scholarly journals A NOTE ON LEARNING IN A CREDIT ECONOMY

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 845-855 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Kuang
Keyword(s):  
Stability Condition ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Learning Behavior ◽  
Aggregate Fluctuations ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Collateral Constraints ◽  
Collateral Constraint ◽  
Imperfect Knowledge ◽  
The Business Cycle

This paper introduces imperfect knowledge and learning behavior of economic agents into the Kiyotaki and Moore model and studies the interaction of agents' collateral price beliefs, collateral constraint, and aggregate economic activity over the business cycle. It establishes the E-stability condition and the convergence of the real time learning process. In addition, it shows that learning strengthens the role of collateral constraints in aggregate fluctuations.

Collateral Constraints, Wage Rigidity, and Jobless Recoveries

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Föll
Keyword(s):  
Wage Rigidity ◽  
Jobless Recoveries ◽  
Collateral Constraints ◽  
Collateral Constraint ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Matching Frictions ◽  
Search And Matching Frictions ◽  
Business Cycle Model ◽  
The Cost

Abstract The Great Recession has drawn attention to the importance of macro-financial linkages. In this paper I explore the joint role of imperfections in labor and financial markets for the cyclical adjustment of the labor market. I show that jobless recoveries emerge when, upon exiting a recession, firms are faced with deteriorating credit conditions. On the financial side, collateral requirements affect the cost of borrowing for firms. On the employment side, hiring frictions and wage rigidity increase the need for credit, making the binding collateral constraint more relevant. In a general equilibrium business cycle model with search and matching frictions, I illustrate that tightening credit conditions calibrated from data negatively affect employment adjustments during recovery periods. Wage rigidity substantially amplifies this mechanism, generating empirically plausible fluctuations in employment and output.

scholarly journals Large Firm Dynamics and the Business Cycle

2019 ◽  
Vol 109 (4) ◽  
pp. 1375-1425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vasco M. Carvalho ◽  
Basile Grassi
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
Size Distribution ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Large Firm ◽  
Firm Dynamics ◽  
Aggregate Fluctuations ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Firm Size Distribution ◽  
The Business Cycle

Do large firm dynamics drive the business cycle? We answer this question by developing a quantitative theory of aggregate fluctuations caused by firm-level disturbances alone. We show that a standard heterogeneous firm dynamics setup already contains in it a theory of the business cycle, without appealing to aggregate shocks. We offer an analytical characterization of the law of motion of the aggregate state in this class of models, the firm size distribution, and show that aggregate output and productivity dynamics display: (i ) persistence, (ii ) volatility, and (iii ) time-varying second moments. We explore the key role of moments of the firm size distribution, and, in particular, the role of large firm dynamics, in shaping aggregate fluctuations, theoretically, quantitatively, and in the data. (JEL D21, D22, D24, E32, L11)

scholarly journals Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle*

2017 ◽  
Vol 132 (3) ◽  
pp. 1373-1426 ◽  
Author(s):  
David López-Salido ◽  
Jeremy C. Stein ◽  
Egon Zakrajšek
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Financial Frictions ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Credit Market ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
External Finance ◽  
Credit Supply ◽  
The Business Cycle

Abstract Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2015, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t − 2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t and t + 1. Underlying this result is the existence of predictable mean reversion in credit-market conditions. When credit risk is aggressively priced, spreads subsequently widen. The timing of this widening is, in turn, closely tied to the onset of a contraction in economic activity. Exploring the mechanism, we find that buoyant credit-market sentiment in year t − 2 also forecasts a change in the composition of external finance: net debt issuance falls in year t, while net equity issuance increases, consistent with the reversal in credit-market conditions leading to an inward shift in credit supply. Unlike much of the current literature on the role of financial frictions in macroeconomics, this article suggests that investor sentiment in credit markets can be an important driver of economic fluctuations.

scholarly journals Non-Linearities in Fiscal Policy

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (246) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Fotiou
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Initial Level ◽  
State Dependence ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Fiscal Multipliers ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

