Fertility intentions and influential factors in Dalian urban city ---A cross-sectional study based on Universal Two-child policy in China
AbstractBackgroundIn October, 2015, Chinese government announced that one-child policy had finally been replaced by a universal two-child policy. However, the effects of new policy may be far less than expected. So we conducted this research to explore potential influential factors of fertility intention.MethodsThis cross-sectional study was conducted and a self-administered questionnaire was designed for collecting socio-demographic information, future fertility intention and influential factors of individual reproductive behavior. The analyses were performed using the SPSS 19.0 statistical software package.ResultsA total of 1370 respondents were interviewed. Our research indicated that the mean ideal number of children was only 1.73 and urban respondents’ sex preference was symmetrical preference. 79.1% (884) married people had the first child already, only 7.6% (71) respondents had two children. Among 1370 participants, 30.4% respondents stated that they would have a second child; while 69.6% respondents refused to have two children in future (just wanted only a child). Binary logistic regression analysis (model 1) showed that female, older age, lower education lever, birth place was Dalian, lower family income, the ideal number of children were associated with having 1 child in the future. Model 2 (only respondents with childbearing experience) showed that female, lower family income, couldn’t get additional financial support from parents were more likely refused to have two children; in additional, the ideal number of children and childbearing experience were significantly influences on future fertility intention.ConclusionFertility intention and reproductive behavior still below replacement in Dalian city. Our results suggest that several factors (including socioeconomic characteristics, economic factors, desired number of child, childbearing experience) have distinctive effects on fertility intention.