Analysis of power law assumptions for short-period comets and Kuiper bodies

1999 ◽  
Vol 173 ◽  
pp. 289-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.R. Donnison ◽  
L.I. Pettit

AbstractA Pareto distribution was used to model the magnitude data for short-period comets up to 1988. It was found using exponential probability plots that the brightness did not vary with period and that the cut-off point previously adopted can be supported statistically. Examination of the diameters of Trans-Neptunian bodies showed that a power law does not adequately fit the limited data available.

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  

Delirium is defined in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders: Fifth edition (DSM-V) as a “disturbance and change in attention and awareness from baseline that develops over a short period of time, with fluctuating course” [1]. Delirium occurs as a result of factors related to primary illness, the treatment of that illness, and stressful and disorientating environment of the hospital [2]. There are limited data to describe the incidence of delirium in children hospitalized with cancer [3]. Delirium occurs frequently in adults and is an independent predictor of mortality, increased length of stay, and increased risk for long-term cognitive deficits [3]. The prevalence of delirium in hospitalized adults ages 18-56 with cancer ranges from 18%-44% [4]. Most pediatric studies on delirium focus on the critically ill child in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). It is estimated that the incidence of delirium in this population is as high as 29% [5].


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 215-233
Author(s):  
Corina D. Constantinescu ◽  
Tomasz J. Kozubowski ◽  
Haoyu H. Qian

AbstractWe present basic properties and discuss potential insurance applications of a new class of probability distributions on positive integers with power law tails. The distributions in this class are zero-inflated discrete counterparts of the Pareto distribution. In particular, we obtain the probability of ruin in the compound binomial risk model where the claims are zero-inflated discrete Pareto distributed and correlated by mixture.


1972 ◽  
Vol 180 (1061) ◽  
pp. 383-394 ◽  

About sixty pesticides are estimated to be used in Britain in circumstances where some contamination of fresh waters could occur. Apart from major fish kills, most of the evidence of contamination must be obtained from chemical analyses of water or fish, although these are mainly restricted to a few organochlorine and organophosphorus compounds. The potential hazards to fish and invertebrates have been identified in laboratory experiments and toxicity tests, but routine population surveys of susceptible species in rivers and lakes are rarely made. The nature of possible environmental effects of various types of pesticides is described, and the information on toxic levels of some chemicals, obtained from laboratory tests, is compared with the limited data available on levels existing in the environment. The need for more extensive screening of pesticide chemicals, especially the more persistent types, is discussed. Both adult fish and fry of several species should be used in tests, as well as representative invertebrates, which are known to be more susceptible to some pesticides than are fish. Long-period tests are also required, as for some pesticides the lethal concentrations are much lower in extended tests than in the usual short-period tests. Where possible, the test species, whether fish or invertebrates, should be analysed for the chemical under test. Analytical techniques should be developed, for levels existing in the environment, of a wider range of compounds than is currently investigated.


1997 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 797 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Stanley Cobb ◽  
John D. Booth ◽  
Michael Clancy

