Short-term prognosis of normalising serum potassium following an episode of hypokalaemia in patients with chronic heart failure

2020 ◽  
pp. 204748732091115
Author(s):  
Mette Aldahl ◽  
Christoffer Polcwiartek ◽  
Line Davidsen ◽  
Kristian Kragholm ◽  
Peter Søgaard ◽  
...  

Background/aim It is well known that patients with chronic heart failure and hypokalaemia have increased mortality risk. We investigated the impact of normalising serum potassium following an episode of hypokalaemia on short-term mortality among patients with chronic heart failure. Methods and results We identified 1673 patients diagnosed with chronic heart failure who had a serum potassium measurement under 3.5 mmol/l within 14 days and one year after initiated medical treatment with both loop diuretics and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin-II receptor blockers. A second serum potassium measurement was required 8–30 days after the episode of hypokalaemia. All-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality was examined within 90 days from the second serum potassium measurement. Mortality was examined according to six predefined potassium groups derived from the second measurement:<3.5 mmol/l ( n = 302), 3.5–3.7 mmol/l ( n = 271), 3.8–4.1 mmol/l ( n = 464), 4.2–4.4 mmol/l ( n = 270), 4.5–5.0 mmol/l ( n = 272), and 5.1–8.0 mmol/l ( n = 94). We used Cox regression to estimate both all-cause mortality risk and cardiovascular mortality, with serum potassium at 3.8–4.1 mmol/l as reference. After 90 days, the all-cause mortality in the six groups was 29.5%, 22.1%, 20.3%, 24.8%, 23.5% and 43.6%, respectively. In multivariable adjusted analysis, patients with serum potassium <3.5 mmol/l (hazard ratio: 1.51; 95% confidence interval: 1.13–2.02) and serum potassium 5.1–8.0 mmol/l (hazard ratio: 2.18; 95% confidence interval: 1.50–3.17) had an increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to the reference. After 90 days, the cardiovascular mortality in the six groups was 19.2%, 17.7%, 14.4%, 18.9%, 18.8% and 34.0%, respectively. In multivariable adjusted analysis, patients with serum potassium 5.1–8.0 mmol/l (hazard ratio: 2.32; 95% confidence interval: 1.51–3.56) had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality compared to the reference, while serum potassium <3.5 mmol/l (hazard ratio: 1.37; 95% confidence interval: 0.97–1.95) had a trend toward increased risk of cardiovascular mortality compared to the reference. Conclusion Patients with chronic heart failure and hypokalaemia, who after 8–30 days remained hypokalaemic, had a significantly higher 90-day all-cause mortality risk compared to patients in the reference group (3.8–4.1 mmol/l). Patients with chronic heart failure and hypokalaemia, who after 8–30 days had the serum potassium level increased to a level within 5.1–8.0 mmol/l, had both a significantly higher 90-day all-cause mortality risk and cardiovascular mortality risk compared to patients in the reference group (3.8–4.1 mmol/l).

Author(s):  
Ryon J Cobb ◽  
Connor Mc Devitt Sheehan ◽  
Patricia Louie ◽  
Christy L Erving

Abstract Background The present study assessed whether reporting multiple reasons for perceived everyday discrimination was associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality risk among older Black adults. Methods This study utilized data from a subsample of older Black adults from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a nationally representative panel study of older adults in the United States. Our measure of multiple reasons for perceived everyday discrimination was based on self-reports from the 2006/2008 HRS waves. Respondents' vital status was obtained from the National Death Index and reports from key household informants (spanning 2006–2019). Cox proportional hazard models, which accounted for covariates linked to mortality, were used to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality. Results During the observation period, 563 deaths occurred. Twenty percent of Black adults attributed perceived everyday discrimination to three or more sources. In demographic adjusted models, attributing perceived everyday discrimination to three or more sources was a statistically significant predictor of all-cause mortality risk (hazard ratio= 1.45; 95%, confidence interval=1.12 - 1.87). The association remained significant (hazard ratio=1.49, 95%, confidence interval=1.15 - 1.93) after further adjustments for health, behavioral, and economic characteristics. Conclusion Examining how multiple reasons for perceived everyday discrimination relate to all-cause mortality risk has considerable utility in clarifying the unique contributions of perceived discrimination to mortality risk among older Black adults. Our findings suggest that multiple reasons for perceived everyday discrimination are a particularly salient risk factor for mortality among older Black adults.


