scholarly journals Complex chronic patients as an emergent group with high risk of intracerebral haemorrhage: an observational cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Blanca Lorman-Carbó ◽  
◽  
Josep Lluís Clua-Espuny ◽  
Eulàlia Muria-Subirats ◽  
Juan Ballesta-Ors ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Intracerebral Haemorrhage ◽  
Incidence Density ◽  
Chronic Patients ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Clinical Records

Abstract Background Demographic aging is a generalised event and the proportion of older adults is increasing rapidly worldwide with chronic pathologies, disability, and complexity of health needs. The intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) has devastating consequences in high risk people. This study aims to quantify the incidence of ICH in complex chronic patients (CCP). Methods This is a multicentre, retrospective and community-based cohort study of 3594 CCPs followed up from 01/01/2013 to 31/12/2017 in primary care without a history of previous ICH episode. The cases were identified from clinical records encoded with ICD-10 (10th version of the International Classification of Diseases) in the e-SAP database of the Catalan Health Institute. The main variable was the ICH episode during the study period. Demographic, clinical, functional, cognitive and pharmacological variables were included. Descriptive and logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify the variables associated with suffering an ICH. The independent risk factors were obtained from logistic regression models, ruling out the variables included in the HAS-BLED score, to avoid duplication effects. Results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). The analysis with the resulting model was also stratified by sex. Results 161 (4.4%) participants suffered an ICH episode. Mean age 87 ± 9 years; 55.9% women. The ICH incidence density was 151/10000 person-years [95%CI 127–174], without differences by sex. Related to subjects without ICH, presented a higher prevalence of arterial hypertension (83.2% vs. 74.9%; p = 0.02), hypercholesterolemia (55.3% vs. 47.4%, p = 0.05), cardiovascular disease (36.6% vs. 28.9%; p = 0.03), and use of antiplatelet drugs (64.0% vs. 52.9%; p = 0.006). 93.2% had a HAS-BLED score ≥ 3. The independent risk factors for ICH were identified: HAS-BLED ≥3 [OR 3.54; 95%CI 1.88–6.68], hypercholesterolemia [OR 1.62; 95%CI 1.11–2.35], and cardiovascular disease [OR 1.48 IC95% 1.05–2.09]. The HAS_BLED ≥3 score showed a high sensitivity [0.93 CI95% 0.89–0.97] and negative predictive value [0.98 (CI95% 0.83–1.12)]. Conclusions In the CCP subgroup the incidence density of ICH was 5–60 times higher than that observed in elder and general population. The use of bleeding risk score as the HAS-BLED scale could improve the preventive approach of those with higher risk of ICH. Trial registration This study was retrospectively registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03247049) on August 11/2017.

scholarly journals Adjusted Morbidity Groups and Intracerebral Haemorrhage: A Retrospective Primary Care Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (24) ◽  
pp. 13320
Author(s):  
Blanca Lorman-Carbó ◽  
Josep Lluis Clua-Espuny ◽  
Eulalia Muria-Subirats ◽  
Juan Ballesta-Ors ◽  
Maria Antònia González-Henares ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Intracerebral Haemorrhage ◽  
Antiplatelet Agents ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Group 4 ◽  
Complex Patients ◽  
History Of ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Clinical Records

Background: Intracerebral haemorrhage rates are increasing among highly complex, elderly patients. The main objective of this study was to identify modifiable risk factors of intracerebral haemorrhage. Methods: Multicentre, retrospective, community-based cohort study was conducted, including patients in the Adjusted Morbidity Group 4 with no history of intracerebral haemorrhage. Cases were obtained from electronic clinical records of the Catalan Institute of Health and were followed up for five years. The primary outcome was the occurrence of intracerebral haemorrhage during the study period. Demographic, clinical and pharmacological variables were included. Logistic regression analyses were carried out to detect prognostic variables for intracerebral haemorrhage. Results: 4686 subjects were included; 170 (3.6%) suffered an intracerebral haemorrhage (85.8/10,000 person–year [95% CI 85.4 to 86.2]). The HAS-BLED score for intracerebral haemorrhage risk detection obtained the best AUC (0.7) when used in the highest complexity level (cut-off point ≥3). Associated independent risk factors were age ≥80 years, high complexity and use of antiplatelet agents. Conclusions: The Adjusted Morbidity Group 4 is associated with a high risk of intracerebral haemorrhage, particularly for highly complex patients and the use of antiplatelet agents. The risk of bleeding in these patients must be closely monitored.

