Forecast on China's New Energy Vehicle Market Demand

2014 ◽  
Vol 496-500 ◽  
pp. 2822-2826 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Shi ◽  
Bin Liu ◽  
Yong He Huang ◽  
Hua Liang Hou

With the rapid development of new energy vehicle in China, the volume has been the hot topic in the fields of automotive industry. A series of subsidy and financial policies has been released by the government. Peoples in this industry care about the effective of the policies especially the new energy vehicles volume and market share in China. In this paper, we analysis the development experience of developed countries such as the US and Japan, and calculate the new energy vehicles volume and market share in China from 2015 to 2020 by model. Its more effective to the government department to draw a plan of new energy vehicle development blue print.

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Tianzuo Guan

With continuous development of China’s economy in the past two decades, people’s living conditions have been greatly improved. The improved living quality boosts the prosperity of the automobile industry in China. However, whilst the popularity of automobiles promotes the rapid development of social economy and modern civilization, it also brings severe energy and environmental problems. The government pays great attention to these problems, and promotes the development of new energy vehicle industry by issuing various policies and encouraging consumers to actively buy new energy vehicles. However, under these policy incentives and economic incentives, the domestic new energy vehicle industry did not present the expected market response. This paper briefly describes the development status and existing problems of domestic new energy vehicle industry, and puts forward some feasible suggestions.


2014 ◽  
Vol 686 ◽  
pp. 639-642
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Ming Yuan Ma

With pm2.5 and environmental pollution problem of urban smog, energy conservation and environmental protection has become an important subject in the current car development, so the new energy vehicles get more and more favor from the government and enterprises. But the new energy vehicles’ market share in our country is still small and the technology is not mature. This paper summarizes the experience and lessons in the development of new energy vehicles at home and abroad, and then based on which analyses the reasons that restrict the development of the new energy vehicles, finally puts forward the countermeasures of new energy vehicles development from the government's macro policy, battery technology, management mechanism, public participation and so on. In addition, it also puts forward a new opinion that encourages and guides the social capital to participate in the operation of the new energy vehicle infrastructure construction and operation, then provides a model for our country’s new energy vehicles future development.


2021 ◽  
Vol 336 ◽  
pp. 09030
Author(s):  
Yihang Lv ◽  
Qin Liu

The development of new energy vehicles is inseparable from the drive of consumers. Therefore, to explore the influencing factors of purchase behavior from the consumer's personal level is helpful for businesses to adopt corresponding sales strategies and the government to adopt relevant policies. Based on the individual level of consumers, this paper constructs a new energy vehicle purchase behavior prediction model from the review text, and explores the predictive effect of consumer personal factors on the purchase behavior of new energy vehicles. First of all, this paper proposes a quantitative method of consumer individual level factors, which combines word-of-mouth reviews with statistics. In this method, word2vec is used to train word vectors in word-of-mouth corpus to mine initial keywords, and core keywords are selected through statistical correlation analysis. Secondly, based on the core keywords of consumers' personal level, the gbdt model is constructed to predict the purchase behavior of new energy vehicles. The results show that the probability of correctly predicting consumers' purchase behavior is more than 72%.


Author(s):  
Haoyi Zhang ◽  
Fuquan Zhao ◽  
Han Hao ◽  
Zongwei Liu

The large sales volume and a great number of passenger car ownership in China have brought a series of environmental and energy problems. In response to these problems, Corporate Average Fuel Consumption and New Energy Vehicle Dual-credit Regulation has been put forward in China. However, it is found that although the purpose of the Dual-credit Regulation is controlling the fuel consumption and promoting the development of the energy vehicle market, the fuel consumption restriction for fossil-fueled passenger cars is relaxed compared to CAFC (Corporate Average Fuel Consumption) regulation alone. Moreover, this effect of relaxation is more obvious when the market share of new energy vehicles increases. To quantitatively estimate the relaxation effect of the fuel consumption restriction, a method of quantifying the relaxation effect is designed, and three different scenarios of new energy vehicle market development have been presumed in this paper. It is found that there are three main factors related to new energy vehicles that cause the relaxation of fuel consumption restriction, and the effect might become obvious and severe after 2025 if the market share of new energy vehicles develops very rapidly. These results may affect the development of the automotive industry and needed to be concerned.


Filomat ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 30 (15) ◽  
pp. 3987-3997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Guan ◽  
Guoxing Zhang ◽  
Diyi Liu ◽  
Xu Tan ◽  
Dong Wu

China?s current vehicle emissions caused by air pollution problems have become increasingly prominent. How to improve new energy vehicle market share, and effectively guide the consumer buying behavior become a problem, which the government and social have to be solved. In this paper, according to establish the stochastic evolutionary game model between the government and consumers in the car market, introducing of random factors analysis on the impact of evolutionary stability ,will obtain the stable strategy of government and automotive consumers. And on the basis of it, we study the government support, cost of vehicles, the use of cost, the utility of automobile use for the ways of evolutionary stability, with case further illustrates the external disturbance factors on consumer purchase of new energy vehicles in evolutionary game process stability. Studies show that: the increasing government subsidy policy, the reducing life cycle costs of new energy vehicles and the improving effectiveness of new energy vehicles will lead the model?s evolution to the orientation of consumer purchasing new energy vehicles.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jizi Li ◽  
Doudou Wu ◽  
Chunling Liu