2020 ◽  
pp. 204887262092525 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pil Sang Song ◽  
Kye Taek Ahn ◽  
Jin-Ok Jeong ◽  
Ki-Hyun Jeon ◽  
Young Bin Song ◽  
...  

Background We sought to evaluate baseline platelet count as a prognostic indicator in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods Data of 13,085 patients with AMI were retrieved from a prospective nationwide AMI registry from November 2011 to December 2015. Using Cox hazards models, cumulative risks for adverse outcomes were compared among patients with baseline platelet count of less than 150 K/µL (lowest quartile), 150 to 249 K/µL, 250 to 349 K/µL (reference) and equal to or greater than 350 K/µL (higher quartile). The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included myocardial infarction, re-hospitalisation for heart failure, and stroke. Results During a median follow-up of 2.1 years, a steep U-shaped association was observed for the occurrence of all-cause mortality ( p for non-linearity <0.001). For stroke, a similar U-shaped curve was also seen ( p for non-linearity = 0.095). After multiple adjustments, the lowest and higher quartiles of baseline platelet count were positively associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.120; 95% confidence interval: 1.345–3.341; p = 0.001, and adjusted hazard ratio: 1.642; 95% confidence interval: 0.957–2.817; p = 0.072, respectively). Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses even after excluding patients with age ≥75 years or patients with heart failure. Conclusions In patients with AMI, baseline platelet count demonstrated a U-shaped association with an increased risk of all-cause mortality at two years. If validated, these findings suggest that baseline platelet count could serve as a preferred prognostic marker in AMI due to its low cost and universal availability.


2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 240-247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyoung Suk Lee ◽  
Debra K. Moser ◽  
Michele Pelter ◽  
Martha J. Biddle ◽  
Kathleen Dracup

Background Comorbid depression in patients with heart failure is associated with increased risk for death. In order to effectively identify depressed patients with cardiac disease, the American Heart Association suggests a 2-step screening method: administering the 2-item Patient Health Questionnaire first and then the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire. However, whether the 2-step method is better for predicting poor prognosis in heart failure than is either the 2-item or the 9-item tool alone is not known. Objective To determine whether the 2-step method is better than either the 2-item or the 9-item questionnaire alone for predicting all-cause mortality in heart failure. Methods During a 2-year period, 562 patients with heart failure were assessed for depression by using the 2-step method. With the 2-step method, results are considered positive if patients endorse either depressed mood or anhedonia on the 2-item screen and have scores of 10 or higher on the 9-item screen. Results Screening results with the 2-step method were not associated with all-cause mortality. Patients with scores positive for depression on either the 2-item or 9-item screen alone had 53% and 60% greater risk, respectively, for all-cause death than did patients with scores negative for depression after adjustments for covariates (hazard ratio, 1.530; 95% CI, 1.029–2.274 for the 2-item screen; hazard ratio, 1.603; 95% CI, 1.079–2.383 for the 9-item screen). Conclusions The 2-step method has no clear advantages compared with the 2-item screen alone or the 9-item screen alone for predicting adverse prognostic effects of depressive symptoms in heart failure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuanhe Wang ◽  
Su Han ◽  
Fei Tong ◽  
Ying Li ◽  
Zhichao Li ◽  
...  