scholarly journals Risk factors for peripheral venous catheter failure: A prospective cohort study of 5345 patients

2021 ◽  
pp. 112972982110150
Author(s):  
Ya-mei Chen ◽  
Xiao-wen Fan ◽  
Ming-hong Liu ◽  
Jie Wang ◽  
Yi-qun Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Insertion Site ◽  
Healthcare Providers ◽  
Venous Catheter ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Peripheral Venous Catheter ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Purpose: The objective of this study was to determine the independent risk factors associated with peripheral venous catheter (PVC) failure and develop a model that can predict PVC failure. Methods: This prospective, multicenter cohort study was carried out in nine tertiary hospitals in Suzhou, China between December 2017 and February 2018. Adult patients undergoing first-time insertion of a PVC were observed from catheter insertion to removal. Logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors predicting PVC failure. Results: This study included 5345 patients. The PVC failure rate was 54.05% ( n = 2889/5345), and the most common causes of PVC failure were phlebitis (16.3%) and infiltration/extravasation (13.8%). On multivariate analysis, age (45–59 years: OR, 1.295; 95% CI, 1.074–1.561; 60–74 years: OR, 1.375; 95% CI, 1.143–1.654; ⩾75 years: OR, 1.676; 95% CI, 1.355–2.073); department (surgery OR, 1.229; 95% CI, 1.062–1.423; emergency internal/surgical ward OR, 1.451; 95% CI, 1.082–1.945); history of venous puncture in the last week (OR, 1.298, 95% CI 1.130–1.491); insertion site, number of puncture attempts, irritant fluid infusion, daily infusion time, daily infusion volume, and type of sealing liquid were independent predictors of PVC failure. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that a logistic regression model constructed using these variables had moderate accuracy for the prediction of PVC failure (area under the curve, 0.781). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test demonstrated that the model was correctly specified (χ2 = 2.514, p = 0.961). Conclusion: This study should raise awareness among healthcare providers of the risk factors for PVC failure. We recommend that healthcare providers use vascular access device selection tools to select a clinically appropriate device and for the timely detection of complications, and have a list of drugs classified as irritants or vesicants so they can monitor patients receiving fluid infusions containing these drugs more frequently.

Risk Factors for Delirium in Trauma Patients: The Impact of Ethanol Use and Lack of Insurance

2011 ◽  
Vol 77 (5) ◽  
pp. 621-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardino C. Branco ◽  
Kenji Inaba ◽  
Marko Bukur ◽  
Peep Talving ◽  
Matthew Oliver ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Chronic Ethanol ◽  
Ethanol Ingestion ◽  
Stepwise Logistic Regression ◽  
Trauma Patients ◽  
Stepwise Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study was to examine independent risk factors, and in particular the impact of alcohol on the development of delirium, in a cohort of trauma patients screened for ethanol ingestion on admission to hospital. The National Trauma Databank (v. 7.0) was used to identify all patients 18 years or older screened for ethanol on admission. Patients who developed delirium were compared with those who did not. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for the development of delirium. A total of 504,839 patients with admission ethanol levels were identified. Of those, 2,909 (0.6%) developed delirium. Patients developing delirium were significantly older, more frequently male, and more likely to sustain thermal injuries and falls. Patients developing delirium had more comorbidities including chronic ethanol use (19.1% vs 4.5%, P < 0.001) and cardiovascular disease (21.5% vs 12.2%, P < 0.001). On admission, patients developing delirium were more likely to be intoxicated with ethanol (55.4% vs 26.5%, P < 0.001) and were more likely to be uninsured (17.8% vs 0.9%, P < 0.001). A stepwise logistic regression model identified lack of insurance, positive ethanol on admission, chronic ethanol use, Intensive Care Unit admission, age ≥ 55 years, burns, Medicare insurance, falls, and history of cardiovascular disease as independent risk factors for the development of delirium. The incidence of delirium in this trauma patient cohort was 0.6 per cent. The above risk factors were independently associated with the development of delirium. This data may be helpful in designing interventions to prevent delirium.

