nonlinear rolling
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2021 ◽  
Vol 152 (A1) ◽  
Author(s):  
I Bačkalov

The author was previously involved in the development of the risk-based stability analysis which is now further extended, and used for the safety assessment of estuary container vessels subjected to stochastic action of beam wind and irregular waves. The study was motivated by the new set of safety regulations for estuary vessels issued by Belgian authorities in cooperation with Lloyd’s Register. These regulations introduce very innovative probabilistic ideas to ship stability regulations, and therefore present a significant step forward compared to the classical approach. Still, they do not account properly some important influences, such as wind gusts and motion nonlinearities, so considerably simplify the problem. The present investigation models the vessel motion much more realistically, analyzes the influence of beam wind and beam waves on the probability of a stability failure, and argues whether simplifications proposed by the regulations were justified. It is believed that presented method is not limited to the safety of estuary vessels only, but also gives important guidelines for a more general investigation of ship safety in wind and waves.


2021 ◽  
Vol 152 (A3) ◽  
Author(s):  
I Bačkalov

In the first place the discusser would like to congratulate Dr. Bačkalov with his paper, in which he assesses the new Belgian safety regulations for estuary vessels by means of a non-linear approach taking account the effect of a combination of beam waves and unsteady beam wind. The results presented are based on a solid, scientific background, and the author’s approach as published in former papers can be considered as the base of a promising methodology for evaluating the stability and safety of a vessel in waves and wind. As the discusser has supported the Belgian federal authorities in defining the methodology and formulating the present regulations, it is a pleasure to learn that the implementation of the latter is considered as a significant step in the general improvement of ship safety regulations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 84 ◽  
pp. 782-798 ◽  
Author(s):  
Momtaz Abadir ◽  
Sezsy Yusuf ◽  
Alessandro Pontillo ◽  
Mudassir Lone

2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 1750016 ◽  
Author(s):  
SERDAR ONGAN ◽  
ISMET GOCER

This study aims to investigate the causal relationships between the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index and the US stock indices the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 over the period of 1985M10–2016M12. To this aim, it is applied both linear causality and the nonlinear rolling window causality tests. The long-run analyses are also applied to reveal the elasticities of the US stock indices. The empirical findings indicate that both the linear and the nonlinear approaches support the evidence of causal relationships from the US EPU index to all the US stock indices. Additionally, it is also found some evidences of causal relationships from these three US stock indices to the US EPU index especially between 2008–2013 in the latest financial crisis and in the late 2016. The results indicate that the Nasdaq 100 index is mostly affected from the US EPU index both in the short and long-runs.


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