scholarly journals Assessment of the impact of the duration of construction on the effectiveness of the investment project

2019 ◽  
Vol 135 ◽  
pp. 04021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Mikhaylova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Mathematical Expression ◽  
Analytical Description ◽  
Mathematical Apparatus ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Investment Process ◽  
Quantitative Indicators ◽  
The Impact

The article discusses the relevance and necessity of assessing the impact of the duration of construction on the economic efficiency of investments. Using a mathematical expression, the profit received by the investor during the life cycle of the direct investment process is described. The peculiarity of investment projects involving the creation of capital investment (real estate), is the period of time during which profit is impossible. This period of time is equal to the duration of construction, including installation of technological equipment and commissioning. An analytical description of the degree of influence of the duration of construction on the indicators of economic efficiency of the investment project (profitability and profitability of property) is proposed. On the basis of the learned expressions, a numerical experiment was performed and graphs were constructed. The results of the research prove the possibility of analytical description of the degree of influence of the duration of construction on the quantitative indicators describing the investment project (profitability (Bank interest), profitability of the created property). It seems that the described approach allows to carry out forecasts which reliability surpasses the results obtained, for example, by means of expert estimations. The proposed mathematical apparatus is much simpler than the methods of probability theory and fuzzy set theory.

scholarly journals DETERMINATION OF OPTIMAL FUNDING SOURCES FROM A SET OF ALTERNATIVES

2021 ◽  
pp. 55-63
Author(s):  
N. Koshevsky
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Practical Case ◽  
Baseline Scenario ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
Return On Capital ◽  
The Impact

The introduction provides a brief review of the literature on methods for assessing the effectiveness of investment projects, based on which the choice of optimal sources of financing is made. In the main part of the work, various scenarios for the implementation of an investment project are disclosed: sources of financing that are alternative to the baseline scenario are attracted. In the final part of the work, the considered scenarios are assessed and conclusions are drawn.For each enterprise, improving the financial and economic efficiency of its activities is one of the priority tasks. These tasks include the need to increase the return on capital, the choice of funding sources that have a positive effect on economic efficiency. This paper examines the ways of choosing the optimal, from the point of view of the impact on economic efficiency, instruments for financing an investment project. A practical case of project financing with an assessment of the effectiveness of the implementation of an investment project is considered. To analyze the alternatives, a financial business model was developed, which allows you to quickly make changes, update performance indicators and make decisions about the required capital structure. It is concluded that the optimal capital structure with the highest NPV indicator and that when assessing the efficiency parameters, it is necessary to make an adjustment for the possible presence in the company's capital structure of funding sources that distort the comparability of the project in relation to projects without such sources (for example, budget grants).

The development of the pension system of Russia: Challenges and opportunities

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (11) ◽  
pp. 2548-2574
Author(s):  
Andrei I. MASTEROV
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Demographic Trends ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Low Efficiency ◽  
The Impact

Subject. This article analyzes the economic and demographic conditions for the Russian pension system’s development and the impact of the effectiveness of investment projects implementation on pension savings. Objectives. The article aims to analyze the Russian pension system’s development difficulties in terms of an unfavorable investment climate and negative demographic trends, and identify ways to propel the pension savings investing profitability increase. Methods. For the study, I used induction and deduction, and the methods of systems and statistical analyses. Results. The article offers recommendations for the development of a system of measures aimed at improving the methodological support for the preparation and implementation of management decisions on investment project management. Conclusions and Relevance. Solving the problems of the pension system through the development of voluntary pension savings is constrained by the low efficiency of the investment projects implementation. The results of the study can be used when developing legislative, organizational and methodological measures aimed at improving the efficiency of investing pension savings in investment projects implemented in the Russian Federation.

scholarly journals EXPLANATION OF THE BENEFIT OF THE INVESTMENT PROJECT ON THE CASH BASIS / IZRAŽAVANJE KORISTI INVESTICIONOG PROJEKTA NA GOTOVINSKOJ OSNOVI

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dijana Kremenović
Keyword(s):  
Growth And Development ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Capital Budgeting ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Investment Process ◽  
Additional Value ◽  
Cash Basis

