scholarly journals Guinea

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (82) ◽  
Author(s):  

This Article IV Consultation  discusses declining oil prices, US dollar appreciation, and limited access to international financing, which have worsened the fiscal, economic, and financial outlook. The focus of discussions was that despite the weak prospects there are still downside risks in the event that oil prices fall again, external financing becomes even more constrained, or confidence in the economy and the banking system begins to weaken. In the financial system, the main concern resides in a short-term risk of liquidity shortfalls, but credit quality concerns dominate over the medium term. The authorities’ policy response to the imbalances has been timely but still insufficient given the size of the shocks, the urgent nature of the vulnerabilities, and reduced foreign currency reserves. Real GDP is expected to contract significantly this year and next. In order to prevent liquidity risks in the financial system, the authorities should limit recourse to domestic financing and, as necessary, assist in a timely way banks that develop liquidity or capital shortfalls, as well as enhance crisis preparedness and contingency planning.

1987 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 745-763 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadeem A. Burney

In recent years, remittances, especially from the Middle East (ME), have become an important source of foreign exchange earnings for Pakistan. The absolute amount of these remittances, over the last several years, have been so large, that they were bound to have a significant impact on the Pakistani economy, through improving its balance of payments position and reducing its dependence on external financing. For example, in 1982-83 the inflow of remittances from the Middle East to Pakistan, through official channels, was 2.4 billion U.S. dollars which was 70 percent of total exports of goods and non-factor services. The recent decline in oil prices and the slowing down of economic activity in the Middle East, however, has resulted in the reduction of the inflow of remittances. The main concern, now, is what would the level of remittances be in future years and how will the economy readjust itself to the reduced inflow of the remittances.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 1223-1245
Author(s):  
V.V. Smirnov

Subject. The article focuses on the modern financial system of Russia. Objectives. I determine the limit of the contemporary financial system in Russia. Methods. The study is based on methods of descriptive statistics, statistical and cluster analysis. Results. The article shows the possibility of determining the scope of the contemporary financial system in Russia by establishing monetary relations as the order of the internal system and concerted operation of subsystems, preserving the structure of the financial system, maintaining the operational regime, implementing the program and achieving the goal. I found that the Russian financial system correlated with the Angolan one, and the real scope of the contemporary financial system in Russia. Conclusions and Relevance. As an attempt to effectively establish monetary relations and manage them, the limit of the contemporary financial system is related to the possibility of using Monetary Aggregate M0 to maintain the balance of the Central Bank of Russia. To overcome the scope of Russia’s financial system, the economy should have changed its specialization, refocusing it on high-tech export and increasing the foreign currency reserves. This can be done if amendments to Russia’s Constitution are adopted. The findings expand the scope of knowledge and create new competence in the establishment of monetary relations, order of the internal system and concerted interaction of subsystems, structural preservation of the financial system and maintenance of its operational regime.


Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

After recurrent crises with severe consequences in the 1990s and early 2000s EDEs have become even more closely integrated into what is now widely recognized as an inherently unstable international financial system. This chapter discusses the factors accelerating global financial integration of EDEs, including monetary policies in major advanced economies, notably the United States. It examines capital inflows and outflows, external balance sheets, the size and composition of gross external assets and liabilities, distinguishing between equity and debt, private and public sectors, local currency and foreign currency debt, bond issues and bank loans, and cross-border and local lending by international banks. It provides data and information on the currency composition of external debt, and non-resident participation in domestic financial markets of emerging economies. These are used to identify the changes in the depth and pattern of integration of emerging economies into the international financial system since the early 1990s.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Hauser

AbstractThe zero risk weight privilege for European sovereign debt in the current capital adequacy requirements for credit institutions incentivises credit institutions to acquire and hold sovereign debt. However, it also poses a significant risk to the stability of the banking system and thus the financial system as a whole. It is argued that this privilege should not only be abolished due to the risk it entails but that it is also non conformant with EU primary law. Art. 124 TFEU prohibits privileged access of the EU and Member States' public sector to financial institutions except for prudential considerations. The protective purpose of Art. 124 TFEU to ensure sound budgetary policies by subjecting public borrowing to the same rules as borrowing by other market participants is thwarted by the uniform zero risk weight privilege. Further, as this privilege does not take into account the varying creditworthiness of the individual Member States it does not promote the soundness of financial institutions so as to strengthen the soundness of the financial system as whole, but rather endangers systemic stability. The zero risk weight privilege is therefore not based on prudential considerations and hence violates Art. 124 TFEU.


