Pre-Existing Disability and Its Risk of Fragility Hip Fracture in Older Adults

Background: Hip fracture is one of the significant public concerns in terms of long-term care in aging society. We aimed to investigate the risk for the incidence of hip fracture focusing on disability among older adults. Methods: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study, focusing on adults aged 65 years or over who were included in the Korean National Health Insurance Service–National Sample from 2004 to 2013 (N = 90,802). Hazard ratios with 95% confidence interval (CIs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model according to disability adjusted for age, household income, underlying chronic diseases, and comorbidity index. Results: The incidence of hip fracture was higher among older adults with brain disability (6.3%) and mental disability (7.5%) than among those with other types of disability, as observed during the follow-up period. Risk of hip fracture was higher among those who were mildly to severely disabled (hazard ratio for severe disability = 1.59; 95% CI, 1.33–1.89; mild = 1.68; 95% CI, 1.49–1.88) compared to those who were not disabled. Older men with mental disabilities experienced an incidence of hip fracture that was almost five times higher (hazard ratio, 4.98; 95% CI, 1.86–13.31) versus those that were not disabled. Conclusions: Older adults with mental disabilities and brain disability should be closely monitored and assessed for risk of hip fracture.

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The effect of the 2018 Japan Floods on cognitive decline among long-term care insurance users in Japan: a retrospective cohort study

Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine ◽

10.1186/s12199-021-01038-9 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 26 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Shuhei Yoshida ◽

Saori Kashima ◽

Masatoshi Matsumoto

Keyword(s):

Cognitive Decline ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

The Elderly ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Residential Environment ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Term Care ◽

Hazards Model

Abstract Background The July 2018 Japan Floods caused enormous damage to western Japan. Such disasters can especially impact elderly persons. Research has shown that natural disasters exacerbated a decline in cognitive function, but to date, there have been no studies examining the effects of this disaster on the elderly. The object of this study was to reveal the effect of this disaster in terms of cognitive decline among the elderly. Methods Study participants were certified users of the long-term care insurance (LTCI) system in Hiroshima, Okayama, and Ehime prefectures from May 2018 to June 2018. The observation period was from July 2018 to December 2018. Our primary outcome was cognitive decline after the disaster using a dementia symptomatology assessment. In addition to a crude model, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the cognitive decline of victims, adjusting for age classification, gender, the level of dementia scale before the disaster occurred, residential environment, whether a participant used facilities shut down after the disaster, and population density. After we confirmed that the interaction term between victims and residential environment was statistically significant, we stratified them for the analysis. Results The total number of participants was 264,614. Victims accounted for 1.10% of the total participants (n = 2,908). For the Cox proportional hazards model, the hazard ratio of the victims was 1.18 (95% confidential interval (CI): 1.05–1.32) in the crude model and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.00–1.26) in the adjusted model. After being stratified by residential environment, the hazard ratio of home victims was 1.20 (95% CI: 1.06–1.36) and the hazard ratio of facility victims was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.67–1.17). Conclusions This study showed that elderly living at home during the 2018 Japan Floods were at risk for cognitive decline. Medical providers, care providers, and local governments should establish a system to check on the cognitive function of elderly victims and provide necessary care support.

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Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glaa324 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Yuko Yamaguchi ◽

Marta Zampino ◽

Toshiko Tanaka ◽

Stefania Bandinelli ◽

Yusuke Osawa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Differentiation Factor ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P<.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

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Prognostic indicators of secondary progression in a paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cohort in Kuwait

Multiple Sclerosis Journal ◽

10.1177/1352458515608960 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 22 (8) ◽

pp. 1086-1093 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Saeed Akhtar ◽

Raed Alroughani ◽

Samar F Ahmed ◽

Jasem Y Al-Hashel

Keyword(s):

Multiple Sclerosis ◽

Confidence Interval ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Adjusted Hazard Ratio ◽

Secondary Progressive ◽

Hazards Model

Background: The frequency of paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) and the precise risk of secondary progression of disease are largely unknown in the Middle East. This cross-sectional cohort study assessed the risk and examined prognostic factors for time to onset of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) in a cohort of POMS patients. Methods: The Kuwait National MS Registry database was used to identify a cohort of POMS cases (diagnosed at age <18 years) from 1994 to 2013. Data were abstracted from patients’ records. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the prognostic significance of the variables considered. Results: Of 808 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients, 127 (15.7%) were POMS cases. The median age (years) at disease onset was 16.0 (range 6.5–17.9). Of 127 POMS cases, 20 (15.8%) developed SPMS. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model showed that at MS onset, brainstem involvement (adjusted hazard ratio 5.71; 95% confidence interval 1.53–21.30; P=0.010), and POMS patient age at MS onset (adjusted hazard ratio 1.38; 95% confidence interval 1.01–1.88; P=0.042) were significantly associated with the increased risk of a secondary progressive disease course. Conclusions: This study showed that POMS patients with brainstem/cerebellar presentation and a relatively higher age at MS onset had disposition for SPMS and warrant an aggressive therapeutic approach.