Aim: The present study was established to investigate the use of the serum cystatin C/prealbumin (Cys-C/PAB) ratio as a predictive factor for long-term prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure.Methods: We divided our retrospective cohort of 6,311 patients admitted to hospital due to an episode of heart failure (HF) into three groups according to the Cys-C/PAB ratio. The endpoints were cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Median follow-up time were 3.3 years (2–8 years), during which 2,945 (46.7%) patients died.Results: The Cys-C/PAB ratio was revealed to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.15–1.23, P &lt; 0.01) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.13–1.24, P &lt; 0.01) by multivariable Cox analysis. Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) showed that the Cys-C/PAB ratio in conjunction with the level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) conferred a significant improvement in predicting individual risks of cardiovascular (P = 0.023) and all-cause (P = 0.028) mortality. For those with a high Cys-C/PAB ratio in combination with a high NT-proBNP level, the long-term cardiovascular mortality risk ratio was 8.6-times higher than for those with low values, and 7.51-times for all-cause mortality. Our study also showed that Cys-C/PAB and NT-proBNP in combination displayed higher value for the prediction of cardiovascular and all-cause in-hospital mortality in patients with HF.Conclusions: The Cys-C/PAB ratio is valuable for predicting cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with HF and offers additional information to that provided by NT-proBNP.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (8) ◽  
pp. 1385-1393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitrie Siriopol ◽  
Mihaela Siriopol ◽  
Stefano Stuard ◽  
Luminita Voroneanu ◽  
Peter Wabel ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Both baseline fluid overload (FO) and fluid depletion are associated with increased mortality risk and cardiovascular complications in haemodialysis patients. Fluid status may vary substantially over time, and this variability could also be associated with poor outcomes. Methods In our retrospective cohort study, including 4114 haemodialysis patients from 34 Romanian dialysis units, we investigated both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk according to baseline pre- and post-dialysis volume status, changes in pre- and post-dialysis fluid status during follow-up (time-varying survival analysis), pre–post changes in volume status during dialysis and pre-dialysis fluid status variability during the first 6 months of evaluation. Results According to their pre-dialysis fluid status, patients were stratified in the following groups: normovolaemic with an absolute FO (AFO) compartment between −1.1 and 1.1 L, fluid depletion with an AFO below −1.1 L, moderate FO with an AFO compartment >1.1 but <2.5 L and severe FO with the AFO compartment >2.5 L. Baseline pre-dialysis FO and fluid depletion patients had a significantly elevated risk of all-cause mortality risk {hazard ratio [HR] 1.53 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22–1.93], HR 2.04 (95% CI 1.59–2.60) and HR 1.88 (95% CI 1.07–3.39) for moderate FO, severe FO and fluid depletion, respectively}. In contrast, post-dialysis fluid depletion was associated with better survival [HR 0.71 (95% CI 0.57–0.89)]. Similar results were found when using changes in pre- or post-dialysis fluid status during follow-up (time-varying values): FO patients had an increased risk of all-cause [moderate FO: HR 1.39 (95% CI 1.11–1.75); severe FO: HR 2.29 (95% CI 2.01–3.31] and cardiovascular (CV) mortality [moderate FO: HR 1.34 (95% CI 1.05–1.70); severe FO: HR 2.34 (95% CI 1.67–3.28)] as compared with normohydrated patients. Using pre–post changes in volume status during dialysis, we categorized the patients into six groups: Group 1, AFO <−1.1 L pre- and post-dialysis; Group 2, AFO between −1.1 and 1.1 L pre-dialysis and <−1.1 L post-dialysis (the reference group); Group 3, AFO between −1.1 and 1.1 L pre- and post-dialysis; Group 4, AFO >1.1 L pre-dialysis and <−1.1 L post-dialysis; Group 5, AFO >1.1 L pre-dialysis and between −1.1 and 1.1 L post-dialysis; Group 6, AFO >1.1 L pre- and post-dialysis. Using the baseline values, only patients in Groups 1, 5 and 6 maintained an increased risk for all-cause mortality as compared with the reference group. Additionally, CV mortality risk was significantly higher for patients in Groups 5 and 6. When we applied the time-varying analysis, patients in Groups 1, 5 and 6 had a significantly higher risk for both all-cause and CV mortality risk. In the last approach, the highest risk for the all-cause mortality outcome was observed for patients with high-amplitude fluctuation during the first 6 months of evaluation [HR 2.75 (95% CI 1.29–5.84)]. Conclusion We reconfirm the association between baseline pre- and post-dialysis volume status and mortality in dialysis patients; additionally, we showed that greater fluid status variability is independently associated with higher mortality.


Author(s):  
Ahmad Hazem ◽  
Sunita Sharma ◽  
Amit Sharma ◽  
Cameron Leitch ◽  
Roopalakshmi Sharadanant ◽  
...  

