A nomogram of clinical and biologic factors to predict survival in children newly diagnosed with high‐risk neuroblastoma: An International Neuroblastoma Risk Group project

Abstract Abstract 846 We had previously reported a well tolerated regimen using single agent arsenic trioxide (ATO) (Blood 2006:107; 2627) leading to durable remissions in patients with newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). Briefly, the regimen consisted of ATO (10mg/day for adults and 0.15mg/kg/day for pediatric patients) for up to 60 days in induction; this was followed by a 28 day consolidation after a 4 week break. Four weeks after completion of consolidation, patients received ATO for 10 days/month for 6 months. A concern with the previous report was the relatively short duration of follow up. Here we report the long term follow-up data of the same cohort. As previously reported, 72 newly diagnosed cases of APL were enrolled. 62 patients (86.1%) achieved hematological remission. The remaining died prior to achieving remission. There were no primary induction failures. Twenty two (30.6%) of these patients were considered good risk group (WBC count at diagnosis <5×109/L and a platelet count >20×109/L), the rest were considered high risk. Since publication of the last report an additional 7 patients have relapsed to give a total of 13 relapses, 2 were in the good risk group and the remaining 11 in the high risk group. The relapses in the good risk group were salvaged with an autologous SCT and have durable continued second remissions. The median time to relapse was 1.5 years. Five (38.52%) of these relapses occurred beyond 2 years and included both relapses in the good risk group. At a median follow-up of 58 months the 5-year Kaplan-Meier overall survival (OS), event free survival (EFS) and disease free survival (DFS) of the entire cohort was 74.22±5.26%, 68.93±5.52% and 80.00±5.17% respectively. The 5-year OS and EFS of the good risk and high risk group was 100±00% vs. 63.30±6.9% and 90.00±6.71% vs. 59.66±6.99% respectively. Beyond induction, all deaths followed relapse of disease. There were no second malignancies reported. Besides the previously reported toxicities, which were mild and transient in most cases, there were no new toxicities that were reported on continued follow up of these cases. Since completion of therapy, in spite of counseling and advising against pregnancy, 3 males and 4 females in the reproductive age group have had 8 normal children. No abortions, still births or fetal defects were reported among patients in the reproductive age group in this cohort. Hair and nail samples from 5 cases that had completed maintenance therapy more than 24 months earlier have been collected for analysis, the results of which are awaited. At our center the cost of administering this regimen is a quarter of that of a conventional ATRA plus anthracycline based regimen. Additionally, after the initial induction therapy the rest of the treatment did not require hospital admission nor did it result in any Grade III/IV hematological toxicity. Single agent ATO based regimen as reported previously is well tolerated, results in durable remissions and does not have any significant late side effects. In the good risk group it is associated with excellent clinical outcomes while in the high risk group additional interventions are probably required to reduce the risk of late relapses. In a resource constrained environment it is probably the best option. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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A Simple Clinical Prognostic Scoring System for Newly Diagnosed Cytogenetically Normal Acute Myeloid Leukemia: a Retrospective Analysis on 530 Patients

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v116.21.4848.4848 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 116 (21) ◽

pp. 4848-4848

Author(s):

Michele Malagola ◽

Crisitina Skert ◽

Marco Vignetti ◽

Alfonso Piciocchi ◽

Giovanni Martinelli ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Myeloid Leukemia ◽