Early life-history characteristics that affect recruitment in spiny lobsters, clawed lobsters and crabs of the genus Cancer are reviewed. Spiny lobsters have many small eggs, a short period of parental care, and a long larval life that terminates in a swimming postlarva. Cancer species also have many small eggs, but have a longer period carrying eggs and a short larval life. Clawed lobsters have smaller clutches than the other two groups, long parental care and a short larval period. Acluster analysis on these and other characters in the 16 species considered shows that phylogeny dominates the clustering, because species of the same family group together. Within families, however, some possible environmental effects are seen. Spiny lobsters and Cancer crabs, with greater fecundity and presumably lower larval survival, may be predicted to have greater recruitment variability than clawed lobsters. The limited data available suggest that this is true.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Zucca ◽  
Xerxes D. Arsiwalla ◽  
Hoang Le ◽  
Mikail Rubinov ◽  
Antoni Gurguí ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTAre degree distributions of human brain functional connectivity networks heavy-tailed? Initial claims based on least-square fitting suggested that brain functional connectivity networks obey power law scaling in their degree distributions. This interpretation has been challenged on methodological grounds. Subsequently, estimators based on maximum-likelihood and non-parametric tests involving surrogate data have been proposed. No clear consensus has emerged as results especially depended on data resolution. To identify the underlying topological distribution of brain functional connectivity calls for a closer examination of the relationship between resolution and statistics of model fitting. In this study, we analyze high-resolution functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from the Human Connectome Project to assess its degree distribution across resolutions. We consider resolutions from one thousand to eighty thousand regions of interest (ROIs) and test whether they follow a heavy or short-tailed distribution. We analyze power law, exponential, truncated power law, log-normal, Weibull and generalized Pareto probability distributions. Notably, the Generalized Pareto distribution is of particular interest since it interpolates between heavy-tailed and short-tailed distributions, and it provides a handle on estimating the tail’s heaviness or shortness directly from the data. Our results show that the statistics support the short-tailed limit of the generalized Pareto distribution, rather than a power law or any other heavy-tailed distribution. Working across resolutions of the data and performing cross-model comparisons, we further establish the overall robustness of the generalized Pareto model in explaining the data. Moreover, we account for earlier ambiguities by showing that down-sampling the data systematically affects statistical results. At lower resolutions models cannot easily be differentiated on statistical grounds while their plausibility consistently increases up to an upper bound. Indeed, more power law distributions are reported at low resolutions (5K) than at higher ones (50K or 80K). However, we show that these positive identifications at low resolutions fail cross-model comparisons and that down-sampling data introduces the risk of detecting spurious heavy-tailed distributions. This dependence of the statistics of degree distributions on sampling resolution has broader implications for neuroinformatic methodology, especially, when several analyses rely on down-sampled data, for instance, due to a choice of anatomical parcellations or measurement technique. Our findings that node degrees of human brain functional networks follow a short-tailed distribution have important implications for claims of brain organization and function. Our findings do not support common simplistic representations of the brain as a generic complex system with optimally efficient architecture and function, modeled with simple growth mechanisms. Instead these findings reflect a more nuanced picture of a biological system that has been shaped by longstanding and pervasive developmental and architectural constraints, including wiring-cost constraints on the centrality architecture of individual nodes.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siddhartha Dutta ◽  
Rimple Jeet Kaur ◽  
Jaykaran Charan ◽  
Pankaj Bhardwaj ◽  
Praveen Sharma ◽  
...  

Background: In the light of the current pandemic, the emergency approval of few COVID-19 vaccines seems to provide a ray of hope. However, their approval is solely based on limited data available from the clinical trials in a short period of time; thereby imposing a necessity to study the adverse events (AEs) associated with their use. This study therefore aims to assess the Serious Adverse Events (SAEs) associated with various COVID 19 vaccines reported in the WHO database (VigiBase). Methods: The data from VigiBase was analyzed to assess the reported SAEs linked to various COVID 19 vaccines. The duplicates in the data were removed and were analyzed on the basis of age, gender, and seriousness of adverse events at the System Organ Classification (SOC) level and the individual Preferred Term (PT) level. Results: A total 103954 adverse events reported from 32044 subjects were taken for analysis. Of 32044 subjects, majority were females (80%). Also, a total of 28799 (27.7%) SAEs were reported from the 8007 individuals. Most of the SAEs were reported from Europe (83%), amongst females (79.4%) and between 18 to 64 years (80.74%) of age. Majority of SAEs (74%) were reported for BNT162b2 (Pfizer) vaccine. On system wise classification, general disorders (30%) were the commonest followed by nervous system (19.1%) and musculoskeletal (11.2%) disorders. In individual category, headache (8.1%) was the commonest, followed by pyrexia (7%) and fatigue (5.1%). The number of SAEs were reported with various vaccines were comparatively lesser as compared to the non-serious ones and incidence of death was low with all the vaccines candidates. Elderly (> 65 years) people reported more serious SAEs as compared to other age groups. Conclusion: The reported SAEs from the COVID 19 vaccines were in line with the data published in clinical trials. To link these SAEs to vaccines will need causality analysis and review of individual reports.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behzod B. Ahundjanov ◽  
Sherzod B. Akhundjanov ◽  
Botir B. Okhunjanov

