scholarly journals The Trump phenomenon: An explanation from sociophysics

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (10) ◽  
pp. 1742015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serge Galam
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Cognitive Biases ◽  
Opinion Dynamics ◽  
Tipping Point ◽  
Threshold Dynamics ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Collective Beliefs ◽  
First Moment ◽  
Democrats And Republicans

The Trump phenomenon is argued to depart from current populist rise in Europe. According to a model of opinion dynamics from sociophysics the machinery of Trump’s amazing success obeys well-defined counter-intuitive rules. Therefore, his success was in principle predictable from the start. The model uses local majority rule arguments and obeys a threshold dynamics. The associated tipping points are found to depend on the leading collective beliefs, cognitive biases and prejudices of the social group which undertakes the public debate. And here comes the open sesame of the Trump campaign, which develops along two successive steps. During a first moment, Trump’s statement produces a majority of voters against him. But at the same time, according to the model the shocking character of the statement modifies the prejudice balance. In case the prejudice is present even being frozen among voters, the tipping point is lowered at Trump’s benefit. Nevertheless, although the tipping point has been lowered by the activation of frozen prejudices it is instrumental to preserve enough support from openly prejudiced people to be above the threshold. Then, as infuriated voters launch intense debate, occurrence of ties will drive progressively hostile people to shift their voting intention without needing to endorse the statement which has infuriated them. The ongoing debate does drive towards a majority for Trump. The possible Trump victory at November Presidential election is discussed. In particular, the model shows that to eventually win the Presidential election, Trump must not modify his past shocking attitude but to appeal to a different spectrum of frozen prejudices, which are common to both Democrats and Republicans.

Covid-19, Chaos theory and the “drop of honey effect”. Viruses and human behavior

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
José António Filipe
Keyword(s):  
Social Economic ◽  
Small Difference ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Initial Moment ◽  
Virus Spread ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
The World ◽  
The Difference ◽  
First Moment

The paper applies the “drop of honey effect” to the Covid-19 disease’s spread and to the timing for acting. The timing and level of the adopted measures are considered crucial in terms of the virus spread and of the health consequences for populations. The study allows to conclude that a small difference in the adoption of the most proper measures in the initial moment, as much as the measures’ level, may make all the difference in the consequences of the disease and in its pandemic effects, what is valid not only for the first moment after the disease appearance in China but also after its arrival to each country. The “drop of honey effect” is perfect to explain the way how this coronavirus spread all over the world after its detection in humans and to explain its effects. The consequences on the public health were devastating, with thousands of deaths. Also the social, economic and financial implications around the world were enormous, particularly with many stock exchanges declining severely as coronavirus spread.

Hatenography: An Analysis of Hate Speech on Facebook in 2019 Indonesian Presidential Campaign

2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 122-141
Author(s):  
Atwar Bajari ◽  
◽  
Iwan Koswara ◽  
Dedi Rumawan Erlandia ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Hate Speech ◽  
The Other ◽  
Cultural Groups ◽  
Presidential Candidates ◽  
Virtual Ethnography ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Media Space ◽  
Verbal Message

This article discusses hate speech on Facebook from two groups of supporters for the presidential candidates in the 2019 Presidential Election in Indonesia. The study used a virtual ethnography approach to analyze cultural groups or communities through their conversations on the Facebook platform. Data collection was conducted by observing and collecting words, phrases, and sentences in the Official Facebook account of two presidential candidates in the 2019 Presidential Election and statements of both presidential and vice-presidential candidates in 2019. In addition, researchers also observed three voluntary group accounts for each candidate. Therefore, the total number of accounts observed was eight. Data was analysed with Nvivo 12+ to obtain statistics on the strength of the chosen speech word and the dominant phrase or word that appears. The result shows that specific phrases or terms to intimidate each supporter of both parties in massive numbers appeared in the form of hate speech during the campaign. The purpose of the hate speech is to insult/humiliate, intimidate or accuse others of doing something inappropriate or evil (accusation which involves sarcasm and foul language directed to the opponent. Candidates also provoked each other by accusing the other party of being stupid, disgusting, pathetic, ugly, and retarded. The implication was that hate speech has disunited the public on the social media space. Accusing and attaching bad characters to other groups through hate speech has strengthened inter-group stereotypes and formed an unhealthy democratic climate. Keywords: Provocation, hate speech, verbal message, virtual ethnography, communication.

