scholarly journals Increased Frequency of Extreme Tropical Deep Convection: AIRS Observations and Climate Model Predictions

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (24) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hartmut H. Aumann ◽  
Ali Behrangi ◽  
Yuan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Model Predictions ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection

scholarly journals Initial Tendencies of Cloud Regimes in the Met Office Unified Model

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 833-840 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. D. Williams ◽  
M. E. Brooks
Keyword(s):  
Initial Temperature ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Systematic Bias ◽  
Cloud Regime ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Cloud Regimes ◽  
Temperature Tendency

Abstract The Met Office unified forecast–climate model is used to compare the properties of simulated climatological cloud regimes with those produced in short-range forecasts initialized from operational analyses. The regimes are defined as principal clusters of joint cloud-top pressure–optical depth histograms. In general, the cloud regime properties are found to be similar at all forecast times, including the climatological mean. This suggests that weaknesses in the representation of fast local processes are responsible for errors in the simulation of the cloud regimes. The increased horizontal resolution of the model used for numerical weather prediction generally has little impact on the cloud regimes, although the simulation of tropical shallow cumulus is improved, while the relative frequency of tropical deep convection and cirrus compare less favorably with observations. Analysis of the initial temperature tendency profiles for each cloud regime indicates that some of the initial temperature tendency, which leads to a systematic bias in the model climatology, is associated with a particular cloud regime.

The Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Troposphere in Winter in a Hierarchy of Models. Part II: Perpetual Winter WACCM Runs

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (9) ◽  
pp. 2026-2041 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaim I. Garfinkel ◽  
Dennis L. Hartmann
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Thermal Wind ◽  
The North ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract Experiments with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) are used to understand the influence of the stratospheric tropical quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the troposphere. The zonally symmetric circulation in thermal wind balance with the QBO affects high-frequency eddies throughout the extratropical troposphere. The influence of the QBO is strongest and most robust in the North Pacific near the jet exit region, in agreement with observations. Variability of the stratospheric polar vortex does not appear to explain the effect of the QBO in the troposphere in the model, although it does contribute to the response in the North Atlantic. Anomalies in tropical deep convection associated with the QBO appear to damp, rather than drive, the effect of the QBO in the extratropical troposphere. Rather, the crucial mechanism whereby the QBO modulates the extratropical troposphere appears to be the interaction of tropospheric transient waves with the axisymmetric circulation in thermal wind balance with the QBO. The response to QBO winds of realistic amplitude is stronger for perpetual February radiative conditions and sea surface temperatures than perpetual January conditions, consistent with the observed response in reanalysis data, in a coupled seasonal WACCM integration, and in dry model experiments described in Part I.

scholarly journals Effect of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool on Lower-Stratospheric Water Vapor and Comparison with the Effect of ENSO

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 929-943 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Xie ◽  
Xin Zhou ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Quanliang Chen ◽  
Jiankai Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Latent Heat Release ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Pacific Warm Pool ◽  
Tropopause Temperature

Abstract Time-slice experiments with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 4 (WACCM4), and composite analysis with satellite observations are used to demonstrate that the Indo-Pacific warm pool (IPWP) can significantly affect lower-stratospheric water vapor. It is found that a warmer IPWP significantly dries the stratospheric water vapor by causing a broad cooling of the tropopause, and vice versa for a colder IPWP. Such imprints in tropopause temperature are driven by a combination of variations in the Brewer–Dobson circulation in the stratosphere and deep convection in the troposphere. Changes in deep convection associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reportedly have a small zonal mean effect on lower-stratospheric water vapor for strong zonally asymmetric effects on tropopause temperature. In contrast, IPWP events have zonally uniform imprints on tropopause temperature. This is because equatorial planetary waves forced by latent heat release from deep convection project strongly onto ENSO but weakly onto IPWP events.

Impacts of mineral dust on ice clouds in tropical deep convection systems

2014 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 64-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Q.-L. Min ◽  
R. Li ◽  
B. Lin ◽  
E. Joseph ◽  
V. Morris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mineral Dust ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection

Subpolar Gyre – AMOC – Atmosphere Interactions on Multidecadal Timescales in a Version of the Kiel Climate Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Sun ◽  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Wonsun Park
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Subpolar Gyre ◽  
Surface Salinity ◽  
The North ◽  
Ocean Coupling ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p>There is a controversy about the nature of multidecadal climate variability in the North Atlantic (NA) region, concerning the roles of ocean circulation and atmosphere-ocean coupling. Here we describe NA multidecadal variability from a version of the Kiel Climate Model, in which both subpolar gyre (SPG)-Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and atmosphere-ocean coupling are essential. The oceanic barotropic streamfuntions, meridional overturning streamfunctions, and sea level pressure are jointly analyzed to derive the leading mode of Atlantic variability. This mode accounting for about 23.7 % of the total combined variance is oscillatory with an irregular periodicity of 25-50 years and an e-folding time of about a decade. SPG and AMOC mutually influence each other and together provide the delayed negative feedback necessary for maintaining the oscillation. An anomalously strong SPG, for example, drives higher surface salinity and density in the NA’s sinking region. In response, oceanic deep convection and AMOC intensify, which, with a time delay of about a decade, reduces SPG strength by enhancing upper-ocean heat content. The weaker gyre circulation leads to lower surface salinity and density in the sinking region, which eventually reduces deep convection and AMOC strength. There is a positive ocean-atmosphere feedback between the sea surface temperature and low-level atmospheric circulation over the Southern Greenland area, with related wind stress changes reinforcing SPG changes, thereby maintaining the (damped) multidecadal oscillation against dissipation. Stochastic surface heat-flux forcing associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation drives the eigenmode.</p>

