scholarly journals CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE OF THE ELDERLY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: CONVERGENCE AND IMPACT ON GDP

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (30 (1)) ◽  
pp. 268-275
Author(s):  
Sanda Anca
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Convergence Process ◽  
The Impact

In the context of an ageing population, the aim of this study is to analyze how the consumption expenditure of the age group 50 plus affected the GDP growth rate during the period 2005-2019, at the level of the European Union countries. Using spatial econometrics, we study the convergence process of both the consumption expenditure of the 50 plus age group and the GDP. Furthermore, we analyze the relationship between the two variables and its evolution in time. We conclude that there is a bidirectional relationship between the studied variables: an increase in the growth rate of the 50 plus age consumption significantly and positively impacts the GDP growth rate and vice versa. At the level of Western European states where the share of 50 plus population is the highest, the impact on GDP growth rate is stronger. The results are relevant for further identifying possible economic opportunities created by the ageing population while supporting the European Union cohesion policy through the convergence process aimed at reaching an overall harmonious development within the member states and regions.

scholarly journals Unemployment and growth in advanced economies in the pre-crisis period

2013 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 445-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milan Palát
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Real ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate

The paper is aimed at assessing the relationship between the unemployment growth rate and the real GDP growth rate in three biggest advanced economic bodies of the world. In the statistical part of the paper the correlation determination of the real GDP growth rate and unemployment rate has been examined. The results of quantitative methods especially regression and correlation analysis statistically approved the correlation of chosen characteristics including the statistical significance in Japan and the United States. The situation in the European Union differs from the results of two other examined economies and the existence correlation hadn’t been proven statistically. This might be caused by a relatively specific economic development, structural and institutional changes which had occurred in the European Union during the reference period and which has had significant impacts for output and unemployment.

scholarly journals Does Monetary Union Membership Affect Convergence in the European Union?

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-157
Author(s):  
Dzenita Siljak ◽  
Sándor Gyula Nagy
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Per Capita

Abstract The objective of the article is to investigate the effects of the stage of integration on convergence in the European Union. The relationships between the selected macro-economic variables and per capita GDP growth rate are econometrically tested for the period 2004–2018 and three sub-periods: the pre-crisis period 2004–2008, the crisis period 2009–2013, and the post-crisis period 2014–2018. Convergence is estimated using ordinary least squares (OLS) semi-log regression based on cross-sectional data. The findings show that convergence rates range between 1.9 percent and 4.8 percent. The positive effects of deeper integration are identified, as well as the negative effects of the 2008/2009 crisis. The empirical results suggest that the selected variables have an impact on the per capita GDP growth rate in at least one analyzed period.

scholarly journals The impact of some variables on the VAT gap in the member states of the European Union company

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ingrid Majerová
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Tax Law ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Corruption Perception Index ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Tax Gap ◽  
Corruption Perception ◽  
The Impact

One of the most serious problems of fiscal character is the issue of the tax gap. The tax gap is defined as the amount of tax liability faced by taxpayers that is not paid on time. The tax gap comes from three main areas of non-compliance with the tax law – firstly, from underreporting of income, secondly, from underpayment of taxes, and thirdly, from non-filing of returns. The tax evasions in the area of value added tax create one of the largest groups of tax gaps. This article describes the current situation in the field of tax gap in selected countries of the European Union. The aim of this paper is to determine the dependence of the VAT gap on three variables: the Corruption Perception Index CPI, GDP growth rate and the basic VAT rate. The method of regression analysis was used, which was performed on data in the years 2000–2011. Although it could be assumed that tax burden will affect the VAT gap the most, the highest dependence was shown in the case of Corruption Perception Index.