Regression Coefficient ◽

Risk Group ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Training Set ◽

Secondary Aml ◽

Induction Regimen ◽

Validation Set

Abstract Abstract 4848 Objectives: the prognosis of patients with cytogenetically normal acute myeloid leukemia (CN-AML) is highly variable and can be influenced by several clinical and biological variables. Nevertheless, some biological data may be conflicting and difficult to combine with the clinical ones. Methods: in order to propose a simple scoring system, we retrospectively analysed the clinical data of 337 patients newly diagnosed with CN-AMLs, aged less than 65 years, consecutively treated in eleven hematological Italian Centres from 1990 to 2005. Two hundred nineteen patients (65%) received a fludarabine-based induction regimen. All the other patients received a conventional induction regimen, including cytarabine, one anthracycline with or without etoposide. Univariate and multivariate analysis on event free survival and overall survival (EFS and OS) were performed. Patients addressed to allogeneic stem cell transplantation were censored at the time of transplant. Factors found to be significant in univariate analysis were tested in multivariate analysis. A numerical score was derived from the regression coefficients of each independent prognostic variable. The Prognostic Index Score (PIS) for each patient was then calculated by totalling up the score of each independent variable. Patients could thus be stratified into low-risk (score = 0–1), intermediate-risk (score = 2) and high-risk group (score grater than 3). The score obtained in this group of patients (training set) was then tested on 193 patients with newly diagnosed with CN-AMLs, aged less than 65 years, enrolled in the GIMEMA LAM99p clinical trial (validation set). Results: the clinical variables that were independent prognostic factors on EFS in the training set of patients were: age > 50 yrs (regression coefficient: 0.39, HR 1.5, score = 1), secondary AML (regression coefficient: 0.90, HR 2.5, score = 2) and WBC > 20 × 10^9/L (regression coefficient: 0.83, HR 2.3, score = 2). For what concerns the OS, the same variables showed the followings statistical data: age > 50 yrs (regression coefficient: 0.48, HR 1.6, score = 1), secondary AML (regression coefficient: 0.99, HR 2.7, score = 2) and WBC > 20 × 10^ 9/L (regression coefficient: 0.87, HR 2.4, score = 2). In the training set of patients, the median EFS was 22, 12 and 8 months in the low, intermediate and high-risk group (p<0.0001). The median OS was not reached in the low-risk group and was 20 and 10 months in the intermediate and high-risk group (p<0.0001). In the validation set of patients, the median EFS was 66, 16 and 3 months in the low, intermediate and high-risk group (p<0.0001). The median OS was 66, 16 and 4 months in the low, intermediate and high-risk group (p<0.0001). Conclusions: this simple and reproducible prognostic score may be useful for clinical-decision making in newly diagnosed patients with CN-AMLs, aged less than 65 yrs. Moreover, it can be clinically useful when the molecular prognostic markers are lacking (e.g. in emerging laboratories of some developing countries) or give contradictory results. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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Differences In Community and Academic Practice Patterns For Newly Diagnosed Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS) Patients In Minnesota: A Population Based Study

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v122.21.2798.2798 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 122 (21) ◽

pp. 2798-2798 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Daniel Pease ◽

Julie A Ross ◽

Phuong L. Nguyen ◽

Betsy Hirsch ◽

Adina Cioc ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Supportive Care ◽

Practice Patterns ◽

Risk Group ◽

Population Based ◽

Low Risk ◽

Risk Scores ◽

First Year ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Population Based Study

