scholarly journals The Missing Economic Magic: The Failure of Trade Liberalization and Exchange Rate Devaluation in Pakistan, 1980–2012

2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (Sspecial Edition) ◽  
pp. 59-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew McCartney

Pakistan and India were part of that wave of economic liberalization among developing countries from the late 1980s. This paper is about one aspect of that failure to ‘produce the economic magic’, in Pakistan. Pakistan substantially liberalized its international trade after the late 1980s, and contrary to some views managed its exchange rate in an exceptionally clear sighted and prudent manner. In response, Pakistan never experienced sustained and rapid export led-growth. In fact so disappointing was the performance of exports that Pakistan’s degree of integration with the world economy was little higher in 2015 than it had been in 1990. This paper first examines the exciting promise followed by the lackluster performance of trade liberalization. It establishes evidence that the exchange rate was managed in a way that should have helped a more liberalized trading regime contribute to economic growth. The paper explores wider evidence linking trade liberalization to economic growth and argues that the positive relationship is at best only a contingent one. Those contingent factors that have failed to support the positive link between trade liberalization and economic growth in Pakistan are investment, tax revenue, and upgrading/learning.

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 40-49
Author(s):  
E.V. Potekhina ◽  
◽  
A.D. Efremova ◽  

the article examines such topical problems of the world economy as the peculiarities of interaction between the subjects of the world economy, international trade, international monetary and financial relations, the role of the exchange rate for national economies. The issues of the national economy of the Russian Federation and the degree of the country’s participation in the international division of labor and its openness are considered. In this paper, using the example of Russia, the export of goods and services is analyzed, its relationship with a number of factors (exchange rate and oil price), where the main tools are methods of statistical and econometric analysis.


2004 ◽  
Vol 49 (02) ◽  
pp. 255-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANDREA BOLTHO

Between 1978 and 2000, Chinese GDP expanded more than seven-fold; present official projections suggest a further four-fold expansion to 2020. Is this feasible and, if so, what would be the consequences for the rest of the world? China has a huge catch-up potential and a vast resource of cheap labor. Policies are improving. The fiscal, employment and regional disparity problems, while serious, seem manageable. Hence, further rapid growth is possible. For the world economy this is bound to be beneficial thanks to resource reallocation, the growth of a large market and likely terms of trade gains. Developing countries, particularly in Asia, will, however feel a strong competitive challenge.


2002 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
BERNARD HOEKMAN

Despite recurring rounds of trade liberalization under GATT/WTO auspices, complemented by unilateral reforms, many developing countries have not been able to integrate into the world economy. This paper argues that, from the perspective of the poorest countries, a multi-pronged strategy is required to strengthen the global trading system and that much of the agenda must be addressed outside the WTO. The most important contribution the WTO can make from a development perspective is to improve market access conditions – for goods and services – and ensure that trade rules are useful to developing countries. Enhancing trade capacity requires concerted action outside the WTO (‘aid for trade’) as well as unilateral actions by both industrialized and developing countries to reduce anti-trade biases.


2012 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 359-384
Author(s):  
Predrag Bjelic ◽  
Ivana Popovic-Petrovic

The development of international trade was very impressive in the second half of 20th century. But even with these great development opportunities that growth of international trade can bring the small number of developed economies had succeeded to ripe benefits from it in order to develop their economies and reduce poverty. Even with the establishment of the World Trade Organization it was apparent that developing countries need assistance in order to integrate fully in international trade system. The Aid for Trade, which is a part of Official Development Assistance focusing on trade, has an aim to help developing countries build their trade capacity and the transport infrastructure so they can use trade as a powerful engine for economic growth. This paper set out to describe this new programme of trade aid developed under the auspices of WTO, as a multilateral project, to point out the readiness of donor countries and aims of beneficiary countries. But we will explore the linkages of Aid for Trade programme with bilateral and regional aid initiatives in the area of trade.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (17) ◽  
pp. 28-44
Author(s):  
Husnija Tahirović

