) the amount of precipitation. Three additional experiments are executed, two in which urban areas in the Netherlands are expanded and one where urban areas are completely removed. Expansion of urban areas results in an increase of the sensible heat flux and a deeper planetary boundary layer, similar to reducing soil moisture. Expanding urban areas reduces precipitation over the Netherlands as a whole, but the local response is not clear. Within existing urban areas, mean and maximum temperature increases of 0.4 and 2 K, respectively, are found under an urban coverage scenario for 2040. The ratio of evapotranspiration to precipitation (a measure of the soil moisture–precipitation feedback) in the urbanization experiments is only about one-third (23%) of that in the soil moisture experiments (67%). Triggering of precipitation, on the other hand, is relatively high in the urban expansion experiments. The effects of reduced moisture availability and enhanced triggering in the urban expansion experiments compensate each other, leading to the moderate reduction in precipitation.

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New lessons on the Sudd hydrology learned from remote sensing and climate modeling

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions ◽

10.5194/hessd-2-1503-2005 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 2 (4) ◽

pp. 1503-1535 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Y. A. Mohamed ◽

H. H. G. Savenije ◽

W. G. M. Bastiaanssen ◽

B. J. J. M. van den Hurk

Keyword(s):

Remote Sensing ◽

Land Surface ◽

Climate Model ◽

Meteorological Data ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Remote Sensing Data ◽

Open Water ◽

Water Evaporation ◽

Thermal Infrared Remote Sensing ◽

The Impact

Abstract. Despite its local and regional importance, hydro-meteorological data on the Sudd (one of Africa's largest wetlands) is very scanty. This is due to the physical and political situation of this area of Sudan. The areal size of the wetland, the evaporation rate, and the influence on the micro and meso climate are still unresolved questions of the Sudd hydrology. The evaporation flux from the Sudd wetland has been estimated using thermal infrared remote sensing data and a parameterization of the surface energy balance (SEBAL model). It is concluded that the actual spatially averaged evaporation from the Sudd wetland over 3 years of different hydrometeorological characteristics varies between 1460 and 1935 mm/yr. This is substantially less than open water evaporation. The wetland area appears to be 70% larger than previously assumed when the Sudd was considered as an open water body. The groundwater table characterizes a distinct seasonality, confirming that substantial parts of the Sudd are seasonal swamps. The new set of spatially distributed evaporation parameters from remote sensing form an important dataset for calibrating a regional climate model enclosing the Nile Basin. The Regional Atmospheric Climate Model (RACMO) provides an insight not only into the temporal evolution of the hydro-climatological parameters, but also into the land surface climate interactions and embedded feedbacks. The impact of the flooding of the Sudd on the Nile hydroclimatology has been analysed by simulating two land surface scenarios (with and without the Sudd wetland). The paper presents some of the model results addressing the Sudd's influence on rainfall, evaporation and runoff of the river Nile, as well as the influence on the microclimate.

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Afforestation impact on soil temperature in regional climate model simulations over Europe

10.5194/gmd-2021-69 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Giannis Sofiadis ◽

Eleni Katragkou ◽

Edouard L. Davin ◽

Diana Rechid ◽

Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudre ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Soil Temperature ◽

Land Surface ◽

Seasonal Cycle ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Surface Model ◽

European Continent ◽

Societal Relevance ◽

Ground Heat Flux ◽

The Impact

Abstract. In the context of the first phase of the Euro-CORDEX Flagship Plot Study (FPS) Land Use and Climate Across Scales (LUCAS), we investigate the afforestation impact on the seasonal cycle of soil temperature over the European continent with an ensemble of ten regional climate models (RCMs). For this purpose, each ensemble member performed two idealized land cover experiments in which Europe is covered either by forests or grasslands. The multi-model mean exhibits a reduction of the annual amplitude of soil temperature (AAST) over all European regions, although this not a robust feature among the models. In Mediterranean, the simulated AAST response to afforestation is between −4 K and +2 K while in Scandinavia the inter-model spread ranges from −7 K to +1 K. We then examine the role of changes in the annual amplitude of ground heat flux (AAGHF) and summer soil moisture content (SMC) in determining the effect of afforestation on AAST response. In contrast with the diverging results in AAST, all the models consistently indicate a widespread AAGHF decrease and summer SMC decline due to afforestation. The AAGHF changes effectively explain the largest part of the inter-model variance in AAST response in most regions, while the changes in summer SMC determine the sign of AAST response within a group of three simulations sharing the same land surface model. Finally, we pair FLUXNET sites to compare the simulated results with observation-based evidence of the impact of forest on soil temperature. In line with models, observations indicate a summer ground cooling in forested areas compared to open lands. The vast majority of models agree with the sign of the observed reduction in AAST, although with a large variation in the magnitude of changes. Overall, we aspire to emphasize the effects of afforestation on soil temperature profile with this study, given that changes in the seasonal cycle of soil temperature potentially perturb crucial biochemical processes. Such perturbations can be of societal relevance as afforestation is proposed as a climate change mitigation strategy.

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The Continental-Scale Soil-Moisture Precipitation Feedback in Europe with Parameterized and Explicit Convection

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli-d-20-0415.1 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-56

Author(s):

David Leutwyler ◽

Adel Imamovic ◽

Christoph Schär

Keyword(s):

Soil Moisture ◽

Land Surface ◽

Climate Model ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Summer Precipitation ◽

Positive Sign ◽

Precipitation Frequency ◽

Continental Scale ◽

The Impact ◽

Precipitation Events

AbstractSoil moisture atmosphere interactions are key elements of the regional climate system. There is a well-founded hope that a more accurate representation of the soil moisture-precipitation feedback would improve the simulation of summer precipitation on daily to seasonal, to climate time scales. However, uncertainties have persistently remained as the simulated feedback is strongly sensitive to the model representation of deep convection. Here we assess the feedback representation using a GPU-accelerated version of the regional climate model COSMO. We simulate and compare the impact of continental-scale springtime soil-moisture anomalies on summer precipitation at convection-resolving (2.2 km) and convection-parameterizing resolution (12 km). We conduct re-analysis-driven simulations of 10 summer seasons (1999-2008) in continental Europe. While both simulations qualitatively agree on a positive sign of soil moisture-induced precipitation, they strongly differ in precipitation frequency: When convection is parameterized, wetter soil predominantly leads to more frequent precipitation events, and when convection is treated explicitly, they primarily become more intense. The results indicate that the sensitivity to soil moisture is stronger with parameterized convection, suggesting that the land surface-atmosphere coupling may be overestimated. In addition, the feedback’s sensitivity in complex terrain is assessed for soil perturbations of different horizontal scales. The convection-resolving simulations confirm a negative feedback for sub-continental soil moisture anomalies, which manifests itself in a local decrease of wet-hour frequency. However, the intensity feedback reinforces precipitation events at the same time (positive feedback). The two processes are represented differently in simulations with explicit and parameterized convection, explaining much of the difference between the two simulations.

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