Decisions about the choice of investment projects can significantly affect the destiny of the company, its competitive position in the market, market participation, the direction of further technological development, and even the survival of the company. The aim of this paper is, in the conditions of the current economic reality, to point out the significance of the choice of methods of expressing the benefit of an investment project. In this sense, we have explained in detail all currently applicable methods for assessing the viability of investment projects on a cash basis, comparing the good and bad sides of all the methods presented. In this connection, we especially pointed out the importance of the time value of money. The decision to apply the capital budgeting process, certainly, is the decision of the company itself. However, the outcome of investment activity is borne by a wider circle of consumers, which should be a sufficient reason to encourage education and the application of current methods in this area. If you want to realistically look at the investment process and evaluate the justification of an investment project, it is necessary to identify and analyse the effects of exploitation of a particular investment. In order to ensure the realization of the company’s basic strategic goals and thus ensure its growth and development, it is necessary to make decisions in which the company will focus its investment activities on this investment projects whose effects will ensure the highest return on investment. This work deals with the complex issues of making adequate investment decisions using a method for assessing the viability of investment projects on a cash basis. Bearing in mind the significance of investment activity, we can conclude that for the purpose of making a good investment decision, it is necessary to realistically look at the entire investment process and assess the justification of the implementation of the investment project. In this sense, we identify, measure and quantify the overall effects of the realization of a particular investment. Capital budgeting for the purpose of making an investment decision today is a generally accepted concept in developed economies. There is no doubt that there are many disagreements regarding the choice of the methods of assessing the viability of investment investments, and then the selection of criteria within a certain method. However, it is quite certain that the rich experience of developed countries undoubtedly points to the need for capital budgeting, investment project management, with particular emphasis on the use of discounted methods for assessing the viability of investment investment and respecting both economic and non-economic effects. Implicit benefits that the application of capital budgeting brings to the overall growth and development of the company, in terms of reducing uncertainty in making investment decisions, easier ranking of investment projects, exact measurement of expected benefits, transparency of investment activity criteria, attracting investors and ultimately creating additional value and greater degree of realization of strategic company goals.With this work, we pointed out the fact that capital budgeting is crucial in the process of making an investment decision and in that way has influenced enterprises to seriously deal with the choice of the method of estimating the profitability of investment projects that will surely result in additional value for the company.

scholarly journals Simulation Modeling in Assessing the Effectiveness and Risk of Investment Projects

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 119-124
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Kharchenko ◽  
◽  
Hanna Kharchenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Random Number ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Average Risk ◽  
Universal Method ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
The Impact

Introduction. The article deals with the modeling features in the implementation of investment projects using the Monte Carlo method. The purpose of the article is to substantiate the feasibility of using economic and mathematical models to identify the risks of investment projects in agricultural production, taking into account the randomness of factors. Results. The expediency of using this method during the analysis of projects in agriculture is determined. This type of modeling is a universal method of research and evaluation of the effectiveness of open systems, the behavior of which depends on the influence of random factors. Particular attention is paid in such cases to decisions on the implementation of investment projects. The expediency of using this method in the analysis of projects in agriculture is determined. The main characteristics of the investment project are considered: investments involve significant financial costs; investment return can be obtained in a few years; there are elements of risk and uncertainty in forecasting the results of the investment project. The algorithm of the analysis of investment projects consisting of various stages is offered. The importance of investigating the risks of investment projects in agricultural production is substantiated. It is investigated that the basis of the Monte Carlo method is a random number generator, which consists of two stages: generation of a normalized random number (uniformly distributed from 0 to 1) and conversion of a random number into an arbitrary distribution law. The task of choosing an investment project for a pig farm is proposed. The calculations revealed that the amount of the expected NPV is UAH 63,158.80 with a standard deviation of UAH 43,777.90. The coefficient of variation was 0.69, so the risk of this project is generally lower than the average risk of the investment portfolio of the farm. Conclusions. The results of the analysis obtained using the method of Monte Carlo simulation are quite simple to interpret and reflect the change of factors over a significant interval, taking into account the probabilistic nature of economic factors. Thus, this method allows the implementation of the investment project to assess the impact of uncertainty on the final result of the project.

scholarly journals Investment efficiency of business in Ukraine: realities and assessment methodology

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (47) ◽  
pp. 48-63
Author(s):  
L.V. Sorokina ◽  
A.F. Hoiko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
International Investment ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Methodical Approach ◽  
National Investment

