scholarly journals Short-term forecasting of regional biospheric CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes in Europe using a light-use-efficiency model (VPRM, MPI-BGC version 1.2)

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4091-4106
Author(s):  
Jinxuan Chen ◽  
Christoph Gerbig ◽  
Julia Marshall ◽  
Kai Uwe Totsche
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Co2 Fluxes ◽  
Downward Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
Light Use Efficiency Model

Abstract. Forecasting atmospheric CO2 concentrations on synoptic timescales (∼ days) can benefit the planning of field campaigns by better predicting the location of important gradients. One aspect of this, accurately predicting the day-to-day variation in biospheric fluxes, poses a major challenge. This study aims to investigate the feasibility of using a diagnostic light-use-efficiency model, the Vegetation Photosynthesis Respiration Model (VPRM), to forecast biospheric CO2 fluxes on the timescale of a few days. As input, the VPRM model requires downward shortwave radiation, 2 m temperature, and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and land surface water index (LSWI), both of which are calculated from MODIS reflectance measurements. Flux forecasts were performed by extrapolating the model input into the future, i.e., using downward shortwave radiation and temperature from a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model, as well as extrapolating the MODIS indices to calculate future biospheric CO2 fluxes with VPRM. A hindcast for biospheric CO2 fluxes in Europe in 2014 has been done and compared to eddy covariance flux measurements to assess the uncertainty from different aspects of the forecasting system. In total the range-normalized mean absolute error (normalized) of the 5 d flux forecast at daily timescales is 7.1 %, while the error for the model itself is 15.9 %. The largest forecast error source comes from the meteorological data, in which error from shortwave radiation contributes slightly more than the error from air temperature. The error contribution from all error sources is similar at each flux observation site and is not significantly dependent on vegetation type.

scholarly journals Short-term forecasting of regional biospheric CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes in Europe using a light-use-efficiency model

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinxuan Chen ◽  
Christoph Gerbig ◽  
Julia Marshall ◽  
Kai Uwe Totsche
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Co2 Fluxes ◽  
Downward Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
Light Use Efficiency Model

Abstract. Forecasting atmospheric CO2 concentrations on synoptic time scales (~ days) can benefit the planning of field campaigns by better predicting the location of important gradients. One aspect of this, accurately predicting the day-to-day variation in biospheric fluxes poses a major challenge. This research aims to investigate the feasibility of using a diagnostic light-use-efficiency model, the Vegetation Photosynthesis Respiration Model (VPRM), to forecast biospheric CO2 fluxes on the time scale of a few days. As input the VPRM model requires downward shortwave radiation, 2 m temperature, and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Land Surface Water Index (LSWI), both of which are calculated from MODIS reflectance measurements. Flux forecasts were performed by extrapolating the model input into the future, i.e. using downward shortwave radiation and temperature from a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model, as well as extrapolating the MODIS indices to calculate future biospheric CO2 fluxes with VPRM. A hindcast for biospheric CO2 fluxes in Europe in 2014 has been done and compared to eddy covariance flux measurements to assess the uncertainty from different aspects of the forecasting system. In total the range-normalized mean absolute error (normalized) of the 5 day flux forecast at daily timescales is 7.1 %, while the error for the model itself is 15.9 %. The largest forecast error source comes from the meteorological data, which fail to accurately predict cloud cover, leading to overestimated shortwave radiation in the model. The error contribution from all error sources is similar at each flux observation site, and is not significantly dependent on vegetation type.

scholarly journals A Simple Method for Converting 1-km Resolution Daily Clear-Sky LST into Real LST

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1641
Author(s):  
Yunfei Zhang ◽  
Yunhao Chen ◽  
Jing Li ◽  
Xi Chen
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
The Real ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Clear Sky ◽  
Reconstruction Methods

Land-surface temperature (LST) plays a key role in the physical processes of surface energy and water balance from local through global scales. The widely used one kilometre resolution daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST product has missing values due to the influence of clouds. Therefore, a large number of clear-sky LST reconstruction methods have been developed to obtain spatially continuous LST datasets. However, the clear-sky LST is a theoretical value that is often an overestimate of the real value. In fact, the real LST (also known as cloudy-sky LST) is more necessary and more widely used. The existing cloudy-sky LST algorithms are usually somewhat complicated, and the accuracy needs to be improved. It is necessary to convert the clear-sky LST obtained by the currently better-developed methods into cloudy-sky LST. We took the clear-sky LST, cloud-cover duration, downward shortwave radiation, albedo and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) as five independent variables and the real LST at the ground stations as the dependent variable to perform multiple linear regression. The mean absolute error (MAE) of the cloudy-sky LST retrieved by this method ranged from 3.5–3.9 K. We further analyzed different cases of the method, and the results suggested that this method has good flexibility. When we chose fewer independent variables, different clear-sky algorithms, or different regression tools, we also achieved good results. In addition, the method calculation process was relatively simple and can be applied to other research areas. This study preliminarily explored the influencing factors of the real LST and can provide a possible option for researchers who want to obtain cloudy-sky LST through clear-sky LST, that is, a convenient conversion method. This article lays the foundation for subsequent research in various fields that require real LST.