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ColotypeR gene signature predicts response to cetuximab in colorectal cancer metastases.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2019.37.4_suppl.599 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 599-599

Author(s):

Steven Allen Buechler ◽

Yesim Gokmen-Polar ◽

Sunil S. Badve

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Response To Treatment ◽

Molecular Characteristics ◽

Wild Type

599 Background: The consensus molecular subtypes (CMS1-4) partition primary colorectal cancer (CRC) into subgroups with distinct molecular characteristics. We previously reported a 20-genes ColotypeR-CMS signature that accurately defines CMS subtypes for primary CRC tumor samples. The utility of CMS subtyping in defining response to treatment of CRC metastases remains to be established. Here, we report the ability of ColotypeR scores to predict differential response to cetuximab among CMS subtypes in CRC metastases. Methods: The role of ColotypeR-CMS signature scores was assessed in CRC metastasis samples (GSE5851, N = 68, Affymetrix microarray) in predicting response to cetuximab. Progression-free survival (PFS) was the primary endpoint. The predictive significance of ColotypeR-CMS scores relative to KRAS mutation status was also studied using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Results: ColotypeR-CMS scores were computed in GSE5851 using the algorithm developed in primary tumor samples. Higher values of ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score were significantly predictive of longer PFS (p = 5 x 10-5for the score test in Cox proportional hazards model; hazard ratio 0.20 (95%CI 0.09-0.44) in CRC metastases samples (GSE5851, N = 68) treated with cetuximab. PFS was independent of CMS1,3, 4 scores. KRAS wild type tumors had significantly longer PFS (p = 0.01; hazard ratio 0.49 (95%CI 0.28-0.86). In multivariate survival analysis, ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score added to the significance of KRAS status (p = 0.012) and ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score was predictive of longer PFS in KRAS wild type tumors (p = 0.009; hazard ratio 0.20 (95%CI 0.06-0.69)). Conclusions: We showed that in CRC metastasis samples, the ColotypeR CMS2 score was highly predictive of sensitivity to cetuximab treatment, while no increase in PFS was observed for higher values of CMS1, 3, 4 scores.

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Arthritis Increases the Risk for Fractures — Results from the Women’s Health Initiative

The Journal of Rheumatology ◽

10.3899/jrheum.101196 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 38 (8) ◽

pp. 1680-1688 ◽

Cited By ~ 58

Author(s):

NICOLE C. WRIGHT ◽

BRIAN T. WALITT ◽

CHARLES B. EATON ◽

ZHAO CHEN ◽

Keyword(s):

Hip Fracture ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Spinal Fractures ◽

Fracture Prevention ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Clinical Fractures

Objective.To examine the relationship between arthritis and fracture.Methods.Women were classified into 3 self-reported groups at baseline: no arthritis (n = 83,295), osteoarthritis (OA; n = 63,402), and rheumatoid arthritis (RA; n = 960). Incident fractures were self-reported throughout followup. Age-adjusted fracture rates by arthritis category were generated, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the association between arthritis and fracture.Results.After an average of 7.80 years, 24,137 total fractures were reported including 2559 self-reported clinical spinal fractures and 1698 adjudicated hip fractures. For each fracture type, age-adjusted fracture rates were highest in the RA group and lowest in the nonarthritic group. After adjustment for several covariates, report of arthritis was associated with increased risk for spine, hip, and any clinical fractures. Compared to the nonarthritis group, the risk of sustaining any clinical fracture in the OA group was HR 1.09 (95% CI 1.05, 1.13; p < 0.001) and HR 1.49 (95% CI 1.26, 1.75; p < 0.001) in the RA group. The risk of sustaining a hip fracture was not statistically increased in the OA group (HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.98, 1.25; p = 0.122) compared to the nonarthritis group; however, the risk of hip fracture increased significantly (HR 3.03; 95% CI 2.03, 4.51; p < 0.001) in the RA group compared to the nonarthritis group.Conclusion.The increase in fracture risk confirms the importance of fracture prevention in patients with RA and OA.