Abstract Background: Battery charging mode is a prevalent method of transshipping power to new energy vehicles. Unfortunately, due to the limited capacity of batteries, typical new energy vehicles can only travel for approximate 350 miles on a single charge and require hours to be recharged. Battery swapping mode, as a novel alternative, can offer ideal solutions by depleted batteries being exchanged for recharged ones at swapping stations in the middle of long trips, thus will inevitably influence potential consumers’ purchase behaviors accordingly.Methods: To examine the impact of swapping mode and charging mode on consumers’ purchase intention, this paper examines a duopolistic market consisting of two new energy vehicle makers (i.e., new energy vehicle maker with swapping mode and one with charging mode), who adopting swapping mode and charging mode to service consumers, respectively. Considering swapping mode characterized with low initial investment and ease of use for consumers, the new energy vehicle makers with charging mode, capitalize on battery extended warranty service in response to rivals’ utilization of swapping mode, thereby non-cooperative game models are formulated, in which government subsidies are taken into account, both the optimal production decision for the new energy vehicle maker with swapping mode maker and one with charging mode are analyzed under three scenarios: without extended warranty service, with extended warranty service, and with extended warranty service and subsidy.Results: The results show that two makers’ market dominance relies on the ratio of the swapping station’s convenience to the extended warranty service and the valuation incremental rate. Additionally, we also find that the government subsidy can dramatically improve the performance of the new energy vehicle maker with swapping mode at the initial stage, but if the subsidy is insufficient size at the sequent stage, this will lead to policy failure and inefficiency in propelling the diffusion of swapping mode.Conclusions: The emerging swapping mode technology is a promising innovative one in boosting new energy vehicle diffusion, which will supplement to charging mode, thus reduce climate change dramatically


Author(s):  
Kai Liu ◽  
Chuanxu Wang

Abstract With the rapid development of new energy vehicles (NEVs), the recycling and reuse of retired power batteries has attracted extensive attention from the society and scholars. In this paper, we establish a closed-loop supply chain model composed of the government, one power battery supplier and one NEV manufacturer. Based on game theory, considering whether the battery supplier encroaches on the power battery recycling channel, we study the optimal decisions of the government and supply chain members under different government subsidy policies (no subsidy, subsidy for the NEV manufacturer and subsidy for consumers) and their impact on profits and social welfare. The results show that, whether the battery supplier encroaches on the recycling channel or not, compared with the no subsidy policy, subsidy for the NEV manufacturer is more conducive to the improvement of enterprise profits and social welfare. In addition, whether the battery collection quantity is constrained by the NEV sales quantity, when the recycling channel cost is lower than a certain threshold, the encroachment is always beneficial to the battery supplier. When the recycling channel cost is within a certain threshold range, the encroachment will achieve a win–win situation; otherwise, win–lose. When the recycling channel cost is higher than a certain threshold, the encroachment behavior has no impact on the NEV manufacturer and the battery supplier. Finally, we investigate the impact of key parameters on the enterprise profits and social welfare through numerical experiments. We also find that the environmental awareness of consumers have significant impacts on social welfare.


Author(s):  
Menghan TAO ◽  
Ning XIAO ◽  
Xingfu ZHAO ◽  
Wenbin LIU

New energy vehicles(NEV) as a new thing for sustainable development, in China, on the one hand has faced the rapid expansion of the market; the other hand, for the new NEV users, the current NEVs cannot keep up with the degree of innovation. This paper demonstrates the reasons for the existence of this systematic challenge, and puts forward the method of UX research which is different from the traditional petrol vehicles research in the early stage of development, which studies from the user's essence level, to form the innovative product programs which meet the needs of users and being real attractive.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Sijin Ma ◽  
Jiahao Mai ◽  
Wanling Wang ◽  
Kemeng Yao ◽  
Deyu Li

Under the background of energy conservation and emission reduction advocated by the state, the sales volume of new energy vehicles increased rapidly and reached new highs in 2021. However, many domestic new energy vehicles still face the problems of serious homogenization and low market share. In view of this situation, we mine and capture the data of online consumers and potential consumers, analyze consumers' preferences in combination with the knowledge learned, take Shenzhen BYD Co., Ltd. as an example, analyze its competitive environment, and finally put forward feasible suggestions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 235 ◽  
pp. 01002
Author(s):  
Xiaohua Mao

In recent years, in order to promote the independent development of the new energy vehicle industry, Chinese government has decided to reduce the consumption subsidies for new energy vehicles until the subsidies are completely withdrawn. The reduction of consumption subsidy has a great impact on the production and sales of new energy vehicles in the whole vehicle market. However, does the reduction of this subsidy also have an impact on other enterprises in the new energy vehicles industry chain? This paper tests this problem using data from 2016 to 2018, and finds, through empirical analysis, that during the period of subsidy decline, the profitability of component enterprises is significantly positively correlated with this subsidies, while the r&d investment of enterprises is significantly negatively correlated with this subsidies. The results show that in terms of profitability, the reduction of consumer subsidies not only has an impact on the whole vehicle industry of new energy vehicles, but also has an adverse impact on the core component companies in the industrial chain. However, in terms of r&d, the reduction of subsidies has more negatively strengthened the input and attention of R&D in component companies.


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