Abstract Introduction Expanding treatment options for MDS have changed therapeutic decision-making for clinicians. To better characterize therapeutic choices in newly diagnosed MDS, we report the practice patterns captured during the first year of MDS diagnosis for patients enrolled in our statewide population-based study. We highlight a comparison of treatment in community and academic centers. Methods Adults in Minnesota with MDS (AIMMS) is a statewide prospective population-based study conducted by the University of Minnesota (UMN), Mayo Clinic, and Minnesota Department of Health. Starting in April 2010, all newly diagnosed adult cases (ages 20+) of MDS were invited to participate. After patient enrollment, central review was performed consisting of independent hematopathology and cytogenetic review coupled with oncologist chart review assigning prognostic risk scores [International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) and IPSS-R (Revised)] and abstracting treatment exposures. All enrolled patients with one year follow-up were included in this analysis. Treatment was divided into supportive, active, transplant, or other. Supportive care included observation, growth factors, and transfusions. Active care included azacitidine, decitabine, lenalidomide, or 7+3 chemotherapy. Academic centers were defined as the UMN and Mayo Clinic; all other centers were designated as community based practices. Results The median patient age was 73 years, with 68% males. IPSS and IPSS-R risk scores were calculated for 100% and 97% of patients, respectively. Treatment choices stratified by IPSS risk group showed 89% low risk, 53% INT-1, 31% INT-2, and 13% high risk with supportive care; active and transplant strategies were utilized for 9% low risk, 44% INT-1, 64% INT-2, and 88% high risk. INT-1 in the community received 70% supportive treatment, in academic 35%. Active treatment for INT-1 was 30% in community and 45% in academic. Community INT-2 received supportive care in 45% of cases, in academic 23%. Transplants were limited to academic centers, with the highest rate in INT-2 at 34%. Among community diagnoses, 100% of high risk, 52% INT-2, 26% INT-1, and 13% low risk were referred to an academic center. Comparison of age <65 and 65+ years showed 83% of transplants occurred in those <65. INT-2/high risk group patients <65 received 95% active therapy or transplant, compared to 51% of those 65+. Discussion This prospective, population based study provides a well-defined patient cohort based on central review of pathologic and clinical data. Evaluation of practice patterns during the first year after diagnosis showed higher utilization of active and transplant treatment strategies as IPSS risk score increased. Further, compared to community, higher utilization occurred for patients at academic centers, suggesting more aggressive treatment in these settings. Age was also a predictor of treatment choice. In addition, referral patterns followed IPSS score. Whether these treatment differences are driven by patient preference and/or translate into improved disease control and decreased mortality requires continued prospective analysis and will be detailed in future reports. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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Bortezomib Plus Melphalan and Prednisone (VMP) Followed By Lenalidomide and Dexamethasone (Rd) in Newly Diagnosed Elderly Myeloma Patients Overcome the Poor Prognosis of High-Risk Cytogenetic Abnormalities (CA) Detected By Fluorescence in Situ Hibridization (FISH)

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v126.23.4243.4243 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 126 (23) ◽

pp. 4243-4243 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Maria-Victoria Mateos ◽

Norma C Gutierrez ◽

María-Luisa Martín ◽

Joaquín Martínez-López ◽

Miguel T Hernandez ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Elderly Patients ◽

