scholarly journals Analisis Tren Perubahan Intensitas Hujan (Studi Kasus: Jakarta dan Bogor)

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-172
Author(s):  
Tias Ravena Maitsa ◽  
Arno Adi Kuntoro ◽  
Deni Septiadi

Rainfall intensity and drainage channel capacity are the main inputs in flood management infrastructure planning. The Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curve in a region has a different pattern from other regions. This study examines the temporal distribution pattern of rain and the IDF curve with case studies of the Jakarta and Bogor, represented by Kemayoran Rainfall Station and Citeko Rainfall Station, respectively. This study compared data analysis from the above stations with the ABM Method, Modified Mononobe, Indonesian National Standard for Calculating Flood Discharge, and Indonesian National Standard for Road Surface Drainage Design. The analysis results showed that the rainfall event in the Jakarta and Bogor areas was dominated by events of ≤ 4 hours with the highest percentage of rainfall volume at the beginning of the event (at the first two hours of the event). The observed hourly rainfall data has a significant difference pattern with the rainfall distribution calculated using the ABM and Modified Mononobe methods. The IDF curve obtained from the Base Curve on the Indonesian National Standard for Road Surface Drainage Design gives higher results than the IDF curve of the observation data. Meanwhile, the IDF curve calculated using the Mononobe Equation gives lower results than the IDF curve of the observation data. This study shows that standard design of rainfall duration and rainfall intensity for drainage infrastructure planning and flood management need to be continuously developed based on the latest observational data with better temporal and spatial resolution. Continuous effort in improving codes and design standard needs to be conducted to respond to climate change challenges, dynamic regional developments, and the increasing trend of flood events in Indonesia.

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Ghazavi ◽  
Ali Moafi Rabori ◽  
Mohsen Ahadnejad Reveshty

Abstract. Estimate design storm based on rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves is an important parameter for hydrologic planning of urban areas. The main aim of this study was to estimate rainfall intensities of Zanjan city watershed based on overall relationship of rainfall IDF curves and appropriate model of hourly rainfall estimation (Sherman method, Ghahreman and Abkhezr method). Hydrologic and hydraulic impacts of rainfall IDF curves change in flood properties was evaluated via Stormwater Management Model (SWMM). The accuracy of model simulations was confirmed based on the results of calibration. Design hyetographs in different return periods show that estimated rainfall depth via Sherman method are greater than other method except for 2-year return period. According to Ghahreman and Abkhezr method, decrease of runoff peak was 30, 39, 41 and 42 percent for 5-10-20 and 50-year return periods respectively, while runoff peak for 2-year return period was increased by 20 percent.


2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (12) ◽  
pp. 3390-3396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rucong Yu ◽  
Jian Li ◽  
Weihua Yuan ◽  
Haoming Chen

Abstract Using hourly station rain gauge data during 1966–2005, the authors studied changes in the characteristics of the late-summer (July–August) rainfall, which has exhibited a so-called southern flooding and northern drought (SFND) pattern over eastern China in recent decades. Although the rainfall amount and frequency have significantly increased (decreased) in the mid–lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley (North China) during this period, the rainfall intensity has decreased (increased). This finding differs from previous results based on daily data, which showed that the rainfall intensity has increased in the mid–lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley. In this region, the mean rainfall hours on rainy days have increased because of the prolonged rainfall duration, which has led to an increased daily rainfall amount and to a decreased hourly rainfall intensity. Results also show that the SFND pattern is mostly attributed to changes in precipitation with moderate and low intensity (≤10 mm h−1), which contributes 65% (96%) of rainfall amount to the “flooding” (“drought”) in the mid–lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley. Neither frequency nor amount of strong intensity (>20 mm h−1) rainfall exhibits the SFND pattern.


