Age Group Predictive Models for the Real Time Prediction of the University Students using Machine Learning: Preliminary Results

Author(s):  
Chaman Verma ◽  
Zoltan Illes ◽  
Veronika Stoffova
IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Sayim Gokyar ◽  
Fraser J. L. Robb ◽  
Wolfgang Kainz ◽  
Akshay Chaudhari ◽  
Simone Angela Winkler

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
E Shalom-Paz ◽  
A Bilgory ◽  
N Aslih ◽  
Y Atzmon ◽  
Y Shibli ◽  
...  

Abstract Study question Can we develop a real-time diagnostic tool for chronic endometritis (CE) by using attenuated total reflection-Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy to evaluate biopsies obtained during hysteroscopy? Summary answer A discrimination model based on the absorbance data was developed by machine learning techniques, differentiating between positive and negative CE histopathology with 97% accuracy. What is known already CE is diagnosed in approximately 15% of infertile women who undergo in vitro fertilization (IVF), in 42% of women with recurrent implantation failure (RIF), and in 57.8% of women with RPL. Diagnosis is done by endometrial biopsy, and the presence of plasma cells in the endometrial stroma is the generally accepted histological diagnostic criterion. However, the histological detection of CE is time-consuming and difficult. ATR-FTIR spectroscopy is a non-destructive method that can provide valuable information on biochemical changes that occur during pathological processes, such as inflammation and cancer. Study design, size, duration We performed a prospective study in which fresh biopsies of endometrium were obtained during standard hysteroscopies. Each biopsy was examined by the spectrophotometer and afterward by histopathological analysis in which multiple myeloma oncogene 1 (MUM–1) staining for plasma cells, a marker of CE, was performed. We planned to investigate 80 samples to develop a discrimination model, and another 40 samples for validation of the model. The study was planned to last two years. Participants/materials, setting, methods Women that underwent hysteroscopy as a part of infertility evaluation were recruited. The hysteroscopies and the biopsy evaluation were performed at the same center. A cut-off of 8 MUM–1 positive cells per 10 high power fields (HPF) was set. We compared the spectroscopy analysis of the positive CE group (≥8) and the negative CE group (<8). Machine learning technique was utilized to build discrimination models. Data analysis was performed using Matlab and Unscrambler software packages. Main results and the role of chance We present preliminary results for our study. Forty-two women were recruited from January 2020 until November 2020. Of the 42 measured spectra, three were discarded due to high measurement noise. Of the 39 biopsies, 33 had MUM–1<8 (CE negative group) and 6 had MUM–1≥8 (CE positive group). Measured spectra of tissue smears from CE negative and positive groups differed from each other in the spectral range of 850–990 [cm–1] (p < 0.05). This wavenumber can be associated with the C-H in-plane bend in the alkene group (CnH2n). A discriminant model was developed between the groups using the Principal Component Analysis and Linear Discriminant Analysis techniques. The accuracy obtained by the model was 97%. We divided the 39 hysteroscopies based on the CE signs into 2 groups: “Negative hysteroscopic-CE” and “Positive hysteroscopic-CE”. Positive hysteroscopic signs were micropolyps, strawberry pattern, hyperemia, punctuation, or pale endometrium. Twenty-three samples were taken in the Negative group and 16 samples were taken in the Positive group. However, measured spectra of tissue smears from negative and positive hysteroscopy groups were not significantly different. The correlation coefficient between hysteroscopy groups and MUM–1 score was r = 0.29, meaning that the characteristic signs of CE in hysteroscopy were not correlated to the histopathology. Limitations, reasons for caution First, these are preliminary results and we need to investigate more samples to validate our model. Second, diagnostic criteria for CE are diverse in the literature and we chose 8 MUM–1 positive cells in 10 HPF, a criterion which may not be accepted by all experts in the field. Wider implications of the findings: ATR-FTIR spectroscopy is highly sensitive to molecular changes and has been utilized as a diagnostic tool in a variety of clinical studies. While histopathological results take about two weeks, ATR-FTIR spectroscopy might give us the possibility to diagnose CE in real-time, allowing an immediate initiation of the appropriate treatment. Trial registration number ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04197167


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. H. Al Gharbi ◽  
A. A. Al-Majed ◽  
A. Abdulraheem ◽  
S. Patil ◽  
S. M. Elkatatny

Abstract Due to high demand for energy, oil and gas companies started to drill wells in remote areas and unconventional environments. This raised the complexity of drilling operations, which were already challenging and complex. To adapt, drilling companies expanded their use of the real-time operation center (RTOC) concept, in which real-time drilling data are transmitted from remote sites to companies’ headquarters. In RTOC, groups of subject matter experts monitor the drilling live and provide real-time advice to improve operations. With the increase of drilling operations, processing the volume of generated data is beyond a human's capability, limiting the RTOC impact on certain components of drilling operations. To overcome this limitation, artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) technologies were introduced to monitor and analyze the real-time drilling data, discover hidden patterns, and provide fast decision-support responses. AI/ML technologies are data-driven technologies, and their quality relies on the quality of the input data: if the quality of the input data is good, the generated output will be good; if not, the generated output will be bad. Unfortunately, due to the harsh environments of drilling sites and the transmission setups, not all of the drilling data is good, which negatively affects the AI/ML results. The objective of this paper is to utilize AI/ML technologies to improve the quality of real-time drilling data. The paper fed a large real-time drilling dataset, consisting of over 150,000 raw data points, into Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Decision Tree (DT) models. The models were trained on the valid and not-valid datapoints. The confusion matrix was used to evaluate the different AI/ML models including different internal architectures. Despite the slowness of ANN, it achieved the best result with an accuracy of 78%, compared to 73% and 41% for DT and SVM, respectively. The paper concludes by presenting a process for using AI technology to improve real-time drilling data quality. To the author's knowledge based on literature in the public domain, this paper is one of the first to compare the use of multiple AI/ML techniques for quality improvement of real-time drilling data. The paper provides a guide for improving the quality of real-time drilling data.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teymur Sadigov ◽  
Cagri Cerrahoglu ◽  
James Ramsay ◽  
Laurence Burchell ◽  
Sean Cavalero ◽  
...  