scholarly journals Phenotype, molecular characterisation and risk factors for postoperative meningitis caused by ESBL-producing-Enterobacteriaceae: a six years multi-Centre comparative cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guanghui Zheng ◽  
Yanfei Cao ◽  
Chunhong Liu ◽  
Lingye Qian ◽  
Yumeng Cai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Molecular Characteristics ◽  
Molecular Characterisation ◽  
Logistic Analysis ◽  
Comparative Cohort Study ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Postoperative Meningitis

Abstract Background To determine the phenotype, molecular characterisation and risk factors of postoperative meningitis induced by Extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Enterobacteriaceae (EPE) in China. Methods We performed a multi-centre comparative cohort study of postoperative meningitis patients infected with Enterobacteriaceae in 4 neurosurgical centres in China from January 2014 to December 2019. Phenotype and molecular characteristics of the isolates were reviewed and tested, and independent risk factors of the EPE meningitis were evaluated by binary logistic regression. Results In total, 220 Enterobacteriaceae include 78 EPE were available in this study. 85.6% (67/78) ESBL-related genes were tested, and blaSHV (14.9%) and blaSHV + blaTEM + blaCTX-M-9 (20.9%) were found to be the most frequent mono and combined ESBL-related genes harboured by Enterobacteriaceae. On binary logistic analysis, craniotomy (OR. 2.583, 95% C.I. 1.274–5.235, P = 0.008) and malignancy (OR. 2.406, 95% C.I. 1.299–4.456, P = 0.005) were the associated independent risk factors to meningitis induced by EPE. Conclusions To the best of our knowledge, this is the largest series focusing on risk factors of EPE meningitis which has been conducted in China. Craniotomy and malignancy were independent risk factors for EPE meningitis. The risk factors identified may be further utilized in clinical practice and research to avoid and reduce the mortality in future.

scholarly journals Fluid Homeostasis May Predict the Prognosis of Non-infectious Fever After Total Knee Arthroplasty Within 7-Day: A Retrospective Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nafei Xu ◽  
Taotao Xu ◽  
Xiaoxue Tan ◽  
Lujie Xu ◽  
Menghua Ye ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Total Knee Arthroplasty ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Intraoperative Blood Loss ◽  
Drainage Fluid ◽  
Postoperative Drainage ◽  
Total Knee ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Background: In the perioperative management of Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA), postoperative fever has always been a concern. Current research focuses on infectious fever, and there is no relevant research on the occurrence of non-infectious fever (NIF) and its risk factors. Hence, the aim of this study was to clarify the risk factors for NIF after TKA, and construct an easy-to-use nomogram.Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Consecutive patients undergoing primary unilateral TKA were divided into the non-infectious fever group and the control group. Clinicopathological characters were collected from electronic medical records. Univariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the related independent risk factors. The optimal threshold for each selected factor and combined index was determined when the Youden index achieved the highest value. And the predictive nomogram was developed by these independent factors.Results: Ultimately, 146 patients were included in this study. Of them, 57 (39.04%) patients experienced NIF. Results of the univariable logistic regression analysis indicated that intraoperative blood loss (OR, 1.002; 95% CI, 1.000–1.0004), postoperative drainage fluid volume (OR, 1.003; 95% CI, 1.001–1.006) and frequency of blood transfusion (n = 1; OR, 0.227; 95% CI, 0.068–0.757) were independent risk factors of NIF occurrence. The predictive nomogram that incorporated the above independent risk factors was developed, and it yielded an areas under the curves (AUC) of 0.731 (95% CI: 0.651–0.801; P &lt; 0.0001) with 54.39% sensitivity and 82.02% specificity.Conclusions: Non-infectious fever after TKA prolongs the time of antibiotic use and hospital stay. Our results demonstrated that the nomogram may facilitate to predict the individualized risk of NIF occurrence within 7-day by intraoperative blood loss, postoperative drainage fluid volume and frequency of blood transfusion.

