scholarly journals On the importance of including vegetation dynamics in Budyko's hydrological model

2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 983-995 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Donohue ◽  
M. L. Roderick ◽  
T. R. McVicar

Abstract. The Budyko curve describes the patterns observed between between climate, evapotranspiration and run-off and has proven to be a useful model for predicting catchment energy and water balances. In this paper we review the Budyko curve's underlying framework and, based on the literature, present an argument for why it is important to include vegetation dynamics into the framework for some purposes. The Budyko framework assumes catchments are at steady-state and are driven by the macro-climate, two conditions dependent on the scales of application, such that the framework's reliability is greatest when applied using long-term averages (≫1 year) and to large catchments (>10 000 km2). At these scales previous experience has shown that the hydrological role of vegetation does not need to be explicitly considered within the framework. By demonstrating how dynamics in the leaf area, photosynthetic capacity and rooting depth of vegetation affect not only annual and seasonal vegetation water use, but also steady-state conditions, we argue that it is necessary to explicitly include vegetation dynamics into the Budyko framework before it is applied at small scales. Such adaptations would extend the framework not only to applications at small timescales and/or small catchments but to operational activities relating to vegetation and water management.

2006 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 1517-1551 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Donohue ◽  
M. L. Roderick ◽  
T. R. McVicar

Abstract. The Budyko curve describes the relationship between climate, evapotranspiration and run-off and can be used to model catchment energy and water balances. The curve's underlying framework assumes catchments are at steady-state, a condition dependent on the scales of application, such that its reliability is greatest when applied to large catchments (>10 000 km2) and using long-term averages (≫1 year). At these scales previous experience has shown that the hydrological role of vegetation does not need to be explicitly considered within the framework. By demonstrating how dynamics in the leaf area, photosynthetic capacity and rooting depth of vegetation affect not only annual and seasonal vegetation water use, but also steady-state conditions, we argue that it is necessary to explicitly include vegetation dynamics into the Budyko framework before it is applied at small scales. Such adaptations would extend the framework not only to applications at small timescales and to small catchments but to operational activities relating to vegetation and water management.


Author(s):  
M. Zaman ◽  
B.F. Quin

The commercial introduction of reactive phosphate rock (RPR) to the New Zealand market in 1987 was the subject of much dispute regarding its efficacy, and the differing interpretations of field trial results. Twenty-five years on, it was considered time to seek the views of farmers who are long-term users of RPR, across a wide range of geographic, soil type, fertility, climate and farming operations. The fact that the farmers interviewed have all been farming successfully with RPR for many years enables conditions suitable for RPR use to be identified more clearly compared to earlier advice. This progress is discussed in the context of utilising the proven reduced phosphorus (P) run-off with RPR to reduce P eutrophication in P-sensitive catchments. Key words: Reactive phosphate rock, RPR, superphosphate, SSP, long-term use, phosphorus runoff, eutrophication, water quality, recommendations


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (22) ◽  
pp. 4463-4484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophie Flack-Prain ◽  
Patrick Meir ◽  
Yadvinder Malhi ◽  
Thomas Luke Smallman ◽  
Mathew Williams

Abstract. The capacity of Amazon forests to sequester carbon is threatened by climate-change-induced shifts in precipitation patterns. However, the relative importance of plant physiology, ecosystem structure and trait composition responses in determining variation in gross primary productivity (GPP) remain largely unquantified and vary among models. We evaluate the relative importance of key climate constraints to GPP, comparing direct plant physiological responses to water availability and indirect structural and trait responses (via changes to leaf area index (LAI), roots and photosynthetic capacity). To separate these factors we combined the soil–plant–atmosphere model with forcing and observational data from seven intensively studied forest plots along an Amazon drought stress gradient. We also used machine learning to evaluate the relative importance of individual climate factors across sites. Our model experiments showed that variation in LAI was the principal driver of differences in GPP across the gradient, accounting for 33 % of observed variation. Differences in photosynthetic capacity (Vcmax and Jmax) accounted for 21 % of variance, and climate (which included physiological responses) accounted for 16 %. Sensitivity to differences in climate was highest where a shallow rooting depth was coupled with a high LAI. On sub-annual timescales, the relative importance of LAI in driving GPP increased with drought stress (R2=0.72), coincident with the decreased importance of solar radiation (R2=0.90). Given the role of LAI in driving GPP across Amazon forests, improved mapping of canopy dynamics is critical, opportunities for which are offered by new satellite-based remote sensing missions such as GEDI, Sentinel and FLEX.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3401
Author(s):  
Eva Melišová ◽  
Adam Vizina ◽  
Linda R. Staponites ◽  
Martin Hanel

