scholarly journals Simplifying Neural Network Based Model for Ship Motion Prediction: A Comparative Study of Sensitivity Analysis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu Cheng ◽  
Shengyong Chen ◽  
Chen Diao ◽  
Mengna Liu ◽  
Guoyuan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Structural Complexity ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Ship Motion ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

This paper presents a comparative study of sensitivity analysis (SA) and simplification on artificial neural network (ANN) based model used for ship motion prediction. Considering traditional structural complexity of ANN usually results in slow convergence, SA, as an efficient tool for correlation analysis, can help to reconstruct the ANN model for ship motion prediction. An ANN-Garson method and an ANN-EFAST method are proposed, both of which utilize the ANN for modeling but select the input parameters in a local and a global fashion, respectively. Through the benchmark tests, ANN-EFAST exhibits superior performance in both linear and nonlinear systems. Further test on ANN-EFAST via a case study of ship heading prediction shows its cost-effective and timely in compacting the ANN based prediction model.

scholarly journals Prediction of mean wave overtopping at simple sloped breakwaters using kernel-based methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shabnam Hosseinzadeh ◽  
Amir Etemad-Shahidi ◽  
Ali Koosheh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Structural Features ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Wave Overtopping ◽  
Taylor Diagram ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract The accurate prediction of the mean wave overtopping rate at breakwaters is vital to have a safe design. Hence, providing a robust tool as a preliminary estimator can be useful for practitioners. Recently, soft computing tools such as artificial neural network (ANN) have been developed as alternatives to traditional overtopping formulae. The goal of this paper is to assess the capabilities of two kernel-based methods namely Gaussian process regression (GPR) and support vector regression for the prediction of mean wave overtopping rate at sloped breakwaters. An extensive dataset taken from EurOtop (2018) database, including rubble mound structures with permeable core, straight slopes, without berm, and crown wall, was employed to develop the models. Different combinations of the important dimensionless parameters representing structural features and wave conditions were tested based on the sensitivity analysis for developing the models. The obtained results were compared with those of the ANN model and the existing empirical formulae. The modified Taylor diagram was used to compare the models graphically. The results showed the superiority of kernel-based models, especially the GPR model over the ANN model and empirical formulae. In addition, the optimal input combination was introduced based on accuracy and the number of input parameters criteria. Finally, the physical consistencies of developed models were investigated the results, of which demonstrated the reliability of kernel-based models in terms of delivering physics of overtopping phenomenon.

Intelligent Classifier Approach for Prediction and Sensitivity Analysis of Differential Pipe Sticking: A Comparative Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 138 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Jahanbakhshi ◽  
Reza Keshavarzi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Preventive Measures ◽  
Forward Selection ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Prediction of differential pipe sticking (DPS) prior to occurrence, and taking preventive measures, is one of the best approaches to minimize the risk of DPS. In this paper, probabilistic artificial neural network (ANN) has been introduced. Moreover, conventional ANNs through multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) have been used to compare with probabilistic ANN. Furthermore, to determine the most important parameters, forward selection sensitivity analysis has been applied. By predicting DPS and performing sensitivity analysis, it is possible to improve well planning process. The results from the analyses have shown the better potentiality of the probabilistic ANN in this area.

scholarly journals Prediction-Based Maintenance of Existing Bridges Using Neural Network and Sensitivity Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Pengyong Miao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Relative Effect ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis Method ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Existing Bridges ◽  
Inspection Data

Bridge deterioration is affected by various factors. However, neither the relationships between these factors and deterioration are explicitly determined, nor the relative effect of each factor on deterioration is well understood. This study proposed a methodology to resolve these issues by integrating an artificial neural network (ANN) and sensitivity analysis method. The ANN was used to predict deterioration, and the sensitivity analysis method was applied to evaluate the influence of each factor on deterioration. Testing the methodology with 3,368 bridge inspection data pieces indicates that (1) the developed ANN obtained an accuracy of about 65%; and (2) seven factors were identified affecting deterioration. The established ANN model has equivalent performance for three deterioration grades and four types of bridges. Two sensitivity analysis (the Shapley value and the Sobol indices) methods were compared, and they identified the same five most important factors. Consequently, the methodology can effectively avoid the uncertainty of factors on deterioration by providing a relative importance list of factors. The methodology’s predictive ability and factor importance identification ability make it suitable for decision-makers to understand the deterioration situations and to schedule a further inspection and corresponding maintenance strategies.

scholarly journals Granular computing–neural network model for prediction of longitudinal dispersion coefficients in rivers

2019 ◽  
Vol 80 (10) ◽  
pp. 1880-1892 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behzad Ghiasi ◽  
Hossein Sheikhian ◽  
Amin Zeynolabedin ◽  
Mohammad Hossein Niksokhan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Granular Computing ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Advection Dispersion