Importance: Right bundle branch block (RBBB) is observed in approximately 5-14% of patients with heart failure (HF). Multiple observational studies have reported the association of RBBB with clinical outcomes in patients with HF. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the prognostic significance of RBBB for patients with HF. Data Sources: We have systematically searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, Web of Science and Scopus through January 2014. Study Selection: Reviewers working independently and in duplicate screened all eligible abstracts that described all cause or cardiovascular mortality in patients with RBBB and HF. We excluded studies that reported unadjusted outcome, i.e.: unadjusted event rates. Knowledge synthesis: We pooled reported risk ratio and hazard ratio. Main Outcomes: All-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality (death). Results: We found 12 relevant observational studies enrolling over 38,000 patients. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Included studies had at least a moderate quality. Seven of those evaluated prognosis of patients with RBBB and heart failure. After a mean follow up period of 2.5 years (range: 1-5 years), RBBB was associated with a statistically significant increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to patients with heart failure but no BBB, RR 1.27, 95% CI (1.08-1.50), Figure 1. The other 5 studies evaluated CHF patients receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT), comparing outcomes of patients with RBBB to those with LBBB. After a mean f/u period of 3 years, patients with RBBB were once again found to have an increased risk of all-cause mortality, RR 1.45, 95% CI 1.12-1.89. Conclusion and Relevance: RBBB in patients with HF is associated with higher all-cause mortality in comparison to patients without inter-ventricular conduction defects, as well as LBBB patients in patients undergoing CRT setting.


Cardiology ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thor Ueland ◽  
P)l Aukrust ◽  
St)le H. Nymo ◽  
John Kjekshus ◽  
John J.V. McMurray ◽  
...  

Objectives: Increased circulating endostatin levels have been demonstrated in progressive cardiovascular (CV) and renal disorders. We investigated the predictive value of endostatin in patients with chronic heart failure (HF) and the association between endostatin and renal function. Methods: The interaction between serum endostatin, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and predefined endpoints, including the primary endpoint (CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke; n = 397), all-cause mortality (n = 410), CV death (n = 335) or the coronary endpoint (n = 317), was evaluated in 1,390 patients >60 years of age with ischemic systolic HF in the Controlled Rosuvastatin Multinational Trial in HF (CORONA) population, who were randomly assigned to 10 mg rosuvastatin or placebo. Results: In the population as a whole, endostatin added no predictive information after full multivariable adjustment including eGFR and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. Serum endostatin was strongly correlated with eGFR (r = 0.59, p < 0.001). After full multivariable adjustment, an association between high serum endostatin and increased risk of all-cause mortality and decreased risk of the primary and coronary endpoints was seen in HF patients with impaired and preserved renal function, respectively. Conclusions: Endostatin added no predictive information regarding the adverse outcome in patients with chronic systolic HF of ischemic etiology. An increased risk of all-cause mortality was seen in patients with decreased renal function. i 2014 S. Karger AG, Basel


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 873-881 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsuyoshi Ohnishi ◽  
Miho Kimachi ◽  
Shingo Fukuma ◽  
Tadao Akizawa ◽  
Shunichi Fukuhara

Background and objectivesAlmost half of patients on dialysis demonstrate a postdialysis serum potassium ≤3.5 mEq/L. We aimed to examine the relationship between postdialysis potassium levels and all-cause mortality.Design, setting, patients, & measurementsWe conducted a cohort study of 3967 participants on maintenance hemodialysis from the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study in Japan (2009–2012 and 2012–2015). Postdialysis serum potassium was measured repeatedly at 4-month intervals and used as a time-varying variable. We estimated the hazard ratio of all-cause mortality rate using Cox hazard regression models, with and without adjusting for time-varying predialysis serum potassium. Models were adjusted for baseline characteristics and time-varying laboratory parameters. We also analyzed associations of combinations of pre- and postdialysis potassium with mortality.ResultsThe age of participants at baseline was 65±12 years (mean±SD), 2552 (64%) were men, and 96% were treated with a dialysate potassium level of 2.0 to <2.5 mEq/L. The median follow-up period was 2.6 (interquartile range, 1.3–2.8) years. During the follow-up period, 562 (14%) of 3967 participants died, and the overall mortality rate was 6.7 per 100 person-years. Compared with postdialysis potassium of 3.0 to <3.5 mEq/L, the hazard ratios of postdialysis hypokalemia (<3.0 mEq/L) were 1.84 (95% confidence interval, 1.44 to 2.34) in the unadjusted model, 1.44 (95% confidence interval, 1.14 to 1.82) in the model without adjusting for predialysis serum potassium, and 1.10 (95% confidence interval, 0.84 to 1.44) in the model adjusted for predialysis serum potassium. The combination of pre- and postdialysis hypokalemia was associated with the highest mortality risk (hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 2.19, reference; pre- and postdialysis nonhypokalemia).ConclusionsPostdialysis hypokalemia was associated with mortality, but this association was not independent of predialysis potassium.


