scholarly journals Determinants of Urban Expansion and Spatial Heterogeneity in China

Author(s):  
Ming Li ◽  
Guojun Zhang ◽  
Ying Liu ◽  
Yongwang Cao ◽  
Chunshan Zhou

China is the world’s largest developing country and its regions vary considerably. However, spatial heterogeneity in determinants of urban expansion in prefecture-level cities have not been identified. The present study explored the spatiotemporal characteristics of Chinese urban expansion and adopted a geographically weighted regression (GWR) method to determine this spatial heterogeneity. The results indicated that China experienced massive urban expansion during 1990–2015, with urban areas growing from 4.88 × 104 km2 to 1.06 × 105 km2, 46.42% of which was distributed in the eastern region. The results of the GWR model revealed the spatial heterogeneity in the determinants of urban expansion. Marketization was vital for urban expansion and had a stronger impact in the developed eastern and southern regions than in the less-developed northern and western regions. Globalization and decentralization bi-directionally affected urban expansion. The constraining effects of physical factors were limited and stronger in the developing northern region than in the developed southern region. Identifying the varying determinants of urban expansion is essential for policy-making in various regions.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue-Yuan Lu ◽  
Xu Chen ◽  
Xue-Li Zhao ◽  
Dan-Jv Lv ◽  
Yan Zhang

AbstractUrbanization had a huge impact on the regional ecosystem net primary productivity (NPP). Although the urban heat island (UHI) caused by urbanization has been found to have a certain promoting effect on urban vegetation NPP, the factors on the impact still are not identified. In this study, the impact of urbanization on NPP was divided into direct impact (NPPdir) and indirect impact (NPPind), taking Kunming city as a case study area. Then, the spatial heterogeneity impact of land surface temperature (LST) on NPPind was analyzed based on the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model. The results indicated that NPP, LST, NPPdir and NPPind in 2001, 2009 and 2018 had significant spatial autocorrelation in Kunming based on spatial analytical model. LST had a positive impact on NPPind in the central area of Kunming. The positively correlation areas of LST on NPPind increased by 4.56%, and the NPPind caused by the UHI effect increased by an average of 4.423 gC m−2 from 2009 to 2018. GWR model can reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in the impacts of LST on NPPind. Overall, our findings indicated that LST has a certain role in promoting urban NPP.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 150-158
Author(s):  
Imanudin Nurhuda ◽  
I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya

Criminality constitutes all kinds of actions that are economically and psychologically harmful in violation of the law applicable in the state of Indonesia as well as social and religious norms, while the criminal data is the number of cases reported to the police institution. The higher the number of complainants the higher the number of criminals in the region. The greater the risk the community represents the more insecure a region is. This study aims to obtain the best model affecting crime or crime in East Java. The number of crimes in this study is limited to the number of theft cases (whether ordinary theft, theft by force, theft with theft, and the theft of motor vehicles). In this study, we use the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model because this method is quite effective in estimating data that has spatial heterogeneity (uniformity in location / spatial). In essence, the model parameters in GWR can be calculated at the observation location with the dependent variable and one or more independent variables that have been measured at the sites where the location is known, where criminal acts in the research conducted in East Java involves the effects of spatial heterogeneity, with fixed kernel weighting function. The results showed that the variables affecting criminality in East Java Province are population density, economic growth, Gini Ratio, and poverty.


Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 4
Author(s):  
Hang Shen ◽  
Lin Li ◽  
Haihong Zhu ◽  
Yu Liu ◽  
Zhenwei Luo

Models for estimating urban rental house prices in the real estate market continue to pose a challenging problem due to the insufficiency of algorithms and comprehensive perspectives. Existing rental house price models based on either the geographically weighted regression (GWR) or deep-learning methods can hardly predict very satisfactory prices, since the rental house prices involve both complicated nonlinear characteristics and spatial heterogeneity. The linear-based GWR model cannot characterize the nonlinear complexity of rental house prices, while existing deep-learning methods cannot explicitly model the spatial heterogeneity. This paper proposes a fully connected neural network–geographically weighted regression (FCNN–GWR) model that combines deep learning with GWR and can handle both of the problems above. In addition, when calculating the geographical location of a house, we propose a set of locational and neighborhood variables based on the quantities of nearby points of interests (POIs). Compared with traditional locational and neighborhood variables, the proposed “quantity-based” locational and neighborhood variables can cover more geographic objects and reflect the locational characteristics of a house from a comprehensive geographical perspective. Taking four major Chinese cities (Wuhan, Nanjing, Beijing, and Xi’an) as study areas, we compare the proposed method with other commonly used methods, and this paper presents a more precise estimation model for rental house prices. The method proposed in this paper may serve as a useful reference for individuals and enterprises in their transactions relevant to rental houses, and for the government in terms of the policies and positions of public rental housing.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Yin Zhi ◽  
Liang Shan ◽  
Lina Ke ◽  
Ruxin Yang

