scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from the European Union

2016 ◽  
Vol 64 (6) ◽  
pp. 1927-1936 ◽  
Author(s):  
Veronika Kajurová ◽  
Petr Rozmahel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
Market Development ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Short Run

The paper examines the causal relation between the stock markets development and economic growth in the EU countries. In particular, the nature and causality direction is investigated. Panel data techniques including cointegration tests, vector error correction models and Granger causality tests were applied to indicate the nature and direction of causality. Long‑run effects of the economic growth upon stock market development was detected in the sample of the Euro area member countries. In addition, the short‑run mutual relations between growth and stock markets were indicated in that country‑sample. In the non‑Euro area countries, only short‑run impact of the stock market development upon economic growth was found. The empirical findings bring up implications for macroeconomic stabilization and development policies. The indicated relations also play a role in predicting economic growth and stock markets’ development.

scholarly journals Are Banks And Stock Markets Positively Related? Empirical Evidence From South Africa

2010 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas M Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Critical Question ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; mso-pagination: none;"><a name="OLE_LINK2"></a><a name="OLE_LINK1"><span style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2;"><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;" lang="EN-GB"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">In this study, we examine the relationship between banks and stock market development in South Africa.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The study attempts to answer one critical question: Are banks and stock markets positively related in South Africa? The bank development is proxied by the ratio of the domestic credit to the private sector to GDP (DCP/GDP), while the stock market development is proxied by the ratio of the stock market capitalisation to GDP (CAP/GDP).Unlike the majority of the previous studies, the current study uses the newly introduced ARDL-Bounds testing approach, as proposed by Pesaran<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>et al. (2001), to examine this linkage. The empirical results show that there is a distinct positive relationship between banks and stock markets in South Africa. The results apply irrespective of whether the model is estimated in the short run or in the long run. <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Other results show that in the short run, the stock market development in South Africa is positively determined by the level of savings, but negatively affected by the rate of inflation and the lagged values of the stock market development. However, in the long run, the stock market is positively determined by real income and the inflation rate. </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></a></p>

scholarly journals Stock market development and economic growth in Tanzania: an ARDL and bound testing approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-206
Author(s):  
Saganga Mussa Kapaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Testing Procedures ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contribute to empirical evidence by recognizing the importance of stock markets in the financial system and consequently its causality to economic growth and vice versa. Design/methodology/approach The study used the autoregressive distribute lag model (ARDL) with bound testing procedures, the sample covered quarterly time-series data from 2001q1 to 2019q2 in Tanzania. Findings The results suggest that stock market development have both negative and positive causality for both short-run dynamics and long-run relationship with economic growth. Economic growth is found to only cause and relate negatively to liquidity both in the short-run and in the long-run. The results show predominantly a unidirectional causality flow from stock market development to economic growth and finds partial causality flow from economic growth to stock market development, as represented by stock market turnover which proxied liquidity. Originality/value The use of quarterly data to reflect more realistically the dynamics of the variables because yearly data may sometimes cover-up specific dynamics that may be useful for prediction and policy planning. The study uses indices to capture general aspects within the stock market against economic growth as an intuitive way to aggregate the stock market development effects.

scholarly journals Economic Growth and the Development of Financial Markets: Some African Evidence

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Félix Zogning Nguimeya ◽  
Gaétan Breton
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
The Real ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Causality Tests

The purpose of this study is to determine if African stock markets have contributed to a better allocation of savings and economic growth in the countries in question. Our results reveal a strong and significant relationship between aggregate economic growth and stock market development indicators. Causality tests indicate that the real sphere involves the financial sphere for relatively new markets.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development And Economic Growth In Hong Kong: An Empirical Investigation

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 795 ◽  
Author(s):  
SY Ho ◽  
NM Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation

This paper examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth using time-series data from Hong Kong. The study uses three proxies of stock market development, namely: stock market capitalisation, stock market traded value, and stock market turnover. Given the weaknesses associated with the traditional co-integration techniques, the current study uses the recently introduced ARDL-bounds testing approach to examine the nexus between stock market development and economic growth in a dynamic setting. The empirical results show that the direction of causality between stock market development and economic growth depends on the proxy used to measure the level of stock market development. When stock market capitalisation is used as a proxy for stock market development, a distinct unidirectional causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is found to prevail, without any feedback. However, when stock market turnover is used, a causal flow from economic growth to stock market development is found to prevail in the short run and in the long run, while a causal flow from stock market development to economic growth is only found in the short run. The causality between stock market traded value and economic growth, however, failed to yield any long-run causal relationship from either direction. Only a short-run causality flow from economic growth to stock market traded value could be detected in this case.

scholarly journals The nexus between stock market development and economic growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 269-277
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

