A Comparative Study of Interannual Oscillation Models for Determining Geophysical Polar Motion Excitations

Similar to seasonal and intraseasonal variations in polar motion (PM), interannual variations are also largely caused by changes in the angular momentum of the Earth’s geophysical fluid layers composed of the atmosphere, the oceans, and in-land hydrologic flows (AOH). Not only are inland freshwater systems crucial for interannual PM fluctuations, but so are atmospheric surface pressures and winds, oceanic currents, and ocean bottom pressures. However, the relationship between observed geodetic PM excitations and hydro-atmospheric models has not yet been determined. This is due to defects in geophysical models and the partial knowledge of atmosphere–ocean coupling and hydrological processes. Therefore, this study provides an analysis of the fluctuations of PM excitations for equatorial geophysical components χ1 and χ2 at interannual time scales. The geophysical excitations were determined from different sources, including atmospheric, ocean models, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On data, as well as from the Land Surface Discharge Model. The Multi Singular Spectrum Analysis method was applied to retain interannual variations in χ1 and χ2 components. None of the considered mass and motion terms studied for the different atmospheric and ocean models were found to have a negligible effect on interannual PM. These variables, derived from different Atmospheric Angular Momentum (AAM) and Oceanic Angular Momentum (OAM) models, differ from each other. Adding hydrologic considerations to the coupling of AAM and OAM excitations was found to provide benefits for achieving more consistent interannual geodetic budgets, but none of the AOH combinations fully explained the total observed PM excitations.

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Validation of GRACE and GRACE-FO Mascon Data for the Study of Polar Motion Excitation

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13061152 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (6) ◽

pp. 1152

Author(s):

Justyna Śliwińska ◽

Małgorzata Wińska ◽

Jolanta Nastula

Keyword(s):

Land Surface ◽

Polar Motion ◽

Surface Discharge ◽

Goddard Space Flight Center ◽

Discharge Model ◽

Motion Studies ◽

Gravity Recovery ◽

Polar Motion Excitation

In this study, we calculate the hydrological plus cryospheric excitation of polar motion (hydrological plus cryospheric angular momentum, HAM/CAM) using mascon solutions based on observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions. We compare and evaluate HAM/CAM computed from GRACE and GRACE-FO mascon data provided by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), the Center for Space Research (CSR), and the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). A comparison with HAM obtained from the Land Surface Discharge Model is also provided. An analysis of HAM/CAM and HAM is performed for overall variability, trends, and seasonal and non-seasonal variations. The HAM/CAM and HAM estimates are validated using the geodetic residual time series (GAO), which is an estimation of the hydrological plus cryospheric signal in geodetically observed polar motion excitation. In general, all mascon datasets are found to be equally suitable for the determination of overall, seasonal, and non-seasonal HAM/CAM oscillations, but some differences in trends remain. The use of an ellipsoidal correction, implemented in the newest solution from CSR, does not noticeably affect the consistency between HAM/CAM and GAO. Analysis of the data from the first two years of the GRACE-FO mission indicates that the current accuracy of HAM/CAM from GRACE-FO mascon data meets expectations, and the root mean square deviation of HAM/CAM components are between 5 and 6 milliarcseconds. The findings from this study can be helpful in assessing the role of satellite gravimetry in polar motion studies and may contribute towards future improvements to GRACE-FO data processing.

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Interannual variations in the Earth's polar motion for 1963-1991: Comparison with atmospheric angular momentum over 1980-1991

Geophysical Research Letters ◽

10.1029/94gl02285 ◽

1994 ◽

Vol 21 (22) ◽

pp. 2361-2364 ◽

Cited By ~ 13

Author(s):

R. Abarca del Rio ◽

A. Cazenave

Keyword(s):

Angular Momentum ◽

Polar Motion ◽

Atmospheric Angular Momentum ◽

Interannual Variations

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Validation of Earth rotation time series by comparison of their sub-daily to sub-monthly excitation signal with simulated geophysical fluid model excitations

10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-4530 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Robert Dill ◽

Henryk Dobslaw ◽

Maik Thomas ◽

Hellmers Hendrik ◽

Thaller Daniela ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Angular Momentum ◽