 The article systematized factors of investment attractiveness and investment climate in Ukraine. The expediency of supplementinganexistinglist of components of investment climate is substantiated by two additional factors. Themechanismo factionoftheproposedfactorsthatreflectthenegative effectin the developmen to freformsand innovations, aswellas the economic efficiency of construction projects on the financial result, expected from investigations, isrevealed. The trends in the developmen to finvestment activityinUkrainein 2015 - 2020, the existence of reserves for increasing the economic efficiency of investments and the need for their calculation witht hehelpof a special methodological approac hare analyzed. The methodical approach to the evaluation of investment efficiency of constructionis developed, which is based on the magnitude of the multiplier of capital investment in construction inthelong-termperiodandrefinedtheboundariesoftheretrospectivehorizon, which are necessary to determine such a multiplier. The rapid importance of aninvestment multiplier of construction isestablis hedand a methodological approach to qualitative interpretation of this indicator issubstantiated. The basis of a methodological approach is the results of a cluster analysis of aninvestment multiplier in the contex to fvarioustypesofconstructionandregions, the methodof K-medium, aswellaspostulatesofthetheoryoffuzzysets. Within the framework of the developed methodological approach, the "investment attractiveness of construction" characteristicsis presentedin the form of a fuzz yterm-shear, which combines three terms: "Lowefficiency", "averageefficiency", "highlevelofefficiency". Inaccordance with descriptiv estatistics of thereceived clusters, the parameters and type of functions of affiliation, the boundaries of clusters that directly affecttheuse of correctivea mendments to the value of the economic effectof capitalinvestment to the level of the contractor-executor of construction work are substantiated. The sizeofther is kfactorisestablishedtakingintoaccountthetypeofconstructionandmedium-layervalues ​​ofmultipliersofcapitalinvestmentinconstruction. Theuse of the proposed Metdic approach to the analysis of investment efficiency inconstruction makesitpossible to increase the accuracy of calculations on th epre-investmentst age of construction, aswellastoimprovemonitoring of capital investment development, carried out in the process of implementing national investment programs and international investment projects.

scholarly journals The investment project pipeline: cost escalation, lead time, success, failure and speed

2011 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 317-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth W Clements ◽  
Jiawei Si
Keyword(s):  
Lead Time ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Regulatory Reform ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Index Number ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Binary Choice Model ◽  
Investment Process ◽  
Planning And Construction

As they involve expectations about the future and long lead times for planning and construction, the evolution of investment projects is usually complex and volatile. This paper analyses an important aspect of this volatility by studying the nature of the investment process, from the initial bright idea to the final construction and operational phase of a project. We refer to this process as the ‘project pipeline’. Using a rich source of information on recent Australian resource development projects, an index-number approach is employed to measure the escalation of costs of projects in the pipeline and the time spent there (the lead time). The determinants of the probability of ultimate success of projects is analysed with a binary choice model. Finally, a Markov chain approach is used to model the transitions of projects from one stage in the pipeline to the next, and to examine the implications of regulatory reform that have the effect of speeding up the flow of projects.

scholarly journals Assessment of Investment Attractiveness of Projects on the Basis of Environmental Factors

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 2544 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayabek Ziyadin ◽  
Elena Streltsova ◽  
Alex Borodin ◽  
Nataliya Kiseleva ◽  
Irina Yakovenko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Mathematical Apparatus ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Environmental Criteria ◽  
Structured Knowledge ◽  
Matlab Package ◽  
The Impact

This article is devoted to the creation of intelligent modelling tools for decision support in the evaluation of intellectual projects submitted for financing, as based on qualitatively defined characteristics. The economic and mathematical models that form the basis of the toolkit are constructed using the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy logic, which allows for the description of poorly structured knowledge of specialists, as well as their application in solving questions about the extent of the impact of the proposed projects on the environment. The authors classify investment projects according to the degree of impact on the environment, the environmental criteria required by the investor for the evaluation of investment projects, and the formal formulation of the problem of evaluation of investment projects when taking into account the environmental factor. The toolkit was created based on the concept of intellectualization, where economic and mathematical models for the evaluation of investment projects are programmatically implemented via the tools and functions available in the MATLAB package.

scholarly journals Safety in construction in the field of investment in urban infrastructure