scholarly journals SOCIAL ACTOR REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS ON THE JAKARTA POST ONLINE NEWS OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Nuri Hidayatus Sholihah ◽  
Agwin Degaf
Keyword(s):  
Critical Thinking ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Online News ◽  
Social Actor ◽  
Social Actors ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Research Questions ◽  
Post Online ◽  
Identification Strategy

<p>Social actor representation (SAR) is an interesting topic to be analyzed. Through the analysis of the social actor in the news, it invites readers to have critical thinking. In this research, the social actors proposed are the two pair candidates of the 2019 presidential election; Jokowi- Ma’ruf and Prabowo- Sandi. The research has consisted of two research questions. First is, how are the exclusion strategy used in the Jakarta Post online news to represent the social actor. Second is how are the inclusion strategy used in the Jakarta Post online news to represent the social actor. By using the theory of Van Leeuwen (2008), the result of this research shows that the journalist of the Jakarta Post mostly used inclusion strategy rather than the exclusion strategy.The identification strategy is mostly used to get support from the public. The identification is practical in figuring out and portraying a social actor. Journalists represent related to the identity that exists in a figure. The portrayal of the social actors through the identity attached to them can certainly invite more attention to readers.</p>

scholarly journals Political Communication and Bullying on Social Media: Da'wah Perspectives

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 291-310
Author(s):  
Syarifudin Syarifudin
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Public Space ◽  
Political Communication ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
The Public ◽  
Public Media ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The Social ◽  
Empathic Communication ◽  
Political Choices

This study discusses the ethnography of bullying political communication on social media during the campaign period in Ambon City with two main issues namely how the reality of political bullying on Facebook, Whatsapp and Youtube, as well as how the power of social media damages the public thinking system through news of political communication bullying. This qualitative descriptive research explores exploratively the reality of the bullying of political communication in the social media public space in the city of Ambon. The perspective used in reading the reality of political communication bullying uses the Hymens ethnographic communication insight which assumes that language plays a role in the bullying behavior of political communication in a democratic society. The analysis technique uses the method of interpretation of Abu Hayyan's maudhu'i which assumes that every news has text, meaning and context. From an axiological perspective, empathic communication methods are used as a parameter to examine political bullying news material on social media. This study found four aspects, namely: 1). The most widely consumed news during the presidential election campaign in Ambon city was political bullying that damaged the social system of unity, brotherhood and culture of Muslim-Christian empathy. 2). News that plays a big role in constructing the brains of people in Ambon City and political discussion in coffee shops is news sourced from Youtube. 3). Political bullying influences changes in political choices for the Presidential Election during the campaign period. 4). News that is used as an argument for political communication 70% comes from news on social media. It can be concluded that the higher the bullying of political communication received by the Ambon city public from social media, the more difficult it is to care for the fraternity in arranging insight into healthy thinking in the public space and in the community. Penelitian ini membahas tentang etnografi bullying komunikasi politik di media sosial selama masa kampanye di kota Ambon dengan dua pokok masalah yaitu bagaimana realitas bullying politik di Facebook, Whatsapp dan Youtube, serta bagaimana kekuatan media sosial merusak sistem berpikir masyarakat melalui berita bullying komunikasi politik. Penelitian bercorak desktiptif kualitiatif ini menelaah secara eksploratif realitas bullying komunikasi politik di ruang public media sosial di kota Ambon. Perspektif yang digunakan dalam membaca realitas bullying komunikasi politik ini menggunakan wawasan komunikasi etnografi Hymens yang berasumsi bahwa bahasa berperan mencetak prilaku bullying komunikasi politik masyarakat dalam berdemokrasi. Teknik analisis menggunakan metode tafsir maudhu’i Abu Hayyan yang berasumsi bahwa setiap berita ada teks, makna dan konteks. Dari perspektif aksiologinya menggunakan metode komunikasi empaty sebagai parameter untuk menguji materi berita bullying politik di media sosial. Penelitian ini menemukan empat aspek yaitu: 1). Berita yang paling banyak dikonsumsi selama kampanye pilpres di kota Ambon adalah bullying politik yang merusak sistem sosial persatuan, persaudaraan, dan budaya empati Islam-Kristen. 2). Berita yang sangat berperan besar mengkonstruksi otak masyarakat di kota Ambon dan diskusi politik di warung kopi adalah berita yang bersumber dari Youtube. 3). Bullying politik berpengaruh terhadap perubahan pilihan politik untuk Pemilihan Presiden selama masa kampanye. 4). Berita yang dijadikan argument komunikasi politik 70% berasal dari berita di media sosial. Dapat disimpulkan bahwa semakin tinggi bullying komunikasi politik yang diterima oleh publik kota Ambon dari media sosial semakin sulit merawat persaudaraan menata wawasan berpikir sehat di ruang publik dan di masyarakat.

