scholarly journals Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Meteorological Factors on Reference Evapotranspiration Changes in Beijing, 1958–2017

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenhui Liu ◽  
Baozhong Zhang ◽  
Songjun Han

The effects of meteorological factors on reference evapotranspiration (ET0) are variable on different time scales, although research tends to focus only on certain time scales. Therefore, using the meteorological data from 1958 to 2017 of Beijing, China, ET0 values over the last 60 years were calculated using Penman–Monteith method. The variation in ET0 values was thus analyzed against four meteorological factors over different time scales. The sensitivity of ET0 to these factors was assessed using a sensitivity coefficient, while the contribution of each factor to ET0 change was quantified by combining this sensitivity coefficient with the factor’s relative change rate over multiple time scales. The results showed that the sensitivity coefficient of relative humidity over different time scales were all negative, while the sensitivity coefficients of net radiation, temperature and wind speed were mostly positive. The main sensitivity factors of ET0 on different time scales varied. On annual time scales, the main factors were relative humidity and temperature. Over annual time scales, relative humidity and net radiation alternated as the main sensitivity factor; while over interannual time scales, the most sensitive factor was relative humidity during 1958–1979 and net radiation thereafter. The contribution of these four meteorological factors to ET0 also fluctuated greatly on intra-annual time scales. On daily time scales, the contributions of temperature and wind speed at the start and end of the year were large, while net radiation and relative humidity were dominant mid-year. On monthly to seasonal time scales, the contributions of these four meteorological factors to ET0 were notable. The contribution of relative humidity was largest in spring and autumn; net radiation was dominant in summer, while temperature and wind speed were dominant in winter. This research on the temporal variability of ET0 response factors is of great significance for understanding regional climate change.

Author(s):  
Qiyun Ma ◽  
Jiquan Zhang ◽  
Caiyun Sun ◽  
Enliang Guo ◽  
Feng Zhang ◽  
...  

Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) plays an irreplaceable role in regional dry/wet conditions under the background of climate change. Based on the FAO Penman-Monteith method and daily climate variables, ET0 was calculated for 22 stations in and around Songnen Grassland, northeast China, during 1960-2014. The temporal and spatial variations of ET0 and precipitation (P) were comprehensively analyzed at different time scales by using the Mann-Kendall test, Sen’s slope estimator, and linear regression coupling with break trend analysis. Sensitivity analysis was used to detect the key climate parameter attributed to ET0 change. Then, the role of ET0 in regional dry/wet conditions was discussed by analyzing the relationship between ET0, P and aridity index (AI). Results shown a higher ET0 in the southwest and a lower in the northeast, but P was opposite to that of ET0. Evidently decreasing trend of ET0 at different time scales was detected in almost the entire region, and the significant trend mainly distributed in the eastern, northeastern and central. For the whole region, sensitivity analysis indicated decreasing trend of ET0 was primarily attributed to relative humidity and maximum air temperature. The positive contribution of increasing temperature rising to ET0 was offset by the effect of significantly decreasing relative humidity, wind speed and sunshine duration. In addition, the value of ET0 shown higher in drought years and lower in wet years.


Author(s):  
yu luo ◽  
Peng Gao ◽  
Xingmin Mu ◽  
dexun Qiu

Potential evapotranspiration (ET) is an important expenditure item in the hydrological cycle. Quantitative estimation of the influence of meteorological factors on ET can provide a scientific basis for the study of the impact mechanism of climate change on the hydrological cycle. In this paper, the Penman-Monteith method was used to calculate ET. The Mann-Kendall statistical test and the Inverse Distance Weighting method were used to analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of the sensitivity coefficient of ET to meteorological factors and contribution rate of meteorological factors to ET. And the reasons for the change of ET were quantitatively explored in combination with the change trend of meteorological factors. The results showed that the average ET in the Yanhe River Basin from 1978 to 2017 was 935.92mm. Except for Ganquan Station, ET showed an upward trend. Generally, the sensitivity coefficient of air temperature (0.08), wind speed (0.19) and solar radiation (0.42) was positive and the sensitivity coefficient of relative humidity (-0.41) was negative. But there were significant temporal and spatial differences. The upward trend of air temperature and solar radiation contributed 1.09% and 0.55% to ET. Respectively, the downward trend of wind speed contributed -0.63% And the downward trend of relative humidity contributed to -0.85% of ET. Therefore, the decrease of relative humidity did not cause the increase of ET in Yanhe River basin. The dominant factor of the upward trend of ET was air temperature. But the dominant factors of ET had significant temporal and spatial differences. The downward trend of wind speed at Ganquan Station contributed -9.16% to ET, which indicated the dominant factor of “evaporation paradox” in Ganquan area was wind speed. Generally, the increase of ET was related to air temperature, wind speed and solar radiation. And the decrease of ET was related to relative humidity.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 335-343 ◽  