The study investigated the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Belgium using ARDL approach with annual time series data from 1988 to 2012. Real GDP per capita was used as a proxy for economic growth and stock market capitalization as a ratio of GDP as an approximate measure of stock market development. The relationship between stock market development and economic growth falls into four categories which are (1) stock market-led economic growth, (2) economic growth-led stock market development, (3) feedback effect and (4) neutrality hypothesis where the relationship between the two variables does not exist. Despite the existence of these four views on the relationship between stock market and economic growth, it appears from the literature review done by the author that majority of the empirical evidence support the stock market-led economic growth view. The fact that the topic on the directional causality between stock market and economic growth is still inconclusive is the major motivating factor why the author chose to investigate the relationship between the two variables in Belgium. The study observed that there exist an insignificant long run causality running from stock market development towards economic growth in Belgium. This relationship was not detected in the short run. Moreover, the reverse causality from real GDP per capita to stock market capitalization both in the long and short run was not detected in Belgium. These results are at variance with the majority of the empirical findings reviewed earlier on. It could possibly be that certain conditions that are necessary to enable stock market to significantly positively influence economic growth were not in place in Belgium. Therefore, the study urges the Belgium authorities to put in place the right environment, policies and programmes that enable the stock market to play its role of stimulating economic growth.

scholarly journals Long and Short Run Relationship between Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 45-53
Author(s):  
Anthony Olugbenga Adaramola ◽  
Modupe F. Popoola
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Market Capitalisation ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Positive Effect

We examined the long and short run association subsisting between stock market development(market capitalisation, value of transactions, number of deal and all share index), and Nigerian economicgrowth (RGDP) with quarterly data from 1986 to 2017. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model isapplied for the purpose of estimation. The ARDL bound test result revealed that all the indicators of marketdevelopment exert positive effect on the RGDP in the short run. Further, all the indicators except number ofdeals, have direct and significant relationship with economic growth. Moreover, we find that marketdevelopment causes economic growth. Consequently, we recommend a need for the implementation ofpolicies and procedures capable of enhancing investors’ confidence and boosting market because of theirperceived multiplier impacts on economic growth. Effort should also be focused on the enhancement of stockmarket size which in turn will provide the needed fund for investment and thus resulting in rise in the RGDP.

scholarly journals RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT, BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE CEE COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Lidiya Yemelyanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stock Market Capitalization

The stock markets of most CEE countries have been actively developing and improving over the past decades but they still do not belong to the developed markets according to MSCI classification, the financial systems of these countries tends towards the bank-oriented type. Does the level of stock market development affect economic growth in CEE countries and do these countries need to develop their stock markets accordingly? The purpose of this article is to identify the direction of the causal link between stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The subject of the research is the relationship between the stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in the CEE countries. Methodology. The research is based on the annual data for two time periods 1999-2012 and 1999-2015 for the 8 and 5 CEE countries, respectively. The study is based on the Granger causality test and linear regression models. According to results of the research the stock market development plays an important role in attracting foreign direct investment and economic growth in CEE countries in the long-run period. There are revealed the channels of indirect influence of the stock market capitalization on the economic growth. Stock market capitalization has impact on the banking sector and gross capital formation, which in turn have impact on the economic growth of CEE countries. There is the impact of both the stock market and the banking sector development on the economic growth in CEE countries during 1999-2015. However, the impact of the stock market size on the economic growth is positive and the impact of domestic credit to private sector is negative. Practical implications. The study proves the reasonable need for the CEE countries to move towards further development of the stock market, improving the market infrastructure and institutional environment in order to expand the size of the stock market and thereby contribute to the economic growth of this countries. Value/originality. The obtained conclusion about the role of the stock market in economic growth and attraction of FDI is of great importance both for Ukraine and other countries with similar trajectory of economic development in general and similar historical aspects of the origin of stock markets in particular and should be taken into account by state leaders when making decisions on the need to create conditions for development of such element of the country’s financial system as the stock market.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development And Economic Growth: The Case Of Mauritius

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Baboo M Nowbutsing ◽  
M. P. Odit
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
The Impact

Stock market is an indicator of an economy financial health. It indicates the mood of investors in a country. As such, stock market development is an important ingredient for growth. The stock exchange of Mauritius is fairly new compared to many countries. This paper examines the impact of stock market development on growth in Mauritius. A time series econometric investigation is conducted over the period 1989 -20067. We analyse both the short run and long run relationship by constructing an ECM. Two measures of stock market development namely size and liquidity are used. We define size as the share of market capitalization over GDP and liquidity as volume of share traded over GDP. We found that stock market development positively affect economic growth in Mauritius both in the short run and long run.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Zimbabwe (1989-2014)

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 20-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rabson Magweva ◽  
Tafirei Mashamba
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
To Come ◽  
Medium Enterprises ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between stock market development and economic growth varies across nations and regions. This relationship is of significance to regulatory authorities, investors and portfolio managers in their operations aimed at enhancing the welfare of the citizens and clients at large. The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between these two variables in Zimbabwe for the period 1989 to 2014. The paper employed the Vector Error Correction Model approach after establishing the order of integration (unit root tests) and cointegration between variables. All the variables were found to be stationary at 1% level after first differencing using the Phillips-Peron tests. The long run relationship was negative, whereas the short run coefficients were insignificant. Though contrary to financial theory, the results, to a large extent, testify to what happened during the period. Based on these findings, the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange and Securities and Exchanges Commission are urged to come up with alternative products to lure new listings from the small to medium enterprises. It is also recommended that all the stakeholders focus beyond the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange to promote economic growth as the firms seem to raise funds from other sources.

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