scholarly journals Exchange Rate Transaction of International Trade Goods Based on Fuzzy Granulation and Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Jin Hu ◽  
Li Han
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Rate Evaluation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Depth Learning

The change of international trade goods exchange rate transaction has an impact on economic operations and economic stability. Therefore, an international trade goods exchange rate transaction based on fuzzy granulation and in-depth learning is proposed. Based on fuzzy information granulation and BP neural network, this paper analyzes the interest rate evaluation theory. For the future expectation of currency exchange rate, portfolio equilibrium determines the proportional relationship of each component in the portfolio and analyzes the impact of asset price and exchange rate change according to this relationship. Then, it points out the risk evaluation index system, calculates the risk degree of exchange rate transaction of international trade goods, and then evaluates the risk of exchange rate transaction of international trade goods. It completes the research on exchange rate transactions of international trade goods based on fuzzy granulation and in-depth learning. The experimental results show that excessive exchange rate fluctuation will bring the same proportion fluctuation to the asset price in the financial market, and the coordination between exchange rates and the coordination of exchange rate and asset price can promote the steady growth of national economy.

scholarly journals Profit bridges that disambiguate impacts of currency fluctuations from other marketing variables

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim J. Smith ◽  
Kyle T. Westra ◽  
Nathan L. Phipps
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Multinational Corporation ◽  
Variable Cost ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Business Units ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Marketing Variables ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes ◽  
The Impact

AbstractWe extend the normalized approach to constructing profit bridges proffered in a recent paper to examine the impact of currency exchange rate fluctuations within a multinational corporation. In doing so, we describe a profit bridge that would measure corporate performance distinct from that which would measure the performance of business units, including metrics for the impact of volume, price, variable cost, offering mix, and exchange rate changes.

scholarly journals GDP Development of China and USA in terms of mutual sanctions and COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 07061
Author(s):  
Petr Šuleř ◽  
Jaromír Vrbka
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Market Access ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Security Issues ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

Research background: China’s share in the global economy has experienced a swift growth since opening up and reforming the country’s foreign policy in 1978. USA sanction on China has so far concentrated on a heap of issues including China’s enormous exchange shortfall with the U.S., currency control, constrained market access, licensed innovation robbery and security issues identified with Huawei. Also, USA sanction on China has so far lead to a decrease in exports and outflow of FDI, reduce in the inflow trade and investment, and apparently hinders the Chinese GPD growth and diminished its currency exchange rate. Purpose of the article: The aim is to predict the future development of the GDP of the China and the USA and to estimate their further development through the prism of mutual trade sanctions and COVID-19. Methods: The data collection demonstrates the course of a time series of a daily RMB exchange rate development from the beginning of 1992 to June 2020. Furthermore, it represents the time series of a quarterly development of the Chinese GDP for the same time period. Using neural networks, a regression for different variants of the time series delay in connection with the analysis of the USA sanctions is conducted. Findings & Value added: The GDP of both countries has developed over the last two years, as if sanctions had not been imposed. However, the situation is changing with COVID-19. In this case, it is clear that the impact will be more significant. US GDP will stagnate. PRC GDP will fall.

scholarly journals Economic Consequences of Covid-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of Exchange Rate Behaviour

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 258-284
Author(s):  
Maheswar Sethi ◽  
Sakti Ranjan Dash ◽  
Rabindra Kumar Swain ◽  
Seema Das
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Effect Regression ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Rate Behaviour

This paper examines the effect of Covid-19 on currency exchange rate behaviour by taking a sample of 37 countries over a period from 4th January 2020 to 30th April 2021. Three variables, such as daily confirmed cases, daily deaths, and the world pandemic uncertainty index (WPUI), are taken as the measure of Covid-19. By applying fixed-effect regression, the study documents that the exchange rate behaves positively to the Covid-19 outbreak, particularly to daily confirmed cases and daily deaths, which implies that the value of other currencies against the US dollar has been depreciated. However, the impact of WPUI is insignificant. On studying the time-varying impact of the pandemic, the study reveals that the Covid-19 has an asymmetric impact on exchange rate over different time frames. Further, it is observed that though daily confirmed cases and daily deaths show a uniform effect, WPUI puts an asymmetric effect on the exchange rate owing to the nature of economies.

scholarly journals Forecasting The Exchange Rate (IDR) of US Dollar (USD) Using Locally Stationary Wavelet

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-154
Author(s):  
Dina Tri Utari
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

Currency exchange rate of a country to the other countries is fluctuative. The movement of the exchange rate affects the country’s economy. The exchange rate can change any time according to the market mechanism, therefore currency exchange predictions is required to determine future economic policy. Based on the impact of exchange rate in economy fluctuations, an accurate model is needed to determine the exchange rate movements.In this case, the model is Locally Stationary Wavelet (LSW). This model combines stocastic process class based on wavelet non decimated. LSW model can catch most of the information in time series data. Based on the application of LSW mtehod on the data of the rupiah against the US dollar for the period April 2016 - March 2017, it can be concluded that model provides forecasting results approaching actual data therefore it can be used for forecasting exchange rates. The value of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 0,1201293%. 

International trade: Research of the reasons for the fall

2019 ◽  
pp. 79-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. S. Nazarov ◽  
S. S. Lazaryan ◽  
I. V. Nikonov ◽  
A. I. Votinov
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Negative Contribution ◽  
Basic Commodity ◽  
The Impact

The article assesses the impact of various factors on the growth rate of international trade. Many experts interpreted the cross-border flows of goods decline against the backdrop of a growing global economy as an alarming sign that indicates a slowdown in the processes of globalization. To determine the reasons for the dynamics of international trade, the decompositions of its growth rate were carried out and allowed to single out the effect of the dollar exchange rate, the commodities prices and global value chains on the change in the volume of trade. As a result, it was discovered that the most part of the dynamics of international trade is due to fluctuations in the exchange rate of the dollar and prices for basic commodity groups. The negative contribution of trade within global value chains in 2014 was also revealed. During the investigated period (2000—2014), such a picture was observed only in the crisis periods, which may indicate the beginning of structural changes in the world trade.

The impact of exchange rate on price and export of agricultural production

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 9-18
Author(s):  
Rasulov Tulkin Sattarovich ◽  
Khushvaktov Kuvonchbek Ravshanovich
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Agricultural Economics ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Pivotal Role ◽  
Price Formation ◽  
International Trade Laws ◽  
The Impact

In today’s world of swiftly increasing global economy and continuously changing international trade laws and technology exchange rate plays a pivotal role in the production, price formation, export and import of agricultural products. For many years exchange rate as an integral part of agricultural economics has been ignored. The present study was intended to investigate exchange rate as an impacting factor on the agricultural production. It also considers the researches that have been carried about the impact of the exchange rate on prices and export of agricultural products, theirs analyses and how much impact it has in the situation of Uzbekistan.

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