ASTONJADRO ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 132
Author(s):  
Mohammad Imamuddin ◽  
Dwi Cahyanto

<p>Sindang street, which is located in North Rawabadak Sub-district, Koja District, is one of the areas in North Jakarta Administrative City which is an area that is prone to flooding. Even though a working pump house is available, there are still puddles in several places. One of the problems that occur is the channel that drains water into the storage pool narrowing due to sedimentation in the channel. By analyzing the channel using the Log Pearson III distribution method using data obtained from the STA Tanjung Priok Rainfall Station, the rainfall intensity that occurs in a 5 year cycle is 170.748 mm, the Mononobe equation is used to find the intensity of rain per hour that occurs. Then it can be searched for the planned rain discharge using a Rational Method so that it is known that there are 2 channels, namely (P and Q) unable to accommodate the rainfall that occurs.</p>


Author(s):  
S.Y. Iryani

Mt. Merapi cold lava disasters in 2010 had caused a lot of public infrastructure and facilities in the area around Mt. Merapi were damaged, due to the occurrence of debris flows triggered by extreme rainfall. Analysis of extreme rainfall characteristics are conducted to determine the pattern of distribution of the amount of hourly rainfall  in the slopes of Mt. Merapi. To reduce the negative impact caused by cold lava flood, it is necessary to plan an Early Warning System (EWS) and the proper evacuation measures. EWS based Rainfall intensity, can refer to the Critical Line Curve. The research  results showed the greatest rainfall intensity occurred in the Mt. Maron station Pwith the cumulative relative frequency of rainfall intensity >20 mm/hr in between the years 1988 to 2010 with 6.74%. Analysis of the incidence of the most extreme hourly rainfall of 14 rainfall stations in the slopes of Mt. Merapi in 1988 to 2010 occurred in kemasan station in 2010 with 621.5 mm in January at 6:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. Critical Line Curve Kali Gendol rain station Batur, Deles and Sorosan, non-causing rainfall in the dangerous area is 24 events (13.79%), causing rainfall in the dangerous area is 4 events (2.30%) and non-causing rainfall in the safety area is 146 events (83.91%). Cumulative Relative frequency rainfall intensity >20 mm/hr at rainfall stations close to the Kali Gendol i.e. Batur, Deles and Sorosan rainfall station from the highest to the lowest are   2.74%, 2.33% and 1.70%, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 893 (1) ◽  
pp. 012011
Author(s):  
L Agustina ◽  
A Safril

Abstract Landslide is one of the natural disasters that can cause a lot of loss, both material and fatalities. Banjarnegara Regency is one of Central Java Province regencies where landslides often occur due to the region's topography and high intensity rainfall.. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the threshold of rainfall that can trigger landslides to be used as an early warning for landslides. The rainfall data used for the threshold is daily and hourly rainfall intensity from remote sensing data that provides complete data but relatively rough resolution. So that remote sensing data need to be re-sampled. The remote sensing data used is CMORPH satellite data that has been re-sampled for detailing existing information of rainfall data. The resampling method used is the bilinear method and nearest neighbor by choosing between the two based on the highest correlation. Threshold calculation using Cumulative Threshold (CT) method resulted equation P3 = 7.0354 - 1.0195P15 and Intensity Duration (ID) method resulted equation I = 1.785D-0305. The peak rainfall intensity occurs at the threshold of 97-120 hours before a landslide occur.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 1999-2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gérémy Panthou ◽  
Alain Mailhot ◽  
Edward Laurence ◽  
Guillaume Talbot

Abstract Recent studies have examined the relationship between the intensity of extreme rainfall and temperature. Two main reasons justify this interest. First, the moisture-holding capacity of the atmosphere is governed by the Clausius–Clapeyron (CC) equation. Second, the temperature dependence of extreme-intensity rainfalls should follow a similar relationship assuming relative humidity remains constant and extreme rainfalls are driven by the actual water content of the atmosphere. The relationship between extreme rainfall intensity and air temperature (Pextr–Ta) was assessed by analyzing maximum daily rainfall intensities for durations ranging from 5 min to 12 h for more than 100 meteorological stations across Canada. Different factors that could influence this relationship have been analyzed. It appears that the duration and the climatic region have a strong influence on this relationship. For short durations, the Pextr–Ta relationship is close to the CC scaling for coastal regions while a super-CC scaling followed by an upper limit is observed for inland regions. As the duration increases, the slope of the relationship Pextr–Ta decreases for all regions. The shape of the Pextr–Ta curve is not sensitive to the percentile or season. Complementary analyses have been carried out to understand the departures from the expected Clausius–Clapeyron scaling. The relationship between dewpoint temperature and extreme rainfall intensity shows that the relative humidity is a limiting factor for inland regions, but not for coastal regions. Using hourly rainfall series, an event-based analysis is proposed in order to understand other deviations (super-CC, sub-CC, and monotonic decrease). The analyses suggest that the observed scaling is primarily due to the rainfall event dynamic.


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