Ireland will wait until Brexit for an election
Subject Irish government performance. Significance The latest polls show declining support for the ruling Fine Gael (FG) and for Fianna Fail (FF), which supports the government in a confidence-and-supply arrangement. The FF leadership is under grassroots pressure to withdraw support for the government but will hold off until after the scheduled Brexit date in the hope that its ‘responsible’ approach in supporting stable governance at a time of unprecedented uncertainty will provide political dividends down the line. Impacts Ireland will attract EU migrants due to new UK immigration plans, with a salary threshold of 30,000 pounds (37,970 dollars) for immigrants. FG and FF will expand their networks in Northern Ireland, giving constitutional nationalism greater influence in the province post-Brexit. Tackling climate change seriously will provoke huge opposition, from livestock farmers to parties opposed to carbon taxes.