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Impact of the Changes in the Frequency of Social Participation on All-Cause Mortality in Japanese Older Adults: A Nationwide Longitudinal Study

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ◽

10.3390/ijerph19010270 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 19 (1) ◽

pp. 270

Author(s):

Keiichi Shimatani ◽

Mayuko T. Komada ◽

Jun Sato

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Social Participation ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Japanese Older Adults ◽

The Impact

Previous studies have shown that more frequent social participation was associated with a reduced risk of mortality. However, limited studies have explored the changes in the frequency of social participation in older adults. We investigated the impact of the changes in the frequency of social participation on all-cause mortality in Japanese older adults aged 60 years and older. The current study, conducted as a secondary analysis, was a retrospective cohort study using open available data. The participants were 2240 older adults (45.4% male and 54.6% female) sampled nationwide from Japan who responded to the interview survey. Changes in the frequency of social participation were categorized into four groups (none, initiated, decreased, and continued pattern) based on the responses in the baseline and last surveys. The Cox proportional-hazards model showed a decreased risk of all-cause mortality in decreased and continued patterns of social participation. Stratified analysis by sex showed a decreased risk of mortality in the continued pattern only among males. The results of the current study suggest that the initiation of social participation at an earlier phase of life transition, such as retirement, may be beneficial for individuals.

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Alcohol Use Disorders and Increased Risk of Adverse Birth Complications and Outcomes: An 11-Year Nationwide Cohort Study

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ◽

10.3390/ijerph17228515 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 17 (22) ◽

pp. 8515

Author(s):

Sarah Soyeon Oh ◽

Yongho Jee ◽

Eun-Cheol Park ◽

Young Ju Kim

Keyword(s):

Alcohol Use ◽

Alcohol Dependence ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Alcohol Use Disorders ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Birth Complications ◽

Increased Risk

For women who suffer from Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs), the use of alcohol before and/or during pregnancy may result in various birth complications, including miscarriage, stillbirth, or preterm delivery. Thus, this study aimed to explore whether Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs) are associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications and outcomes. A total of 76,799 deliveries between 2003 and 2013 in the Korean National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) were analyzed. Women with an AUD diagnosis preceding delivery were identified as individuals with alcohol dependence. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio of adverse birth complications and outcomes associated with alcohol dependence. Diagnosis of an AUD was associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01–1.31, p = 0.0302). This was especially the case for women whose AUD diagnosis was in the same year as their delivery (HR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.24–1.88, p < 0.0001). AUDs were associated with increased risk of adverse birth outcomes, especially when prevalent in the same year as a woman’s delivery. Our study confirms that the monitoring of expecting women with a diagnosis of alcohol-related problems may be useful in preventing adverse birth complications.

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Hemorrhage From Arteriovenous Malformations During Pregnancy

Neurosurgery ◽

10.1227/neu.0b013e318256c34b ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 71 (2) ◽

pp. 349-356 ◽

Cited By ~ 59

Author(s):

Bradley A. Gross ◽

Rose Du

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Venous Drainage ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Relative Paucity ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Risk Of Hemorrhage

Abstract BACKGROUND: Previous hemorrhage, deep venous drainage, and deep location are established risk factors for arteriovenous malformation (AVM) hemorrhage. Although pregnancy is an assumed risk factor, there is a relative paucity of data to support this neurosurgical tenet. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the hemorrhage rate of AVMs during pregnancy. METHODS: We reviewed the records of 54 women with an angiographic diagnosis of an AVM at our institution. Annual hemorrhage rates were calculated as the ratio of the number of bleeds to total number of patient-years of follow-up. Patient-years of follow-up were tallied assuming lesion presence from birth until AVM obliteration. The Cox proportional hazards model for hemorrhage with pregnancy as the time-dependent variable was used to calculate the hazard ratio. RESULTS: Five hemorrhages in 4 patients occurred over 62 pregnancies, yielding a hemorrhage rate of 8.1% per pregnancy or 10.8% per year. Over the remaining 2461.3 patient-years of follow-up, only 28 hemorrhages occurred, yielding an annual hemorrhage rate of 1.1%. The hazard ratio for hemorrhage during pregnancy was 7.91 (P = 2.23 × 10−4), increasing to 18.12 (P = 7.31 × 10−5) when limiting the analysis to patient follow-up up to age 40. CONCLUSION: Because of the increased risk of hemorrhage from AVMs during pregnancy, we recommend intervention in women who desire to bear children, particularly if the AVM has bled. If the AVM is discovered during pregnancy, we recommend early intervention if it has ruptured; if it is unruptured, we recommend comprehensive counseling, weighing risks of intervention against continuation of pregnancy without intervention.