2019 ◽  
Vol 105 (3) ◽  
pp. e181-e190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Qiang Jiang ◽  
Lin Xu ◽  
Tai Hing Lam ◽  
Ya Li Jin ◽  
Wei Sen Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Context China has the largest number of people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the world. Data from previous studies have suggested that up to one-fifth of individuals with diabetes would be missed without an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). To date, there is little information on the mortality risk of these individuals. Objective We estimated the association of different indicators of hyperglycemia with mortality in the general Chinese population. Design Prospective cohort study. Setting China. Participants A total of 17 939 participants aged 50+ years. Exposures Previously diagnosed diabetes and newly detected diabetes defined by fasting glucose (≥7.0 mmol/L), 2-hour postload glucose (≥11.1 mmol/L), or hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c, ≥6.5%). Main Outcomes Measures Deaths from all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer were identified by record linkage with death registration. Results During 7.8 (SD, 1.5) years’ follow-up, 1439 deaths were recorded. Of 3706 participants with T2DM, 2126 (57%) had known T2DM, 118 (3%) were identified by isolated elevated fasting glucose, 1022 (28%) had isolated elevated postload glucose, and 440 (12%) had both elevated fasting and postload glucose. Compared with normoglycemia, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of all-cause mortality was 1.71 (1.46-2.00), 0.96 (0.47-1.93), 1.43 (1.15-1.78), and 1.82 (1.35-2.45) for the 4 groups, respectively. T2DM defined by elevated HbA1c was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.69). Conclusion Individuals with isolated higher 2-h postload glucose had a higher risk of mortality by 43% than those with normoglycemia. Underuse of OGTT leads to substantial underdetection of individuals with a higher mortality risk and lost opportunities for early intervention.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Po-Hsun Chen ◽  
Yu-Wei Chen ◽  
Wei-Ju Liu ◽  
Ssu-Wei Hsu ◽  
Ching-Hsien Chen ◽  
...  

Aim: This study aimed to compare mortality risks across uric acid (UA) levels between non-diabetes adults and participants with diabetes and to investigate the association between hyperuricemia and mortality risks in low-risk adults. Methods: We analyzed data from adults aged >18 years without coronary heart disease and chronic kidney disease (n = 29,226) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999–2010) and the associated mortality data (up to December 2011). We used the Cox proportional hazards models to examine the risk of all-cause and cause-specific (cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer) mortality at different UA levels between adults with and without diabetes. Results: Over a median follow-up of 6.6 years, 2069 participants died (495 from CVD and 520 from cancers). In non-diabetes adults at UA ≥ 5 mg/dL, all-cause and CVD mortality risks increased across higher UA levels (p-for-trend = 0.037 and 0.058, respectively). The lowest all-cause mortality risk in participants with diabetes was at the UA level of 5–7 mg/dL. We set the non-diabetes participants with UA levels of <7 mg/dL as a reference group. Without considering the effect of glycemic control, the all-cause mortality risk in non-diabetes participants with UA levels of ≥7 mg/dL was equivalent to risk among diabetes adults with UA levels of <7 mg/dL (hazard ratio = 1.44 vs. 1.57, p = 0.49). A similar result was shown in CVD mortality risk (hazard ratio = 1.80 vs. 2.06, p = 0.56). Conclusion: Hyperuricemia may be an indicator to manage multifaceted cardiovascular risk factors in low-risk adults without diabetes, but further studies and replication are warranted.


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