Discriminating Malignancy in Thyroid Nodules: The Nomogram Versus the Kwak and ACR TI-RADS

2020 ◽  
Vol 163 (6) ◽  
pp. 1156-1165
Author(s):  
Juan Xiao ◽  
Qiang Xiao ◽  
Wei Cong ◽  
Ting Li ◽  
Shouluan Ding ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Thyroid Nodules ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Diagnostic Study ◽  
Diagnostic Efficiency ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Objective To develop an easy-to-use nomogram for discrimination of malignant thyroid nodules and to compare diagnostic efficiency with the Kwak and American College of Radiology (ACR) Thyroid Imaging, Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS). Study Design Retrospective diagnostic study. Setting The Second Hospital of Shandong University. Subjects and Methods From March 2017 to April 2019, 792 patients with 1940 thyroid nodules were included into the training set; from May 2019 to December 2019, 174 patients with 389 nodules were included into the validation set. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to develop a nomogram for discriminating malignant nodules. To compare the diagnostic performance of the nomogram with the Kwak and ACR TI-RADS, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated. Results The nomogram consisted of 7 factors: composition, orientation, echogenicity, border, margin, extrathyroidal extension, and calcification. In the training set, for all nodules, the area under the curve (AUC) for the nomogram was 0.844, which was higher than the Kwak TI-RADS (0.826, P = .008) and the ACR TI-RADS (0.810, P < .001). For the 822 nodules >1 cm, the AUC of the nomogram was 0.891, which was higher than the Kwak TI-RADS (0.852, P < .001) and the ACR TI-RADS (0.853, P < .001). In the validation set, the AUC of the nomogram was also higher than the Kwak and ACR TI-RADS ( P < .05), each in the whole series and separately for nodules >1 or ≤1 cm. Conclusions When compared with the Kwak and ACR TI-RADS, the nomogram had a better performance in discriminating malignant thyroid nodules.

scholarly journals The role of red cell distribution width in the differential diagnosis of iron deficiency anemia and non-transfusion dependent thalassemia patients

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pokpong Piriyakhuntorn ◽  
Adisak Tantiworawit ◽  
Thanawat Rattanathammethee ◽  
Chatree Chai-Adisaksopha ◽  
Ekarat Rattarittamrong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diagnostic Accuracy ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Microcytic Anemia ◽  
Deficiency Anemia ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Distribution Width ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

This study aims to find the cut-off value and diagnostic accuracy of the use of RDW as initial investigation in enabling the differentiation between IDA and NTDT patients. Patients with microcytic anemia were enrolled in the training set and used to plot a receiving operating characteristics (ROC) curve to obtain the cut-off value of RDW. A second set of patients were included in the validation set and used to analyze the diagnostic accuracy. We recruited 94 IDA and 64 NTDT patients into the training set. The area under the curve of the ROC in the training set was 0.803. The best cut-off value of RDW in the diagnosis of NTDT was 21.0% with a sensitivity and specificity of 81.3% and 55.3% respectively. In the validation set, there were 34 IDA and 58 NTDT patients using the cut-off value of >21.0% to validate. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 84.5%, 70.6%, 83.1% and 72.7% respectively. We can therefore conclude that RDW >21.0% is useful in differentiating between IDA and NTDT patients with high diagnostic accuracy

scholarly journals Validation of the Indonesian Version of Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers: a diagnostic study

2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 159-65
Author(s):  
Hendra Salim ◽  
Soetjiningsih Soetjiningsih ◽  
I Gusti Ayu Trisna Windiani ◽  
I Gede Raka Widiana ◽  
PITIKA ASPR
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Value ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Autism Spectrum ◽  
Diagnostic Study ◽  
Diagnostic Validity ◽  
Dsm Iv ◽  
Pediatric Outpatients ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background Autism is a developmental disorder for which early detection in toddlers is recommended because of its increased prevalence. The Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) is an easy-to-interprete tool that can be filled out by parents. It has been translated into the Indonesian language but needs to be validated. Objective To evaluate the diagnostic validity of the Indonesian version of M-CHAT in detection of autism spectrum disorder in Indonesia. Methods A diagnostic study was conducted at Sanglah Hospital, Denpasar, Bali, from March 2011 to August 2013. Pediatric outpatients aged 18 to 48 months were included. The Indonesian version of the M-CHAT tool was filled by parents. Autism assessment was done according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fourth edition (DSM-IV-TR). The assessment results were analyzed with the MedCalc program  software, in several steps: (i) reliability of M-CHAT; (ii) description, distribution, and proportion to determine the characteristics of the subjects of research; and (iii) validity of M-CHAT compared to the gold standard DSM-IV-TR by a receiver operating characteristic curve and several area under the curve cut-off points, in order to assess the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and positive and negative likelihood ratio, accompanied by the 95% confidence interval of each value. Results The Indonesian version of M-CHAT in toddlers had 82.35% sensitivity and 89.68% specificity, using the cut-off point of more than 6 failed questions. Conclusion The Indonesian version M-CHAT translated by Soetjiningsih has optimal diagnostic validity for detection of autism in toddlers.

