scholarly journals Patient-specific COVID-19 resource utilization prediction using fusion AI model

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amara Tariq ◽  
Leo Anthony Celi ◽  
Janice M. Newsome ◽  
Saptarshi Purkayastha ◽  
Neal Kumar Bhatia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Medical History ◽  
Resource Utilization ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Current Treatment ◽  
Patient Specific ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Fusion Model ◽  
Early Fusion ◽  
Pcr Test

AbstractThe strain on healthcare resources brought forth by the recent COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for efficient resource planning and allocation through the prediction of future consumption. Machine learning can predict resource utilization such as the need for hospitalization based on past medical data stored in electronic medical records (EMR). We conducted this study on 3194 patients (46% male with mean age 56.7 (±16.8), 56% African American, 7% Hispanic) flagged as COVID-19 positive cases in 12 centers under Emory Healthcare network from February 2020 to September 2020, to assess whether a COVID-19 positive patient’s need for hospitalization can be predicted at the time of RT-PCR test using the EMR data prior to the test. Five main modalities of EMR, i.e., demographics, medication, past medical procedures, comorbidities, and laboratory results, were used as features for predictive modeling, both individually and fused together using late, middle, and early fusion. Models were evaluated in terms of precision, recall, F1-score (within 95% confidence interval). The early fusion model is the most effective predictor with 84% overall F1-score [CI 82.1–86.1]. The predictive performance of the model drops by 6 % when using recent clinical data while omitting the long-term medical history. Feature importance analysis indicates that history of cardiovascular disease, emergency room visits in the past year prior to testing, and demographic factors are predictive of the disease trajectory. We conclude that fusion modeling using medical history and current treatment data can forecast the need for hospitalization for patients infected with COVID-19 at the time of the RT-PCR test.

scholarly journals Superiority of MALDI-TOF Mass Spectrometry over Real-Time PCR for SARS-CoV-2 RNA Detection

Viruses ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 730
Author(s):  
Magda Rybicka ◽  
Ewa Miłosz ◽  
Krzysztof Piotr Bielawski
Keyword(s):  
Mass Spectrometry ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
Viral Genome ◽  
False Negative ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Rna Detection ◽  
Maldi Tof ◽  
Negative Results ◽  
False Negative Results ◽  
Pcr Test

At present, the RT-PCR test remains the gold standard for early diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2. Nevertheless, there is growing evidence demonstrating that this technique may generate false-negative results. Here, we aimed to compare the new mass spectrometry-based assay MassARRAY® SARS-CoV-2 Panel with the RT-PCR diagnostic test approved for clinical use. The study group consisted of 168 suspected patients with symptoms of a respiratory infection. After simultaneous analysis by RT-PCR and mass spectrometry methods, we obtained discordant results for 17 samples (10.12%). Within fifteen samples officially reported as presumptive positive, 13 were positive according to the MS-based assay. Moreover, four samples reported by the officially approved RT-PCR as negative were positive in at least one MS assay. We have successfully demonstrated superior sensitivity of the MS-based assay in SARS-CoV-2 detection, showing that MALDI-TOF MS seems to be ideal for the detection as well as discrimination of mutations within the viral genome.

scholarly journals The role of CT imaging for management of COVID-19 in epidemic area: early experience from a University Hospital

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vikram rao Bollineni ◽  
Koenraad Hans Nieboer ◽  
Seema Döring ◽  
Nico Buls ◽  
Johan de Mey
Keyword(s):  
Ct Scan ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Ct Imaging ◽  
Chest Ct ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Ct Findings ◽  
Epidemic Area ◽  
Chest Ct Scan ◽  
Pcr Test

Abstract Background To evaluate the clinical value of the chest CT scan compared to the reference standard real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in COVID-19 patients. Methods From March 29th to April 15th of 2020, a total of 240 patients with respiratory distress underwent both a low-dose chest CT scan and RT-PCR tests. The performance of chest CT in diagnosing COVID-19 was assessed with reference to the RT-PCR result. Two board-certified radiologists (mean 24 years of experience chest CT), blinded for the RT-PCR result, reviewed all scans and decided positive or negative chest CT findings by consensus. Results Out of 240 patients, 60% (144/240) had positive RT-PCR results and 89% (213/240) had a positive chest CT scans. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of chest CT in suggesting COVID-19 were 100% (95% CI: 97–100%, 144/240), 28% (95% CI: 19–38%, 27/240), 68% (95% CI: 65–70%) and 100%, respectively. The diagnostic accuracy of the chest CT suggesting COVID-19 was 71% (95% CI: 65–77%). Thirty-three patients with positive chest CT scan and negative RT-PCR test at baseline underwent repeat RT-PCR assay. In this subgroup, 21.2% (7/33) cases became RT-PCR positive. Conclusion Chest CT imaging has high sensitivity and high NPV for diagnosing COVID-19 and can be considered as an alternative primary screening tool for COVID-19 in epidemic areas. In addition, a negative RT-PCR test, but positive CT findings can still be suggestive of COVID-19 infection.