The estimation of evapotranspiration is essential in water resources management. Among a group of methods, the Penman–Monteith has been commonly applied to calculate reference evapotranspiration as this method has been also recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the U.N. (FAO). Other methods widely used are: the FAO 24 Penman, the modified Blaney and Criddle, the FAO 24 Makkink, and the Hargreaves. Sensitivity analysis is required to gain a better understanding of the meteorological systems; particularly to indicate the physical meaning of each meteorological parameter used in the estimation of the reference evapotranspiration. Several dimensionless sensitivity coefficients have been proposed, based on the partial derivative of the dependent variable (reference evapotranspiration) to the independent variables (meteorological variables). In this paper, a new sensitivity coefficient is proposed to drive sensitivity analysis of the evapotranspiration methods. The new sensitivity coefficient uses the partial derivative and the standard deviation of each independent variable. The meteorological variables, whose influence has been examined, are all the necessary meteorological parameters for the calculation of reference evapotranspiration, such as temperature, solar radiation, wind speed and relative humidity for each method. Data from the automatic meteorological station of Aminteo in the Prefecture of Florina, Western Macedonia, were used. The sensitivity coefficients were calculated for each month, year and irrigation period. The comparison of the sensitivity coefficients is performed for the month of water peak demand (July), the irrigation period and the year for each evapotranspiration method. Results show that the influence of the variables to evapotranspiration is not the same for each period, and also the order that the variables influence evapotranspiration is changing. A comparison between the five evapotranspiration methods shows that solar radiation and temperature are the main parameters that affect evapotranspiration, while relative humidity and wind speed are not so important for the calculation of evapotranspiration.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 98-102
Author(s):  
Haqqi Yasin ◽  
Luma Abdullah

Average daily data of solar radiation, relative humidity, wind speed and air temperature from 1980 to 2008 are used to estimate the daily reference evapotranspiration in the Mosul City, North of Iraq. ETo calculator software with the Penman Monteith method standardized by the Food and Agriculture Organization is used for calculations. Further, a nonlinear regression approach using SPSS Statistics is utilized to drive the daily reference evapotranspiration relationships in which ETo is function to one or more of the average daily air temperature, actual daily sunshine duration, measured wind speed at 2m height and relative humidity


2010 ◽  
Vol 113-116 ◽  
pp. 1661-1664
Author(s):  
Li Kun Huang ◽  
Chung Shin Yuan ◽  
Guang Zhi Wang ◽  
Kun Wang

The correlation between PM10 and meteorological factors were investigated, such as wind speed, atmospheric visibility, dew point, relative humidity, and ambient temperature during the brown haze episode. In order to identify the elemental characteristics and concentration features of PM10 during brown haze episode, respirable particulate matter (PM10) was collected during non-haze days and haze days and further analyzed for 20 elements. Among the metallic elements, S, K, Si, and Ca contributed major composition of PM10. S came mainly from coal burning and K was mainly attributed from incinerators and abandoned biomass burning. Furthermore, As was not detectable in non-haze days, while its concentration was 0.15~0.17 μg/m3 in haze days, which would be very much harmful to human health. However, the variation of Sr, Ti, Cr, and Cd was insignificantly, mainly due to low relevance with human activities and/or cross-boundary transportation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Congying Han

<p><strong>Spatiotemporal Variability of Potential Evaporation in Heihe River Basin Influenced by Irrigation </strong></p><p>Congying Han<sup>1,2</sup>, Baozhong Zhang<sup>1,2</sup>, Songjun Han<sup>1,2</sup></p><p><sup>1</sup> State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China.</p><p><sup>2</sup> National Center of Efficient Irrigation Engineering and Technology Research-Beijing, Beijing 100048, China.</p><p>Corresponding author: Baozhong Zhang ([email protected])</p><p><strong>Abstract: </strong>Potential evaporation is a key factor in crop water requirement estimation and agricultural water resource planning. The spatial pattern and temporal changes of potential evaporation calculated by Penman equation (E<sub>Pen</sub>) (1970-2017) in Heihe River Basin (HRB), Northwest China were evaluated by using data from 10 meteorological stations, with a serious consideration of the influences of irrigation development. Results indicated that the spatial pattern of annual E<sub>Pen</sub> in HRB was significantly different, among which the E<sub>Pen</sub> of agricultural sites (average between 1154 mm and 1333 mm) was significantly higher than that of natural sites (average between 794 mm and 899 mm). Besides, the coefficient of spatial variation of the aerodynamic term (E<sub>aero</sub>) was 0.4, while that of the radiation term (E<sub>rad</sub>) was 0.09. The agricultural irrigation water withdrawal increased annually before 2000, but decreased significantly after 2000 which was influenced by the agricultural development and the water policy. Coincidentally, the annual variation of E<sub>pen</sub> in agricultural sites decreased at -40 mm/decade in 1970-2000 but increased at 60 mm/decade in 2001-2017, while that in natural sites with little influence of irrigation, only decreased at -0.5mm/decade in 1970-2000 but increased at 11 mm/decade in 2001-2017. So it was obvious that irrigation influenced E<sub>pen </sub>significantly and the change of E<sub>pen</sub> was mainly caused by the aerodynamic term. The analysis of the main meteorological factors that affect E<sub>pen</sub> showed that wind speed had the greatest impact on E<sub>pen</sub> of agricultural sites, followed by relative humidity and average temperature, while the meteorological factors that had the greatest impact on E<sub>pen</sub> of natural sites were maximum temperature, followed by wind speed and relative humidity.</p>