scholarly journals Risk factors for mortality, ICU admission and bacteremia in patients suspected of sepsis at the Emergency department. A prospective cohort study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentino D’Onofrio ◽  
Agnes Meersman ◽  
Sara Vijgen ◽  
Reinoud Cartuyvels ◽  
Peter Messiaen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Serum Lactate ◽  
Suspected Sepsis ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Icu Admission ◽  
Observational Cohort ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Prediction Of Prognosis

Abstract Background There is a clear need for a better assessment of independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and bacteremia in patients presenting with suspected sepsis at the ED. Methods A prospective observational cohort study including 1690 patients was performed. Two multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors. Results SOFA score of ≥2 and serum lactate of ≥2mmol/L were associated with all outcomes. Other independent risk factors were individual SOFA variables and SIRS variables but varied per outcome. MAP&lt;70 mmHg negatively impacted all outcomes. Conclusion These readily available measurements can help with early risk stratification and prediction of prognosis.

scholarly journals Relation between body composition and severe diarrhea in patients treated with preoperative chemoradiation with capecitabine for rectal cancer: a single-centre cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J. M. van Rees ◽  
W. Hartman ◽  
J. J. M. E. Nuyttens ◽  
E. Oomen-de Hoop ◽  
J. L. A. van Vugt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Rectal Cancer ◽  
Body Composition ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Preoperative Chemoradiation ◽  
Regression Analyses ◽  
Single Centre ◽  
Severe Diarrhea ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Chemoradiation with capecitabine followed by surgery is standard care for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Severe diarrhea is considered a dose-limiting toxicity of adding capecitabine to radiation therapy. The aim of this study was to describe the risk factors and the impact of body composition on severe diarrhea in patients with LARC during preoperative chemoradiation with capecitabine. Methods A single centre retrospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary referral centre. All patients treated with preoperative chemoradiation with capecitabine for LARC from 2009 to 2015 were included. Patients with locally recurrent rectal cancer who received chemoradiation for the first time were included as well. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for severe diarrhea. Results A total of 746 patients were included. Median age was 64 years (interquartile range 57–71) and 477 patients (64%) were male. All patients received a radiation dosage of 25 × 2 Gy during a period of five weeks with either concomitant capecitabine administered on radiation days or continuously during radiotherapy. In this cohort 70 patients (9%) developed severe diarrhea. In multivariable logistic regression analyses female sex (OR: 4.42, 95% CI 2.54–7.91) and age ≥ 65 (OR: 3.25, 95% CI 1.85–5.87) were the only risk factors for severe diarrhea. Conclusions Female patients and patients aged sixty-five or older had an increased risk of developing severe diarrhea during preoperative chemoradiation therapy with capecitabine. No relation was found between body composition and severe diarrhea.

scholarly journals Gender Inequalities in Diagnostic Inertia around the Three Most Prevalent Cardiovascular Risk Studies: Protocol for a Population-Based Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. 4054
Author(s):  
Concepción Carratala-Munuera ◽  
Adriana Lopez-Pineda ◽  
Domingo Orozco-Beltran ◽  
Jose A. Quesada ◽  
Jose L. Alfonso-Sanchez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Health Care ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Disease Incidence ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Gender Inequalities ◽  
Primary Health Care Centers

Evidence shows that objectives for detecting and controlling cardiovascular risk factors are not being effectively met, and moreover, outcomes differ between men and women. This study will assess the gender-related differences in diagnostic inertia around the three most prevalent cardiovascular risk factors: dyslipidemia, arterial hypertension, and diabetes mellitus, and to evaluate the consequences on cardiovascular disease incidence. This is an epidemiological and cohort study. Eligible patients will be adults who presented to public primary health care centers in a Spanish region from 2008 to 2011, with hypertension, dyslipidemia, or/and diabetes and without cardiovascular disease. Participants’ electronic health records will be used to collect the study variables in a window of six months from inclusion. Diagnostic inertia of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and/or diabetes is defined as the registry of abnormal diagnostic parameters—but no diagnosis—on the person’s health record. The cohort will be followed from the date of inclusion until the end of 2019. Outcomes will be cardiovascular events, defined as hospital admission due to ischemic cardiopathy, stroke, and death from any cause. The results of this study could inform actions to rectify the structure, organization and training of health care teams in order to correct the inequality.

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