scholarly journals Taxation, government spending and economic growth: The case of Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-266
Author(s):  
G. Ganchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this article is to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes, and government expenditure) on Bulgaria’s economic growth. The study employs an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and Eurostat quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 1999–2020. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, and exports in GDP as well as the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate. The empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between Bulgaria’s economic growth and the independent variables in the ARDL. In the short term, Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate is affected by its own past values and the previous values of the shares of direct tax revenue, exports, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue in GDP. In the long term, Bulgaria’s economic growth is influenced by its own previous values and the past values of the share of household consumption in GDP and the euro area’s real GDP growth rate. Fiscal instruments can be used to stabilize Bulgaria’s growth in the short run but they are neutral in the long run. The direct tax revenue, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue are highly effective and can be used as tools for invigorating and stabilizing Bulgaria’s economic growth in the short run. However, in the long term, the real GDP growth rate can be hastened only by encouraging domestic demand (final consumption expenditure of households) and promoting exports. This research cannot answer the question of whether flat income taxation stabilizes the economy or not, since it does not separate the impact of tax rate changes from the influence of tax base modifications.

scholarly journals Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Tanzania

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. p207
Author(s):  
Josephat Lotto ◽  
Catherine T. Mmari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

The main objective of this paper was to examine the impact of domestic debt on economic growth in Tanzania for the period 1990 to 2015 using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method to estimate the effects. The study finds that there is an inverse but insignificant relationship between domestic debt and the economic growth of Tanzania as measured by GDP annual growth. The inverse relationship between domestic debt and GDP may be caused by different factors such as; increased trend in domestic borrowing, government lenders’ profile dominated by commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions which promotes the “crowding out” effect; the nature of the instruments used by the government ; the improper use of the domestic borrowed funds which may include funding budgetary deficits, paying up principal and matured obligations on debt, developing financial markets as well as fund other government operations. Other control variables relate with the GDP as predicted. For example, Inflation (INF) has a negative effect on the GDP growth rate, but the relationship is not statistically significant, while gross capital formation (GCF) has a positive statistically significant effect on GDP growth rate. Furthermore, foreign direct investment (FDI) showed a positive effect on the GDP growth rate and export (X) has a positive effect on GDP growth rate, and the relationship is statistically significant explaining that if a country applied an export-led growth economic strategy it enjoys the gains of participating in the world market. This means that an increase in export stimulates demand for goods which leads to increase in output, and as a country’s output increases, the economic performance also takes a similar trend. Finally, government expenditure (GE) had a negative effect on the GDP growth rate which may be explained by the increased government expenditures which are funded by either tax or borrowing. Therefore, what is required for countries like Tanzania is to have better debt management strategies as well as prudential financial management while maintaining to remain within the internationally acceptable debt level of 45% of GDP and maintain a GDP growth rate of not less than 5%. It is important for the country to realize from where to borrow from, the tenure, the risks involved and limitations to borrowing and thus set the right balance of combination of both kinds of debt. Another requirement is to properly utilize the borrowed funds. The central government’s objective should be to use the funds in more development-oriented projects that bring positive returns to the economic development.  The government should not only create a right environment and policies for investment to attract investment from domestic and foreign sources but also be cautious about the kind of investments that the foreign investors make.

scholarly journals INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE EXAMPLE OF BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

2021 ◽  
pp. 21-41
Author(s):  
Jelena Bjelić
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Total Investment ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

An investment is a factor of the economic growth and a mandatory constituent in the majority of development models. This study analyzes the impact of the gross investment on the economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) for the period 2005-2017, and provides the assessment of the interdependence of investment and a newly added value in industry. The relationship between the foreign investment and the economic growth is also included. The dependent variables are the GDP growth rate and the added value in industry (as % of GDP). The independent variables are the total investment rate (as % of GDP) and the foreign investment rate (as % of GDP). The hypothesis is that the gross investment and the foreign investment are positively correlated with the GDP growth rate. The investments contribute to a higher newly added value in industry. The results show that the gross investment is a significant factor of the economic growth because there is a high significance and positive correlation between the observed variables (the total investment and the GDP growth). This shows that the investment growth stimulates the economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina. But the dynamic analysis as an investment-GDP ratio shows oscillations. The impact of investments on the share of the newly added value in industry is insignificant and negative. The results of the dynamic analysis are similar. The relationship between the variables of the foreign investment rates and the GDP growth is significant and positive. Although the foreign investments are not sufficient, they still contribute, to a certain extent, to the economic growth of BiH.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Exchange Rate and Inflation Rate on the Economic Growth of India