Poor Prognosis ◽

Plasma Cells ◽

Risk Group ◽

Fish Analysis ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

The Poor ◽

Risk Patients ◽

Standard Risk

Abstract Background: Novel insights into the biology of myeloma cells have led to the identification of relevant prognosis factors. CA has become one of the most important prognostic factors, and the presence of t(4;14), t(14;16) or del(17p) are associated with poor prognosis. Although there are some reports indicating that 1q gains may be considered as a poor-risk feature, the information is not uniform. Furthermore, there are important controversies about whether or not novel agents-based combinations are able to overcome the poor prognosis of CA. Bortezomib-based combinations have shown to improve the outcome of patients with high-risk CA but they do not completely overcome their adverse prognosis. Here we report a preplanned analysis, in a series of elderly newly diagnosed myeloma patients included in the Spanish GEM2010 trial and receiving VMP and Rd, in a sequential or alternating approach, in order to evaluate the influence of CA by FISH on the response rate and outcome. Patients and methods: 242 pts were randomized to receive a sequential scheme consisting on 9 cycles of VMP followed by 9 cycles of Rd or the same regimens in an alternating approach (one cycle of VMP alternating with one Rd, up to 18 cycles. VMP included the iv administration of weekly bortezomib (except in the first cycle that was given twice weekly) at 1.3 mg/m2 in combination with oral melphalan 9 mg/m2 and prednisone 60 mg/m2 once daily on days 1-4. Rd treatment consisted on lenalidomide 25 mg daily on days 1-21 plus dexamethasone 40 mg weekly. FISH analysis for t(4;14), t(14;16), del(17p) and 1q gains was performed at diagnosis according to standard procedures using purified plasma cells. Results: In 174 out of the 233 patients evaluable for efficacy and safety, FISH analysis at diagnosis were available and two groups were identified: high-risk group (n= 32 patients with t(4;14) and/or t(14;16) and/or del(17p)) and standard-risk group (n=142 patients without high-risk CA). There weren't differences in the rates of CA according to the treatment arm. Response Rates (RR) were no different in the high-risk vs standard-risk groups, both in the sequential (74% vs 79% RR and 42% vs 39% CR) and alternating arms (69% vs 86% RR and 39% vs 38% CR). After a median follow-up of 37 months, high-risk patients showed shorter PFS as compared to standard risk in the alternating arm (24 versus 36 months, p=0.01, HR 2.2, 95% IC 1.1-4.2) and this also translated into a significantly shorter 4-years OS (27% vs 72%, p=0.006, HR 3.3, 95% IC 1.4-7.7). However, in the sequential arm, high-risk and standard-risk patients showed similar PFS (32 months vs 30 months) and 4-years OS (64% vs 60%). This effect was observed only in the sequential arm applied to either t(4;14) or del(17p). As far as 1q gains is concerned, 151 patients had 1q information and 76 of them had 1q gains (50.3%), defined as the presence of more than 3 copies in at least 10% of plasma cells. The rate of 1q gains was well balanced in both sequential and alternating arms. The ORR was similar in patients with or without 1q gains (83% vs 80%) as well as the CR rate (45% vs 31%), and no differences were observed between sequential and alternating arms. Patients with or without 1q gains had a similar PFS (33 months vs 30 months) and 4-years OS (58% vs 65%) in the whole series and no differences were observed in the sequential and alternating arms. This effect has been observed in patients with 1q gains as isolated CA and the outcome was slightly but not significantly worse when 1q gains were present plus either t(4;14) and/or del17p. Conclusions: The total therapy approach including VMP and Rd administered in a sequential approach is able to overcome the poor prognosis of the presence of high-risk CA in elderly patients with newly diagnosed MM. The presence of 1q gains has no impact in the PFS and OS of elderly patients treated with VMP and Rd. Disclosures Mateos: Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Onyx: Consultancy; Janssen-Cilag: Consultancy, Honoraria; Takeda: Consultancy. Gironella:Celgene Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria. Paiva:BD Bioscience: Consultancy; Binding Site: Consultancy; Sanofi: Consultancy; EngMab AG: Research Funding; Onyx: Consultancy; Millenium: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy. Puig:Janssen: Consultancy; The Binding Site: Consultancy. San Miguel:Millennium: Honoraria; Janssen-Cilag: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Celgene: Honoraria; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Onyx: Honoraria; Sanofi-Aventis: Honoraria.

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Significance of Modified Risk Stratification Msmart 3.0 and Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation for Patients with Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2019-130092 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 5593-5593

Author(s):

Andrey Garifullin ◽

Sergei Voloshin ◽

Vasily Shuvaev ◽

Irina Martynkevich ◽

Elizaveta Kleina ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multiple Myeloma ◽

High Risk ◽

Risk Stratification ◽

Risk Group ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Prognostic Impact ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Genetic Abnormalities ◽