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) was first identified in China in December 2019. Within a short period of time, the infectious disease has spread far and wide. This study focuses on the distribution of COVID-19 confirmed cases in China---the original epicenter of the outbreak. We show that the upper tail of COVID-19 cases in Chinese cities is well described by a power law distribution, with exponent less than one, and that a random proportionate growth model predicated by Gibrat's law is a plausible explanation for the emergence of the observed power law behavior. This finding is significant because it implies that COVID-19 cases in China is heavy-tailed and disperse, that a few cities account for a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases, and that the distribution has no finite mean or variance. The power-law distributedness has implications for effective planning and policy design as well as efficient use of government resources.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (26) ◽  
pp. 2119-2132
Author(s):  
JINN-OUK GONG

We study the effects of the interaction terms between the inflaton fields on the inflationary dynamics in multi-field models. With power law type potential and interactions, the total number of e-folds may get considerably reduced and can lead to unacceptably short period of inflation. Also we point out that this can place a bound on the characteristic scale of the underlying theory such as string theory. Using a simple multi-field chaotic inflation model from string theory, the string scale is constrained to be larger than the scale of grand unified theory. Allowing post-inflationary generation of perturbation can greatly alleviate this constrain.


Oryx ◽  
1987 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 149-159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin W. Holdgate

The world is being altered by human action more rapidly now than natural forces changed it during any short period in the past. There are predictions of massive ecological changes and extinctions of species on a unprecedented scale. The author examines what is actually happening, what the consequences are likely to be, and what corrective action can be taken. He emphasizes that, as with all exercises in crystal gazing, this cannot be an error-free analysis. Despite the vast scale of current scientific activity, our knowledge of the processes affecting the world environment and our monitoring of changes are far from adequate. Too many statements—including widely quoted estimates of extinctions—are based on extrapolation from limited data. This is a speculative paper intended as a spur to further analysis rather than as a definitive review. It is based on an address to the Annual General Meeting of the Fauna and Flora Preservation Society on 10 September 1986.*


2020 ◽  
Vol 501 (2) ◽  
pp. 1766-1781
Author(s):  
Prithish Halder ◽  
Shashikiran Ganesh

ABSTRACT In this work, we introduce a comet dust model that incorporates multiple dust morphologies along with inhomogeneous mixture of silicate minerals and carbonaceous materials under power-law size distribution, to replicate the standard polarization-phase curve observed in several comets in the narrow-band continuum. Following the results from Rosetta/midas and COSIMA, we create high porosity hierarchical aggregates (HA) and low porosity (<10 per cent) Solids in the form of agglomerated debris. We also introduce a moderate porosity structure with solids in the core, surrounded by fluffy aggregates called fluffy solids (FS). We study the mixing combinations, (HA and Solids), (HA and FS), and (HA, FS, and Solids) for a range of power-law index n= 2.0 to 3.0 for different sets of mixing percentage of silicate minerals and carbonaceous materials. Polarimetry of the short period comets 1P/Halley and 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko match best with the polarization resulting from the combination of HA and Solids while the combinations (HA and FS) and (HA, FS, and Solids) provide the best-fitting results for the long period comets C/1995 O1 (Hale-Bopp) and C/1996 B2 (Hyakutake). The best-fitting model results also recreate the observed wavelength dependence of polarization. Our dust model agree with the idea that the long period comets may have high percentage of loose particles (HA and FS) compared to those in the case of short period comets as the short period comets experience more frequent and/or higher magnitude of weathering.


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