Asymmetric Equilibrium Adjustment between Employment and Economic Growth in Côte d’Ivoire

2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Coffie Francis José N’Guessan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Threshold Autoregressive ◽  
Threshold Autoregressive Model ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

In this chapter, the author investigate the possibility of asymmetry in the relationship between employment in the modern private sector and economic growth as measured by real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The analysis is based on a threshold cointegration model. The use of a momentum threshold autoregressive model led to the rejection of the hypothesis of no cointegration, implying that the cointegration relationship between employment and real GDP is asymmetric. The error correction model developed thereafter suggests that in the short-run, when employment is above its long-term trend, the disequilibrium is adjusted via a decreasing of real GDP. However, it seems like adjustment does not occur when employment is below its equilibrium value. This indicates that restrictive macroeconomic policies that affect the labor market can lead to a persistent employment crisis in the modern private sector.

Electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ghazali Ismail ◽  
Arlinah Abd Rashid ◽  
Azlina Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship and causality direction between electricity consumption and economic growth is an important issue in the fields of energy economics and policies towards energy use. Extensive literatures has discussed the issue, but the array of findings provides anything but consensus on either the existence of relations or direction of causality between the variables. This study extends research in this area by studying the long-run and causal relations between economic growth, electricity consumption, labour and capital based on the neo-classical one sector aggregate production technology mode using data of electricity consumption and real GDP for ASEAN from the year 1983 to 2012. The analysis is conducted using advanced panel estimation approaches and found no causality in the short run while in the long-run, the results indicate that there are bidirectional relationship among variables. This study provides supplementary evidences of relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN.

scholarly journals Taxation, government spending and economic growth: The case of Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-266
Author(s):  
G. Ganchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this article is to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes, and government expenditure) on Bulgaria’s economic growth. The study employs an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and Eurostat quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 1999–2020. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, and exports in GDP as well as the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate. The empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between Bulgaria’s economic growth and the independent variables in the ARDL. In the short term, Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate is affected by its own past values and the previous values of the shares of direct tax revenue, exports, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue in GDP. In the long term, Bulgaria’s economic growth is influenced by its own previous values and the past values of the share of household consumption in GDP and the euro area’s real GDP growth rate. Fiscal instruments can be used to stabilize Bulgaria’s growth in the short run but they are neutral in the long run. The direct tax revenue, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue are highly effective and can be used as tools for invigorating and stabilizing Bulgaria’s economic growth in the short run. However, in the long term, the real GDP growth rate can be hastened only by encouraging domestic demand (final consumption expenditure of households) and promoting exports. This research cannot answer the question of whether flat income taxation stabilizes the economy or not, since it does not separate the impact of tax rate changes from the influence of tax base modifications.

scholarly journals The nexus between stock market development and economic growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 269-277
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

The study investigated the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Belgium using ARDL approach with annual time series data from 1988 to 2012. Real GDP per capita was used as a proxy for economic growth and stock market capitalization as a ratio of GDP as an approximate measure of stock market development. The relationship between stock market development and economic growth falls into four categories which are (1) stock market-led economic growth, (2) economic growth-led stock market development, (3) feedback effect and (4) neutrality hypothesis where the relationship between the two variables does not exist. Despite the existence of these four views on the relationship between stock market and economic growth, it appears from the literature review done by the author that majority of the empirical evidence support the stock market-led economic growth view. The fact that the topic on the directional causality between stock market and economic growth is still inconclusive is the major motivating factor why the author chose to investigate the relationship between the two variables in Belgium. The study observed that there exist an insignificant long run causality running from stock market development towards economic growth in Belgium. This relationship was not detected in the short run. Moreover, the reverse causality from real GDP per capita to stock market capitalization both in the long and short run was not detected in Belgium. These results are at variance with the majority of the empirical findings reviewed earlier on. It could possibly be that certain conditions that are necessary to enable stock market to significantly positively influence economic growth were not in place in Belgium. Therefore, the study urges the Belgium authorities to put in place the right environment, policies and programmes that enable the stock market to play its role of stimulating economic growth.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Private Sector Credit Interaction in Ghana

2020 ◽  
pp. 180-191
Author(s):  
Alice Constance Mensah ◽  
Ebenezer Okyere
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government

Using a series of econometric techniques, the study analysed interaction between monetary policy and private sector credit in Ghana. This study made use of monthly dataset spanning January 1999 to December 2019 of credit to the private sector (PSC) and broad money supply (M2). The results reveal that there exists cointegration, a long run stationary relation between monetary policy and private sector credit. This implies, increases in credit should prompt long-term increases in monetary policy. It is not surprising that growth in the private sector might have a stronger effect on monetary policy. The Error Correction Test is statistically significant and that all the variables demonstrate similar adjustment speeds. This implies that in the short run, both money supply and credit are somewhat equally responsive to their last period’s equilibrium error. There is unidirectional causation from private sector credit to monetary policy. It can be said that, there is an interaction between money supply and private sector credit. Thus, credit to private sector holds great potential in promoting economic growth. It can be recommended to the government to increase the credit flow to the private sector because of its strategic importance in creating and generating growth of the economy.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Case of Turkey

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 85
Author(s):  
Orhan Gokmen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Macro Variables ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

This paper examines the relationship between net FDI inflows and real GDP for Turkey from 1970 to 2019. Although conventional economic growth theories and most empirical research suggest that there is  a bi-directional positive effect between these macro variables, the results indicate that there is a uni- directional significant short-run positive effect of real GDP on net FDI inflows to Turkey by employing the Vector Error Correction Model, Granger Causality, Impulse Response Functions and Variance Decomposition. Also, there is no long-run effect of net FDI inflows found on real GDP, yet vice-versa long-run effect has been found. The findings recommend Turkish authorities optimally benefit from the potential positive effect of net incoming FDI on the real GDP by allocating it for the productive sectoral establishments while effectively maintaining the country’s real economic growth to attract further FDI inflows.