Land Surface ◽

Earth Rotation ◽

Fluid Model ◽

Ocean Bottom ◽

Terrestrial Water ◽

Band Pass ◽

International Services ◽

Geophysical Fluids

<p>Time-variations in the orientation of the solid Earth are largely governed by the exchange of angular momentum with the surface geophysical fluids of atmosphere, oceans, and the land surface. Modelled fields of atmospheric winds, atmospheric surface pressure, ocean currents, ocean bottom pressure, and terrestrial water storage allow calculating effective angular momentum (EAM) functions that can be compared to geodetic angular momentum functions (GAM) derived from observed Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) via the Liouville equation. Especially in the high-frequency range, currently available global geophysical fluid models provide highly reliable information about angular momentum transfers that determine the orientation changes of the Earth.</p><p>In this contribution, we investigate the extent to which the modelled Earth rotation angular momentum functions processed at GFZ can be used to evaluate time series of EOP processed from different geodetic space techniques at periods between 2 and 60 days. We therefore compare the time series from various sources that are based on individual techniques (e.g., VLBI[TD1], GNSS, SLR, and DORIS) only, and also combined solutions that are processed at different institutions (e.g., JPL, GFZ, BKG[TD2], DGFI-TUM) or published by international services (e.g., IERS, IGS, IVS[TD3] ). By calculating differences from all possible pairs of EAM and GAM and by utilizing both band-pass filtering and spectral analysis techniques, we will elaborate the systematic differences between excitation functions from different sources that are expected to help identifying deficits in geodetic data processing and/or numerical modelling.</p>

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Analysis of Ocean Bottom Pressure Anomalies and Seismic Activities in the MedRidge Zone

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13071242 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (7) ◽

pp. 1242

Author(s):

Hakan S. Kutoglu ◽

Kazimierz Becek

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Mass Change ◽

Ocean Bottom ◽

Bottom Pressure ◽

Vertical Movements ◽

Ocean Bottom Pressure ◽

Continuous Mass ◽

Mediterranean Ridge Accretionary Complex ◽

Gravity Recovery ◽

Periodic Components

The Mediterranean Ridge accretionary complex (MAC) is a product of the convergence of Africa–Europe–Aegean plates. As a result, the region exhibits a continuous mass change (horizontal/vertical movements) that generates earthquakes. Over the last 50 years, approximately 430 earthquakes with M ≥ 5, including 36 M ≥ 6 earthquakes, have been recorded in the region. This study aims to link the ocean bottom deformations manifested through ocean bottom pressure variations with the earthquakes’ time series. To this end, we investigated the time series of the ocean bottom pressure (OBP) anomalies derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellite missions. The OBP time series comprises a decreasing trend in addition to 1.02, 1.52, 4.27, and 10.66-year periodic components, which can be explained by atmosphere, oceans, and hydrosphere (AOH) processes, the Earth’s pole movement, solar activity, and core–mantle coupling. It can be inferred from the results that the OBP anomalies time series/mass change is linked to a rising trend and periods in the earthquakes’ energy time series. Based on this preliminary work, ocean-bottom pressure variation appears to be a promising lead for further research.

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Analysis and prediction of polar motion using MSSA method

Earth Planets and Space ◽

10.1186/s40623-021-01477-2 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 73 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Xin Jin ◽

Xin Liu ◽

Jinyun Guo ◽

Yi Shen

Keyword(s):

Polar Motion ◽

Rotation Axis ◽

Moving Average ◽

Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽

Autoregressive Moving Average ◽

Rotational Axis ◽

Autoregressive Moving Average Model ◽

System Service ◽

Moving Average Model ◽

Polar Motion Prediction

AbstractPolar motion is the movement of the Earth's rotational axis relative to its crust, reflecting the influence of the material exchange and mass redistribution of each layer of the Earth on the Earth's rotation axis. To better analyze the temporally varying characteristics of polar motion, multi-channel singular spectrum analysis (MSSA) was used to analyze the EOP 14 C04 series released by the International Earth Rotation and Reference System Service (IERS) from 1962 to 2020, and the amplitude of the Chandler wobbles were found to fluctuate between 20 and 200 mas and decrease significantly over the last 20 years. The amplitude of annual oscillation fluctuated between 60 and 120 mas, and the long-term trend was 3.72 mas/year, moving towards N56.79 °W. To improve prediction of polar motion, the MSSA method combining linear model and autoregressive moving average model was used to predict polar motion with ahead 1 year, repeatedly. Comparing to predictions of IERS Bulletin A, the results show that the proposed method can effectively predict polar motion, and the improvement rates of polar motion prediction for 365 days into the future were approximately 50% on average.