Determining an optimal calibration strategy for hydrological models is essential for a robust and accurate water balance assessment, in particular, for catchments with limited observed data. In the present study, the hydrological model Bilan was used to simulate hydrological balance for 20 catchments throughout the Czech Republic during the period 1981–2016. Calibration strategies utilizing observed runoff and estimated soil moisture time series were compared with those using only long-term statistics (signatures) of runoff and soil moisture as well as a combination of signatures and time series. Calibration strategies were evaluated considering the goodness-of-fit, the bias in flow duration curve and runoff signatures and uncertainty of the Bilan model. Results indicate that the expert calibration and calibration with observed runoff time series are, in general, preferred. On the other hand, we show that, in many cases, the extension of the calibration criteria to also include runoff or soil moisture signatures is beneficial, particularly for decreasing the uncertainty in parameters of the hydrological model. Moreover, in many cases, fitting the model with hydrological signatures only provides a comparable fit to that of the calibration strategies employing runoff time series.


2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 1038-1052 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Quang Nguyen ◽  
Jan Degener ◽  
Martin Kappas

Flash flooding (FF) in Vietnam has become an important issue due to increasing loss of property and life. This paper investigates FF prediction using the Kinematic Run-off and Erosion model to perform comprehensive analyses to: (1) evaluate the role of initial soil moisture (θ) conditions using the Bridging Event and Continuous Hydrological model; (2) model the discharge (Q) using different rainfall inputs; (3) test the sensitivities of the model to θ and Manning's n coefficient (N) on Q and validate the model; and (4) predict channel discharge (QC) using forecasted rainfall. A relative saturation index (R) of 0.46 and N of 0.14 produced the best match of the simulated outflow to measured Q, while the saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat) and R had significant effects on the magnitude of flooding. The parameter N had remarkable influences on the volume of flow and its peak time. Surprisingly, the use of radar rainfall data underestimated Q compared to the measured discharge and estimates using satellite rainfall. We conclude that the KINEROS2 model is well equipped to predict FF events in the study area and is therefore suitable as an early warning system when combined with weather forecasts. However, uncertainties grow when the forecasted period expands further into the future.


Author(s):  
Alina Rydzewska

The turn of the 21st century is a period of the growing importance of finance in the global economy. The domination of the financial sphere about the real sphere is defined as financialization. The inflation of financial instruments, derivatives, in particular, is indicated among the symptoms of financialization. Financialization about companies is associated with the growing importance of financial motives in the decision-making processes of enterprises. The enlarging pressure of financial markets and investors forces transformations in the value management process. Companies raising capital from share issues are evaluated by investors (shareholders). In turn, management is entrusted to hired managers whose evaluation depends on the current results. To meet the requirements of the owners (shareholders), they stop taking into account the long-term development of a given undertaking and focus on achieving the required rate of return in the short term. Therefore, they limit their operational activities, and in particular long-term investment activities, in favour of short-term financial activities. They use derivatives as one of the forms of short-term profit generation. Their use is characterized by a relatively high level of risk resulting from the use of leverage in their construction. It also results in potential profits (or losses) many times higher than the capital employed. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether non-financial enterprises operating in Poland use derivatives in value management. The research was based on the analysis of indicators identifying the role of derivatives in the enterprise and determining their impact on the ROE ratio as a measure of value for shareholders. For this purpose, the financial statements of non-financial enterprises published in Poland by the Central Statistical Office for the years 2010-2017 were used.


Blood ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (21) ◽  
pp. 3162-3162
Author(s):  
Fabienne A. Brenet ◽  
Joseph M. Scandura

