scholarly journals Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning: an introduction to concepts and methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 110 (3) ◽  
pp. 457-506
Author(s):  
Eyke Hüllermeier ◽  
Willem Waegeman
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Epistemic Uncertainty ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Safety Requirements ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Standard Probability

AbstractThe notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty has long been perceived as almost synonymous with standard probability and probabilistic predictions. Yet, due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications and related issues such as safety requirements, new problems and challenges have recently been identified by machine learning scholars, and these problems may call for new methodological developments. In particular, this includes the importance of distinguishing between (at least) two different types of uncertainty, often referred to as aleatoric and epistemic. In this paper, we provide an introduction to the topic of uncertainty in machine learning as well as an overview of attempts so far at handling uncertainty in general and formalizing this distinction in particular.

scholarly journals Chatbot and its Practical Applications in the Materialistic World

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4459-4463
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Industrial Revolution ◽  
Gradual Increase ◽  
The Other ◽  
Way Of Life ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The World ◽  
Different Types

These days Chat has become the new way of conversation and changed the way of life and the view that the world used to see before and due to Industrial revolution 4.0 , the gradual increase in machine learning and artificial intelligence fields has gone to higher and many companies are reaching customers to get their products with more ease . This is where chatbots are used. It all started with one question! can machines think? The concept of chatbots came into existence to check whether the machines could fool users and make them think that they are actually talking to humans and not robots. On the Other hand, with the Successes Rate of Chat bots, Different companies Started using machines for having conversations with their customers about everything which made their work simpler and reduced the need of man power. There are many different types of building a chatbot but this paper will mainly concentrate on building a Chatbot using TensorFlow API in python

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques Using Predictive Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ritu Khandelwal ◽  
Hemlata Goyal ◽  
Rajveer Singh Shekhawat
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Learning Stage ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Different Types

Introduction: Machine learning is an intelligent technology that works as a bridge between businesses and data science. With the involvement of data science, the business goal focuses on findings to get valuable insights on available data. The large part of Indian Cinema is Bollywood which is a multi-million dollar industry. This paper attempts to predict whether the upcoming Bollywood Movie would be Blockbuster, Superhit, Hit, Average or Flop. For this Machine Learning techniques (classification and prediction) will be applied. To make classifier or prediction model first step is the learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations. Methods: All the techniques related to classification and Prediction such as Support Vector Machine(SVM), Random Forest, Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, Adaboost, and KNN will be applied and try to find out efficient and effective results. All these functionalities can be applied with GUI Based workflows available with various categories such as data, Visualize, Model, and Evaluate. Result: To make classifier or prediction model first step is learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations Conclusion: This paper focuses on Comparative Analysis that would be performed based on different parameters such as Accuracy, Confusion Matrix to identify the best possible model for predicting the movie Success. By using Advertisement Propaganda, they can plan for the best time to release the movie according to the predicted success rate to gain higher benefits. Discussion: Data Mining is the process of discovering different patterns from large data sets and from that various relationships are also discovered to solve various problems that come in business and helps to predict the forthcoming trends. This Prediction can help Production Houses for Advertisement Propaganda and also they can plan their costs and by assuring these factors they can make the movie more profitable.

scholarly journals How to measure uncertainty in uncertainty sampling for active learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vu-Linh Nguyen ◽  
Mohammad Hossein Shaker ◽  
Eyke Hüllermeier
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Active Learning ◽  
Sampling Strategies ◽  
Total Uncertainty ◽  
Uncertainty Sampling ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Alternative Approaches ◽  
Active Learner ◽  
Probabilistic Nature ◽  
Different Sources

AbstractVarious strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for which its current prediction is maximally uncertain. The predictions as well as the measures used to quantify the degree of uncertainty, such as entropy, are traditionally of a probabilistic nature. Yet, alternative approaches to capturing uncertainty in machine learning, alongside with corresponding uncertainty measures, have been proposed in recent years. In particular, some of these measures seek to distinguish different sources and to separate different types of uncertainty, such as the reducible (epistemic) and the irreducible (aleatoric) part of the total uncertainty in a prediction. The goal of this paper is to elaborate on the usefulness of such measures for uncertainty sampling, and to compare their performance in active learning. To this end, we instantiate uncertainty sampling with different measures, analyze the properties of the sampling strategies thus obtained, and compare them in an experimental study.

scholarly journals Case Study on Fire Resistance of Sandwiches for Means of Transport

Coatings ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Pavel Koštial ◽  
Zora Koštialová Jančíková ◽  
Robert Frischer
Keyword(s):  
Fire Resistance ◽  
Fire Protection ◽  
Public Transport ◽  
Hybrid Vehicles ◽  
Safety Requirements ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Aluminum Honeycomb ◽  
Heat Loads

These days there are undeniably unique materials that, however, must also meet demanding safety requirements. In the case of vehicles, these are undoubtedly excellent fire protection characteristics. The aim of the work is to experimentally verify the proposed material compositions for long-term heat loads and the effect of thickness, the number of laminating layers (prepregs) as well as structures with different types of cores (primarily honeycomb made of Nomex paper type T722 of different densities, aluminum honeycomb and PET foam) and composite coating based on a glass-reinforced phenolic matrix. The selected materials are suitable candidates for intelligent sandwich structures, usable especially for interior cladding applications in the industry for the production of means of public transport (e.g., train units, trams, buses, hybrid vehicles).

scholarly journals Not all biases are bad: equitable and inequitable biases in machine learning and radiology

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirjam Pot ◽  
Nathalie Kieusseyan ◽  
Barbara Prainsack
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Human Error ◽  
Technical Problem ◽  
Social Dimension ◽  
Patient Treatment ◽  
Technical Solution ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Human Decision

