scholarly journals Stem retention and survival in revision of anatomical convertible shoulder arthroplasty to reverse arthroplasty: a Dutch registry study

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luuk M. A. Theelen ◽  
Ben Mory ◽  
Sharmila Venkatesan ◽  
Anneke Spekenbrink-Spooren ◽  
Loes Janssen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Shoulder Arthroplasty ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Reverse Shoulder Arthroplasty ◽  
Revision Arthroplasty ◽  
Registry Study ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Stem Revision ◽  
Stem Retention

Abstract Background Convertible stem designs allow for stem retention during revision from anatomical to reverse shoulder arthroplasty. In some cases conversion is not possible for example due to excessive soft tissue tensioning. In these cases a total revision is necessary. The primary aim of this Dutch registry study was to evaluate the unforeseen stem reversion percentages in revision of convertible anatomical shoulder arthroplasty to reverse shoulder arthroplasty. Methods Shoulder arthroplasties (n = 2834) performed between 2014 and 2016 registered in the Dutch Arthroplasty Registry were selected. In 2016 94% of primary arthroplasties and 92% of revision arthroplasties were registered in the database. Arthroplasties were selected on convertibility. Mean follow-up was 2.4 years. We analysed the number of revisions for convertible and non-convertible designs. Cases with obligatory revisions as periprosthetic joint infections, stem loosening and periprosthetic fractures were excluded. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate humeral stem survival. Multivariate cox-regression analysis was used to determine risk factors for stem revision. Results The majority of procedures (respectively 90.9 and 72.1% for the convertible and non-convertible group) concerned a conversion to reverse shoulder arthroplasty (p = .02). In the convertible group, the stem was retained in 29 out of 40 patients (72.5%). Overall implant survival was 94.5% after a mean follow-up of 2.4 years. Hemiartroplasty, fracture as primary indication, previous shoulder surgery and lower age were risk factors for revision. Conclusions Although convertible designs are gaining popularity due to their expected advantage in revision arthroplasty, surgeons should be aware that during a revision procedure in 27.5% of the patients an unforeseen stem revision is necessary.

scholarly journals A multicenter, prospective, observational study to determine association of mesangial C1q deposition with renal outcomes in IgA nephropathy

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Tan ◽  
Yi Tang ◽  
Gaiqin Pei ◽  
Zhengxia Zhong ◽  
Jiaxing Tan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Iga Nephropathy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Renal Outcome ◽  
Matched Cohort ◽  
Negative Group ◽  
Renal Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Renal Outcomes

AbstractIt was reported that histopathologic lesions are risk factors for the progression of IgA Nephropathy (IgAN). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between mesangial deposition of C1q and renal outcomes in IgAN. 1071 patients with primary IgAN diagnosed by renal biopsy were enrolled in multiple study centers form January 2013 to January 2017. Patients were divided into two groups: C1q-positive and C1q-negative. Using a 1: 4 propensity score matching (PSM) method identifying age, gender, and treatment modality to minimize confounding factors, 580 matched (out of 926) C1q-negative patients were compared with 145 C1q-positive patients to evaluate severity of baseline clinicopathological features and renal outcome. Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to determine whether mesangial C1q deposition is associated with renal outcomes in IgAN. During the follow-up period (41.89 ± 22.85 months), 54 (9.31%) patients in the C1q negative group and 23 (15.86%) patients in C1q positive group reached the endpoint (50% decline of eGFR and/or ESRD or death) respectively (p = 0.01) in the matched cohort. Significantly more patients in C1q negative group achieved complete or partial remission during the follow up period (P = 0.003) both before and after PSM. Three, 5 and 7-year renal survival rates in C1q-positive patients were significantly lower than C1q-negative patients in either unmatched cohort or matched cohort (all p < 0.05). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that independent risk factors influencing renal survival included Scr, urinary protein, T1-T2 lesion and C1q deposition. Mesangial C1q deposition is a predictor of poor renal survival in IgA nephropathy.Trial registration TCTR, TCTR20140515001. Registered May 15, 2014, http://www.clinicaltrials.in.th/index.php?tp=regtrials&menu=trialsearch&smenu=fulltext&task=search&task2=view1&id=1074.

scholarly journals Role of Disease Modifying Treatment in the Risk of Alloimmunization in Transfused Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes: A Population-Based Study

Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 4253-4253
Author(s):  
Hanne Rozema ◽  
Robby Kibbelaar ◽  
Nic Veeger ◽  
Mels Hoogendoorn ◽  
Eric van Roon
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Blood Products ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
In The Beginning ◽  
Observation Period