scholarly journals Delayed pulmonary embolism after COVID-19 pneumonia: a case report

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamad Kanso ◽  
Thomas Cardi ◽  
Halim Marzak ◽  
Alexandre Schatz ◽  
Loïc Faucher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Intensive Care Unit ◽  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Index Hospitalization ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Moderate Severity ◽  
Respiratory Status ◽  
Case Summary ◽  
Pcr Test

Abstract Background  Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, several cardiovascular manifestations have been described. Among them, venous thromboembolism (VTE) seems to be one of the most frequent, particularly in intensive care unit patients. We report two cases of COVID-19 patients developing acute pulmonary embolism (PE) after discharge from a first hospitalization for pneumonia of moderate severity. Case summary  Two patients with positive RT-PCR test were initially hospitalized for non-severe COVID-19. Both received standard thromboprophylaxis during the index hospitalization and had no strong predisposing risk factors for VTE. Few days after discharge, they were both readmitted for worsening dyspnoea due to PE. One patient was positive for lupus anticoagulant. Discussion  Worsening respiratory status in COVID-19 patients must encourage physicians to search for PE since SARS-CoV-2 infection may act as a precipitant risk factor for VTE. Patients may thus require more aggressive and longer thromboprophylaxis after COVID-19 related hospitalization.

Avascular Osteonecrosis of the Talus: Current Treatment Strategies

2021 ◽  
pp. 107110072110510
Author(s):  
Hanci Zhang ◽  
Amanda N. Fletcher ◽  
Daniel J. Scott ◽  
James Nunley
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Core Decompression ◽  
Bone Grafts ◽  
Current Treatment ◽  
Optimal Treatment ◽  
Patient Specific ◽  
Avascular Osteonecrosis ◽  
Current Trends

Avascular osteonecrosis (AVN) of the talus (AVNT) is a painful and challenging clinical diagnosis. AVNT has multiple known risk factors and etiologies and presents at different stages in severity. Given these unique factors, the optimal treatment solution has yet to be determined. Both joint-preserving and joint-sacrificing procedures are available, including core decompression and arthrodeses. Recently, new salvage and replacement techniques have been described including vascularized pedicle bone grafts and total talus replacement using patient-specific prosthesis; however, evidence remains limited. This review examines the current trends AVNT treatment and the emerging data behind these novel techniques.

Death and COVID-19 Anxiety in Home-Quarantined Individuals Aged 65 and Over During the Pandemic

2021 ◽  
pp. 003022282110598
Author(s):  
Hümeyra Aslaner ◽  
Betül Özen ◽  
Zeliha K. Erten ◽  
Mebrure Beyza Gökçek
Keyword(s):  
Polymerase Chain Reaction ◽  
Death Anxiety ◽  
Short Form ◽  
Anxiety Score ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Chain Reaction ◽  
Polymerase Chain ◽  
Test Result ◽  
Pcr Test

Urgent measures were taken for those at the age of 65 and over who were at the risk group all over the world due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is known that many individuals at the age of 65 and over have experienced anxiety due to the uncertainties. This study aimed to determine the anxiety and death anxiety in individuals aged 65 and over who were isolation at home due to being diagnosed with COVID-19 or being in contact during the pandemic process. The study is descriptive and cross-sectional. It was performed with 656 home-quarantined individuals aged between 65–80 years with positive or negative real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test result. A form including questions about the death anxiety and the Coronavirus Anxiety Scale Short Form prepared by the researchers were administered to the individuals by phone call. Of the participants, 49.5% were male. Median COVID-19 anxiety score was 4 (0–18). Anxiety scores of the male and female participants were similar. Participants with negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) results and those with death anxiety had higher COVID anxiety scores. Death anxiety has increased by 1.661 times in male gender, 1.983 times in RT-PCR positivity and 0.146 times in the presence of symptoms. Individuals with positive COVID-19 test results or those aged 65 and over who had death anxiety and negative COVID-19 test result but who were in home-isolation due to being a contact had higher anxiety score. For this reason, those with death anxiety can be supported in line with their religious beliefs to reduce anxiety. Those with negative PCR test results in quarantine can be adequately informed about the COVID-19.

