scholarly journals Possible biases in scaling-based estimates of glacier change: a case study in the Himalaya

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 3235-3247
Author(s):  
Argha Banerjee ◽  
Disha Patil ◽  
Ajinkya Jadhav
Keyword(s):  
Response Time ◽  
Climate Sensitivity ◽  
Linear Response ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Response Model ◽  
Future Evolution ◽  
Scaling Model ◽  
Mountain Glaciers

Abstract. Approximate glacier models are routinely used to compute the future evolution of mountain glaciers under any given climate-change scenario. A majority of these models are based on statistical scaling relations between glacier volume, area, and/or length. In this paper, long-term predictions from scaling-based models are compared with those from a two-dimensional shallow-ice approximation (SIA) model. We derive expressions for climate sensitivity and response time of glaciers assuming a time-independent volume–area scaling. These expressions are validated using a scaling-model simulation of the response of 703 synthetic glaciers from the central Himalaya to a step change in climate. The same experiment repeated with the SIA model yields about 2 times larger climate sensitivity and response time than those predicted by the scaling model. In addition, the SIA model obtains area response time that is about 1.5 times larger than the corresponding volume response time, whereas scaling models implicitly assume the two response times to be equal to each other. These results indicate the possibility of a low bias in the scaling model estimates of the long-term loss of glacier area and volume. The SIA model outputs are used to obtain parameterisations, climate sensitivity, and response time of glaciers as functions of ablation rate near the terminus, mass-balance gradient, and mean thickness. Using a linear-response model based on these parameterisations, we find that the linear-response model outperforms the scaling model in reproducing the glacier response simulated by the SIA model. This linear-response model may be useful for predicting the evolution of mountain glaciers on a global scale.

Superphosphate maintains soil fertility and beef production on grazed white clover pastures in the subtropics. 2. Liveweight responses of beef cattle

1993 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 435 ◽  
Author(s):  
PT Mears ◽  
BR Cullis
Keyword(s):  
White Clover ◽  
Linear Response ◽  
Exponential Model ◽  
Response Model ◽  
Quadratic Trend ◽  
Stocking Rate ◽  
Soil P ◽  
Stocking Rates ◽  
Extractable Soil

Growth of cattle was measured between 1974-75 and 1980-81 on a white clover (Trifolium repens) and carpet grass (Axonopus affinis) pasture receiving superphosphate applied at 0, 12, 24, and48 kg P/ha annually. Hereford weaner steers grazed the pastures at 1.67, 2.5, and 3.3 steers/ha. Linear responses to superphosphate and stocking rate were significant (P<0.001). The model estimating steer liveweight response to superphosphate comprised a long-term quadratic trend with seasonal variations. The liveweight response to superphosphate application was greatest in liveweight response to superphosphate applied at12 kg P/ha increased from 6.1 kg/steer.45 days in year 1 to 10.6 kg/steer.45 days in year 7. Average liveweight responses to 48 kg P/ha also increased from 34.0 kg/steer.45 days in year 1 to 78 kg/steer.45 days in year 7. Annual liveweight gain of steers at the low stocking rate (1.67/ha) without superphosphate declined from 165 kg/steer in year 1 to 38 kg/steer in year 7, while 24 kg P/ha maintained liveweight gain at 120-220 kg/steer. Annual liveweight gain was negatively related to stocking rate, averaging -31.3 kg/steer for each increment in stocking rate. Calculated stocking rates giving maximum liveweight production (122-469 kg/ha) varied between 2.2 and 3.6 steers/ha. Annual liveweight gain of steers was related to bicarbonate-extractable soil P using the exponential model, which accounted for 19% spring and least in autumn each year. Seasonal of the variation.It was concluded that maintenance dressings of superphosphate would be required when available soil P levels fell below 30 mg/kg, in order to maintain liveweight gains on white clover-Axonopus pastures. The linear response model will assist producers to decide on rates of superphosphate.

scholarly journals Shared socioeconomic pathways for climate change research in Finland: co-developing extended SSP narratives for agriculture