Abstract Abstract 3162 The cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor (CDKI) CDKN1C (p57) is a tumor suppressor gene with strong differential expression in both human and murine hematopoietic stem cells (HSC). Whereas the expression of other CDKIs is normal in most hematopoietic malignancies, p57 expression is silenced in 30 to 55% of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), acute myelogenous leukemia (AML), and B-Cell lymphoma patients suggesting a role as suppressor of hematopoietic cell transformation. p57 has a unique role in embryogenesis functioning in tissue-specific developmental programs to coordinate proliferation, differentiation and apoptosis. We have identified p57 as an early transcriptional target of the tumor suppressor TGFβ which is required for TGFβ-induced cytostasis of human CD34+ hematopoietic progenitor/stem cells; functions that provide a mechanistic basis for its expression being silenced in many aggressive human myeloid and lymphoid malignancies. To understand the role of p57 in HSC function, we used an engineered mouse strain deficient in p57. Using limiting-dilution HSC transplantation, we found that the fetal livers of p57-null mice have ∼4-fold fewer HSCs than their wild-type littermate controls. When we transplanted wt recipient mice with a mixture of p57-wt and p57-null fetal liver mononuclear cells (FLMC), we found that the p57-null hematopoietic cells were underrepresented in the blood of the recipient animals at steady-state. Both the limiting-dilution and competitive repopulation experiments indicate that the absence of p57 compromises HSC development. Strikingly, despite this quantitative deficit, we found that p57-null HSCs are qualitatively superior to p57-wt HSCs. Using serial transplantation, an assay of in vivo HSC self-renewal, we found that p57-null HSCs can be transplanted for two generations beyond which p57-wt HSCs are exhausted and unable to reconstitute hematopoiesis in the recipient animals. This result demonstrates under the tonic strain of serial transplantation, p57 normally serves to restrain HSC self-renewal. Importantly, mice with p57-null hematopoiesis are less sensitive to myelotoxic stress induced by the chemotherapeutics, 5-Fluorouracil (5FU) and cytarabine and have a shallower and shorter nadir following such treatment. Mice with p57-null hematopoiesis also recovered more briskly to the haemolytic agent phenylhydrazine suggesting that p57 serves a critical function restraining the stress-response of hematopoiesis. We next examined whether p57 might be involved in regulating the maintenance of LKSCD34- Flk2- long-term HSCs, LKSCD34+ Flk2- short-term HSCs, or LKSCD34+ Flk2+ MPPs (multipotent progenitors), LKSca-CD34+ FcRlow CMPs (common myeloid progenitors), LKSca- CD34+ FcR+ GMPs (granulocyte-monocyte progenitors) and LKSca- CD34- FcR- MEPs (megakaryocyte erythroid progenitors). Unlike in steady-state where the amount of cells in each subset in p57-null and wt bone marrow is comparable, we found significant variations in the p57-null bone marrow reconstitution after 5FU treatment. Furthermore when we administered 5FU to mice transplanted with mixtures of p57-null and p57-wt HSCs, we found that p57-null hematopoiesis contributed disproportionately to hematopoietic recovery and that this enhanced competition was durable. Our findings reveal a novel role of p57 to restrain HSC self-renewal during periods of hematopoietic stress. Deletion of p57 decelerates hematopoietic cells exhaustion due to serial transplantation and improves long-term engraftment, largely because of increased self-renewing divisions of HSCs in vivo. These results suggest that cells deficient in p57 have an advantage over p57-expressing cells only after hematopoietic stress suggesting that silenced p57 expression can serve to promote malignant hematopoiesis at the expense of normal hematopoiesis and contribute to chemotherapy resistance. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 3770-3770
Author(s):  
Morgan A Jones ◽  
Meiling Zhao ◽  
Lu Liu ◽  
Ying Feng ◽  
Adam Ross ◽  
...  

Caudal Type Homeobox 2 (CDX2) is a caudal-related homeobox family transcription factor known to be developmental regulator involved in murine axial elongation and anteroposterior vertebral patterning and cell fate determination in the intestine. In adults, CDX2 expression is restricted to the small intestine and the colon. Interestingly, CDX2 is overexpressed in ~90% of human acute myeloid leukemias and the majority of acute lymphoblastic leukemias. Hence, aberrant expression of CDX2 may play a contributing role in leukemogenesis. The role of CDX2 in normal hematopoietic development is unknown. To assess the role of CDX2 in normal hematopoiesis we characterized hematopoietic development in Cdx2 fl/fl Mx1-Cre+ mice after poly (I:C)-mediated gene deletion compared to wildtype littermates. Under steady state conditions, no significant defects were identified in long-term hematopoietic stem cells (LT-HSCs), multipotent progenitors, myeloid progenitors, or mature cell lineages. To test if long-term hematopoietic stem cells were functionally impaired following Cdx2 deletion, competitive transplantation assays were performed. We found that CDX2 was not required for long-term hematopoietic reconstitution in the competitive transplant setting. Together, these data establish that CDX2 is not required for adult steady state hematopoiesis or LT-HSC function. We then asked whether or not CDX2 was essential for leukemogenesis. To interrogate this, Cdx2 fl/fl Mx1-Cre+, Cdx2 fl/+ Mx1-Cre+, and wildtype littermates were treated with poly (I:C) to facilitate gene deletion or for control purposes. Bone marrow cells from the mice were then transformed using well-established HOXA9/MEIS1 or MLL-AF10 leukemogenesis models. In both systems, Cdx2-deficiency prevented leukemia development, whereas wildtype controls succumbed to leukemia within 200 days. Cdx2 heterozygous knockout animals had a delayed onset of leukemia compared to wildtype animals. Taken together, these data indicate that CDX2 is not required for steady state adult hematopoiesis or LT-HSC function, but is necessary for the development of leukemia. Our findings suggest CDX2 has potential as a novel therapeutic target that could be exploited in the majority of AML and ALL patients across a broad mutational spectrum. The nomination of CDX2 as a key target for the majority of leukemias is significant, as current targeted treatment strategies are limited to only particular patient subsets. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


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