External Validation of Different Scoring Systems for Suspected Choledocholithiasis

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 530-538
Author(s):  
Nicolò Tamini ◽  
Davide Paolo Bernasconi ◽  
Luca Gianotti
Keyword(s):  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Bile Duct Stone ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Youden Index ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Symptoms And Signs

Aim of the Study: The diagnosis of choledocholithiasis is challenging. Previously published scoring systems designed to calculate the risk of choledocholithiasis were evaluated to appraise the diagnostic performance. Patients and Methods: Data of patients who were admitted between 2013 and 2015 with the following characteristics were retrieved: bile stone-related symptoms and signs, and indication to laparoscopic cholecystectomy. To validate and appraise the performance of the 6 scoring systems, the acknowledged domains of each metrics were applied to the present cohort. Sensitivity, specificity, positive, negative predictive, Youden index, and receiver operating characteristic curve with the area under the curve (AUC) values of the scores were calculated. Results: Two-hundred patients were analyzed. The highest sensitivity and specificity were obtained from the Menezes’ (96.6%) and Telem’s (99.3%) metrics respectively. The Telem’s and Menezes’ scores had the best positive (75.0%) and negative (96.4%) predictive values respectively. The best accuracy, as computed by the Youden index and AUC, was found for the Soltan’s scoring system (0.628 and 0.88, respectively). Conclusion: The available scoring systems are precise only in identifying patients with a negligible risk of common bile duct stone, but overall insufficiently accurate to suggest the routine use in clinical practice.

scholarly journals Validation of the Indonesian Version of Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers: a diagnostic study

2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 160-6
Author(s):  
Hendra Salim ◽  
Soetjiningsih Soetjiningsih ◽  
I Gusti Ayu Trisna Windiani ◽  
I Gede Raka Widiana ◽  
PITIKA ASPR
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Value ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Autism Spectrum ◽  
Diagnostic Study ◽  
Diagnostic Validity ◽  
Dsm Iv ◽  
Pediatric Outpatients ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background Autism is a developmental disorder for which early detection in toddlers is recommended because of its increased prevalence. The Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) is an easy-to-interprete tool that can be filled out by parents. It has been translated into the Indonesian language but needs to be validated. Objective To evaluate the diagnostic validity of the Indonesian version of M-CHAT in detection of autism spectrum disorder in Indonesia. Methods A diagnostic study was conducted at Sanglah Hospital, Denpasar, Bali, from March 2011 to August 2013. Pediatric outpatients aged 18 to 48 months were included. The Indonesian version of the M-CHAT tool was filled by parents. Autism assessment was done according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fourth edition (DSM-IV-TR). The assessment results were analyzed with the MedCalc program  software, in several steps: (i) reliability of M-CHAT; (ii) description, distribution, and proportion to determine the characteristics of the subjects of research; and (iii) validity of M-CHAT compared to the gold standard DSM-IV-TR by a receiver operating characteristic curve and several area under the curve cut-off points, in order to assess the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and positive and negative likelihood ratio, accompanied by the 95% confidence interval of each value. Results The Indonesian version of M-CHAT in toddlers had 82.35% sensitivity and 89.68% specificity, using the cut-off point of more than 6 failed questions. Conclusion The Indonesian version M-CHAT translated by Soetjiningsih has optimal diagnostic validity for detection of autism in toddlers.

scholarly journals Acute Myocardial Infarction Detection Using Deep Learning-Enabled Electrocardiograms

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiehui Chen ◽  
Wenqin Guo ◽  
Lingyue Zhao ◽  
Weichao Huang ◽  
Lili Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Residual Network ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Testing Set

Background: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is associated with a poor prognosis. Therefore, accurate diagnosis and early intervention of the culprit lesion are of extreme importance. Therefore, we developed a neural network algorithm in this study to automatically diagnose AMI from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs).Methods: We used the open-source PTB-XL database as the training and validation sets, with a 7:3 sample size ratio. Twenty-One thousand, eight hundred thirty-seven clinical 12-lead ECGs from the PTB-XL dataset were available for training and validation (15,285 were used in the training set and 6,552 in the validation set). Additionally, we randomly selected 205 ECGs from a dataset built by Chapman University, CA, USA and Shaoxing People's Hospital, China, as the testing set. We used a residual network for training and validation. The model performance was experimentally verified in terms of area under the curve (AUC), precision, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score.Results: The AUC of the training, validation, and testing sets were 0.964 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.961–0.966], 0.944 (95% CI: 0.939–0.949), and 0.977 (95% CI: 0.961–0.991), respectively. The precision, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score of the deep learning model for AMI diagnosis from ECGs were 0.827, 0.824, 0.950, and 0.825, respectively, in the training set, 0.789, 0.818, 0.913, and 0.803, respectively, in the validation set, and 0.830, 0.951, 0.951, and 0.886, respectively, in the testing set. The AUC for automatic AMI location diagnosis of LMI, IMI, ASMI, AMI, ALMI were 0.969 (95% CI: 0.959–0.979), 0.973 (95% CI: 0.962–0.978), 0.987 (95% CI: 0.963–0.989), 0.961 (95% CI: 0.956–0.989), and 0.996 (95% CI: 0.957–0.997), respectively.Conclusions: The residual network-based algorithm can effectively automatically diagnose AMI and MI location from 12-lead ECGs.