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Heikki S. Lehtonen ◽  
Jyrki Aakkula ◽  
Stefan Fronzek ◽  
Janne Helin ◽  
Mikael Hildén ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
National Level ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Climate Change Research ◽  
Food And Agriculture ◽  
Agriculture And Food ◽  
Farm Subsidies

AbstractShared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), developed at global scale, comprise narrative descriptions and quantifications of future world developments that are intended for climate change scenario analysis. However, their extension to national and regional scales can be challenging. Here, we present SSP narratives co-developed with stakeholders for the agriculture and food sector in Finland. These are derived from intensive discussions at a workshop attended by approximately 39 participants offering a range of sectoral perspectives. Using general background descriptions of the SSPs for Europe, facilitated discussions were held in parallel for each of four SSPs reflecting very different contexts for the development of the sector up to 2050 and beyond. Discussions focused on five themes from the perspectives of consumers, producers and policy-makers, included a joint final session and allowed for post-workshop feedback. Results reflect careful sector-based, national-level interpretations of the global SSPs from which we have constructed consensus narratives. Our results also show important critical remarks and minority viewpoints. Interesting features of the Finnish narratives compared to the global SSP narratives include greater emphasis on environmental quality; significant land abandonment in SSPs with reduced livestock production and increased plant-based diets; continued need for some farm subsidies across all SSPs and opportunities for diversifying domestic production under scenarios of restricted trade. Our results can contribute to the development of more detailed national long-term scenarios for food and agriculture that are both relevant for local stakeholders and researchers as well as being consistent with global scenarios being applied internationally.

Electron transfer with TD-Split, a linear response time-dependent method

2011 ◽  
Vol 391 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizette A. Bartell ◽  
Randa Reslan ◽  
Michael R. Wall ◽  
Robert D. Kennedy ◽  
Daniel Neuhauser
Keyword(s):  
Electron Transfer ◽  
Response Time ◽  
Linear Response ◽  
Time Dependent

scholarly journals Long-term O<sub>3</sub>–precursor relationships in Hong Kong: field observation and model simulation

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (18) ◽  
pp. 10919-10935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Wang ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Hai Guo ◽  
Xiaopu Lyu ◽  
Hairong Cheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Effective Control ◽  
Photochemical Pollution ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
The Past ◽  
Total Volatile Organic Compounds

Abstract. Over the past 10 years (2005–2014), ground-level O3 in Hong Kong has consistently increased in all seasons except winter, despite the yearly reduction of its precursors, i.e. nitrogen oxides (NOx =  NO + NO2), total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs), and carbon monoxide (CO). To explain the contradictory phenomena, an observation-based box model (OBM) coupled with CB05 mechanism was applied in order to understand the influence of both locally produced O3 and regional transport. The simulation of locally produced O3 showed an increasing trend in spring, a decreasing trend in autumn, and no changes in summer and winter. The O3 increase in spring was caused by the net effect of more rapid decrease in NO titration and unchanged TVOC reactivity despite decreased TVOC mixing ratios, while the decreased local O3 formation in autumn was mainly due to the reduction of aromatic VOC mixing ratios and the TVOC reactivity and much slower decrease in NO titration. However, the decreased in situ O3 formation in autumn was overridden by the regional contribution, resulting in elevated O3 observations. Furthermore, the OBM-derived relative incremental reactivity indicated that the O3 formation was VOC-limited in all seasons, and that the long-term O3 formation was more sensitive to VOCs and less to NOx and CO in the past 10 years. In addition, the OBM results found that the contributions of aromatics to O3 formation decreased in all seasons of these years, particularly in autumn, probably due to the effective control of solvent-related sources. In contrast, the contributions of alkenes increased, suggesting a continuing need to reduce traffic emissions. The findings provide updated information on photochemical pollution and its impact in Hong Kong.