The majority of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) require regular red blood cell (RBC) transfusions. Alloimmunization (AI) against blood products is an adverse event, causing time-consuming RBC compatibility testing. The reported incidence of AI in MDS patients varies greatly. Even though different studies on AI in MDS patients have been performed, there are still knowledge gaps. Current literature has not yet fully identified the risk factors and dynamics of AI in individual patients, nor has the influence of disease modifying treatment (DMT) been explored. Therefore, we performed this study to evaluate the effect of DMT on AI. An observational, population-based study, using the HemoBase registry, was performed including all newly diagnosed MDS patients between 2005 and 2017 in Friesland, a province of the Netherlands. All available information about treatment and transfusions, including transfusion dates, types, and treatment regimens, was collected from the electronic health records and laboratory systems. Follow-up occurred through March 2019. For our patient cohort, blood products were matched for AB0 and RhD, and transfused per the 'type and screen' policy (i.e. electronic matching of blood group phenotype between patient and donor). After a positive antibody screening, antibody identification and Rh/K phenotyping was performed and subsequent blood products were (cross)matched accordingly. The observation period was counted from first transfusion until last transfusion or first AI event. Univariate analyses and cumulative frequency distributions were performed to study possible risk factors and dynamics of AI. DMT was defined as hypomethylating agents, lenalidomide, chemotherapy and monoclonal antibodies. The effect of DMT as a temporary risk period on the risk of AI was estimated with incidence rates, relative risks (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) using a cox regression analysis. Follow-up was limited to 24 months for the cox regression analysis to avoid possible bias by survival differences. Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 24 and SAS 9.4. Out of 292 MDS patients, 236 patients received transfusions and were included in this study, covering 463 years of follow-up. AI occurred in 24 patients (10%). AI occurred mostly in the beginning of the observation period: Eighteen patients (75%) were alloimmunized after receiving 20 units of RBCs, whereas 22 patients (92%) showed AI after 45 units of RBCs (Figure 1). We found no significant risk factors for AI in MDS patients at baseline. DMT was given to 67 patients (28%) during the observation period. Patients on DMT received more RBC transfusions than patients that did not receive DMT (median of 33 (range: 3-154) and 11 (range: 0-322) RBC units respectively, p<0,001). Four AI events (6%) occurred in patients on DMT and 20 AI events (12%) occurred in patients not on DMT. Cox regression analysis of the first 24 months of follow-up showed an HR of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.07-1.31; p=0.11). The incidence rates per 100 person-years were 3.19 and 5.92 respectively. The corresponding RR was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.16-1.48; p=0.26). Based on our results, we conclude that the incidence of AI in an unselected, real world MDS population receiving RBC transfusions is 10% and predominantly occurred in the beginning of follow-up. Risk factors for AI at baseline could not be identified. Our data showed that patients on DMT received significantly more RBC transfusions but were less susceptible to AI. Therefore, extensive matching of blood products may not be necessary for patients on DMT. Larger studies are needed to confirm the protective effect of DMT on AI. Disclosures Rozema: Celgene: Other: Financial support for visiting MDS Foundation conference.

Predictive value of ankle–brachial index for long-term events of ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients

Vascular ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 170853812092595
Author(s):  
Kai-Ni Lee ◽  
Li-Ping Chou ◽  
Chi-Chu Liu ◽  
Tsang-Shan Chen ◽  
Eric Kim-Tai Lui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Hemodialysis Patients ◽  
Serum Phosphate ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Objectives The ankle–brachial index is a noninvasive modality to evaluate atherosclerosis and is a predictive role for future cardiovascular events and mortality. However, few studies have evaluated its relation to long-term future ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients. Therefore, we examined the relationship between ankle–brachial index and ischemic stroke events among hemodialysis patients in a seven-year follow-up. Methods A total of 84 patients were enrolled. Ankle–brachial index was assessed in January 2009. Primary outcomes included ischemic stroke. An ankle–brachial index < 0.9 was considered abnormal and 1.4 ≥ ankle–brachial index ≥ 0.9 to be normal ankle–brachial index. Results Mean values for ankle–brachial index were 0.98 ± 0.21at study entrance. In addition, 28 patients encountered ischemic stroke in the seven-year follow-up. In univariate Cox regression analysis, old age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.065, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.030–1.102, p < 0.001), low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.473, 95% CI: 0.306–0.730, p = 0.001), and abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.035, 95% CI: 0.009–0.145, p < 0.001) were risk factors for ischemic stroke. In multivariate Cox regression analysis for significant variables in univariate analysis, abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.058, 95% CI: 0.012–0.279, p < 0.001) and low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.625, 95% CI: 0.404–0.968, p = 0.035) remained the risk factors for ischemic stroke. The risk of ischemic stroke was 3.783-fold in patients with abnormal ankle–brachial index compared with patients with normal ankle–brachial index (HR: 3.783, 95% CI: 1.731–8.269, p = 0.001). Conclusions These findings suggest that ankle–brachial index is an impressive predictor of future ischemic stroke among hemodialysis patients.