Standard Risk

Background The risk-stratification systems are repeatedly updated in accordance with the emergence of new information about the prognostic impact of anomalies and other factors. The most extensive and modern system in this time is mSMART risk stratification involving many parameters such as genetic anomalies, albumin, beta-2-microglobulin, LDH, Plasma Cell S-phase and GEP levels. It is possible to use risk-adapted treatment programs with or without ASCT. Nevertheless, the role of complex karyotype, combination of genetic abnormalities and ASCT remains unclear. Aims To estimate the genetic abnormalities in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma and define the role of risk-stratification and ASCT in prognosis of disease. Methods The study included 159 patients (median age 63 years, range 28 - 83; male: female ratio - 1:1.37) with NDMM. Metaphase cytogenetics on bone marrow samples was done by standard GTG-method. FISH analyses were performed according to the manufacturer's protocol for detection primary IgH translocations, 13q (13q14/13q34) deletion, 1p32/1q21 amplification/deletion, P53/cen 17 deletion (MetaSystems DNA probes). We additional searched the t(4;14), t(6;14), t(11;14), t(14;16) and t(14;20) in patients with IgH translocation. All patient was treated by bortezomib-based programs (VD, CVD, VMP, PAD). ASCT was performed at 42% patients. Results The frequency of genetic abnormalities in NDMM patients was 49% (78/159). IgH translocation was detected in 26.4% (42/159) patients: t(11;14) - 16.3% (26/159), t(4;14) - 5.0% (8/159); TP53/del17p - 5.6% (9/159); 1p32/1q21 amp/del - 12% (19/159); hypodiploidy - 3.1% (5/159); hyperdiploidy - 1.25% (2/159); del5q - 0,6% (1/159); other - not found. Combination two aberrations was discovered in 11.9% (19/159) patients, complex abnormalities (>3 aberrations) - in 4.4% (7/159) patients. The median OS in "two aberration" and "complex abnormalities" groups were lower than in standard-risk mSMART 3.0 (normal, t(11;14), hypodiploidy, hyperdiploidy and other): 49 months, 26 months and was not reached, respectively (p=.00015). The median PFS for these groups was 12 months, 11 months and 30 months, respectively (p=.011). Differences between "two aberration" and "complex abnormalities" groups were not find (p> .05). We modified high-risk (gain 1q, p53 mutation, del 17p deletion, t(4;14), t(14;16), t(14;20), R-ISS stage III, double and triple hit myeloma) mSMART 3.0 by adding "two aberration" and "complex abnormalities" groups on based the OS and PFS results. The final analysis was based on the results of the complex examination of 87 patients: 53 patients in standard-risk group and 34 patients in high-risk group. The median OS in standard-risk mSMART 3.0 was not reached, in high-risk mSMART 3.0mod - 48 months; 5-years OS was 62% and 38%, respectively (p=0.0073). The median PFS was 43 and 29 months, respectively (p=.09). The best results of OS and PFS were reach in both groups of patient who performed ASCT. The median OS in standard-risk mSMART 3.0 with ASCT (n=37) was not reached, in high-risk mSMART 3.0mod with ASCT - 48 months (n=20); standard-risk mSMART 3.0 without ASCT - 40 months (n=16); in high-risk mSMART 3.0mod without ASCT - 22 months (n=14); 5-years OS was 81%, 60%, 33% and 28%, respectively (p=0.0015). The median PFS was not reached, 46, 22 and 19 months, respectively (p=.017). Conclusions The combination of two aberrations and complex abnormalities is unfavorable prognostic markers. The median OS and PFS was higher in standard-risk than high-risk group according mSMART 3.0mod. The ASCT can improve treatment's outcomes and life expectancy especially in patients with high-risk. It can be useful for update risk stratification in a future. Disclosures Shuvaev: Novartis: Consultancy; Pfize: Honoraria; Fusion Pharma: Consultancy; BMS: Consultancy.

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Cause of death in patients with newly diagnosed chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) stratified by the CLL-International Prognostic Index (CLL-IPI).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2020.38.15_suppl.8026 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. 8026-8026

Author(s):

Yucai Wang ◽

Sara J Achenbach ◽

Kari G. Rabe ◽

Tait D. Shanafelt ◽

Timothy Call ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Cause Of Death ◽