scholarly journals Development of Machine Learning Models to Predict Probabilities and Types of Stroke at Prehospital Stage: the Japan Urgent Stroke Triage Score Using Machine Learning (JUST-ML)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazutaka Uchida ◽  
Junichi Kouno ◽  
Shinichi Yoshimura ◽  
Norito Kinjo ◽  
Fumihiro Sakakibara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Random Forests ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Vessel Occlusion ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

AbstractIn conjunction with recent advancements in machine learning (ML), such technologies have been applied in various fields owing to their high predictive performance. We tried to develop prehospital stroke scale with ML. We conducted multi-center retrospective and prospective cohort study. The training cohort had eight centers in Japan from June 2015 to March 2018, and the test cohort had 13 centers from April 2019 to March 2020. We use the three different ML algorithms (logistic regression, random forests, XGBoost) to develop models. Main outcomes were large vessel occlusion (LVO), intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and cerebral infarction (CI) other than LVO. The predictive abilities were validated in the test cohort with accuracy, positive predictive value, sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and F score. The training cohort included 3178 patients with 337 LVO, 487 ICH, 131 SAH, and 676 CI cases, and the test cohort included 3127 patients with 183 LVO, 372 ICH, 90 SAH, and 577 CI cases. The overall accuracies were 0.65, and the positive predictive values, sensitivities, specificities, AUCs, and F scores were stable in the test cohort. The classification abilities were also fair for all ML models. The AUCs for LVO of logistic regression, random forests, and XGBoost were 0.89, 0.89, and 0.88, respectively, in the test cohort, and these values were higher than the previously reported prediction models for LVO. The ML models developed to predict the probability and types of stroke at the prehospital stage had superior predictive abilities.

scholarly journals A novel combination of serum microRNAs for the detection of early gastric cancer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seiichiro Abe ◽  
Juntaro Matsuzaki ◽  
Kazuki Sudo ◽  
Ichiro Oda ◽  
Hitoshi Katai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastric Cancer ◽  
Early Gastric Cancer ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Serum Samples ◽  
Retrospective Case ◽  
Serum Mirnas ◽  
Validation Set

Abstract Background The aim of this study was to identify serum miRNAs that discriminate early gastric cancer (EGC) samples from non-cancer controls using a large cohort. Methods This retrospective case–control study included 1417 serum samples from patients with EGC (seen at the National Cancer Center Hospital in Tokyo between 2008 and 2012) and 1417 age- and gender-matched non-cancer controls. The samples were randomly assigned to discovery and validation sets and the miRNA expression profiles of whole serum samples were comprehensively evaluated using a highly sensitive DNA chip (3D-Gene®) designed to detect 2565 miRNA sequences. Diagnostic models were constructed using the levels of several miRNAs in the discovery set, and the diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated in the validation set. Results The discovery set consisted of 708 samples from EGC patients and 709 samples from non-cancer controls, and the validation set consisted of 709 samples from EGC patients and 708 samples from non-cancer controls. The diagnostic EGC index was constructed using four miRNAs (miR-4257, miR-6785-5p, miR-187-5p, and miR-5739). In the discovery set, a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the EGC index revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.996 with a sensitivity of 0.983 and a specificity of 0.977. In the validation set, the AUC for the EGC index was 0.998 with a sensitivity of 0.996 and a specificity of 0.953. Conclusions A novel combination of four serum miRNAs could be a useful non-invasive diagnostic biomarker to detect EGC with high accuracy. A multicenter prospective study is ongoing to confirm the present observations.

scholarly journals Preoperative Predicting the WHO/ISUP Nuclear Grade of Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma by Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Features