scholarly journals Impact of Metabolic Syndrome on the Development of Cardiovascular Disease among Kazakhs in Remote Rural Areas of Xinjiang, China: A Cohort Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenwen Yang ◽  
Shuxia Guo ◽  
Haixia Wang ◽  
Yu Li ◽  
Xianghui Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Metabolic Syndrome ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Baseline Survey ◽  
Minority Populations ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Background: Metabolic syndrome (MS) could promote the development of cardiovascular disease(CVD). The aim of this study was to examine the association of MS and its components with CVD among Kazakhs in Xinjiang. Methods: According to the geographical distribution of the minority populations in Xinjiang, we selected the representative prefecture (Yili). A total of 2,644 participants completed the baseline survey between April 2010 and December 2012. The follow-up survey was conducted from April 2016 to December 2016. Only 2,286 out of 2,644 participants were followed-up on, with a follow-up rate of 86.46%. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association of each component and the number of combinations of MS components on the development of CVD. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that blood pressure (BP), waist circumference (WC), and triglycerides (TG) were independently associated with CVD. Participants with 1–5 MS components had an increased hazard ratio for developing CVD, from 1.82 to 8.59 (trend P<0.001), compared with those without any MS components. This trend persisted after adjusting for other general risk factors. The risk of developing CVD increased when TG and WC coexisted, or when TG/WC and BP coexisted. However, no significant interactions were found between BP , WC , and TG. Conclusions: BP , WC, and TG were independent risk factors for CVD in Kazakhs. In clinical practice, a more informative assessment may be obtained by taking into account the number of MS components.

scholarly journals Early and Midterm Outcome of TEVAR for Thoracic Aortic Pseudoaneurysm

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Wang ◽  
Tun Wang ◽  
Hao He ◽  
Xin Li ◽  
Yuan Peng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Clinical Outcome ◽  
Cardiac Disease ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Aortic Pseudoaneurysm ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
The Mean

Abstract Backgrounds: The prognosis of thoracic aortic pseudoaneurysm (TAP) after thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) remains unclear. This study investigates the early and midterm clinical outcome as well as relevant risk factors of TAP patients following TEVAR therapy.Methods: From July 2010 to July 2020, 37 eligible TAP patients who underwent TEVAR were selected into our research. We retrospectively explored their baseline, perioperative and follow-up data. Fisher exact test and Kaplan-Meier method were applied for comparing difference between groups. Risk factors of late survival were discerned using Cox regression analysis.Results: There were 29 men and 12 women, with the mean age as 59.5±13.0 years (range, 30-82). The mean follow-up time was 30.7±28.3 months (range, 1-89). For early result, early mortality (≦30days) happened in 3(8.1%) zone 3 TAP patients versus 0 in zone 4 (p= 0.028); acute arterial embolism of lower extremity and type II endoleak respectively occurred in 1(2.7%) case. For midterm result, survival at 3 months, 1 year and 5 years was 88.8±5.3%, 75.9±7.5% and 68.3±9.9%, which showed significant difference between zone 2/3 versus zone 4 group (56.3±14.8% versus 72.9±13.2%, p= 0.013) and emergent versus elective TEVAR groups (0.0±0.0% versus 80.1±8.0%, p= 0.049). On multivariate Cox regression, lesions at zone 2/3 (HR 4.605, 95%CI 1.095-19.359), concomitant cardiac disease (HR 4.932, 95%CI 1.086-22.403) and emergent TEVAR (HR 4.196, 95%CI 1.042-16.891) were significant independent risk factors for worse late clinical outcome. Conclusions: TEVAR therapy is effective and safe with satisfactory early and midterm clinical outcome for TAP patients. Lesions at zone 2/3, concomitant cardiac disease and emergent TEVAR were independent risk factors for midterm survival outcome.

Risk Factors for Failure in Hammertoe Surgery

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 562-571 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachel H. Albright ◽  
Moiz Hassan ◽  
Jacob Randich ◽  
Robert O’Keefe ◽  
Erin E. Klein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Elective Surgery ◽  
Case Series ◽  
Retrospective Case ◽  
Level Of Evidence ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
First Ray ◽  
Pip Joint