Risk Group ◽

International Prognostic Index ◽

Prognostic Index ◽

Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Second Malignancies ◽

Very High

8026 Background: CLL progression and CLL-related complications (infections and second malignancies) were the leading cause of death (COD) in a prospective cohort of CLL patients (Strati, BJH 2017). The CLL-IPI integrates major clinical and molecular prognostic factors and stratifies patients into 4 risk groups with distinct prognosis. It is unknown if COD differs according to CLL-IPI risk group in patients with newly diagnosed CLL. Methods: Patients diagnosed with CLL between 1/2000-12/2019 and seen within 1 year of diagnosis were identified from the Mayo Clinic CLL database. Cumulative incidences of cause-specific death were analyzed using Gray’s test, with deaths from different causes treated as competing events and deaths from unknown causes excluded. Results: 1276 patients were included in this study. The median age at diagnosis was 63 years (range 24-92), and 880 (69%) were male. Based on CLL-IPI score, 449 (35%) had low risk disease, 443 (35%) had intermediate risk disease, and 384 (30%) had high/very high risk disease. Median follow-up time for the study was 6 years; 286 deaths occurred. The COD was CLL progression in 99 (35%), infection in 16 (6%), second malignancy in 47 (16%), CLL-unrelated in 59 (21%), and unknown in 65 (23%) patients. The rates of death due to CLL progression were higher (17.3% at 5 years; 30.3% at 10 years) than the rates due to CLL-related complications (5.7% at 5 years; 12.9% at 10 years) or due to CLL-unrelated causes (8.6% at 5 years; 16.9% at 10 years) in the CLL-IPI high/very high risk group, but not the CLL-IPI low or intermediate risk group (Table). A higher CLL-IPI risk group was associated with a higher rate of death due to CLL progression ( P < 0.001), as well as a higher rate of death due to CLL-related complications ( P = 0.013), and CLL-unrelated causes ( P < 0.001). Conclusions: Causes of death in newly diagnosed CLL patients differ according to their CLL-IPI risk group. In patients with high/very high risk CLL, improving CLL disease control with novel agents seems justified. In patients with low/intermediate risk CLL, there should be increased efforts to reverse immune dysfunction to reduce infections and second malignancies. [Table: see text]

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Pretreatment Cytogenetic Abnormalities Are Predictive of Induction Success, Cumulative Incidence of Relapse and Overall Survival in Patients >60 Years of Age with Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia.

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v106.11.3293.3293 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 106 (11) ◽

pp. 3293-3293

Author(s):

Richard F. Schlenk ◽

Sabine Kayser ◽

Martina Morhardt ◽

Konstanze Döhner ◽

Hartmut Döhner ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Overall Survival ◽

High Risk ◽

Myeloid Leukemia ◽

Risk Group ◽

Normal Karyotype ◽

Risk Groups ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Balanced Translocations ◽

Acute Myeloid

Abstract Purpose: Karyotype at diagnosis provides the most important prognostic information in younger adults with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). However, there are few data available looking in particular at patients (pts.) above 60 years of age. We prospectively analyzed 361 elderly pts. with newly diagnosed AML. All pts. were treated within the AMLHD98B treatment trial and received intensive induction and consolidation therapy. Pts. exhibiting a t(15;17) received an age-adjusted AIDA-regimen. Median follow-up time was 48 months. The median age was 67 years (range 60–85 years). Results: 160 pts. had a normal karyotype (44%); 48 pts. (13%) exhibited the balanced translocations t(8;21) (n=12), inv(16) (n=14), t(15;17) (n=11), or t(11q23) (n=11); in the absence of these balanced translocations, 73 pts. exhibited a single aberration, 179 pts. two aberrations, and 61 pts. a complex karyotype (≥3 aberrations; including 44 pts. with 5 or more aberrations). Analyses were normalized to the complete remission (CR) rate (52%), cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) (77%) and overall survival (OS) (13%) after 4 years of pts. with normal karyotype. Pts. exhibiting a t(15;17) showed a significantly better CIR (29%) and OS (55%), whereas pts. with the other balanced translocations [t(8;21), inv(16)/t(16;16) and t(11q23)] did not differ from pts. with normal karyotype. The limited backward selected Cox-model for OS [t(15;17) excluded] revealed two risk groups: standard-risk [normal karyotype, t(8;21), inv(16), t(11q23), +8 and +11 in absence of a complex karyoytpe] and high-risk [all other aberrations]. The CR rates were 56% and 18%, and the OS-rates after 4 years for the standard- (n=223) and the high-risk group (n=127) were 15% and 0%, respectively. The MRC risk classification system for patients >55 years applied to our patients revealed CR- and OS-rates after 4 years of 73% and 19%, 47% and 12%, as well as 7% and 0% for the low (n=26), intermediate (n=282) and high risk groups (n=44), respectively [t(15;17) excluded]. In conclusion, our risk classification system identified a large high-risk group (36%) of elderly patients with AML who did not benefit from intensive chemotherapy.