Acceleration of urbanization has brought about a series of problems, which include irreversible changes to urban surfaces and continuous increases in land surface temperatures (LSTs). In this context, analysis of the driving factors and spatial heterogeneity of urban LST is of considerable importance for mitigating urban heat island effects and promoting healthy and comfortable urban living environments. This study explored the relationship between the spatial characteristics and driving factors of the LST by using a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model to analyze multisource data from the Xigang District of Dalian City. The results showed that the urban heat island effect in Xigang District is significant, with LSTs generally above 28°C at the end of August, mostly concentrated in the range of 38–40°C. The highest LST values were detected in northern port and harbor areas; the lowest LST values occurred in mountainous forest areas. The global Moran’s I value was 0.994, which was indicative of a very high positive correlation, and local Moran’s I values formed H-H and L-L type clusters concentrated in the northern harbor area and southern mountainous area, respectively. Finally, the GWR model could reflect the spatial heterogeneity of the relationships between LST and its driving factors well. Among these, in terms of natural physical factors, digital elevation model, normalized difference vegetation index, and modified normalized difference water index data were found to be negatively correlated with LSTs in most cases; in the social dimension, the point-of-interest number and building-coverage ratio were generally positively correlated with LSTs.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ribut Nurul Tri Wahyuni ◽  
Arie Damayanti

AbstractPro-poor growth program has not been effective reducing poverty in Papua because the government does not have complete information about the spatial variation of poverty-causing factors (spatial heterogeneity). Therefore, this study will analyze poverty-causing factors using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model. This study finds that the influence of the cultivated land area, use of technical irrigation, source of drinking water, and the electrical infrastructure vary spatially. In additions, multivariate K-means clusteringshows that subdistricts are spatially clustered by geographical conditions. These results imply that poverty alleviation interventions should be dierent for different areas.Keywords: Geographically Weighted Regression, Poverty, Multivariate K-means Clustering, Spatial Heterogeneity AbstrakProgram pro-poor growth (program pembangunan ekonomi yang berpihak kepada penduduk miskin) belum efektif mengurangi kemiskinan di Papua karena pemerintah tidak memiliki informasi lengkap mengenai faktor-faktor yang menyebabkan kemiskinan menurut variasi wilayah (spatial heterogeneity). Oleh karena itu, studi ini akan menganalisis faktor-faktor tersebut dengan menggunakan model Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). Studi ini menemukan pengaruh luas lahan yang diusahakan, penggunaan irigasi teknis, sumber air minum, dan listrik terhadap kemiskinan bervariasi secara spasial. Sementara itu, multivariate K-means clustering menunjukkan kecamatan mengelompok menurut kondisi geografis. Ini menyiratkan bahwa intervensi pengentasan kemiskinan seharusnya berbeda untuk wilayah berbeda.Kata kunci: Geographically Weighted Regression, Kemiskinan, Multivariate K-means Clustering, Variasi Wilayah Spatial Heterogeneity


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2962
Author(s):  
Jingyi Wang ◽  
Huaqiang Du ◽  
Xuejian Li ◽  
Fangjie Mao ◽  
Meng Zhang ◽  
...  

Bamboo forests are widespread in subtropical areas and are well known for their rapid growth and great carbon sequestration ability. To recognize the potential roles and functions of bamboo forests in regional ecosystems, forest aboveground biomass (AGB)—which is closely related to forest productivity, the forest carbon cycle, and, in particular, carbon sinks in forest ecosystems—is calculated and applied as an indicator. Among the existing studies considering AGB estimation, linear or nonlinear regression models are the most frequently used; however, these methods do not take the influence of spatial heterogeneity into consideration. A geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, as a spatial local model, can solve this problem to a certain extent. Based on Landsat 8 OLI images, we use the Random Forest (RF) method to screen six variables, including TM457, TM543, B7, NDWI, NDVI, and W7B6VAR. Then, we build the GWR model to estimate the bamboo forest AGB, and the results are compared with those of the cokriging (COK) and orthogonal least squares (OLS) models. The results show the following: (1) The GWR model had high precision and strong prediction ability. The prediction accuracy (R2) of the GWR model was 0.74, 9%, and 16% higher than the COK and OLS models, respectively, while the error (RMSE) was 7% and 12% lower than the errors of the COK and OLS models, respectively. (2) The bamboo forest AGB estimated by the GWR model in Zhejiang Province had a relatively dense spatial distribution in the northwestern, southwestern, and northeastern areas. This is in line with the actual bamboo forest AGB distribution in Zhejiang Province, indicating the potential practical value of our study. (3) The optimal bandwidth of the GWR model was 156 m. By calculating the variable parameters at different positions in the bandwidth, close attention is given to the local variation law in the estimation of the results in order to reduce the model error.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3232
Author(s):  
Feili Wei ◽  
Shuang Li ◽  
Ze Liang ◽  
Aiqiong Huang ◽  
Zheng Wang ◽  
...  