Accuracy of Computed Tomography for Detection of COVID-19 among Suspected Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (9) ◽  
pp. 2474-2476
Author(s):  
Maham Munir Awan ◽  
Afshan Noreen ◽  
Farah Kalsoom ◽  
Muhammad Tahir ◽  
Umaima Majeed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Computed Tomography ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
Radiology Department ◽  
True Positive ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Radiological Society ◽  
Medical University ◽  
Pcr Test

Objective: To determine the accuracy of CT chest in diagnosis of COVID-19 taking RT-PCR-testing as gold standard. Materials and Methods: A total of 150 patients of suspicion of COVID-19 who were referred for CT Chest in Radiology Department of Nishtar Medical University Multan from June-2020 to May-2021 were included. In all patients, two RT-PCR test results were obtained with 7 days of admission in hospital. Presence of any of these positive was labelled as COVID-19 infection. CT chest was performed in all patients within 2 days of admission in hospital using 128 slices CT scan machine. The diagnosis of COVID-19 infection was made according to the recommendations by Radiological Society of North America (RSNA) protocol. Results: Mean age was 51.3±14.7 years. 78 (52%) patients were male and 72 (48%) patients were female. RTPCR test was positive in 89 (59.3%) patients. While the CT chest findings were suggestive of COVID-19 infection in 130 (86.7%) patients. The sensitivity of CT chest was 95.5%, specificity 26.2%, PPV wad 65.4% and NPV was 80.0%. Conclusion: CT chest has a very good sensitivity for detection of COVID-19, it can be used as a rapid diagnostic tool especially in areas of pandemic. However, the specificity of CT chest is low, that can limit its use in low COVID-19 affected areas. Keywords: COVID-19, Computed tomography, False Positive, True Positive, Positive Predictive Value, Negative Predictive Value.

DIAGNOSTIC ROLE OF CHEST CT USING CO-RADS CATEGORIZATION IN SARS-COV-2 INFECTION WITH EMPHASIS ON IMPACT OF CT IN PATIENTS WITH DELAYED OR NEGATIVE INITIAL RTPCR TEST

2021 ◽  
pp. 51-52
Author(s):  
Tharani Putta ◽  
Kaushik Deconda
Keyword(s):  
Diagnostic Performance ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Chest Ct ◽  
Lung Involvement ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Diagnostic Role ◽  
Pcr Test

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Role of chest CT in diagnosis of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been controversial. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the diagnostic performance of chest CT when utilizing COVID-19 Reporting and Data System (CO-RADS). METHODOLOGY: Retrospective study including consecutive patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test (initial or repeat test) and chest CT done in our institute between June and September 2020. Spectrum of CT ndings, CO-RADS score and 25 point CT severity score (CTSS) were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 300 consecutive patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were included in the analysis. Out of the 168 patients who underwent CT prior to positive RT-PCR result, 125 (74.4%) had CO-RADS 3, 4 or 5 score on chest CT. 32 study patients (10.6%) had initial negative RT-PCR of which 24 (75%) had CO-RADS 4 or 5 score. Of the total patients with CO-RADS 3 to 5 score (227), 20 (8.8%) had severe lung involvement (CTSS 18-25), 83 (36.6%) had moderate lung involvement (CTSS 8-17) and 124 (54.6%) had mild lung involvement (CTSS 1-7). The mean CTSS was 7.9 with mean lobar score being higher in lower lobes (RLL=1.82, LLL=1.78) compared to the upper and middle lobes (RUL=1.61, RML=1.19, LUL=1.53). CONCLUSION:CT using CO-RADS scoring system has good diagnostic performance. In addition to assessing disease severity, it plays a vital role in triage of patients with suspected COVID-19 especially when there is limited availability of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR tests, delay in RT-PCR test results or in negative RT-PCR cases when there is high index of clinical suspicion.

scholarly journals First Report of Lolium latent virus in Ryegrass in the United States

Plant Disease ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 90 (4) ◽  
pp. 528-528 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. J. Maroon-Lango ◽  
J. Hammond ◽  
S. Warnke ◽  
R. Li ◽  
R. Mock
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Lolium Perenne ◽  
The United States ◽  
Latent Virus ◽  
Hybrid Population ◽  
Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
High Sequence Identity ◽  
Lolium Perenne L ◽  
Pcr Test