AbstractThe application of machine learning (ML) technologies in medicine generally but also in radiology more specifically is hoped to improve clinical processes and the provision of healthcare. A central motivation in this regard is to advance patient treatment by reducing human error and increasing the accuracy of prognosis, diagnosis and therapy decisions. There is, however, also increasing awareness about bias in ML technologies and its potentially harmful consequences. Biases refer to systematic distortions of datasets, algorithms, or human decision making. These systematic distortions are understood to have negative effects on the quality of an outcome in terms of accuracy, fairness, or transparency. But biases are not only a technical problem that requires a technical solution. Because they often also have a social dimension, the ‘distorted’ outcomes they yield often have implications for equity. This paper assesses different types of biases that can emerge within applications of ML in radiology, and discusses in what cases such biases are problematic. Drawing upon theories of equity in healthcare, we argue that while some biases are harmful and should be acted upon, others might be unproblematic and even desirable—exactly because they can contribute to overcome inequities.

Low Resistivity Pay Carbonates: A Practical Approach to Quantify Water Saturation Using a Modified Archie's Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramsin Eyvazzadeh ◽  
Abdullatif Al-Omair ◽  
Majed Kanfar ◽  
Achong Christon
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Saturation ◽  
Pore Space ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Theoretical Research ◽  
Low Contrast ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Low Resistivity ◽  
New Models

Abstract A detailed description of a modified Archie's equation is proposed to accurately quantify water saturation within low resistivity/low contrast pay carbonates. The majority of previous work on low resistivity/low contrast reservoirs focused on clastics, namely, thin beds and/or clay effects on resistivity measurements. Recent publications have highlighted a "non-Archie" behavior in carbonates with complex pore structures. Several theoretical models were introduced, but new practical applications were not derived to solve this issue. Built upon previous theoretical research in a holistic approach, new models and workflows have been developed. Specifically, utilizing a combination of machine learning algorithms, nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), core and geological data, field specific calibrated equations to compute water saturation (Sw) in complex carbonate formations are presented. Essentially, these new models partition the porosity into pore spaces and calculate their relative contribution to water saturation in each pore space. These calibrated equations robustly produce results that have proven invaluable in pay identification, well placement, and have greatly enhanced the ability to manage these types of reservoirs. This paper initially explains the theory behind the development of the analysis illustrating workflows and validation techniques used to qualify this methodology. A key benefit performing this research is the utilization of machine-learning algorithms to predict NMR derived values in wells that do not have NMR data. Several examples explore where results of this analysis are compared to dynamic testing, formation testing and laboratory measured samples to validate and demonstrate the utility of this new analysis.

scholarly journals Linear programming measures for solving the problem of a linear division of convex multiplayers.

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarmad H. Ali ◽  
Osamah A. Ali ◽  
Samir C. Ajmi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Linear Programming ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Optimal Method ◽  
Linear Separation ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Simplex Methods

In this research, we are trying to solve Simplex methods which are used for successively improving solution and finding the optimal solution, by using different types of methods Linear, the concept of linear separation is widely used in the study of machine learning, through this study we will find the optimal method to solve by comparing the time consumed by both Quadric and Fisher methods.

scholarly journals Predicting the Growth and Trend of COVID-19 Pandemic using Machine Learning and Cloud Computing

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shreshth Tuli ◽  
Shikhar Tuli ◽  
Rakesh Tuli ◽  
Sukhpal Singh Gill
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cloud Computing ◽  
Design Strategies ◽  
Potential Threat ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Computing Platform ◽  
Data Driven Approach ◽  
Cloud Computing Platform ◽  
The Government ◽  
Improved Model

AbstractThe outbreak of COVID-19 Coronavirus, namely SARS-CoV-2, has created a calamitous situation throughout the world. The cumulative incidence of COVID-19 is rapidly increasing day by day. Machine Learning (ML) and Cloud Computing can be deployed very effectively to track the disease, predict growth of the epidemic and design strategies and policy to manage its spread. This study applies an improved mathematical model to analyse and predict the growth of the epidemic. An ML-based improved model has been applied to predict the potential threat of COVID-19 in countries worldwide. We show that using iterative weighting for fitting Generalized Inverse Weibull distribution, a better fit can be obtained to develop a prediction framework. This can be deployed on a cloud computing platform for more accurate and real-time prediction of the growth behavior of the epidemic. A data driven approach with higher accuracy as here can be very useful for a proactive response from the government and citizens. Finally, we propose a set of research opportunities and setup grounds for further practical applications. Predicted curves for some of the most affected countries can be seen at https://collaboration.coraltele.com/covid/.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Based Behavioral Modification

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (6S2) ◽  
pp. 1134-1138
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Behavior Analysis ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Computational Techniques ◽  
Behavioral Modification ◽  
Optimal Temperature ◽  
The Past ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Technology

To build up a particular profile about a person, the study of examining the comportment is known as Behavior analysis. Initially the Behavior analysis is used in psychology and for suggesting and developing different types the application content for user then it developed in information technology. To make the applications for user's personal needs it becoming a new trends with the use of artificial intelligence (AI). in many applications like innovation to do everything from anticipating buy practices to altering a home's indoor regulator to the inhabitant's optimal temperature for a specific time of day use machine learning and artificial intelligence technology. The technique that is use to advance the rule proficiency that rely upon the past experience is known as machine learning. By utilizing the insights hypothesis it makes the numerical model, and its real work is to infer from the models gave. To take the information clearly from the data the methodology utilizes computational techniques.

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