2008 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 973-991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue-Jun Zhang ◽  
Ying Fan ◽  
Hsien-Tang Tsai ◽  
Yi-Ming Wei

Author(s):  
Ihor Krupka

The purpose of the article is to assess the level of domestic financial market dollarization, find out the causes of this economic phenomenon, trace its evolution and identify current features, substantiate proposals to minimize the negative consequences for the financial market and the economy in general. The methods of theoretical analysis, synthesis and generalization, analysis of statistical data and its graphical interpretation are used in the research. The results of the research showed that the main reasons for dollarization in Ukraine were high inflation and sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate of the national currency. In general, the dollarization of national financial markets occurs through the following channels: 1) borrowing on the international financial market; 2) the entrance of foreign banks to a domestic market; 3) investing abroad, when a national financial market is not sufficiently developed to create high-quality and highly liquid assets, dollarization provides rapid access to foreign financial assets and optimization of the profitability and risk structure of an investment portfolio; 4) the difference (spread) between interest rates in national and foreign currency. Based on the study of the domestic financial market, the following conclusions are made: 1) the level of Ukraine`s financial market dollarization in the aggregate and in terms of its separate segments is high; 2) this level poses a threat to the stable operation of financial intermediaries and the banking system in case of the national currency devaluation; 3) currency imbalance of assets and liabilities in the banking system has strongly decreased since 2008, but is still significant; 4) foreign currency is widely used by economic agents in the shadow sector of the economy. We consider the current dollarization level dangerous for the development of the country's financial system, and its reduction to a scientifically sound natural level should become one of the main tasks of the National Bank of Ukraine. Achieving the natural dollarization level and effective use of the domestic financial market potential will allow to intensify Ukraine's national economy development and promote integration into the international financial market and the global financial space.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 51-61
Author(s):  
O. S. Kochetovskaya

The main objective of the study was the identification of the key channel of impact of positive and negative external shocks on the Russian banking system for the period from 2000 to 2017. In conducting the study the author used systematic and statistical methods of analysis. Throughout the named period, the banking sector of Russia was always under the influence of one or another external shock: rising and falling oil prices; favorable conditions for obtaining financing on the global capital market; the global financial and economic crisis; the European debt crisis; the tapering of the quantitative easing policy in the USA; sanctions imposed on Russia by the Western countries. In the pre-crisis period, capital inflows became the main channel for the transmission of external shock. In the course of the European debt crisis, problems with attracting external financing became a key channel for the transfer of external shock. During the global crisis and the crisis of 2014–2016 the channels of transmission of external shocks to the banking sector of Russia, despite various causes, were in many ways similar. So, the main channels were the outflow of capital, the restriction of external financing, the collapse of the ruble exchange rate, and the state of confidence in the banking sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 155-171
Author(s):  
Ummi Kalsum ◽  
Randy Hidayat ◽  
Sheila Oktaviani

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, US dollar exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia in 2014 - 2019. This research is a type of explanatory research with a quantitative approach. The data used are monthly time series data for 2014 - 2019 with a sample of 72 samples. The multiple linear regression model is used as an analysis technique in this study. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously (F test) inflation, USD exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices have a significant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Partially (t-test) shows that the USD exchange rate has a significant positive effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Inflation and interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia. Meanwhile, world oil prices have a positive and insignificant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 296
Author(s):  
Marat Rashitovich Safiullin ◽  
Mikhail Valerievich Savelichev ◽  
Leonid Alekseevich Elshin ◽  
Vadim Olegovich Moiseev

The change in technological modes is accompanied by financial crises that lead to changes in the global financial system. For a long period, gold played the role of world money. However, the development of technology required the transition to more flexible forms of world money, the basis of which is the national currency of the most industrialized countries. Currently, the transition to the technologies of the Sixth technological mode is accompanied by a global financial crisis. The US dollar does not cope with the functions that the latest technologies present to monetary systems. They are being replaced by a new generation of cryptocurrency-based monetary systems. Cryptocurrencies and blockchain offer new forms of investing, calculating, storing, and saving money. Such financial instruments as various types of cryptocurrencies, tokens, smart contracts, and crypto exchanges offer new opportunities for effective investment in technologies of the Sixth technological mode.


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