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Evaluation of hydrological and cryospheric angular momentum estimates based on GRACE, GRACE-FO and SLR data for their contributions to polar motion excitation

Earth Planets and Space ◽

10.1186/s40623-021-01393-5 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 73 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Justyna Śliwińska ◽

Jolanta Nastula ◽

Małgorzata Wińska

Keyword(s):

Angular Momentum ◽

Spherical Harmonic ◽

Polar Motion ◽

Spectral Band ◽

Water Storage ◽

Terrestrial Water Storage ◽

Terrestrial Water ◽

High Consistency ◽

Polar Motion Excitation

AbstractIn geodesy, a key application of data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO), and Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) is an interpretation of changes in polar motion excitation due to variations in the Earth’s surficial fluids, especially in the continental water, snow, and ice. Such impacts are usually examined by computing hydrological and cryospheric polar motion excitation (hydrological and cryospheric angular momentum, HAM/CAM). Three types of GRACE and GRACE-FO data can be used to determine HAM/CAM, namely degree-2 order-1 spherical harmonic coefficients of geopotential, gridded terrestrial water storage anomalies computed from spherical harmonic coefficients, and terrestrial water storage anomalies obtained from mascon solutions. This study compares HAM/CAM computed from these three kinds of gravimetric data. A comparison of GRACE-based excitation series with HAM/CAM obtained from SLR is also provided. A validation of different HAM/CAM estimates is conducted here using the so-called geodetic residual time series (GAO), which describes the hydrological and cryospheric signal in the observed polar motion excitation. Our analysis of GRACE mission data indicates that the use of mascon solutions provides higher consistency between HAM/CAM and GAO than the use of other datasets, especially in the seasonal spectral band. These conclusions are confirmed by the results obtained for data from first 2 years of GRACE-FO. Overall, after 2 years from the start of GRACE-FO, the high consistency between HAM/CAM and GAO that was achieved during the best GRACE period has not yet been repeated. However, it should be remembered that with the systematic appearance of subsequent GRACE-FO observations, this quality can be expected to increase. SLR data can be used for determination of HAM/CAM to fill the one-year-long data gap between the end of GRACE and the start of the GRACE-FO mission. In addition, SLR series could be particularly useful in determination of HAM/CAM in the non-seasonal spectral band. Despite its low seasonal amplitudes, SLR-based HAM/CAM provides high phase consistency with GAO for annual and semiannual oscillation.

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Estimating long-term groundwater storage and its controlling factors in Alberta, Canada

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ◽

10.5194/hess-22-6241-2018 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 22 (12) ◽

pp. 6241-6255 ◽

Cited By ~ 10

Author(s):

Soumendra N. Bhanja ◽

Xiaokun Zhang ◽

Junye Wang

Keyword(s):

Groundwater Recharge ◽

Environmental Sustainability ◽

Land Surface ◽

Water Withdrawal ◽

Groundwater Storage ◽

Budget Analysis ◽

Terrestrial Water ◽

The Individual ◽

Gravity Recovery

Abstract. Groundwater is one of the most important natural resources for economic development and environmental sustainability. In this study, we estimated groundwater storage in 11 major river basins across Alberta, Canada, using a combination of remote sensing (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, GRACE), in situ surface water data, and land surface modeling estimates (GWSAsat). We applied separate calculations for unconfined and confined aquifers, for the first time, to represent their hydrogeological differences. Storage coefficients for the individual wells were incorporated to compute the monthly in situ groundwater storage (GWSAobs). The GWSAsat values from the two satellite-based products were compared with GWSAobs estimates. The estimates of GWSAsat were in good agreement with the GWSAobs in terms of pattern and magnitude (e.g., RMSE ranged from 2 to 14 cm). While comparing GWSAsat with GWSAobs, most of the statistical analyses provide mixed responses; however the Hodrick–Prescott trend analysis clearly showed a better performance of the GRACE-mascon estimate. The results showed trends of GWSAobs depletion in 5 of the 11 basins. Our results indicate that precipitation played an important role in influencing the GWSAobs variation in 4 of the 11 basins studied. A combination of rainfall and snowmelt positively influences the GWSAobs in six basins. Water budget analysis showed an availability of comparatively lower terrestrial water in 9 of the 11 basins in the study period. Historical groundwater recharge estimates indicate a reduction of groundwater recharge in eight basins during 1960–2009. The output of this study could be used to develop sustainable water withdrawal strategies in Alberta, Canada.

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