scholarly journals GENEALOGI WACANA PADA PESAN AGITATIF PIDATO PRABOWO SUBIYANTO TENTANG NKRI BUBAR TAHUN 2030

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (01) ◽  
pp. 030
Author(s):  
Cosmas Gatot Haryono
Keyword(s):  
Political Communication ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Political Elites ◽  
National Politics ◽  
The Public ◽  
Subjective Reality ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Government ◽  
Political Battle

<p>ABSTRACT<br />The 2019 presidential election (Pilpres) is a very hot political battle compared to the 2014 election. The temperature of national politics has begun to heat up starting several months before the official campaign period set by the KPU. The "open battle" between the Jowoki camp and Prabowo's camp grew stronger through criticism, criticism, and even physical insult to Jokowi who was the incumbent president. One interesting issue of the various polemics that adorn the world of national politics ahead of the 2019 presidential election is the issue of the dissolution of NKRI in 2030. Prabowo states that in 2030 Indonesia is predicted to disband because of the behavior of national political elites who are far from caring for the small people. Apart from weak references, the issue of the dissolution of the NKRI has been a discourse in our national politics in the past few weeks. In this case, Prabowo has succeeded in constructing subjective reality in the social reality of society for the benefit of himself. Through the power he had, Prabowo instilled an understanding of pessimism in the minds<br />of the public that the state could fail and that the existing government also had the opportunity to fail, it needed to be replaced immediately. In the context of discourse fighting, even though it failed substantially, the speech was quite deceptive and horrendous. Despite experiencing an anti-climax, actually what was revealed by Prabowo was actually enough to help the community to identify some concerns or fears that the interests of many people (Indonesia) would be ruled out by the government. This research is a qualitative research with Faucoult's genealogy discourse method.</p><p><strong>Keywords; Political Communication, Pessimism, Agitation, Genealogy Discourse</strong></p><p>ABSTRAK<br />Pemilihan presiden (Pilpres) 2019 merupakan pertarungan politik yang sangat panas dibandingkan pemilu 2014. Suhu politik nasional mulai panas sudah dimulai sejak beberapa bulan menjelang masa kampanye resmi yang ditetapkan KPU. “Pertarungan terbuka” antara kubu Jowoki dan kubu Prabowo kian kencang<br />melalui kritikan, kecaman, bahkan hinaan secara fisik terhadap Jokowi yang adalah presiden petahana. Salah satu isu yang menarik dari berbagai polemik yang menghiasi dunia politik nasional menjelang pilpres 2019 ini adalah isu bubarnya NKRI di tahun 2030. Prabowo menyatakan bahwa tahun 2030 Indonesia diprediksikan akan bubar karena perilaku para elit politik nasional yang jauh dari kepedulian terhadap rakyat kecil. Lepas dari referensi yang lemah, isu bubarnya NKRI telah menjadi wacana dalam politik nasional kita beberapa minggu terakhir. Dalam hal ini, Prabowo telah berhasil mengkonstrukikan realitas subyektif dalam realitas sosial masyarakat untuk kepentingan dirinya. Melalui power yang dimiliknya, Prabowo menanamkan pemahaman pesimisme dalam benak masyarakat bahwa negara bisa saja gagal dan pemerintahan yang ada sekarang pun berpeluang juga untuk gagal, maka perlu diganti segera. Dalam konteks pertarungan wacana, meskipun gagal<br />secara substansi, pidato tersebut cukup mengecoh dan menghebohkan. Meskipun mengalami anti klimaks, sebenarnya apa yang diungkap Prabowo sebetulnya cukup membantu masyarakat untuk mengidentifikasi tentang adanya beberapa kekhawatiran atau ketakutan bahwa kepentingan masyarakat banyak (Indonesia) akan dikesampingkan oleh pemerintah. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kualitatif dengan metode genealogi wacana Faucoult.<br /><strong>Kata Kunci; Komunikasi Politik, Pesimisme, Agitasi, Genealogi Wacana</strong></p>

Pelaksanaan Jaminan Kesehatan Oleh BPJS Kesehatan Dalam Perspektif Syariah

Liquidity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 110-118
Author(s):  
Iwan Subandi ◽  
Fathurrahman Djamil
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Social Supports ◽  
Religious Leaders ◽  
The Public ◽  
The People ◽  
The Social ◽  
Ministry Of Finance ◽  
Health Support ◽  
The Government