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The HAS-RISC Score for Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) Risk Stratification in Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma Patients Starting Immunomodulatory Drugs (IMID)

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2018-99-110567 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽

pp. 144-144 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Ang Li ◽

Qian V. Wu ◽

Greg Warnick ◽

Neil A Zakai ◽

Edward N. Libby ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Assessment ◽

High Risk ◽

Research Funding ◽

Risk Group ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Assessment Model ◽

Risk Assessment Model ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Very High

Abstract Introduction: Patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) have high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) when starting initial treatment that contains immunomodulatory drugs (IMID) such as lenalidomide or thalidomide. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline recommends primary anticoagulant thromboprophylaxis for the high-risk patients. However, it is challenging to risk-stratify patients without a validated risk model. We have conducted a retrospective cohort study using the SEER-Medicare (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database to derive a new VTE risk assessment model. Methods: We selected all patients 66 or older with newly diagnosed MM 2007 to 2013. Patients were included if they had a prescription of IMID within twelve months of diagnosis and complete enrollment for fee-for-service and prescription drug coverage. We ascertained baseline demographics and VTE risk factors from the current NCCN guideline using validated codes. The VTE outcome was defined as either one inpatient or two outpatient claims at least 30 days apart in combination with an anticoagulant prescription within 90 days. All patients were followed from the date of IMID initiation until first VTE occurrence or death and were censored for disenrollment from Medicare, discontinuation of IMID (after a grace period of 90 days), autologous transplantation, or the end of claims data (12/31/2014). Cause specific Cox regression models were used for time to VTE analysis. For variable selection, all risk factors with p-value <0.10 were considered candidates for inclusion in the final multivariable regression model. VTE history, recent surgery, and anticoagulant exposure were forced into the model, regardless of significance testing. Integer points were assigned according to the beta coefficients and subsequent risk groups were created. The model's discrimination was validated internally by the bias-corrected Harrell's c statistic and the 95% confidence interval was estimated from 200 bootstrap samples. Results: We identified 2397 MM patients on IMID that met the study criteria. The median time on IMID treatment was 116 days (IQR 28-279). The mean age of patients was 74, 49% were female, 80% were White, 13% were Black, 6.5% were Asian. Only 13% of patients had concurrent anticoagulant exposure (11% warfarin, 2% LMWH, 1% DOAC) with a median duration of 116 days (IQR 42-315 days). In the multivariable model built from candidate covariates, we identified history of VTE, recent surgery, cytotoxic (non-bortezomib) chemotherapy, higher dose dexamethasone, older age, and Black race, as important risk factors. Asian race and LMWH/DOAC use were associated with lower VTE risk (Table 1). We derived a risk assessment model that stratified patients into 2 prognostic risk groups (Table 1): 25% (n=581) in the very high-risk group (score 2 to 7), 75% (n=1816) in the standard-risk group (score -3 to 1). The incidence of VTE at 3 months and 6 months were 9.5% and 16.3% in the very high-risk group compared to 3.7% and 6.3% in the standard-risk group with a resulting hazard ratio of 2.73 (p<0.001) (Figure 1). The bias-corrected Harrell's c statistic for the product index was 0.63 (0.59-0.68). Conclusions: We have derived a VTE risk assessment model specifically for patients with MM starting IMID therapy. The HAS-RiSC score combines 7 clinical risk factors - History of VTE, Age 80+, Surgery within last 90 days, Race Black, race Asian, Steroid use, and Chemotherapy - into a simplified VTE risk assessment model that identifies a subgroup of patients at very high risk for VTE. External validation of this risk assessment model is currently in progress. Disclosures Garcia: Daiichi Sankyo: Research Funding; Incyte: Research Funding; Janssen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Pfizer: Consultancy; Retham Technologies LLC: Consultancy; Shingoi: Consultancy; Portola: Research Funding; Bristol Meyers Squibb: Consultancy; Boehringer Ingelheim: Consultancy. Lyman:Amgen: Other: Research support; Generex Biotechnology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Halozyme; G1 Therapeutics; Coherus Biosciences: Consultancy.