Deteriorating air quality is one of the most important environmental factors posing significant health risks to urban dwellers. Therefore, an exploration of the factors influencing air pollution and the formulation of targeted policies to address this issue are critically needed. Although many studies have used semi-parametric geographically weighted regression and geographically weighted regression to study the spatial heterogeneity characteristics of influencing factors of PM2.5 concentration change, due to the fixed bandwidth of these methods and other reasons, those studies still lack the ability to describe and explain cross-scale dynamics. The multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) method allows different variables to have different bandwidths, which can produce more realistic and useful spatial process models. By applying the MGWR method, this study investigated the spatial heterogeneity and spatial scales of impact of factors influencing PM2.5 concentrations in major Chinese cities during the period 2005–2015. This study showed the following: (1) Factors influencing changes in PM2.5 concentrations, such as technology, foreign investment levels, wind speed, precipitation, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), evidenced significant spatial heterogeneity. Of these factors, precipitation, NDVI, and wind speed had small-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth ratios are all less than 20%, while foreign investment levels and technologies had medium-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth levels are 23% and 32%, respectively. Population, urbanization rates, and industrial structure demonstrated weak spatial heterogeneity, and the scale of their influence was predominantly global. (2) Overall, the change of NDVI was the most influential factor, which can explain 15.3% of the PM2.5 concentration change. Therefore, an enhanced protection of urban surface vegetation would be of universal significance. In some typical areas, dominant factors influencing pollution were evidently heterogeneous. Change in wind speed is a major factor that can explain 51.6% of the change in PM2.5 concentration in cities in the Central Plains, and change in foreign investment levels is the dominant influencing factor in cities in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the Sichuan Basin, explaining 30.6% and 44.2% of the PM2.5 concentration change, respectively. In cities located within the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, NDVI is a key factor, reducing PM2.5 concentrations by 9.7%. Those results can facilitate the development of region-specific measures and tailored urban policies to reduce PM2.5 pollution levels in different regions such as Northeast China and the Sichuan Basin.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1025-1051 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Yang ◽  
J. Tan ◽  
Q. Zhao ◽  
Z. Du ◽  
K. He ◽  
...  

Abstract. Based on PM2.5 chemical database from literature and our observations, chemical species and reconstructed speciation of PM2.5 in several representative Chinese megacities and across China were compared to draw insights into the characteristics of PM2.5 speciation. PM2.5 mass and speciation varied substantially over geographical regions in China. Near six-fold variations in average PM2.5 concentrations (34.0–193.4 μg m−3) across China were found with high PM2.5 levels (>100 μg m−3) appearing along northern region and in western urban areas. At both urban and rural sites in eastern region, sum of sulfate, nitrate, and ammonia (SNA) typically constituted 40–57% of PM2.5 mass, indicative of the regional characteristics of fine particulate pollution and more intensive "complex atmospheric pollution" compared to western region. Particulate organic matter (POM) had constant and significant contribution to PM2.5 mass. POM plus SNA accounted for 62–90% of PM2.5 mass at most of the sites. PM2.5 speciation in China was also characterized by high content of mineral dust. In four representative megacities (i.e. Beijing, Chongqing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou) with substantially higher levels of all the species except that NO3−, NH4+, and EC in PM2.5 than those in Los Angeles, distinct differences in nitrate and sulfate levels and their mass ratio [NO3−]/[SO42−] imply that mobile source is likely more important than stationary (coal combustion) source in Guangzhou whereas in Chongqing the situation is contrary. The observed intra-city variations in PM2.5 mass and speciation indicate that local emissions and regional transportation both contributed significantly to high fine particles levels in Beijing, while local contribution likely played a predominant role in Chongqing. During the ten-year period from 1999 through 2008 in urban Beijing, both SNA and [NO3−]/[SO42−] exhibited steadily increasing trends, implying that the characteristic of "complex atmospheric pollution" and the contribution from mobile sources were both being enhanced.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marlvin Anemey Tewara ◽  
Liu Yunxia ◽  
Weiqiang Ling ◽  
Binang Helen Barong ◽  
Prisca Ngetemalah Mbah-Fongkimeh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Studies have illustrated the association of malaria cases with environmental factors in Cameroon but limited in addressing how these factors vary in space for timely public health interventions. Thus, we want to find the spatial variability between malaria hotspot cases and environmental predictors using Geographically weighted regression (GWR) spatial modelling technique.Methods: The global Ordinary least squares (OLS) in the modelling spatial relationships tool in ArcGIS 10.3. was used to select candidate explanatory environmental variables for a properly specified GWR model. The local GWR model used the global OLS candidate variables to examine, predict and explore the spatial variability between environmental factors and malaria hotspot cases generated from Getis-Ord Gi* statistical analysis. Results: The OLS candidate environmental variable coefficients were statistically significant (adjusted R2 = 22.3% and p < 0.01) for a properly specified GWR model. The GWR model identified a strong spatial association between malaria cases and rainfall, vegetation index, population density, and drought episodes in most hotspot areas and a weak correlation with aridity and proximity to water with an overall model performance of 0.243 (adjusted R2= 24.3%).Conclusion: The generated GWR maps suggest that for policymakers to eliminate malaria in Cameroon, there should be the creation of malaria outreach programs and further investigations in areas where the environmental variables showed strong spatial associations with malaria hotspot cases.


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