Empirical evidence shows that fiscal multipliers depend on the state of the cycle, the nature of fiscal policy and the level of debt. In other words, evidence points to non-linearities in the effects of fiscal policy. This paper provides a framework to examine the role of the level of government debt in the assessment of consolidation policies across the business cycle, allowing for the consolidation multiplier to depend on the level of debt at the time of consolidation. The empirical analysis, which uses a panel of 13 countries between 1980 and 2014, finds that when debt is high, fiscal consolidations based on tax increases are in general self-defeating, in that they result in an increase of the debt-to-GDP ratio. Instead, cutting public expenditure has a less pronounced effect on economic activity and can stabilize debt. The initial level of debt in an economy, when a fiscal consolidation is implemented, appears to work as a channel in explaining evidence of state-dependence of the different consolidation instruments.

Sociostructural Aspects of Socio-Economic Development:The role of Economic approach

2014 ◽  
pp. 86-105
Author(s):  
M. Shabanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Structural Factors ◽  
Economic Approach ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Socio Economic Development

The author discusses the importance of studying socio-structural factors of socio-economic development through a broader application of the economic approach. The resources of status positions of economic agents are in the spotlight. A possible platform for interdisciplinary interactions is proposed which allows to increase the contribution of both economics and sociology in improving governance at all levels.

World Economic Crisis as a Process of Substitution of Technological Modes

2009 ◽  
pp. 26-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Glaziev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Sharp Increase ◽  
Energy Resources ◽  
Long Wave ◽  
The World ◽  
World Economic ◽  
Technological Mode ◽  
World Economic Crisis

The article analyzes fundamental reasons for the world economic crisis in the light of global technological shifts. It proves that it is caused by the substitution of technological modes. It is shown that sharp increase and slump in stock indices and prices for energy resources are typical of the process of technological substitution which occurs regularly according to the rhythm of long-wave fluctuations of the world economic activity. The article rationalizes a package of anti-crisis measures aimed at stimulating the new technological mode. Its structure and role of the locomotive factor of the new long wave of economic growth are revealed.

The role of equity markets in financing economic activity

2006 ◽  
Vol 82 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
Patrick Artus ◽  
Jean-François Théodore
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Equity Markets

Capitalism in the Classical and High Liberal Traditions

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Freeman
Keyword(s):  
Social System ◽  
Essential Role ◽  
Economic Justice ◽  
Marginal Contribution ◽  
Classical Liberalism ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Liberal Tradition ◽  
Classical Liberal ◽  
Distinguishing Features

This chapter discusses the main distinguishing features of two liberal traditions—classical liberalism and what I call “the high liberal tradition”—and their respective positions regarding capitalism as an economic and social system. It also compares the two traditions’ different positions regarding equality of opportunity and the distributive role of markets in establishing economic justice. I critically assess the classical liberal principle that economic agents deserve to be rewarded according to their marginal contribution to economic product. The chapter concludes with some reflections upon the essential role that dissimilar conceptions of persons and society play in grounding the different positions on economic justice that classical and high liberals advocate.

Capital and Capitalism

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sumit K. Majumdar
Keyword(s):  
Industrial Policy ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
The State ◽  
Industrial Society ◽  
Institution Building ◽  
Modern Industrial Society ◽  
Role Of The State ◽  
Laws And Regulations

The chapter summarizes the nature of capital and capitalism. The chapter also highlights concepts related to the role of the State in economic activity, and the nature of industrial policy. The initial concepts dealt with are that of capital as a fund, capital as structure and capital as capabilities. Capitalism necessitates socially organizing production. Assessing organizational and administrative contingencies is important for understanding capitalism. Institutions are the bedrock of capitalism. The broad roles of Government, in designing laws and regulations, building infrastructure and acting as entrepreneur, are discussed. The implementation of national industrial strategies facilitates growth. The nature of industrial strategies is highlighted. Industrial policy activities, as defined by the three facets of institutions, innovation and involvement, are discussed. With respect to India’s industrial strategy, independent India’s founders’ visions of a modern industrial society, grounded in a need to involve Government in institution building, are introduced.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document