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The Influence of Athletic Trainers on the Incidence and Management of Concussions in High School Athletes

Journal of Athletic Training ◽

10.4085/1062-6050-209-18 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 53 (11) ◽

pp. 1017-1024 ◽

Cited By ~ 12

Author(s):

Timothy A. McGuine ◽

Adam Y. Pfaller ◽

Eric G. Post ◽

Scott J. Hetzel ◽

Alison Brooks ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Schools ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Athletic Trainers ◽

Return To Sport ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Return To Play ◽

Post Hoc

Context In many US high schools, the athletic trainer (AT) has the responsibility to identify and manage athletes with concussions. Although the availability of ATs varies a great deal among schools, how the level of AT availability in high schools affects the reported incidence and management of sport-related concussions (SRCs) is unknown. Objective To determine how the presence of an AT affects the reporting and management of SRCs. Design Prospective cohort study. Patients or Other Participants A total of 2459 (female = 37.5%, age = 16.1 ± 1.2 years) athletes from 31 Wisconsin high schools were categorized as having low availability (LoAT), mid availability (MidAT), or high availability (HiAT) of ATs. Athletic trainers recorded the incidence, days lost from sport, and postconcussion management through return to sport. The incidence of SRC reporting among categories was examined using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Fisher exact tests were used to determine if postconcussion management differed based on AT availability. Results The incidence of reported SRCs was lower for the LoAT schools (2.4%) compared with the MidAT (5.6%, hazard ratio = 2.59, P = .043) and HiAT (7.0%, hazard ratio = 3.33, P = .002) schools. The median time before the first AT interaction was longer for LoAT schools (24.0 hours) than for MidAT (0.5 hours, post hoc P = .012) and HiAT (0.2 hours, post hoc P = .023) schools. The number of post-SRC interactions was different in all groups (LoAT = 2 interactions, MidAT = 3, and HiAT = 4; all post hoc P values < .05). Days lost were greater for MidAT and HiAT (both 14 days lost) schools compared with LoAT schools (11.5 days lost, post hoc P = .231 and P = .029, respectively). Athletes at LoAT schools were less likely to undergo a return-to-play protocol (9/18 SRCs, 50.0%) than athletes at MidAT (44/47 SRCs, 93.6%; post hoc P = .001) or HiAT (64/64 SRCs, 100%; post hoc P < .001) schools. Conclusions The level of AT availability positively influenced the reported incidence of SRCs as well as postconcussion management activities in this sample of high schools.

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Socioeconomic Status, Frailty, and All-Cause Mortality in Korean Older Adults: A 3-Year Population-Based Prospective Study

BioMed Research International ◽

10.1155/2017/1903589 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 2017 ◽

pp. 1-9 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Jinkyung Cho ◽

Inhwan Lee ◽

Soo Hyun Park ◽

Youngyun Jin ◽

Donghyun Kim ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Socioeconomic Status ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Community Dwelling ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Low Ses ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality

Background. Little is known regarding the effects of socioeconomic status (SES) and frailty on mortality in Korea. Objective. This study investigated the combined impact of low SES and frailty on all-cause mortality in Korean older adults. Methods. Study sample at baseline comprised 7,960 community-dwelling adults (56.8% women) aged 65 years and older. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of low SES and frailty for all-cause mortality. Results. Overall, low SES plus frailty resulted in an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.09–2.23, P=0.015) even after adjustments for all the measured covariates, as compared with high SES plus nonfrailty (HR = 1). Among older adults aged 65–75 years, the increased mortality risk of either low SES plus nonfrailty (HR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.02–1.84, P=0.038) or high SES plus frailty (HR = 2.09, 95% CI = 1.12–3.91, P=0.021) remained significant even after adjustments for all the covariates, as compared with high SES plus nonfrailty (HR = 1). Conclusion. The current findings suggest that either low SES or frailty is significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality in Korean older adults.

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