Abstract This paper introduces a novel technique that allows real-time injection monitoring with distributed fiber optics using physics-informed machine learning methods and presents results from Clair Ridge asset where a cloud-based, real-time application is deployed. Clair Ridge is a structural high comprising of naturally fractured Devonian to Carboniferous continental sandstones, with a significantly naturally fractured ridge area. The fractured nature of the reservoir lends itself to permanent deployment of Distributed Fiber Optic Sensing (DFOS) to enable real-time injection monitoring to maximise recovery from the field. In addition to their default limitations, such as providing a snapshot measurement and disturbing the natural well flow with up and down flowing passes, wireline-conveyed production logs (PL) are also unable to provide a high-resolution profile of the water injection along the reservoir due to the completion type. DFOS offers unique surveillance capability when permanently installed along the reservoir interface and continuously providing injection profiles with full visibility along the reservoir section without the need for an intervention. The real-time injection monitoring application uses both distributed acoustic and temperature sensing (DAS & DTS) and is based on physics-informed machine learning models. It is now running and available to all asset users on the cloud. So far, the application has generated high-resolution injection profiles over a dozen multi-rate injection periods automatically and the results are cross-checked against the profiles from the warmback analyses that were also generated automatically as part of the same application. The real-time monitoring insights have been effectively applied to provide significant business value using the capability for start-up optimization to manage and improve injection conformance, monitor fractured formations and caprock monitoring.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 1437-1451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy McGovern ◽  
Christopher D. Karstens ◽  
Travis Smith ◽  
Ryan Lagerquist

Abstract Real-time prediction of storm longevity is a critical challenge for National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters. These predictions can guide forecasters when they issue warnings and implicitly inform them about the potential severity of a storm. This paper presents a machine-learning (ML) system that was used for real-time prediction of storm longevity in the Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) tool, making it a Research-to-Operations (R2O) project. Currently, PHI provides forecasters with real-time storm variables and severity predictions from the ProbSevere system, but these predictions do not include storm longevity. We specifically designed our system to be tested in PHI during the 2016 and 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) experiments, which are a quasi-operational naturalistic environment. We considered three ML methods that have proven in prior work to be strong predictors for many weather prediction tasks: elastic nets, random forests, and gradient-boosted regression trees. We present experiments comparing the three ML methods with different types of input data, discuss trade-offs between forecast quality and requirements for real-time deployment, and present both subjective (human-based) and objective evaluation of real-time deployment in the HWT. Results demonstrate that the ML system has lower error than human forecasters, which suggests that it could be used to guide future storm-based warnings, enabling forecasters to focus on other aspects of the warning system.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayaz Hussain ◽  
Umar Draz ◽  
Tariq Ali ◽  
Saman Tariq ◽  
Muhammad Irfan ◽  
...  

Increasing waste generation has become a significant issue over the globe due to the rapid increase in urbanization and industrialization. In the literature, many issues that have a direct impact on the increase of waste and the improper disposal of waste have been investigated. Most of the existing work in the literature has focused on providing a cost-efficient solution for the monitoring of garbage collection system using the Internet of Things (IoT). Though an IoT-based solution provides the real-time monitoring of a garbage collection system, it is limited to control the spreading of overspill and bad odor blowout gasses. The poor and inadequate disposal of waste produces toxic gases, and radiation in the environment has adverse effects on human health, the greenhouse system, and global warming. While considering the importance of air pollutants, it is imperative to monitor and forecast the concentration of air pollutants in addition to the management of the waste. In this paper, we present and IoT-based smart bin using a machine and deep learning model to manage the disposal of garbage and to forecast the air pollutant present in the surrounding bin environment. The smart bin is connected to an IoT-based server, the Google Cloud Server (GCP), which performs the computation necessary for predicting the status of the bin and for forecasting air quality based on real-time data. We experimented with a traditional model (k-nearest neighbors algorithm (k-NN) and logistic reg) and a non-traditional (long short term memory (LSTM) network-based deep learning) algorithm for the creation of alert messages regarding bin status and forecasting the amount of air pollutant carbon monoxide (CO) present in the air at a specific instance. The recalls of logistic regression and k-NN algorithm is 79% and 83%, respectively, in a real-time testing environment for predicting the status of the bin. The accuracy of modified LSTM and simple LSTM models is 90% and 88%, respectively, to predict the future concentration of gases present in the air. The system resulted in a delay of 4 s in the creation and transmission of the alert message to a sanitary worker. The system provided the real-time monitoring of garbage levels along with notifications from the alert mechanism. The proposed works provide improved accuracy by utilizing machine learning as compared to existing solutions based on simple approaches.


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