Ground wind convergence as source of deep convection initiation

2009 ◽  
Vol 93 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 437-445 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Pucillo ◽  
Dario B. Giaiotti ◽  
Fulvio Stel
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

scholarly journals Dual-Polarization Radar Observations of Deep Convection over Lake Victoria Basin in East Africa

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 706 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal F. Waniha ◽  
Rita D. Roberts ◽  
James W. Wilson ◽  
Agnes Kijazi ◽  
Benedicto Katole
Keyword(s):  
East Africa ◽  
Lake Victoria ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Lake Victoria Basin ◽  
Radar Observations ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Weather Events ◽  
Gust Fronts ◽  
Convection Initiation

Lake Victoria in East Africa supports the livelihood of thousands of fishermen and it is estimated that 3000–5000 human deaths occur per year over the lake. It is hypothesized that most of these fatalities are due to localized, severe winds produced by intense thunderstorms over the lake during the rainy season and larger scale, intense winds over the lake during the dry season. The intense winds produce a rough state of the lake (big wave heights) that cause fishing boats to capsize. In this region, weather radars have never been a primary tool for monitoring and nowcasting high impact weather. The Tanzania Meteorological Agency operates an S-band polarimetric radar in Mwanza, Tanzania, along the south shore of Lake Victoria. This radar collects high temporal and spatial resolution data that is now being used to detect and monitor the formation of deep convection over the lake and improve scientific understanding of storm dynamics and intensification. Nocturnal thunderstorms and convection initiation over the lake are well observed by the Mwanza radar and are strongly forced by lake and land breezes and gust fronts. Unexpected is the detection of clear air echo to ranges ≥100 km over the lake that makes it possible to observe low-level winds, gust fronts, and other convergence lines near the surface of the lake. The frequent observation of extensive clear air and low-level convergence lines opens up the opportunity to nowcast strong winds, convection initiation, and subsequent thunderstorm development and incorporate this information into a regional early warning system proposed for Lake Victoria Basin (LVB). Two weather events are presented illustrating distinctly different nocturnal convection initiation over the lake that evolve into intense morning thunderstorms. The evolution of these severe weather events was possible because of the Mwanza radar observations; satellite imagery alone was insufficient to provide prediction of storm initiation, growth, movement, and decay.

Large-eddy simulations of convection initiation over heterogeneous, low terrain

2022 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Free Convection ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Physical Space ◽  
Peak Height ◽  
Spectral Shape ◽  
Large Eddy Simulations ◽  
Power Spectral ◽  
Large Eddy ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract Large-eddy simulations are conducted to investigate and physically interpret the impacts of heterogeneous, low terrain on deep-convection initiation (CI). The simulations are based on a case of shallow-to-deep convective transition over the Amazon River basin, and use idealized terrains with varying levels of ruggedness. The terrain is designed by specifying its power-spectral shape in wavenumber space, inverting to physical space assuming random phases for all wave modes, and scaling the terrain to have a peak height of 200 m. For the case in question, these modest terrain fields expedite CI by up to 2-3 h, largely due to the impacts of the terrain on the size of, and subcloud support for, incipient cumuli. Terrain-induced circulations enhance subcloud kinetic energy on the mesoscale, which is realized as wider and longer-lived subcloud circulations. When the updraft branches of these circulations breach the level of free convection, they initiate wider and more persistent cumuli that subsequently undergo less entrainment-induced cloud dilution and detrainment-induced mass loss. As a result, the clouds become more vigorous and penetrate deeper into the troposphere. Larger-scale terrains are more effective than smaller-scale terrains in promoting CI because they induce larger enhancements in both the width and the persistence of subcloud updrafts.

Sounding Characteristics that Yield Significant Convective Inhibition Errors due to Ascent Rate and Sensor Response of In Situ Profiling Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (7) ◽  
pp. 1163-1172
Author(s):  
Adam L. Houston ◽  
Jason M. Keeler
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Sensor Response ◽  
First Order ◽  
Ascent Rate ◽  
Convective Inhibition ◽  
Free Parameters ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractAccurate measurements of the convective inhibition (CIN) associated with capping inversions are critical to forecasts of deep convection initiation. The goal of this work is to determine the sounding characteristics most vulnerable to CIN errors arising from hysteresis associated with sensor response and ascent rate of profiling systems. This examination uses 5058 steady-state analytic soundings prescribed using three free parameters that control inversion depth, static stability, and moisture content. A theoretical well-aspirated first-order sensor mounted on a platform that does not disturb its environment is “flown” in these soundings. Sounding characteristics that result in the largest relative CIN errors are also the characteristics that result in the smallest CIN. Because they are more likely to support deep convection initiation, it is particularly critical that environments with small CIN are represented accurately. The relationship between relative CIN error and CIN exists because sounding characteristics that contribute to large CIN do not proportionally increase the CIN error. Analysis also considers CIN intervals with (operationally important) CIN on the threshold between environments that will and will not support deep convection initiation. For these soundings, CIN error is found to be largest for deep, dry inversions characterized by small static stability.