Health is the basic right for everybody, therefore every citizen is entitled to get the health care. In enforcing the regulation for Jaringan Kesehatan Nasional (National Health Supports), it is heavily influenced by the foreign interests. Economically, this program does not reduce the people’s burdens, on the contrary, it will increase them. This means the health supports in which should place the government as the guarantor of the public health, but the people themselves that should pay for the health care. In the realization of the health support the are elements against the Syariah principles. Indonesian Muslim Religious Leaders (MUI) only say that the BPJS Kesehatan (Sosial Support Institution for Health) does not conform with the syariah. The society is asked to register and continue the participation in the program of Social Supports Institution for Health. The best solution is to enforce the mechanism which is in accordance with the syariah principles. The establishment of BPJS based on syariah has to be carried out in cooperation from the elements of Social Supports Institution (BPJS), Indonesian Muslim Religious (MUI), Financial Institution Authorities, National Social Supports Council, Ministry of Health, and Ministry of Finance. Accordingly, the Social Supports Institution for Helath (BPJS Kesehatan) based on syariah principles could be obtained and could became the solution of the polemics in the society.

The Samarin Family and the Parish Question in the Russian Empire. 1860s–1910s

2019 ◽  
Vol 54 ◽  
pp. 235-246
Author(s):  
Alexey L. Beglov
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Russian Empire ◽  
Public Discussion ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Church Life ◽  
The Russian Empire ◽  
In The Beginning ◽  
The Church ◽  
Do So

The article examines the contribution of the representatives of the Samarin family to the development of the Parish issue in the Russian Empire in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. The issue of expanding the rights of the laity in the sphere of parish self-government was one of the most debated problems of Church life in that period. The public discussion was initiated by D.F. Samarin (1827-1901). He formulated the “social concept” of the parish and parish reform, based on Slavophile views on society and the Church. In the beginning of the twentieth century his eldest son F.D. Samarin who was a member of the Special Council on the development the Orthodox parish project in 1907, and as such developed the Slavophile concept of the parish. In 1915, A.D. Samarin, who took up the position of the Chief Procurator of the Most Holy Synod, tried to make his contribution to the cause of the parish reforms, but he failed to do so due to his resignation.

PENERAPAN PROSEDUR MEDIASI DALAM PENYELESAIAN SENGKETA WAKAF DI PENGADILAN AGAMA

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-36
Author(s):  
Syufaat Syufaat
Keyword(s):  
Social Dimension ◽  
Mediation Process ◽  
Mutual Trust ◽  
Mediation Model ◽  
The Public ◽  
Spiritual Dimension ◽  
The People ◽  
The Social ◽  
Legal Proof ◽  
Religious Courts

Waqf has two dimensional meaning; the spiritual dimension that is taqarrub to Allah and the social dimension as the source of Islamic financial for the welfare of the people. Waqf disputes can be caused by several reasons; waqf land is not accompanied with a pledge; waqf is done on the basis of mutual trust so it has no legal proof and ownership. Currently, the choice to use the court is less effective in resolving disputes. Hence, the public ultimately chooses non-litigation efforts as a way to resolve the disputes. Mediation process is preferred by many as it is viewed to be the fairest way where none of the two parties wins or loses (win-win solution). It is also fast and cheap. This study is intended to examine how to solve waqf dispute with mediation model according to the waqf law, and how the application of mediation in the Religious Courts system

Feminist Interpretations of Action and the Public in Hannah Arendt’s Theory

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (Special Issue) ◽  
pp. 87-103
Author(s):  
Noémi Bíró
Keyword(s):  
Human Activity ◽  
Political Thought ◽  
Hannah Arendt ◽  
Political Action ◽  
Theoretical Framework ◽  
Public Realm ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Social Feminism ◽  
Definition Of

"Feminist Interpretations of Action and the Public in Hannah Arendt’s Theory. Arendt’s typology of human activity and her arguments on the precondition of politics allow for a variety in interpretations for contemporary political thought. The feminist reception of Arendt’s work ranges from critical to conciliatory readings that attempt to find the points in which Arendt’s theory might inspire a feminist political project. In this paper I explore the ways in which feminist thought has responded to Arendt’s definition of action, freedom and politics, and whether her theoretical framework can be useful in a feminist rethinking of politics, power and the public realm. Keywords: Hannah Arendt, political action, the Public, the Social, feminism "

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document