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. e0246023
Author(s):  
Li Qi ◽  
Tian Liu ◽  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Dechao Tian ◽  
Wenge Tang ◽  
...  

Background The effects of multiple meteorological factors on influenza activity remain unclear in Chongqing, the largest municipality in China. We aimed to fix this gap in this study. Methods Weekly meteorological data and influenza surveillance data in Chongqing were collected from 2012 to 2019. Distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs) were conducted to estimate the effects of multiple meteorological factors on influenza activity. Results Inverted J-shaped nonlinear associations between mean temperature, absolute humidity, wind speed, sunshine and influenza activity were found. The relative risks (RRs) of influenza activity increased as weekly average mean temperature fell below 18.18°C, average absolute humidity fell below 12.66 g/m3, average wind speed fell below 1.55 m/s and average sunshine fell below 2.36 hours. Taking the median values as the references, lower temperature, lower absolute humidity and windless could significantly increase the risks of influenza activity and last for 4 weeks. A J-shaped nonlinear association was observed between relative humidity and influenza activity; the risk of influenza activity increased with rising relative humidity with 78.26% as the break point. Taking the median value as the reference, high relative humidity could increase the risk of influenza activity and last for 3 weeks. In addition, we found the relationship between aggregate rainfall and influenza activity could be described with a U-shaped curve. Rainfall effect has significantly higher RR than rainless effect. Conclusions Our study shows that multiple meteorological factors have strong associations with influenza activity in Chongqing, providing evidence for developing a meteorology-based early warning system for influenza to facilitate timely response to upsurge of influenza activity.


Author(s):  
Aline Aparecida dos Santos ◽  
Jorge Luiz Moretti de Souza ◽  
Stefanie Lais Kreutz Rosa

Abstract The objective of this study was to verify the magnitude and trend of hourly reference evapotranspiration (EToh), as well as associate and analyze daily ETo (ETod) series and the sum of hourly ETo (ETo24h) in 24 h, estimated with the Penman-Monteith ASCE model for Paraná State (Cfa and Cfb climate type). Relative humidity (RH), temperature (T), solar radiation (Rs) and wind speed (u2) data were obtained from 25 meteorological stations from the National Meteorological Institute (INMET), between December 1, 2016 to November 8, 2018. The analyzes were performed by linear regression and associations considering the root mean square error, correlation coefficient and index of agreement. The EToh trend has a Gaussian distribution, with the highest values between 12:00 p.m. and 2:00 p.m., with the maximum average being 0.44 mm h−1 (Cfa climate type) and 0.35 mm h−1 (Cfb climate type). The average difference between the ETo24h and ETod values was small (5.1% for Cfa and 7.4% for Cfb), resulting in close linear associations. The results obtained indicate that EToh has good potential to be used in planning and management in the field of soil and water engineering, in Paraná State.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-196
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Chen ◽  
Desheng Pei ◽  
Liping Li

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to explore the effects of main meteorological factors on the mortality of urban residents and provide empirical evidence for the prevention of effects of climate changes.Design/methodology/approachGrey relational analysis (GRA) was used to analyse the interrelationships between meteorological factors and mortality among residents in Chaoyang District, Beijing, during the period between 1998 and 2008.FindingsThe changes of annual average mortality had a strong grey relation with temperature and relative humidity. The monthly average mortality (MAM) showed a strong grey relation with air pressure and the MAM in Summer season had a strong grey relation with air pressure, relative humidity and wind speed.Originality/valueMeteorological factors including temperature, relative humidity, air pressure and wind speed are all related with mortality changes. GRA can well reveal the trend of the curve approximation between meteorological factors and mortality and can quantify the different approximation.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document