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 8
Author(s):  
Claudia-Gabriela Moldovanu ◽  
Bianca Boca ◽  
Andrei Lebovici ◽  
Attila Tamas-Szora ◽  
Diana Sorina Feier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Computed Tomography ◽  
Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Renal Cell ◽  
Clear Cell ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Nuclear Grade ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Nuclear grade is important for treatment selection and prognosis in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). This study aimed to determine the ability of preoperative four-phase multiphasic multidetector computed tomography (MDCT)-based radiomics features to predict the WHO/ISUP nuclear grade. In all 102 patients with histologically confirmed ccRCC, the training set (n = 62) and validation set (n = 40) were randomly assigned. In both datasets, patients were categorized according to the WHO/ISUP grading system into low-grade ccRCC (grades 1 and 2) and high-grade ccRCC (grades 3 and 4). The feature selection process consisted of three steps, including least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, and the radiomics scores were developed using 48 radiomics features (10 in the unenhanced phase, 17 in the corticomedullary (CM) phase, 14 in the nephrographic (NP) phase, and 7 in the excretory phase). The radiomics score (Rad-Score) derived from the CM phase achieved the best predictive ability, with a sensitivity, specificity, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 90.91%, 95.00%, and 0.97 in the training set. In the validation set, the Rad-Score derived from the NP phase achieved the best predictive ability, with a sensitivity, specificity, and an AUC of 72.73%, 85.30%, and 0.84. We constructed a complex model, adding the radiomics score for each of the phases to the clinicoradiological characteristics, and found significantly better performance in the discrimination of the nuclear grades of ccRCCs in all MDCT phases. The highest AUC of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.92–1.00, p < 0.0001) was demonstrated for the CM phase. Our results showed that the MDCT radiomics features may play a role as potential imaging biomarkers to preoperatively predict the WHO/ISUP grade of ccRCCs.

scholarly journals UNRAVELLING DIABETIC RETINOPATHY THROUGH IMAGE PROCESSING, NEURAL NETWORKS AND FUZZY LOGIC – A REVIEW

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Srinivasan A ◽  
Sudha S
Keyword(s):  
Image Processing ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Diabetic Retinopathy ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Morphological Operations ◽  
Advanced Stage ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

One of the main causes of blindness is diabetic retinopathy (DR) and it may affect people of any ages. In these days, both young and old ages are affected by diabetes, and the di abetes is the main cause of DR. Hence, it is necessary to have an automated system with good accuracy and less computation time to diagnose and treat DR, and the automated system can simplify the work of ophthalmologists. The objective is to present an overview of various works recently in detecting and segmenting the various lesions of DR. Papers were categorized based on the diagnosing tools and the methods used for detecting early and advanced stage lesions. The early lesions of DR are microaneurysms, hemorrhages, exudates, and cotton wool spots and in the advanced stage, new and fragile blood vessels can be grown. Results have been evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and receiver operating characteristic curve. This paper analyzed the various steps and different algorithms used recently for the detection and classification of DR lesions. A comparison of performances has been made in terms of sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and accuracy. Suggestions, future workand the area to be improved were also discussed.Keywords: Diabetic retinopathy, Image processing, Morphological operations, Neural network, Fuzzy logic. 

scholarly journals Value and Diagnostic Efficacy of Fetal Morphology Assessment Using Ultrasound in A Poor-Resource Setting

Diagnostics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ukweh ◽  
Ugbem ◽  
Okeke ◽  
Ekpo
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Value ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Youden Index ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Diagnostic Efficacy ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Resource Setting ◽  
Post Test ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background: Ultrasound is operator-dependent, and its value and efficacy in fetal morphology assessment in a low-resource setting is poorly understood. We assessed the value and efficacy of fetal morphology ultrasound assessment in a Nigerian setting. Materials and Methods: We surveyed fetal morphology ultrasound performed across five facilities and followed-up each fetus to ascertain the outcome. Fetuses were surveyed in the second trimester (18th–22nd weeks) using the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology (ISUOG) guideline. Clinical and surgical reports were used as references to assess the diagnostic efficacy of ultrasound in livebirths, and autopsy reports to confirm anomalies in terminated pregnancies, spontaneous abortions, intrauterine fetal deaths, and still births. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, Area under the curve (AUC), Youden index, likelihood ratios, and post-test probabilities. Results: In total, 6520 fetuses of women aged 15–46 years (mean = 31.7 years) were surveyed. The overall sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were 77.1 (95% CI: 68–84.6), 99.5 (95% CI: 99.3–99.7), and 88.3 (95% CI: 83.7–92.2), respectively. Other performance metrics were: positive predictive value, 72.4 (95% CI: 64.7–79.0), negative predictive value, 99.6 (95% CI: 99.5–99.7), and Youden index (77.1%). Abnormality prevalence was 1.67% (95% CI: 1.37–2.01), and the positive and negative likelihood ratios were 254 (95% CI: 107.7–221.4) and 0.23 (95% CI: 0.16–0.33), respectively. The post-test probability for positive test was 72% (95% CI: 65–79). Conclusion: Fetal morphology assessment is valuable in a poor economics setting, however, the variation in the diagnostic efficacy across facilities and the limitations associated with the detection of circulatory system anomalies need to be addressed.

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