scholarly journals Cointegration Entre Corruption Et Croissance Economique A Travers Le Canal De L’investissement : Evidence Empirique Moyennant L’approche ‘’ARDL Bound Testing’’ Dans Le Cas De La Tunisie

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 424
Author(s):  
Badry Hechmy
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Institutional Reforms ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Relationship

This study focuses on the relationship between corruption and economic growth in Tunisia from 1987 to 2013, and is mainly interested in the role of discretion and distortion in public spending. To explore the relationship between the variables of interest, ARDL Bound testing approach of Pesaran and Shin (1999) was used. The empirical results show that corruption negatively affects long-term economic performance. And suggest that public investment large scale is not necessarily desirable in an environment characterized by corruption, because it results in a waste of public funds. However the estimation of an ECM model of short-term dynamics shows that corruption is associated with an increase in real GDP per head. The results support the idea that corruption undermines long-term economic performance and call for institutional reforms to improve the quality of governance as a prerequisite for extensive economic growth.

scholarly journals Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth?

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (27) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pritha Mitra ◽  
Eric M. Pondi Endengle ◽  
Malika Pant ◽  
Luiz Almeida
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Child Marriage ◽  
Education Policies ◽  
Economic Implications ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Emerging And Developing Countries ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Development Perspective

Global attention to ending child marriage and its socio-economic consequences is gaining momentum. Ending child marriage is not only critical from a development perspective but it also has important economic implications. This paper is the first to quantify the relationship between child marriage and economic growth. Applying a simultaneous equations model, the analysis shows that eliminating child marriage would significantly improve economic growth—if child marriage were ended today, long-term annual per capita real GDP growth in emerging and developing countries would increase by 1.05 percentage points. The results also provide insights on policy prioritization in developing comprehensive strategies to end child marriage. For example, the strong interdependent relationship between education and child marriage suggests that education policies and the budgets that support them should place greater emphasis on reducing child marriage.

ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Ari Mulianta Ginting
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Administration System ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Available Information ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
The Relationship

Ekspor merupakan salah satu faktor terjadinya peningkatan pertumbuhan ekonomi suatu negara, sejalan dengan hipotesis export-led growth (ELG). Penelitian ini menganalisis perkembangan ekspor dan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia periode kuartal I 2001 sampai dengan kuartal IV 2015. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis deskriptif dalam menggambarkan perkembangan pertumbuhan ekonomi serta ekspor dan analisis kuantitatif metode Error Correction Model (ECM) dalam menganalisis efek jangka panjang dan jangka pendek dari ekspor terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pada periode penelitian, data yang ada menunjukkan bahwa ekspor dan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sama-sama mengalami peningkatan. Hasil regresi ECM menunjukkan bahwa ekspor memiliki pengaruh yang positif dan signifikan secara statistik terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, yang mendukung hipotesis bahwa ELG berlaku untuk Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian ini, maka untuk mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia diperlukan peningkatan kinerja ekspor Indonesia. Peningkatan kinerja ekspor Indonesia dapat dilakukan dengan berbagai cara, salah satunya adalah dengan perbaikan sistem administrasi ekspor, peningkatan riset dan pengembangan produk Indonesia, peningkatan sarana dan prasarana infrastruktur, stabilitas nilai tukar dan perluasan pasar non tradisional, termasuk perbaikan struktur ekspor komoditas. Export is one of the factors behind the economic growth which is in line with the export-led growth hypotesis (ELG). This research analyzes the relationship between economic growth and export of Indonesia during first quarter of 2001 until fourth quarter of 2015. It employs descriptive analysis to describe export movement and economic growth during the study period and ECM model to analyze the long run and the short run effects of export on the economic growth. The available information indicated that, during the study period, both export and economic growth showed similar increasing trends. The result of the ECM model revealed that export had a positive and statistically significant relationship with the economic growth, supporting the hypotesis of ELG in Indonesia. Hence, to accelerate economic growth, efforts are required to boost the export performance in Indonesia. The Export performance can be increased by several way, such as improving the export administration system, increasing the research and development of Indonesian products, improving the facilities and infrastructure, exchange rate stability and the non-tradisional markets expansion, and including improvement of the export commodity structure.

The Relationship between Human Development and Economic Growth

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frances Stewart ◽  
Gustav Ranis ◽  
Emma Samman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Complementary Relationship ◽  
Development Index ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Intervening Variables

This chapter explores the interactions between economic growth and human development, as measured by the Human Development Index, theoretically and empirically. Drawing on many studies it explores the links in two chains, from economic growth to human development, and from human development to growth. Econometric analysis establishes strong links between economic growth and human development, and intervening variables influencing the strength of the chains. Because of the complementary relationship, putting emphasis on economic growth alone is not a long-term viable strategy, as growth is likely to be impeded by failure on human development. The chapter classifies country performance in four ways: virtuous cycles where both growth and human development are successful; vicious cycles where both are weak; and lopsided ones where the economy is strong but human development is weak, or conversely ones where human development is strong but the economy is weak.

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Utilization in China

2013 ◽  
Vol 734-737 ◽  
pp. 1666-1670
Author(s):  
Fei Hu Yang ◽  
Peng Zhang ◽  
Xiao Wei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Energy Utilization ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Recycling Economy ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

Based on the co-integration test, error correction model and vector autoregressive model, the empirical analysis results show a long-term co-integration relationship between economic growth and energy utilization in China, energy consumption increased by 1%, GDP will increase by 1.342%. In order to raise the efficiency of energy utilization during China's economic development, suggestions like saving energy conservation, reducing emission and recycling economy have been proposed.

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