scholarly journals Forecasting Non Performing Assets for Indian Banking Sector

The Banking sector is considered backbone of the economy and has an essential role to play in the development of a nation. The persistent rise in Non-Performing Assets (NPAs) of the Indian banking sector now has become a cause for concern for the economy. The governmenst in developing countries such as India push for financial inclusion, leading to increase in the risk associated with bank’s asset. With this backdrop, this paper has been designed to analyze the problem of NPAs in the Indian banking system. This paper shall explore unique method to forecast the NPAs in Indian banking system in 2019 by using Tableau Software. To enable the said research the following variables, such as, Interest rates in relation to inflation rates, GDP & per-capita income, the banking norms as given the RBI and BASEL norms and studying the existing Gross and net NPAs of banks; are used. The focus is to design a model that would play a pivotal role for forecasting the future NPAs with reference to the Indian banks.

Author(s):  
Stephany Griffith-Jones ◽  
José Antonio Ocampo ◽  
Paola Arias

Based on the seven case studies analysed in this volume, this chapter concludes that national development banks (NDBs) have been successful in many cases in supporting innovation and entrepreneurship, key new sectors like renewable energy, and financial inclusion. They have developed new instruments, such as far greater use of guarantees, equity (including venture capital) and debt funds, and new instruments for financial inclusion. The context in which they operate is key to their success. Active countercyclical policies, low inflation, fairly low real interest rates, a well-functioning financial sector, and competitive exchange rates are crucial. They are also more effective if the country has a clear development strategy, linked to production sector strategies that foster innovative sectors. Under these conditions, the chapter argues that there is great need for a larger scale of NDB activity in Latin America and in developing countries in general.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gergana Mihaylova-Borisova ◽  

The economies are once again facing the challenges of another crisis related to the spread of coronavirus in 2020. The banking sector, being one of the main intermediaries in the economies, is also affected by the spread of the new crisis, which is different compared to the previous crises such as the global financial crisis in 2008 and the European debt crisis in 2012-2013. Still, the banking sector in Bulgaria suffers from the pandemic crisis due to decelerated growth rate of loans, provided to households and non-financial enterprises, as well as declining profits related to the narrowing spread between interest rates on loans and deposits. The pandemic crisis, which later turned into an economic one, is having a negative impact on the efficiency of the banking system. To prove the negative impact of the pandemic crisis on the efficiency of banks, the non-parametric method for measuring the efficiency, the so-called Data envelopment analysis (DEA), is used.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
pp. 396-401
Author(s):  
Shailja Khanduri

This study applies SERVQUAL analysis to measure the service quality offered by Indian banking sector in the Indian state of Rajasthan. This study was performed 5 years after the launch of national mission for financial inclusion by Indian government. Both the public and private sector banks were incorporated in the study. Respondents are mostly from the urban background spread over various cities in Rajasthan. The dimensions studied are tangibility, reliability, responsiveness, assurance and empathy. The average SERVQUAL score was found to be -0.189 and the results reveal about 95.22% customers’ expectations were met. The empathy factor satisfying customers’ expectations (99.28%) shows the tremendous quality of personal handling in Indian banks service sector, while the lowest score on the reliability factor (89.63%) gives an idea of customer’s concerns regarding reliability of services in Indian banking sector. Overall, the present study finds that Indian urban banks average performance vis-à-vis the five service quality dimensions is quite satisfactory


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
P. Nagarajan

Finance has become an essential part of an economy for development of the society as well as economy of nation. World leaders are embracing nancial inclusion at an accelerating pace, because they know that an inclusive nancial system that responsibly reaches all citizens is an important ingredient for social and economic progress for emerging markets and developing countries. Despite the political tailwind, half of the working-age adults globally – 2.5 billion people – remain excluded from formal nancial services. Instead, they have to rely on the age-old informal mechanisms of the moneylender or pawnbroker for credit or the rotating savings club and vulnerable livestock for savings. The pandemic has had a momentous impact on economies and societies around the world. At the same time, it has shown that, with the right approach, it is possible to protect and safeguard the economy. . Through Financial inclusion we can achieve equitable and inclusive growth of the nation. Financial inclusion stands for delivery of appropriate nancial services at an affordable cost, on timely basis to vulnerable groups such as low income groups and weaker section who lack access to even the most basic banking services. It helps in economic development as it widens the resource base of the nancial system by developing a culture of savings among large segment of rural population. Further, nancial inclusion protects their nancial wealth and other resources in exigent circumstances by bringing low income groups within the perimeter of formal banking sector. Financial inclusion engages in including poor people in the formal banking industry with the intention of securing their minimal nances for future purposes. Micronance has become a medium of extending nancial services to unbanked sections of population. Micronance is banking the unbankables, bringing credit, savings and other essential nancial services within the reach of millions of people who are too poor to be served by regular banks, in most cases because they are unable to offer sufcient collateral. In a country like India with almost 30% (more than 360 million) people still below poverty line and according to latest census gures, more than 70% or 840 million people living in rural areas with little or no access to formal banking and other nancial services, micronance has a big role to play in order to bridge this gap. The Micro Finance Institutions occupies key position in nancial inclusion through micro nance where the exclusion. In developing countries, the growth of micronance institutions (MFIs) which specically target low income individuals are viewed as potentially useful for promotion of nancial inclusion. Even though MFIs at present, mainly offer only credit products; as they grow, they are likely to expand their product range to include other nancial services.