Observations and Simulation of Elevated Nocturnal Convection Initiation on 24 June 2015 during PECAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (2) ◽  
pp. 613-635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanley B. Trier ◽  
Scott D. Kehler ◽  
John Hanesiak
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Local Cooling ◽  
Surface Front ◽  
Westerly Flow ◽  
Vertical Displacements ◽  
Upward Displacement ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract The environment of elevated nocturnal deep convection initiation (CI) on 24 June 2015 is investigated using radiosonde data from the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) field experiment and a convection-allowing simulation. Elevated CI occurs around midnight in ascending westerly flow above the northeastern terminus of the nocturnal low-level jet (LLJ) several hundred kilometers poleward of the leading edge of a surface warm front. This CI originates from within preexisting banded altocumulus clouds that are supported by persistent large-scale ascent within the entrance region of a midtropospheric jet streak. Model trajectories calculated backward from convective updraft cores during CI indicate abrupt lifting at the leading edge of the surface front during the late afternoon to altitudes above that of the subsequent southerly LLJ. This air remains significantly subsaturated during northward movement until after several hours of weaker but persistent ascent within the highly elevated westerly airstream during the evening. Unlike in many previous studies of frontal overrunning by the LLJ, strong local drying occurs within the LLJ core. Nevertheless, vertical displacements from persistent mesoscale ascent were sufficient for trajectory air parcels to reach their LFC and sustain deep convection. The mesoscale upward displacement along trajectories is well explained by isentropic upglide associated with frontal overrunning at horizontal distances greater than 100 km from the CI and subsequent mature convection. However, the significant additional mesoscale vertical displacements needed for deep CI to occur in the westerlies above the horizontally convergent ~100-km-wide LLJ terminus region, were associated with local cooling and are not accounted for by steady isentropic upglide.

A Dryline in Southeast Wyoming. Part I: Multiscale Analysis Using Observations and Modeling on 22 June 2010

2014 ◽  
Vol 142 (1) ◽  
pp. 268-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick C. Campbell ◽  
Bart Geerts ◽  
Philip T. Bergmaier
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Multiscale Analysis ◽  
Vertical Structure ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
High Plains ◽  
Raman Lidar ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Boundary Layer Processes ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract A first observational and modeling study of a dryline and associated initiation of deep convection over the high plains of southeastern Wyoming is presented. Radar and station measurements show that the dryline is a well-defined convergent humidity boundary with a modest density (i.e., buoyancy) gradient. Its development, intensity, and movement are regulated by the terrain, diurnal land surface and boundary layer processes, and synoptic-scale evolution. At least one of the thunderstorms that emerged from the dryline became severe. Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulations accurately reproduce measured aspects of this dryline, as well as the timing and location of convection initiation. The WRF output is used further to characterize the dryline vertical and horizontal structures and to examine convection initiation processes. A dryline bulge over a local terrain ridge appears to be an essential ingredient in convection initiation on this day: just north of this bulge the surface convergence and buoyancy gradient are strongest, and deep convection is triggered. In this region especially, the WRF simulation produces horizontal convective rolls intersecting with the dryline, as well as small cyclonic vortices along the dryline. In fact, the primary storm cell initiates just downwind of one such vortex. Part II of this study describes the finescale vertical structure of this dryline using airborne Raman lidar data.

scholarly journals Idealized Large-Eddy and Convection-Resolving Simulations of Moist Convection over Mountainous Terrain

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (10) ◽  
pp. 4021-4041 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davide Panosetti ◽  
Steven Böing ◽  
Linda Schlemmer ◽  
Jürg Schmidli
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Scale Model ◽  
Mountainous Terrain ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Shallow Convection ◽  
Large Eddy ◽  
Thermally Driven ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Horizontal Grid

Abstract On summertime fair-weather days, thermally driven wind systems play an important role in determining the initiation of convection and the occurrence of localized precipitation episodes over mountainous terrain. This study compares the mechanisms of convection initiation and precipitation development within a thermally driven flow over an idealized double-ridge system in large-eddy (LESs) and convection-resolving (CRM) simulations. First, LES at a horizontal grid spacing of 200 m is employed to analyze the developing circulations and associated clouds and precipitation. Second, CRM simulations at horizontal grid length of 1 km are conducted to evaluate the performance of a kilometer-scale model in reproducing the discussed mechanisms. Mass convergence and a weaker inhibition over the two ridges flanking the valley combine with water vapor advection by upslope winds to initiate deep convection. In the CRM simulations, the spatial distribution of clouds and precipitation is generally well captured. However, if the mountains are high enough to force the thermally driven flow into an elevated mixed layer, the transition to deep convection occurs faster, precipitation is generated earlier, and surface rainfall rates are higher compared to the LES. Vertical turbulent fluxes remain largely unresolved in the CRM simulations and are underestimated by the model, leading to stronger upslope winds and increased horizontal moisture advection toward the mountain summits. The choice of the turbulence scheme and the employment of a shallow convection parameterization in the CRM simulations change the strength of the upslope winds, thereby influencing the simulated timing and intensity of convective precipitation.