The subject of this research is a scientific contribution to the promotion of free trade in underdeveloped countries and developing countries, both in theoretical and practical terms. Bearing in mind that the world trade is a young scientific area that has evolved from skill through the methodology of dealing with people in organizations to forms as professions and scientific discipline. Experience shows that developing countries that have understood this and started using scientific achievements in the field of international trade business and free trade, have in practice achieved far faster development than other underdeveloped countries. The promotion of free trade in developing countries is more decades in the circles of interest for numerous economic theorists and practitioners, bearing in mind the fact that free trade is the first-rate factors of the economic development of each country. This paper presents a contribution to the analysis of the competitiveness of free trade in developing countries and persistent analysis compared to developed countries. The paper points to the importance of membership in the World Trade Organization, which entails access to the market, benefits, relief and exemption from customs duties. The starting assumption is that the competitiveness of the economy of countries that are underdeveloped or in development is at a very low level. Therefore, an increase in competition between undeveloped countries would be conditional on an increase in exports and thus developed a more favorable environment for attracting foreign direct investments. This is why the basic message of this scientific research paper is that, with cooperation with international monetary, financial and trade institutions, allow developing countries to open their markets and seize the benefits of engaging in international trade flows . Therefore, on the work of the paper a special emphasis is placed on cooperation with the World Trade Organization, the WTO. The theoretical and empirical foundation of this scientific and research work stems from the realization that investments in the development of free trade are an increasingly significant factor of growth and development of each economy. The experience shows that countries that save on these activities are the ones who are working too little for their present and not for their future. The lack of investment in the promotion of free trade is reduced in the final instance to poverty in the quality of economic development. And the quality of planting and future economic growth is based on programmed production, redistribution and allocation of quality scientific programs with calculated effects on labour productivity, savings and prosperity. Investing in improvement and cooperation with international trade institutions of the current and future leaders of undeveloped countries provides answers to evolving challenges. Improving foreign trade is one of the most cost-effective investments of an underdeveloped state. Knowledge and expertise in the field of foreign trade are the fundamental determiners of the development of the most solemn, the vreiority and the quality of human life in these countries. The entire future of one country is based on science, education and knowledge that liberate the social, economic and cultural difference.Chinese foreign direct investment in the world has long and successful tradition. Over the past decade, China has become one of the largest exporters of foreign investment in the world, including European countries. China's investment in Europe brings a number of benefits in terms of technology, know-how, improving the reputation of existing brands, establishing a logistical market in the European market. Looking from the viewpoint of the host countries, the inflow of Chinese investments brought new economic opportunities, especially in those European countries that had poor economic growth, faced with high unemployment after the Euro crisis. This paper presents global trends of Chinese foreign direct investment, the motives that have prompted Chinese investors to invest in European countries, the needs of the EU for Chinese investment, and good example of attracting Chinese investments in Serbia.


2003 ◽  
pp. 23-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ershov

At present Russia faces the task of great importance - effective integration into the world economy. The success of this process largely depends on the strength of the domestic economy and stable economic growth. To attain such a goal certain changes in economic approaches are required which imply more active, focused and concerted steps in the monetary, fiscal and foreign exchange policy.


2006 ◽  
pp. 133-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Arystanbekov

Kazakhstan’s economic policy results in 1995-2005 are considered in the article. In particular, the analysis of the relationship between economic growth and some indicators of nation states - population, territory, direct access to the World Ocean, and extraction of crude petroleum - is presented. Basic problems in the sphere of economic policy in Kazakhstan are formulated.


2017 ◽  
pp. 114-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Klinov

Causes of upheaval in the distribution of power among large advanced and emerging market economies in the XXI century, especially in industry output and international trade, are a topic of the paper. Problems of employment, financialization and income distribution inequality as consequences of globalization are identified as the most important. Causes of the depressed state of the EU and the eurozone are presented in a detailed review. In this content, PwC forecast of changes in the world economy by 2050, to the author’s view, optimistically provides for wise and diligent economic policy.


2019 ◽  
pp. 5-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mikhail V. Ershov ◽  
Anna S. Tanasova

Russian economy has reached the low level of inflation, but economic growth has not accelerated. Moreover, according to official forecasts, in the following years it will still be low. The article concludes that domestic demand, which is one of the main factors of growth, is significantly constrained by monetary, budgetary and fiscal spheres. The situation in the Russian economy is still hampered by the decline of the world economic growth. The prospects of financial markets are highly uncertain. This increases the possibility of crisis in the world. Leading countries widely use non-traditional measures to support their economies in the similar environment. In the world economy as well as in Russia a principally new combination of factors has emerged, which create specific features of economic growth. It requires special set of measures to stimulate such growth. The article proves that Russian regulators have large unused potential to stimulate growth. It includes monetization, long-money creation, budget and tax stimuli. It is important that the instruments, which will be used, should be based on domestic mechanisms. This will strengthen financial basis of the economy and may encourage economic growth. Some specific suggestions as to their use are made.


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