Why Did It Happen?
This chapter discusses the causes of Poland’s constitutional breakdown in and after 2015. On the one hand, they have an ‘agentic’ character: the role of the paranoia and anger of political leaders cannot be disregarded. In addition to such supply-side explanations, there are also important demand-side hypotheses, linked in particular to anti-elite and xenophobic attitudes, concerns and fears. As the chapter shows, in the case of Poland, the most important role is played by identity-related concerns, rather than socio-economic vulnerabilities. In turn, persistent support for the populist Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS)) party can be explained by its successful even if irrational welfare policies, by its effective if primitive propaganda, and by the weaknesses of the opposition. This leads to a reflection on the fragility of the institutions. As this chapter argues, partly because of its newness, partly because of faulty institutional design, and partly because of the thinness of democratic political culture among the elite and in society at large, the institutional system of Poland was ineffective in blocking anti-constitutional parties’ access to power.