Author(s):  
Rakhi Arora

Banking sector plays an important role in Indian Financial Sector.It has a long history that has gone through various stages of development after Liberalization, Privatization, and Globalization (LPG) has taken place. The Indian banking sector is broadly classified into scheduled banks and non-scheduled banks. The scheduled banks are those included under the 2nd Schedule of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. The scheduled banks are further classified into: nationalised banks; State Bank of India and its associates; Regional Rural Banks (RRBs); foreign banks; and other Indian private sector banks, which are controlled and governed by Reserve Bank of India (Central Bank of India) and Ministry of Finance. In this era, the government has issued licenses to the new entrants to establish new banks to serve the Indian society. This chapter focuses on to show the various undergone phases of Indian banking system, growth of deposits and credits, technological development in Indian banking sector, services provided by the Indian banks, benefits and challenges faced by the Indian banks.


2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (01) ◽  
pp. 1550001 ◽  
Author(s):  
OGHENOVO ADEWALE OBRIMAH ◽  
CHIDINMA EDITH EBERE

In this study, we find savings deposits have contributed significantly to the effectiveness of regulation induced consolidation within the banking sector in so far as improvements in banking system structure, output, profitability and competitiveness are concerned. Specifically, we find savings deposits are key parameters in the transition from a banking structure within which profitability is primarily determined by liquidity during the pre-consolidation period (2007–2008) to a banking structure within which profitability is primarily a function of loan portfolio growth (output) during the post-consolidation period (2010–2012). In spite of the increase in importance of savings deposits for banking system competition, output, or profitability during the post-consolidation period, savings deposit rates have decreased by about 50% between the pre- and post-consolidation periods. Interest rates on savings deposits also do not lie on the efficiency frontier for loan production. Combined, our findings indicate the benefits of consolidation that accrue from savings deposits have yet to translate into social welfare benefits for banks' retail customers.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 111-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teodora Cristina Barbu ◽  
Iustina Alina Boitan ◽  
Sorin Iulian Cioaca

AbstractShadow banking is a topical, debated issue on the agenda of national and European macro-prudential regulatory and supervisory authorities. It is generally accepted that shadow banks and the traditional banking system have some core functions in common, such as credit and maturity transformation, and the exposure to similar risks. However, the tight banking regulations and the decreasing trend recorded by interest rates in the post-crisis period create prospects for shadow banking sector growth. Against this background, the present paper aims at investigating the particular impact that shadow banking activity exerts on macroeconomic fundamentals. The analysis covers 15 European Union countries, including Romania, during the period 2008 – 2015, using quarterly data. Shadow banking system is used as a proxy by monetary funds, due to breaks in the series or unbalanced number of observations across selected countries. By employing panel regression, it was found that the shadow banking total assets’ variation is negatively influenced by the GDP growth, short term interest rates, M2/GDP ratio and the ratio of investment funds’ assets in GDP, and positively determined by stock index dynamics and long term interest rates. The findings sustain the literature’s point of view


Author(s):  
P. S. Aithal ◽  
Prasanna Kumar ◽  
Mike Dillon

The recently developed theory called Theory of Accountability (Theory A) for organizations of 21st century identifies the various factors which affect the organizational human resources performance. The essential components identified to improve the productivity of any organization based on the postulates of Theory A are (1) Planning, (2) Target setting, (3) Motivation, (4) Work Strategies, (5) Responsibility, (6) Role model, (7) Monitoring & Guiding, and (8) Accountability. The objective of this paper is to apply the components of Theory A to Indian Banking system and to study how to improve the productivity of the banking system for economic progress in India. Accordingly we analysed the business model and the organizational strategy of Indian Banks in terms of their business objectives, service planning, target setting for the employees, employee motivational factors, working strategies to improve productivity, selfand mutual responsibilities among individual employees and in their teams, concept of role model in banking service innovation, continuous monitoring and guiding strategies, and finally accountability of each and every employee at different organizational levels. The applicability of Theory A on both private and public sector banks are discussed in general and suitable suggestions are proposed to the banking sector to improve productivity based on the postulates of Theory A.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-118
Author(s):  
K. Shivappa

It has been agreed that marketing of Bank services has been much neglected aspect of Banks and this has hindered the growth of Indian Banks in their role of assisting economic development. Banks need to change from ‘account oriented’ to ‘customer oriented’ approach. Today’s customer’s needs and expectations are changing very fast. To meet these needs and expectations a sensitively responsive Banking system is essential. The urban Co-Operative Banking sector is playing an important role. This sector is growing steadily year after year. It is providing helping hand for common man, middleclass people and small income groups.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-67
Author(s):  
Yuliia Shapoval ◽  
Andrii Shkliar ◽  
Oleksii Shpanel-Yukhta ◽  
Kateryna Gruber

While financial inclusion is seen as a goal of socio-economic development, there is still no clear understanding of how to measure it. Following this concern, the paper deals with the computation of the financial inclusion index of the Ukrainian economy using an annual dataset spanning from 2008 to 2020 and following the Sarma methodology. The object of the study is a set of indicators of usage, access and quality of financial products and services. The obtained results demonstrate the medium level of financial inclusion. The improvement of financial inclusion is observed in 2012, 2013, 2020 (namely 0.55 – 0.56 in the range of 0 and 1). From 2015 (0.38) till 2018 (0.39), the revealed downward trend affirms that the withdrawal of banks from the market has deteriorated the level of quality and usage of financial products and services. Financial inclusion declined during the cleaning up of the banking system in 2014–2016, just as it did after the global financial crisis in 2009–2010. Despite the development of the payment infrastructure, there is a need to diversify access, increase quality, and quicken the usage of financial products and services due to existing distrust in national financial institutions. Improving financial literacy and consumer protection, and closing regulatory gaps in the non-banking sector are seen as ways to enhance financial inclusion. Thus, financial regulators should establish an upward trend in financial inclusion that will ensure full access to formal financial services and will not adversely affect the stability of financial system.


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