Impact of GVF Derivation Methods on Noah Land Surface Model Simulations and WRF Model Forecasts

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 1917-1933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Fang ◽  
Xiwu Zhan ◽  
Christopher R. Hain ◽  
Jifu Yin ◽  
Jicheng Liu
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Vegetation Fraction ◽  
Data Products ◽  
Noah Land Surface Model

Abstract Green vegetation fraction (GVF) plays a crucial role in the atmosphere–land water and energy exchanges. It is one of the essential parameters in the Noah land surface model (LSM) that serves as the land component of a number of operational numerical weather prediction models at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) of NOAA. The satellite GVF products used in NCEP models are derived from a simple linear conversion of either the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) currently or the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) planned for the near future. Since the NDVI or EVI is a simple spectral index of vegetation cover, GVFs derived from them may lack the biophysical meaning required in the Noah LSM. Moreover, the NDVI- or EVI-based GVF data products may be systematically biased over densely vegetated regions resulting from the saturation issue associated with spectral vegetation indices. On the other hand, the GVF is physically related to the leaf area index (LAI), and thus it could be beneficial to derive GVF from LAI data products. In this paper, the EVI-based and the LAI-based GVF derivation methods are mathematically analyzed and are found to be significantly different from each other. Impacts of GVF differences on the Noah LSM simulations and on weather forecasts of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are further assessed. Results indicate that LAI-based GVF outperforms the EVI-based one when used in both the offline Noah LSM and WRF Model.

scholarly journals Tree–grass phenology information improves light use efficiency modelling of gross primary productivity for an Australian tropical savanna

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 111-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caitlin E. Moore ◽  
Jason Beringer ◽  
Bradley Evans ◽  
Lindsay B. Hutley ◽  
Nigel J. Tapper
Keyword(s):  
Primary Productivity ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
Gross Primary Productivity ◽  
Perennial Grasses ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Tropical Savanna ◽  
Flux Tower ◽  
Use Efficiency

Abstract. The coexistence of trees and grasses in savanna ecosystems results in marked phenological dynamics that vary spatially and temporally with climate. Australian savannas comprise a complex variety of life forms and phenologies, from evergreen trees to annual/perennial grasses, producing a boom–bust seasonal pattern of productivity that follows the wet–dry seasonal rainfall cycle. As the climate changes into the 21st century, modification to rainfall and temperature regimes in savannas is highly likely. There is a need to link phenology cycles of different species with productivity to understand how the tree–grass relationship may shift in response to climate change. This study investigated the relationship between productivity and phenology for trees and grasses in an Australian tropical savanna. Productivity, estimated from overstory (tree) and understory (grass) eddy covariance flux tower estimates of gross primary productivity (GPP), was compared against 2 years of repeat time-lapse digital photography (phenocams). We explored the phenology–productivity relationship at the ecosystem scale using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) vegetation indices and flux tower GPP. These data were obtained from the Howard Springs OzFlux/Fluxnet site (AU-How) in northern Australia. Two greenness indices were calculated from the phenocam images: the green chromatic coordinate (GCC) and excess green index (ExG). These indices captured the temporal dynamics of the understory (grass) and overstory (trees) phenology and were correlated well with tower GPP for understory (r2 =  0.65 to 0.72) but less so for the overstory (r2 =  0.14 to 0.23). The MODIS enhanced vegetation index (EVI) correlated well with GPP at the ecosystem scale (r2 =  0.70). Lastly, we used GCC and EVI to parameterise a light use efficiency (LUE) model and found it to improve the estimates of GPP for the overstory, understory and ecosystem. We conclude that phenology is an important parameter to consider in estimating GPP from LUE models in savannas and that phenocams can provide important insights into the phenological variability of trees and grasses.

scholarly journals Global cropland monthly Gross Primary Production in the year 2000

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 3465-3488
Author(s):  
T. Chen ◽  
G. R. van der Werf ◽  
N. Gobron ◽  
E. J. Moors ◽  
A. J. Dolman
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Co2 Exchange ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Natural Ecosystems ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
Crop Types ◽  
Year 2000