scholarly journals Radiosonde observations of environments supporting deep moist convection initiation during RELAMPAGO-CACTI

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Connor Nelson ◽  
James Marquis ◽  
Adam Varble ◽  
Katja Friedrich
Keyword(s):  
Complex Terrain ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Spatiotemporal Resolution ◽  
Close Proximity ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractThe Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, and Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO) and Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) projects deployed a high-spatiotemporal-resolution radiosonde network to examine environments supporting deep convection in the complex terrain of central Argentina. This study aims to characterize atmospheric profiles most representative of the near-cloud environment (in time and space) to identify the mesoscale ingredients affecting storm initiation and growth. Spatiotemporal autocorrelation analysis of the soundings reveals that there is considerable environmental heterogeneity, with boundary layer thermodynamic and kinematic fields becoming statistically uncorrelated on scales of 1–2 hr and 30 km. Using this as guidance, we examine a variety of environmental parameters derived from soundings collected within close proximity (30 km and 30 min in space and time) of 44 events over 9 days where the atmosphere either: 1) supported the initiation of sustained precipitating convection, 2) yielded weak and short-lived precipitating convection, or 3) produced no precipitating convection in disagreement with numerical forecasts from convection-allowing models (i.e., Null events). There are large statistical differences between the Null event environments and those supporting any convective precipitation. Null event profiles contained larger convective available potential energy, but had low free tropospheric relative humidity, higher freezing levels, and evidence of limited horizontal convergence near the terrain at low levels that likely suppressed deep convective growth. We also present evidence from the radiosonde and satellite measurements that flow-terrain interactions may yield gravity wave activity that affects CI outcome.

scholarly journals Low-level Mesoscale and Cloud-scale Interactions Promoting Deep Convection Initiation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
James N. Marquis ◽  
Adam C. Varble ◽  
Paul Robinson ◽  
T. Connor. Nelson ◽  
Katja Friedrich
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractData from scanning radars, radiosondes, and vertical profilers deployed during three field campaigns are analyzed to study interactions between cloud-scale updrafts associated with initiating deep moist convection and the surrounding environment. Three cases are analyzed in which the radar networks permitted dual-Doppler wind retrievals in clear air preceding and during the onset of surface precipitation. These observations capture the evolution of: i) the mesoscale and boundary layer flow, and ii) low-level updrafts associated with deep moist convection initiation (CI) events yielding sustained or short-lived precipitating storms.The elimination of convective inhibition did not distinguish between sustained and unsustained CI events, though the vertical distribution of convective available potential energy may have played a role. The clearest signal differentiating the initiation of sustained versus unsustained precipitating deep convection was the depth of the low-level horizontal wind convergence associated with the mesoscale flow feature triggering CI, a sharp surface wind shift boundary or orographic upslope flow. The depth of the boundary layer relative to the height of the LFC failed to be a consistent indicator of CI potential. Widths of the earliest detectable low-level updrafts associated with sustained precipitating deep convection were ~3-5 km, larger than updrafts associated with surrounding boundary layer turbulence (~1-3-km wide). It is hypothesized that updrafts of this larger size are important for initiating cells to survive the destructive effects of buoyancy dilution via entrainment.

Unusually Long Duration, Multiple-Doppler Radar Observations of a Front in a Convective Boundary Layer

2007 ◽  
Vol 135 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-117 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Stonitsch ◽  
Paul M. Markowski
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Density Gradient ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Normal Density ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Convective Boundary ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract Dual-Doppler observations acquired by a network of mobile radars deployed in the Oklahoma panhandle on 3 June 2002 are used to document the kinematic structure and evolution of a front. The data were collected during the International H2O Project on a mission to study the initiation of deep convection. Synchronized scanning allowed for the synthesis of three-dimensional wind fields for nearly 5.5 h of the 1557–0000 UTC period. The front initially moved southward as a cold front, stalled, and later retreated northward as a warm front. Deep convection failed to be initiated along the front. In situ thermodynamic measurements obtained by a mobile mesonet were used to document changes in the density gradient at the surface. This paper examines the relationships among the changes in baroclinity, the thermally direct frontal circulation, updraft intensity, alongfront updraft variability, and the intensity of vortices along the front. Increases in the front-normal density gradient tended to be associated with increases in the thermally direct frontal circulation, as expected. Increases in the front-normal density gradient were also associated with an increase in the tilt of the frontal updraft as well as an increase in the contiguity of the updraft along the front, termed the “slabularity.” During periods when the front-normal density gradient and associated thermally direct frontal circulation were weak, the kinematic fields were dominated by boundary layer convection and the slabularity of the front was reduced. Intensification of the front-normal density gradient was accompanied by an increase in the horizontal wind shear and the intensity of vortices that were observed along the front. The vortices modulated the vertical velocity field along the front and therefore the slabularity, too. Thus, although the slabularity was a strong function of the strength of the thermally direct frontal circulation, the slabularity appeared to be modified by vortices in complex ways. Possible implications of the observations for convection initiation are also discussed, particularly with respect to updraft tilt and slabularity.

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