Initial reports of the presence of Lolium latent virus (LLV) in Lolium perenne L. and L. multiflorum Lam. breeding clones in Germany, the Netherlands, France (2), and recently the United Kingdom (3,4; described as Ryegrass latent virus prior to identification as LLV) prompted us to evaluate clonally propagated Lolium plants from the United States. Four genetically distinct plants (viz., MF22, MF48, MF125, and MF132) that have been maintained clonally for 5 years from a Lolium perenne × L. multiflorum hybrid population established in the United States exhibited either no symptoms or mild chlorotic flecking that coalesced to form chlorotic to necrotic streaking on the leaves. All four clonal plants tested positive using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) with the Potexvirus group PCR test (Agdia, Inc., Elkhart, IN), whereas all clones but MF48 tested positive using the Potyvirus group PCR test (Agdia, Inc.). No amplicons were obtained when the same plants were tested for tobamovirus, carlavirus, and closterovirus using appropriate virus group-specific primers. Cloning and sequencing of the potexviral amplicons revealed very high sequence identity with the comparable region of LLV-UK (GenBank Accession No. DQ333886), whereas those of the potyviral amplicons (GenBank Accession Nos. DQ355837 and DQ355838) were nearly identical with the comparable region of Ryegrass mosaic virus (RGMV), a rymovirus first reported from the United States in 1957 (1). Using indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), extracts from all four Lolium clonal propagations tested positive for LLV using the antiserum raised to LLV-Germany (courtesy of Dr. Huth), whereas the potyvirus-positive results from RT-PCR of the three clones were confirmed using indirect ELISA with the broad spectrum potyvirus monoclonal antibody, PTY-1. LLV from singly or dually infected Lolium clones was transmitted to Nicotiana benthamiana Domin. but not to N. tabacum L. by mechanical inoculation. LLV was purified from infected N. benthamiana. Similar sized flexuous rods were observed using electron microscopy in leaf dip samples from Lolium clones and aliquots of the virions purified from N. benthamiana. References: (1) G. W. Bruehl et al. Phytopathology 47:517, 1957. (2) W. Huth et al. Agronomie 15:508, 1995. (3) R. Li et al. Asian Conf. Plant Pathol. 2:89, 2005. (4) C. Maroon-Lango et al. Int. Congr. Virol. 13:63, 2005.

scholarly journals Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joel Hellewell ◽  
Timothy W. Russell ◽  
Rupert Beale ◽  
Gavin Kelly ◽  
Catherine Houlihan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Vulnerable Populations ◽  
Research Unit ◽  
Asymptomatic Infection ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Swab ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Symptomatic Infection ◽  
Testing Frequency ◽  
Peak Sensitivity ◽  
Pcr Test ◽  
Over Time

AbstractBackgroundRoutine asymptomatic testing using RT-PCR of people who interact with vulnerable populations, such as medical staff in hospitals or care workers in care homes, has been employed to help prevent outbreaks among vulnerable populations. Although the peak sensitivity of RT-PCR can be high, the probability of detecting an infection will vary throughout the course of an infection. The effectiveness of routine asymptomatic testing will therefore depend on testing frequency and how PCR detection varies over time.MethodsWe fitted a Bayesian statistical model to a dataset of twice weekly PCR tests of UK healthcare workers performed by self-administered nasopharyngeal swab, regardless of symptoms. We jointly estimated times of infection and the probability of a positive PCR test over time following infection, we then compared asymptomatic testing strategies by calculating the probability that a symptomatic infection is detected before symptom onset and the probability that an asymptomatic infection is detected within 7 days of infection.FindingsWe estimated that the probability that the PCR test detected infection peaked at 77% (54 - 88%) 4 days after infection, decreasing to 50% (38 - 65%) by 10 days after infection. Our results suggest a substantially higher probability of detecting infections 1–3 days after infection than previously published estimates. We estimated that testing every other day would detect 57% (33-76%) of symptomatic cases prior to onset and 94% (75-99%) of asymptomatic cases within 7 days if test results were returned within a day.InterpretationOur results suggest that routine asymptomatic testing can enable detection of a high proportion of infected individuals early in their infection, provided that the testing is frequent and the time from testing to notification of results is sufficiently fast.FundingWellcome Trust, National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit, Medical Research Council (UKRI)

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