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4333-4335
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Progress ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper tries to investigate the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the economic progress of India. In this study the economic progress has been measured by annual GDP ( Gross Domestic Product ) growth in India. Correlation analysis and multiple regression model have been designed to explore the relationship among the mentioned three variables. The annual GDP growth of India has been considered as the dependent variable and the other two macroeconomic variables ( Foreign exchange rate and inflation rate ) have been considered as the independent variables. Secondary sources of data have been gathered to arrive at a logical conclusion. The results show a positive correlation between GDP growth rate and the foreign exchange rate and a negative correlation between the GDP growth rate and the inflation rate. Results from the linear regression analysis show that inflation rate has a strong influence or impact on the GDP growth rate than the foreign exchange rate. It is expected that the present study will help the policy makers and the researchers to understand the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the GDP growth in India

scholarly journals The Impact of Government Size on Inflation in selected Developing Countries (2006-2014)

2018 ◽  
pp. 71-90
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Size ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

One of the serious challenges facing developing countries that are facing is the issue of inflation. Inflation creates serious challenges for economic agents as a result of the greatly damaging effects of economic and economic growth. Despite the general understanding of the concept of inflation, there is still no agreement between economists on the causes of its creation. The present study examines the impact of government size on inflation in 16 selected developing countries (Afghanistan, India, Iran, Malaysia, Mexico, Argentina, Qatar, Singapore, Kuwait, Pakistan, Uruguay, Benon, Nepal, Mali, Vietnam and Bhutan) will be tested during the period from 2006 to 2014. The pattern examined for this purpose, using the combination (panel) data in the least squared method completely, for the investigated pattern for this purpose, using generalized least squares panel data, toinvestigate the effect of each of the variables of government size, the index of import value, interest rate, Money and quasi money growth rate and GDP growth rate used on the Inflation rate. The results of this research indicate that the Money and quasi money growth rate, interest rate and growth rate of the import value index had a positive and significant effect on the inflation rate, and the GDP growth rate had a negative and significant effect on the inflation rate. Also, the main independent variable of government size model has had a negative and significant impact on inflation in the studied countries.

scholarly journals Interaction of GDP Growth Rate and FDI in Service Sector - Case of Croatia

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Pečarić ◽  
Tino Kusanović ◽  
Antoni Šitum
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Critical Analysis ◽  
Service Sector ◽  
Mutual Influence ◽  
Recipient Country ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

Croatia is characterised by a foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, mainly in the service sector, which is partly understandable owing to the country's orientation towards tourism. On the other hand, theoretical and empirical research indicates a weak impact of FDI in the service sector on the economic growth of the recipient country. Following the theoretical framework and critical analysis of previous research, the paper, on the example of Croatia in the period q1/2000 - q3/2020, uses the VAR model to analyse the mutual influence of GDP growth rate and FDI in the service sector. The results show that the impact of the GDP growth rate on the FDI inflow into the service sector is more significant and longer lasting than vice versa. The paper emphasises the importance of the adopted growth model for the type of FDI inflows into the recipient country, which in this case is characterised by the appreciation of the real exchange rate as an indicator of the country's competitiveness, whose impact on FDI inflow into the service sector is positive and long lasting.

scholarly journals Investigating the Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 41-51
Author(s):  
IRUM SAJJAD ◽  
IRUM SAJJAD ◽  
DR. MUHAMMAD AZAM KHAN
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

This article is an attempt to evaluate the effect of external debt on economic growth for during the period of 1980–2016. The Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test is used for determining stationarity, whereas the ADF test results exhibit that the variables used found are . The empirical results indicate that external debt and total debt service have deleterious and statistically significant impacts on GDP growth rate. The other explanatory variables namely human capital by life expectancy, exports, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)reveals significantly positive significant influence on GDP growth rate. Appropriate policy should be adopted by the policy makers to reduce external debt, increase volume of exports and enhance more foreign investment, it will boost economic growth in the country.

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