scholarly journals Predicting Stock Return of UAE Listed Companies Using Financial Ratios

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
Arindam Banerjee

Over the past few decades, numerous research across the globe has been conducted to examine the impact of firm performance on its stock return. The findings of these studies have been varied. In spite of the long standing research in this area, several attempt towards exploring this relationship has led to limited success owing largely to the existence of volatility across different stock markets. The variance in the volatility in these markets make it extremely difficult to obtain a uniform measure. A volatile stock market makes it difficult for the accounting and financial variables to accurately predict the stock returns (Feris & Erin, 2018).  The primary aim of this paper is aimed to investigate whether financial ratios can be used as a predictor of stock returns in the context of United Arab Emirates (UAE). The sample of the study includes thirty companies from the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) and Abu Dhabi stock exchange (ADX). Data is collected for the period of 2017. This research comprises of five independent variables namely, Earning Per Share ratio (EPS), Price Earning ratio (PE), Return on Equity ratio (ROE), Dividend Yield ratio (DY) and Debt Equity ratio (DE) and stock return is taken as the dependent variable. The study examines which among the given ratios can better predict stock returns both in the short run and the long run. The analysis is based on the regression analysis and correlation matrix. The results of correlation test revealed less multicollinearity between the variables and the regression results showed that Dividend Yield and the Return on Equity are statistically significant to predict the stock returns. However, Earning Per Share, Price Earning and Debt Equity could not predict the stock returns and thus can be safely considered as statistically insignificant. The t-stats test and p-value analysis were key indicators for arriving at the conclusion. The study can significantly benefit investors who can examine closely the dividend yield and return on equity while selecting an optimal portfolio. 

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 546
Author(s):  
Mochammad Chabachib ◽  
Ike Setyaningrum ◽  
Hersugondo Hersugondo ◽  
Intan Shaferi ◽  
Imang Dapit Pamungkas

In the modern era, stock investment can attract domestic investors or foreign investors. The objective is to invest their funds at the capital market that expect higher stock returns. The study aims to analyze factors that can affect stock returns and know the mediating effect of return on equity. The object of this research is the property and real estate sector that is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2013 to 2018. This research used debt to equity ratio, current ratio, total asset turnover, firm size as independent variables and stock returns as dependent variables. Path analysis is used as reseach method tools with SMART PLS.The result says that debt to equity ratio and return on equity has a positive significant relationship with stock return, meanwhile firm size has a significant negative significant relationship with stock returns. Furthermore, return on equity can mediate the relationship between debt and equity ratios to stock returns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-97
Author(s):  
Romlina Romlina ◽  
Syahril Effendi

The purpose of this study was to determine the Effect of Financial Ratios on Stock Returns on LQ45 Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The independent variables used are Financial Ratios. The dependent variable used is Stock Return. The population in this study is the Current Ratio, Return on Equity, Debt to Equity Ratio, and Stock Return data on LQ45 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for 5 years from 2015-2019. The sample in this study is LQ45 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Data analysis techniques in this study include multiple linear regression. The test results in this study indicate that the Current Ratio variable has no significant effect on Stock Return. From the results of testing the variables above, the Current Ratio shows the calculated T value of -0.242 T value of the table 2.016 with a significance number 0.810> 0.05. The Return on Equity variable influences the Stock Return. From the results of testing the variables above, Return on Equity shows that the calculated T value of 2.232> T table value of 2.016 with a significance number of 0.031 <0.05. Debt to Equity Ratio variable has a significant effect on Stock Return. From the results of testing the variables above, Debt to Equity Ratio shows that the calculated T value of 5.923> T table value of 2.016 with a significance number of 0.000 <0.05. Current Ratio, Return on Equity, and Debt to Equity Ratio together have a significant effect on Stock Returns with the number that a significant value of 0,000 <0.05 and an F count of 14.498> F table of 3.21.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Nuri Maulana Ikhsan ◽  
Yohanes Rully Dermawan

This study aims to determine the effect of financial ratios on stock prices. Financial ratios used in this study is the Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, Total Asset Turnover, Earning Per Share, and Price to Book Value. The type of research used is quantitative to observe the effect of financial ratios on stock prices. This study used a purposive sampling method with a total sample of 20 companies registered in the LQ45 index for the period 2013-2017 and fulfilling the research criteria. The statistical method used is multiple linear regression analysis The results of this study indicate that partially, the variable debt to equity ratio, return on equity, total asset turnover, earnings per share, and price to book value have a significant partial effect on stock prices, while the current ratio variable does not have a partial significant effect on stock prices. Simultaneously the current ratio variable, debt to equity ratio, return on equity, total asset turnover, earnings per share, and price to book value have a significant simultaneous effect on stock prices. And the most dominant influential variable is earnings per share. Keywords:  Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, Total Asset Turnover, Earning Per Share, Price to Book Value, and Stock Price.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Susi Lusiana

The study of this research is to determine the effect of returning shares in manufacturing companies. This study uses the financial ratios contained in the company's financial statements. The financial ratios used in this study are the current ratio, return on equity, and earnings per share to stock returns in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange in 2010-2019. This type of research used in this research is quantitative and the analytical method used is purposive sampling using SPSS 21 as many 10 manufacturing companies in the food, beverage, textile, rubber goods (tires), fisheries, and agriculture sectors. Data collection techniques are used by retrieving data through the website www.idx.co.id. The results showed that Current Ratio (CR) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, Return On Equity (ROE) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, and Earning Per Share (EPS) has a negative and significant effect on Stock Return.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 063-076
Author(s):  
Ningsih Hikmawati ◽  
Adi Wiratno ◽  
Suyanto . ◽  
Darmansyah .