Long-term legacy of delayed climate mitigation in global glacier response

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabien Maussion ◽  
Quentin Lejeune ◽  
Ben Marzeion ◽  
Matthias Mengel ◽  
David Rounce ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Mitigation ◽  
Delayed Response ◽  
Glacier Change ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Glacier Runoff ◽  
The Impact

&lt;p&gt;Mountain glaciers have a delayed response to climate change and are expected to continue to melt long after greenhouse gas emissions have stopped, with consequences both for sea-level rise and water resources. In this contribution, we use the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) to compute global glacier volume and runoff changes until the year 2300 under a suite of stylized greenhouse gas emission characterized by (i) the year at which anthropogenic emissions culminate, (ii) their reduction rates after peak emissions and (iii) whether they lead to a long-term global temperature stabilization or decline. We show that even under scenarios that achieve the Paris Agreement goal of holding global-mean temperature below 2&amp;#8201;&amp;#176;C, glacier contribution to sea-level rise will continue well beyond 2100. Because of this delayed response, the year of peak emissions (i.e. the timing of mitigation action) has a stronger influence on mit-term global glacier change than other emission scenario characteristics, while long-term change is dependent on all factors. We also discuss the impact of early climate mitigation on regional glacier change and the consequences for glacier runoff, both short-term (where some basins are expected to experience an increase of glacier runoff) and long-term (where all regions are expecting a net-zero or even negative glacier contribution to total runoff), underlining the importance of mountain glaciers for regional water availability at all timescales.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals An Optical Fiber Sensor Based on La2O2S:Eu Scintillator for Detecting Ultraviolet Radiation in Real-Time

Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 3754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongji Yan ◽  
Xu Zhang ◽  
Haopeng Li ◽  
Yu Ma ◽  
Tianci Xie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Optical Fiber ◽  
Response Time ◽  
Electromagnetic Interference ◽  
Uv Light ◽  
Optical Fiber Sensor ◽  
Temperature Response ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Fiber Sensor ◽  
Uv Detectors

A novel ultraviolet (UV) optical fiber sensor (UVOFS) based on the scintillating material La2O2S:Eu has been designed, tested, and its performance compared with other scintillating materials and other conventional UV detectors. The UVOFS is based on PMMA (polymethyl methacrylate) optical fiber which includes a scintillating material. Scintillating materials provide a unique opportunity to measure UV light intensity even in the presence of strong electromagnetic interference. Five scintillating materials were compared in order to select the most appropriate one for the UVOFS. The characteristics of the sensor are reported, including a highly linear response to radiation intensity, reproducibility, temperature response, and response time (to pulsed light) based on emission from a UV source (UV fluorescence tube) centered on a wavelength of 308 nm. A direct comparison with the commercially available semiconductor-based UV sensor proves the UVOFS of this investigation shows superior performance in terms of accuracy, long-term reliability, response time and linearity.

scholarly journals On the effect of short-term climate variability on mountain glaciers: insights from a case study

2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (217) ◽  
pp. 992-1006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Farinotti
Keyword(s):  
Climatic Variability ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Glacier Ice ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Model Set ◽  
Set Up

AbstractStudies addressing the response of glaciers to climate change have so far analyzed the effect of long-term trends in a particular set of meteorological variables only, implicitly assuming an unaltered climatic variability. Here a framework for distinguishing between year-to-year, month-to-month and day-to-day variability is proposed. Synthetically generated temperature and precipitation time series following the same long-term trend but with altered variability are then used to force an ice-dynamics model set up for Rhonegletscher, Swiss Alps. In the case of temperature, variations in the day-to-day variability are shown to have a larger effect than changes at the yearly scale, while in the case of precipitation, variability changes are assessed as having negligible impact. A first set of scenarios is used to show that compared to reference, doubling the temperature variability can reduce glacier ice volume by up to 64% within half a decade. A second set derived from the results of the European ENSEMBLES project, however, shows that such changes are expected to remain below 8% even for extreme scenarios. Although the latter results relativize the importance of the effect in the near future, the analyses indicate that at least caution is required when assuming ‘unchanged variability’.

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