Abstract Successful application of one-dimensional advection–dispersion models in rivers depends on the accuracy of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient (LDC). In this regards, this study aims to introduce an appropriate approach to estimate LDC in natural rivers that is based on a hybrid method of granular computing (GRC) and an artificial neural network (ANN) model (GRC-ANN). Also, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and ANN models were developed to investigate the accuracy of three credible artificial intelligence (AI) models and the performance of these models in different LDC values. By comparing with empirical models developed in other studies, the results revealed the superior performance of GRC-ANN for LDC estimation. The sensitivity analysis of the three intelligent models developed in this study was done to determine the sensitivity of each model to its input parameters, especially the most important ones. The sensitivity analysis results showed that the W/H parameter (W: channel width; H: flow depth) has the most significant impact on the output of all three models in this research.

scholarly journals Predicting the 14-Day Hospital Readmission of Patients with Pneumonia Using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 5110
Author(s):  
Shu-Farn Tey ◽  
Chung-Feng Liu ◽  
Tsair-Wei Chien ◽  
Chin-Wei Hsu ◽  
Kun-Chen Chan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Patient Discharge ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Healthcare Settings ◽  
High Area ◽  
Icd 10 ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Unplanned patient readmission (UPRA) is frequent and costly in healthcare settings. No indicators during hospitalization have been suggested to clinicians as useful for identifying patients at high risk of UPRA. This study aimed to create a prediction model for the early detection of 14-day UPRA of patients with pneumonia. We downloaded the data of patients with pneumonia as the primary disease (e.g., ICD-10:J12*-J18*) at three hospitals in Taiwan from 2016 to 2018. A total of 21,892 cases (1208 (6%) for UPRA) were collected. Two models, namely, artificial neural network (ANN) and convolutional neural network (CNN), were compared using the training (n = 15,324; ≅70%) and test (n = 6568; ≅30%) sets to verify the model accuracy. An app was developed for the prediction and classification of UPRA. We observed that (i) the 17 feature variables extracted in this study yielded a high area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75 using the ANN model and that (ii) the ANN exhibited better AUC (0.73) than the CNN (0.50), and (iii) a ready and available app for predicting UHA was developed. The app could help clinicians predict UPRA of patients with pneumonia at an early stage and enable them to formulate preparedness plans near or after patient discharge from hospitalization.

scholarly journals Modeling Fused Filament Fabrication using Artificial Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Oehlmann ◽  
Paul Osswald ◽  
Juan Camilo Blanco ◽  
Martin Friedrich ◽  
Dominik Rietzel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Print Quality ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Production Environment ◽  
Fused Filament Fabrication ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

AbstractWith industries pushing towards digitalized production, adaption to expectations and increasing requirements for modern applications, has brought additive manufacturing (AM) to the forefront of Industry 4.0. In fact, AM is a main accelerator for digital production with its possibilities in structural design, such as topology optimization, production flexibility, customization, product development, to name a few. Fused Filament Fabrication (FFF) is a widespread and practical tool for rapid prototyping that also demonstrates the importance of AM technologies through its accessibility to the general public by creating cost effective desktop solutions. An increasing integration of systems in an intelligent production environment also enables the generation of large-scale data to be used for process monitoring and process control. Deep learning as a form of artificial intelligence (AI) and more specifically, a method of machine learning (ML) is ideal for handling big data. This study uses a trained artificial neural network (ANN) model as a digital shadow to predict the force within the nozzle of an FFF printer using filament speed and nozzle temperatures as input data. After the ANN model was tested using data from a theoretical model it was implemented to predict the behavior using real-time printer data. For this purpose, an FFF printer was equipped with sensors that collect real time printer data during the printing process. The ANN model reflected the kinematics of melting and flow predicted by models currently available for various speeds of printing. The model allows for a deeper understanding of the influencing process parameters which ultimately results in the determination of the optimum combination of process speed and print quality.

Modeling of lime production process using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Production Process ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Rotary Kilns ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lime Production

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.

Application of Real-Time Field Data to Optimize Drilling Hydraulics Using Neural Network Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 137 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanfang Wang ◽  
Saeed Salehi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Field Data ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Lost Circulation ◽  
Drilling Performance ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Pump Pressure

Real-time drilling optimization improves drilling performance by providing early warnings in operation Mud hydraulics is a key aspect of drilling that can be optimized by access to real-time data. Different from the investigated references, reliable prediction of pump pressure provides an early warning of circulation problems, washout, lost circulation, underground blowout, and kicks. This will help the driller to make necessary corrections to mitigate potential problems. In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict hydraulics was implemented through the fitting tool of matlab. Following the determination of the optimum model, the sensitivity analysis of input parameters on the created model was investigated by using forward regression method. Next, the remaining data from the selected well samples was applied for simulation to verify the quality of the developed model. The novelty is this paper is validation of computer models with actual field data collected from an operator in LA. The simulation result was promising as compared with collected field data. This model can accurately predict pump pressure versus depth in analogous formations. The result of this work shows the potential of the approach developed in this work based on NN models for predicting real-time drilling hydraulics.

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