Effect of Surface Fluxes versus Radiative Heating on Tropical Deep Convection

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 3378-3388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Usama Anber ◽  
Shuguang Wang ◽  
Adam Sobel
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Multiple Equilibria ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Net Energy ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Tropical Deep Convection ◽  
Gross Moist Stability

Abstract The effects of turbulent surface fluxes and radiative heating on tropical deep convection are compared in a series of idealized cloud-system-resolving simulations with parameterized large-scale dynamics. Two methods of parameterizing the large-scale dynamics are used: the weak temperature gradient (WTG) approximation and the damped gravity wave (DGW) method. Both surface fluxes and radiative heating are specified, with radiative heating taken as constant in the vertical in the troposphere. All simulations are run to statistical equilibrium. In the precipitating equilibria, which result from sufficiently moist initial conditions, an increment in surface fluxes produces more precipitation than an equal increment of column-integrated radiative heating. This is straightforwardly understood in terms of the column-integrated moist static energy budget with constant normalized gross moist stability. Under both large-scale parameterizations, the gross moist stability does in fact remain close to constant over a wide range of forcings, and the small variations that occur are similar for equal increments of surface flux and radiative heating. With completely dry initial conditions, the WTG simulations exhibit hysteresis, maintaining a dry state with no precipitation for a wide range of net energy inputs to the atmospheric column. The same boundary conditions and forcings admit a rainy state also (for moist initial conditions), and thus multiple equilibria exist under WTG. When the net forcing (surface fluxes minus radiative heating) is increased enough that simulations that begin dry eventually develop precipitation, the dry state persists longer after initialization when the surface fluxes are increased than when radiative heating is increased. The DGW method, however, shows no multiple equilibria in any of the simulations.

scholarly journals GoAmazon2014/5 campaign points to deep-inflow approach to deep convection across scales

2018 ◽  
Vol 115 (18) ◽  
pp. 4577-4582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathleen A. Schiro ◽  
Fiaz Ahmed ◽  
Scott E. Giangrande ◽  
J. David Neelin
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Field Campaign ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Tropical Oceans ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Environmental Air

A substantial fraction of precipitation is associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), which are currently poorly represented in climate models. Convective parameterizations are highly sensitive to the assumptions of an entraining plume model, in which high equivalent potential temperature air from the boundary layer is modified via turbulent entrainment. Here we show, using multiinstrument evidence from the Green Ocean Amazon field campaign (2014–2015; GoAmazon2014/5), that an empirically constrained weighting for inflow of environmental air based on radar wind profiler estimates of vertical velocity and mass flux yields a strong relationship between resulting buoyancy measures and precipitation statistics. This deep-inflow weighting has no free parameter for entrainment in the conventional sense, but to a leading approximation is simply a statement of the geometry of the inflow. The structure further suggests the weighting could consistently apply even for coherent inflow structures noted in field campaign studies for MCSs over tropical oceans. For radar precipitation retrievals averaged over climate model grid scales at the GoAmazon2014/5 site, the use of deep-inflow mixing yields a sharp increase in the probability and magnitude of precipitation with increasing buoyancy. Furthermore, this applies for both mesoscale and smaller-scale convection. Results from reanalysis and satellite data show that this holds more generally: Deep-inflow mixing yields a strong precipitation–buoyancy relation across the tropics. Deep-inflow mixing may thus circumvent inadequacies of current parameterizations while helping to bridge the gap toward representing mesoscale convection in climate models.

scholarly journals The HadCM3 contribution to PlioMIP phase 2

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. 1691-1713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen J. Hunter ◽  
Alan M. Haywood ◽  
Aisling M. Dolan ◽  
Julia C. Tindall
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Mean Annual Precipitation ◽  
Phase 2 ◽  
The North ◽  
Orbital Configuration ◽  
Hadley Centre

Abstract. We present the UK's input into the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (PlioMIP2) using the Hadley Centre Climate Model version 3 (HadCM3). The 400 ppm CO2 Pliocene experiment has a mean annual surface air temperature that is 2.9 ∘C warmer than the pre-industrial and a polar amplification of between 1.7 and 2.2 times the global mean warming. The Pliocene Research Interpretation and Synoptic Mapping (PRISM4) enhanced Pliocene palaeogeography accounts for a warming of 1.4 ∘C, whilst the CO2 increase from 280 to 400 ppm leads to a further 1.5 ∘C of warming. Climate sensitivity is 3.5 ∘C for the pre-industrial and 2.9 ∘C for the Pliocene. Precipitation change between the pre-industrial and Pliocene is complex, with geographic and land surface changes primarily modifying the geographical extent of mean annual precipitation. Sea ice fraction and areal extent are reduced during the Pliocene, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere, although they persist through summer in both hemispheres. The Pliocene palaeogeography drives a more intense Pacific and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). This intensification of AMOC is coincident with more widespread deep convection in the North Atlantic. We conclude by examining additional sensitivity experiments and confirm that the choice of total solar insolation (1361 vs. 1365 Wm−2) and orbital configuration (modern vs. 3.205 Ma) does not significantly influence the anomaly-type analysis in use by the Pliocene community.

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