This study is aimed to ascertain and analyse the influence of return on assets, return on equity, debt to equit ratio, inflation, and interest rate, both partiall and simultaneously on the stock returns in manufacturing companies of secondary sectors listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. This research uses quantitative methods and EVIEWS panel 8 to analyse the regression. The population are manufacturing companies of secondary sector listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange consisted of basic and chemical sectors, miscellaneous industry, and consumer goods sector in the period of 2010-2015. The sampling method used is pusposive sampling with the final number of 40 companies. The research required secondary data. The results show that return on assets has no negative effect on stock return, mean while, return on equity and interest rate have positive effect on stock return. Return on assets, return on equity, debt to equity ratio, inflation and interest rate all simultaneously have effect on stock returns.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Animah Animah

The objective of this research was to know the impact of Price Earning Ratio, Price To Book Value Ratio, Debt To Equity Ratio, Return On Equity dan Sizeto the stock return period bullish. This research uses purposive sampling method with judgment and conducted for 27 manufacturing companies listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange during the period 2006-2007. The data was analysed by using multiple linear regression. The results showed that there is significant influence simultaneously (21.2%) and partially significant for the price earning ratio variable which is shown by the significance value of 0,05%. The results also show that other variables such as Price To Book Value Ratio, Debt To Equity Ratio, Return On Equity dan Sizeis not significant to the stock return period bullish. For the next researcher, it is suggested to add another variable like debt to asset ratio, Current ratio,Earning yieldand to expand the population (all go public companies). Keywords: price earning ratio, price to book value ratio, debt to equity ratio, return on equity, size, stock return


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 245-254
Author(s):  
Dirvi Surya Abbas ◽  
◽  
Imam Hidayat ◽  

Purpose: This study aimed to determine the impact on stock returns of food and beverage companies in Indonesia during the period 2013-2018 of instrument finance and systemic risk. Methodology: The sampling technique used purposive sampling. Based on the predetermined criteria, eight companies. Data used secondary data obtained from IDX. The method used is regression analysis logistic panel data. Results: Return on equity & systematic risk affected stock returns. Price earning ratio & debt to equity ratio did not affect stock returns. Limitation: The data used is only for food and beverage companies and does not include manufacturing companies as a whole. Contribution: Investors are expected to analyze the company's condition that will invest their capital; besides using technical analysis, it is also better to use fundamental analysis. Keywords: Instrument finance, Systematic risk, Return


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Dimas Ari Darmantyo ◽  
Shelva Kalay Shelwin

This research has tested some financial ratios of Earning Per Share, Price Earning Ratio and Return On Equity upon the Change of Shares Price at telecommunication company sector for the period of 2008 to 2017 to know the significance of those ratios, so that, it can be used by the investors to make a decision before investing their money. By having Time Series data of 2008 – 2017, this research has found out that the variables of Earning Per Shares (EPS) and Price Earning Ratio (PER) have significantly affected the change of shares price, but Return On Equity (ROE) has not significantly affected it. This research has indicated that the three independent variables (EPS, PER and ROE) have significantly affected shares price change. Keywords: Finance Ratio, Return On Equity, Earning Per Share, Price Earning Ratio and price of shares


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Indrian Trifena Suriadi Dan Indra Widjaja

This study aims to determine the effect of financial performance on stock returns in food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015 to 2017 simultaneously or partially. The variables used in this study are Earning Per Share (EPS), Debt To Equity Ratio (DER), Price Earning Ratio (PER), Return On Equity (ROE) as independent variables and stock return as the dependent variable.  The data used are financial statements from food and beverage companies published through the website ww.idx.co.id. The results of the study show that the independent variables EPS, DER, PER, ROE do not significantly influence the dependent variable (stock return) simultaneously. While the results of the study are partial, it shows that only EPS and ROE variables have a significant effect on stock returns. Thus it can be concluded that all the independent variables studied cannot be used simultaneously to determine the amount of stock returns. The data analysis method used in this study is a quantitative method by testing classical assumptions, as well as statistical analysis, namely multiple linear regression analysis. The sampling method used was purposive sampling.


Author(s):  
F. Rahal

Market Share Prices have important roles in determining the performance of the companies. Companies aim continuously to have a high market share prices for many goals. Therefore, understanding all variables that affect share prices is vital for investors. To examine if the Accounting Information affects market share prices, we studied the effect of some financial ratios determined from accounting statements on share prices for listed firms on Kuwait Stock Exchange and Saudi Stock Exchange. For Kuwait stock exchange, the quantitative methodology relied on the panel multiple regression through compiling and analyzing the Accounting Information and Market Share Price using secondary data for the period 2011 – 2018. The independent variables are Return on Equity (ROE), Earning per Share (EPS), and Dividend per Share(DPS) and the dependent variable is Market Share Price (MSP) of premier listed companies on Kuwait stock exchange. The analysis of the coefficient of correlation (R) shows that the correlation is very strong among DPS and EPS, DPS and ROE, EPS and ROE whilst it is strong among MSP and ROE, MSP and DPS, and EPS and MSP. Moreover, the variation of the three variables affects strongly the variation of MSP significantly on 1%. Therefore, there is a cause-effect relation between Accounting Information and MSP. Moreover, this paper examines the impact of return and leverage ratios on the Market Share Price of listed firms on Saudi Stock Exchange. The panel-data approach of fixed effect is used during the period of 2015 to 2018. To achieve the purpose of research return on equity as a proxy for profitability information, debt to equity ratio as a proxy for profitability ratio and natural logarithm of total assets as a proxy for the firms’ size are considered as dependent variables while market share price is considered as an independent variable. The results indicate that debt ratio and degree of financial leverage is negatively determining the share price while size has significant positive impact on the share. Debt to equity ratio is insignificant in effecting share price.


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