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Circulating Plasma Cells as a Biomarker to Predict Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma Prognosis: Developing Nomogram Prognostic Models

Frontiers in Oncology ◽

10.3389/fonc.2021.639528 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 ◽

Author(s):

Qianwen Cheng ◽

Li Cai ◽

Yuyang Zhang ◽

Lei Chen ◽

Yu Hu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multiple Myeloma ◽

High Risk ◽

Plasma Cells ◽

Validation Cohort ◽

Risk Group ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Low Risk ◽

Newly Diagnosed ◽

Training Cohort ◽

Entire Cohort

Background: To investigate the prognostic value of circulating plasma cells (CPC) and establish novel nomograms to predict individual progression-free survival (PFS) as well as overall survival (OS) of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM).Methods: One hundred ninetyone NDMM patients in Wuhan Union Hospital from 2017.10 to 2020.8 were included in the study. The entire cohort was randomly divided into a training (n = 130) and a validation cohort (n = 61). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on the training cohort to establish nomograms for the prediction of survival outcomes, and the nomograms were validated by calibration curves.Results: When the cut-off value was 0.038%, CPC could well distinguish patients with higher tumor burden and lower response rates (P < 0.05), and could be used as an independent predictor of PFS and OS. Nomograms predicting PFS and OS were developed according to CPC, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and creatinine. The C-index and the area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of the nomograms showed excellent individually predictive effects in training cohort, validation cohort or entire cohort. Patients with total points of the nomograms ≤ 60.7 for PFS and 75.8 for OS could be defined as low-risk group and the remaining as high-risk group. The 2-year PFS and OS rates of patients in low-risk group was significantly higher than those in high-risk group (p < 0.001).Conclusions: CPC is an independent prognostic factor for NDMM patients. The proposed nomograms could provide individualized PFS and OS prediction and risk stratification.

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Targeting UCHL1 Induces Cell Cycle Arrest in High-Risk Multiple Myeloma with t(4;14)

Pathology & Oncology Research ◽

10.3389/pore.2021.606567 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 27 ◽

Author(s):

Parin Kamseng ◽

Teerapong Siriboonpiputtana ◽

Teeraya Puavilai ◽

Suporn Chuncharunee ◽

Karan Paisooksantivatana ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cell Cycle ◽

Multiple Myeloma ◽

High Risk ◽

Molecular Mechanism ◽

Risk Group ◽

Enrichment Analysis ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽

Functional Enrichment ◽

Newly Diagnosed

Multiple myeloma (MM) patients considered to be at high cytogenetic risk commonly fail to respond to standard treatment. A thorough understanding of the molecular mechanism of MM development is, therefore, needed. We endeavored to explore the transcriptional signature among different subgroups of newly diagnosed MM using gene chip-based expression microarray. Bone marrow samples of 15 newly diagnosed Thai MM patients were included. The chromosomal translocation t(4;14) was the most frequently identified genetic alteration in the high-risk subgroup. Cluster analysis from expression profiling demonstrated that high-risk MM have a distinctly different expression pattern compared to standard-risk patients. The most significant differentially expressed gene was UCHL1. Functional enrichment analysis by Gene Set Enrichment Analysis, FUNRICH, and Gene Ontology Panther pathway revealed the gene sets involved in cell cycle control to be enriched in the t(4;14) high-risk group. Interestingly, among the well-established downstream targets of UCHL1, only CCND2 was significantly expressed in the t(4;14) high-risk group. Suppression of UCHL1 protein level by LDN-5744 inhibitor could arrest the cell cycle in G1 phase in cell lines. These findings shed light on the molecular mechanism of UCHL1 in t(4;14) high-risk MM and support the evidence that alteration of the UCHL1 pathway may play a role in the pathogenesis of high-risk MM.

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