Abstract. Croplands cover about 12% of the ice-free terrestrial land surface. Compared with natural ecosystems, croplands have distinct characteristics due to anthropogenic influences. Their global gross primary production (GPP) is not well constrained and estimates vary between 8.2 and 14.2 Pg C yr−1. We quantified global cropland GPP using a light use efficiency (LUE) model, employing satellite observations and survey data of crop types and distribution. A novel step in our analysis was to assign a maximum light use efficiency estimate (&amp;varepsilon;&amp;ast;GPP) to each of the 26 different crop types, instead of taking a uniform value as done in the past. These &amp;varepsilon;&amp;ast;GPP values were calculated based on flux tower CO2 exchange measurements and a literature survey of field studies, and ranged from 1.20 g CMJ−1 to 2.96 g CMJ−1. Global cropland GPP was estimated to be 11.05 Pg C yr−1 in the year 2000. Maize contributed most to this (1.55 Pg C yr−1), and the continent of Asia contributed most with 38.9% of global cropland GPP. In the continental United States, annual cropland GPP (1.28 Pg C yr−1) was close to values reported previously (1.24 Pg C yr−1) constrained by harvest records, but our estimates of &amp;varepsilon;&amp;ast;GPP values were much higher. Our results are sensitive to satellite information and survey data on crop type and extent, but provide a consistent and data-driven approach to generate a look-up table of &amp;varepsilon;&amp;ast;GPP for the 26 crop types for potential use in other vegetation models.

scholarly journals Modeling light use efficiency in a subtropical mangrove forest equipped with CO<sub>2</sub> eddy covariance

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 2145-2158 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. G. Barr ◽  
V. Engel ◽  
J. D. Fuentes ◽  
D. O. Fuller ◽  
H. Kwon
Keyword(s):  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
Mangrove Forest ◽  
Environmental Drivers ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Co2 Uptake ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Co2 Fluxes ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
Reflectance Data

Abstract. Despite the importance of mangrove ecosystems in the global carbon budget, the relationships between environmental drivers and carbon dynamics in these forests remain poorly understood. This limited understanding is partly a result of the challenges associated with in situ flux studies. Tower-based CO2 eddy covariance (EC) systems are installed in only a few mangrove forests worldwide, and the longest EC record from the Florida Everglades contains less than 9 years of observations. A primary goal of the present study was to develop a methodology to estimate canopy-scale photosynthetic light use efficiency in this forest. These tower-based observations represent a basis for associating CO2 fluxes with canopy light use properties, and thus provide the means for utilizing satellite-based reflectance data for larger scale investigations. We present a model for mangrove canopy light use efficiency utilizing the enhanced green vegetation index (EVI) derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) that is capable of predicting changes in mangrove forest CO2 fluxes caused by a hurricane disturbance and changes in regional environmental conditions, including temperature and salinity. Model parameters are solved for in a Bayesian framework. The model structure requires estimates of ecosystem respiration (RE), and we present the first ever tower-based estimates of mangrove forest RE derived from nighttime CO2 fluxes. Our investigation is also the first to show the effects of salinity on mangrove forest CO2 uptake, which declines 5% per each 10 parts per thousand (ppt) increase in salinity. Light use efficiency in this forest declines with increasing daily photosynthetic active radiation, which is an important departure from the assumption of constant light use efficiency typically applied in satellite-driven models. The model developed here provides a framework for estimating CO2 uptake by these forests from reflectance data and information about environmental conditions.

scholarly journals P-model v1.0: An optimality-based light use efficiency model for simulating ecosystem gross primary production

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin D. Stocker ◽  
Han Wang ◽  
Nicholas G. Smith ◽  
Sandy P. Harrison ◽  
Trevor F. Keenan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Satellite Monitoring ◽  
Light Use Efficiency ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Scales ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Use Efficiency

Abstract. Terrestrial photosynthesis is the basis for vegetation growth and drives the land carbon cycle. Accurately simulating gross primary production (GPP, ecosystem-level apparent photosynthesis) is key for satellite monitoring and Earth System Model predictions under climate change. While robust models exist for describing leaf-level photosynthesis, predictions diverge due to uncertain photosynthetic traits and parameters which vary on multiple spatial and temporal scales. Here, we describe and evaluate a gross primary production (GPP, photosynthesis per unit ground area) model, the P-model, that combines the Farquhar-von Caemmerer-Berry model for C3 photosynthesis with an optimality principle for the carbon assimilation-transpiration trade-off, and predicts a multi-day average light use efficiency (LUE) for any climate and C3 vegetation type. The model is forced here with satellite data for the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation and site-specific meteorological data and is evaluated against GPP estimates from a globally distributed network of ecosystem flux measurements. Although the P-model requires relatively few inputs and prescribed parameters, the R2 for predicted versus observed GPP based on the full model setup is 0.75 (8-day mean, 131 sites) – better than some state-of-the-art satellite data-driven light use efficiency models. The R2 is reduced to 0.69 when not accounting for the reduction in quantum yield at low temperatures and effects of low soil moisture on LUE. The R2 for the P-model-predicted LUE is 0.37 (means by site) and 0.53 (means by vegetation type). The P-model provides a simple but powerful method for predicting – rather than prescribing – light use efficiency and simulating terrestrial photosythesis across a wide range of conditions. The model is available as an R package (rpmodel).

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