2019 ◽  
Vol 97 ◽  
pp. 06034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Lyapuntsova ◽  
Iulia Belozerova ◽  
Ilona Drozdova ◽  
Oleg Korol
Keyword(s):  
Urban Landscape ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Urban Infrastructure ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Risk Tolerance ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Internal Markets ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the article is to review the theoretical foundations and practical examples of investor assessment with an integrated approach to the development of urban infrastructure. The article analyzes the conditions for reducing the investment costs of projects. For this purpose, methods of clarifying the conceptual apparatus, classification, systematization and an integrated approach are used. The significance of an investment project depends on its positive influence on at least one of the external or internal markets: material and financial products, services and labor, on the social environment and the environment. Examples are provided of the impact on urban planning and the ecology of the urban landscape of investment projects in the field of tourism in recent years, implemented at the expense of the Federal Target Program “Development of domestic and inbound tourism in the Russia for 2011-2018.” in Sarapul, Barnaul and Cherepovets. The authors conclude that in the examples cited there is a relationship between the risk tolerance of the project and the complexity of the approach to its implementation, and as a result, the amount of investment. Large projects are designed not only to solve specific problems of the investor, regions, economy, state and society, but also ensure the profitability of the state budget at various levels, create new jobs, ensure GDP growth in the country and investment in various sectors, create conditions for the development of the country’s regions. The narrowly focused investment projects are fraught with great risks for the investor due to the selectivity and limited scope of the manifestation of effects.

scholarly journals Organization of Interaction Between Participants in the Investment Process on the Basis of a systematic Justification of Multi-criteria choice

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-127
Author(s):  
S. Ye. Shchepetova ◽  
O. L. Trukhinova
Keyword(s):  
System Analysis ◽  
Mutual Influence ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Investment Choice ◽  
Choice Procedures ◽  
Efficiency And Effectiveness ◽  
Investment Process ◽  
Hierarchy Process

The implementation of investment projects in Russia is associated with a lot of different problems caused by non-financial factors. The high degree of uncertainty of the investment situation, the lack of awareness and subjectivity of the decision-makers on the investment choice, the unreasonableness of the selection criteria, as well as the difficulties in the interaction of actors are due to the lack of systematic mechanisms for managing the investment process in the Russian economy as a whole. Together, they form a fairly voluminous complex of related problems. The article is devoted to the study of these problems and ways to solve them. It focuses on the mutual influence of the organization of interaction between participants in the investment process and investment choice procedures.Purpose: to develop proposals for the formation of mechanisms for interaction between stakeholders to ensure a systematic justification of the investment choice.Methods: in the preparation of this article, the methodology of applied system analysis and modeling is implemented, decision-making methods are used, including the Analytical Hierarchy Process.Results: the importance of the pre-investment stage of the investment process as the stage that generates most of the problems of stakeholders is argued. The approach to building system mechanisms of interaction of participants of the investment process at the pre-investment stage is justified. The schemes of such interaction and procedures for making investment decisions are proposed within the framework of the constructed modified model of multi-criteria investment choice. The formation of systemic mechanisms of interaction between participants in the investment process is carried out based on the need for a systematic justification of the multi-criteria choice of an investment project, taking into account the interests of all interested parties. The proposed methodology was developed through the development and modification of the Analytical Hierarchy Process by T. Saati and is aimed at improving the organization of the investment process and the implementation of investment choice based on generalized criteria of satisfaction, efficiency and effectiveness.Сonclusions and Relevance: the formation of system mechanisms of interaction of participants in the investment process at the pre-investment stage was carried out by developing a set of procedures that accompany the process of justifying a multi-criteria investment choice to achieve satisfaction, efficiency and effectiveness of the activities of all actors. The formation of system mechanisms of interaction of participants in the investment process allows to coordinate their interests, opportunities and limitations of the participants' activities, as well as to give the investment process purposefulness and manageability.

scholarly journals Russian capital investment dynamics as an economic transformation factor

2019 ◽  
Vol 89 (10) ◽  
pp. 981-992
Author(s):  
Aleksey V. Alekseev ◽  
Natalia N. Kuznetsova
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Economic Transformation ◽  
Capital Investments ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Use Of Resources ◽  
Investment Process

By comparing Russian and American capital investment programs according to gross and per capita indexes, this article analyzes capital investments long-term dynamics in economic activities in general and manufacturing in particular. Results showed that Russian economic growths quality, determined by its 2000 capital investment structure did not correspond with the national economys long-term development aims. Moreover, investment activitys current fading appears consequent to that periods inappropriate investment politics. The existing Russian investment system aims to incorporate its economy into the global economy as a supplier of natural and, partly, agricultural resources, thus dooming manufacturing to stagnation at best. The authors reveal that activation of industrial politics, established on a fundamental power-of-the-state approach in the investment process, based on long-term strategic interests and the potential of market forces (namely, efficiency use of resources) allows launching large-scale investment projects to provide favorable conditions for creating an innovative national economy.

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