Background: Hammertoe correction is perhaps the most common elective surgery performed in the foot, yet rates of symptomatic recurrence and revision surgery can be high. In this study, we aimed to identify patient and provider risk factors associated with failure after hammertoe surgery. Methods: Consecutive patients with a minimum of 6 months’ follow-up undergoing hammertoe surgery within a single, urban foot and ankle practice between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2013, served as the basis of this retrospective cohort study. Cox regression analysis was used to identify important predictor variables obtained through chart and radiographic review. One hundred fifty-two patients (311 toes) with a mean age of 60.8 ± 11.2 years and mean follow-up of 29.5 ± 21.2 months were included. Results: Statistically significant predictors of failure were having a larger preoperative transverse plane deviation of the digit (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03 for each degree; P < .001; 95% CI, 1.02, 1.04), operating on the second toe (vs third or fourth) (HR, 2.23; P = .003; 95% CI, 1.31, 3.81), use of a phalangeal osteotomy to reduce the proximal interphalangeal (PIP) joint (HR, 2.77; P = .005; 95% CI, 1.36, 5.64), and using less common/conventional operative techniques to reduce the PIP joint (HR, 2.62; P = .03; 95% CI, 1.09, 6.26). Concomitant performance of first ray surgery reduced hammertoe recurrence by 50% (HR, 0.51; P = .01; 95% CI, 0.30, 0.87). Conclusion: We identified risk factors that may provide guidance for surgeons during preoperative hammertoe surgery consultations. This information may better equip patients with appropriate postoperative expectations when contemplating surgery. Level of Evidence: Level III, retrospective case series.

scholarly journals Risk Factors for Liver Decompensation and HCC in HCV-Cirrhotic Patients after DAAs: A Multicenter Prospective Study

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3810
Author(s):  
Filomena Morisco ◽  
Alessandro Federico ◽  
Massimo Marignani ◽  
Mariarita Cannavò ◽  
Giuseppina Pontillo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Independent Predictor ◽  
Liver Stiffness ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Liver Decompensation ◽  
Cirrhotic Patients ◽  
Multicenter Prospective Study

Background: Prospective studies on predictors of liver-related events in cirrhotic subjects achieving SVR after DAAs are lacking. Methods: We prospectively enrolled HCV cirrhotic patients in four Italian centers between November 2015 and October 2017. SVR and no-SVR cases were compared according to the presence or absence of liver-related events during a 24-month follow-up. Independent predictors of liver-related events were evaluated by Cox regression analysis. Results: A total of 706 subjects started DAAs therapy. SVR was confirmed in 687 (97.3%). A total of 61 subjects (8.9%) in the SVR group and 5 (26.3%) in the no-SVR group had liver-related events (p < 0.03). The incidence rate x 100 p/y was 1.6 for HCC, 1.7 for any liver decompensation, and 0.5 for hepatic death. Baseline liver stiffness (LSM) ≥ 20 kPa (HR 4.0; 95% CI 1.1–14.1) and genotype different from 1 (HR 7.5; 95% CI 2.1–27.3) were both independent predictors of liver decompensation. Baseline LSM > 20 KPa (HR 7.2; 95% CI 1.9–26.7) was the sole independent predictor of HCC. A decrease in liver stiffness (Delta LSM) by at least 20% at the end of follow-up was not associated with a decreased risk of liver-related events. Conclusion: Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa identifies HCV cirrhotic subjects at higher risk of liver-related events after SVR.

scholarly journals Risk factors for instability after reverse shoulder arthroplasty

2019 ◽  
pp. 175857321986426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincenzo Guarrella ◽  
Mikael Chelli ◽  
Peter Domos ◽  
Francesco Ascione ◽  
Pascal Boileau ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Shoulder Arthroplasty ◽  
Constant Score ◽  
Reverse Shoulder Arthroplasty ◽  
Functional Results ◽  
Younger Patients ◽  
Long Term Follow Up ◽  
Shoulder Arthroplasties ◽  
Postoperative Instability

Background This study aims to identify risk factors related to postoperative instability after reverse shoulder arthroplasty and evaluate the modalities and results of treatments in a large series of patients, with medium to long-term follow-up. Methods Retrospective multicenter series of 1035 consecutive Grammont type reverse shoulder arthroplasties implanted between 1992 and 2010. 19.9% had a reverse shoulder arthroplasty with bony lateralization on the glenoid side. Patients were reviewed and radiographed with minimum five years’ follow-up. Results At a mean follow-up of eight years, the overall rate of postoperative instability was 3.0%. Instability was more frequent in case of reverse shoulder arthroplasty for revision surgery, in younger patients, in case of scapular notching, and tuberosity resorption. Lateralized reverse shoulder arthroplasties were associated with a lower instability rate. A reoperation to restore stability was needed in 70% of cases. The improvement in Constant Score was lower in patients with unstable reverse shoulder arthroplasties when compared to stable reverse shoulder arthroplasties. Conclusions Younger patients are at higher risk for instability after Grammont type reverse shoulder arthroplasty implantation. Conversely, lateralized reverse shoulder arthroplasties resulted protective. When conservative treatment had failed, shoulder stability can be obtained with reoperation or prosthetic revision (needed in 70% of the cases), but to the price of lower functional results.

scholarly journals Prospective predictors of adolescent suicidality: 6-month post-hospitalization follow-up

2012 ◽  
Vol 43 (5) ◽  
pp. 983-993 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Yen ◽  
L. M. Weinstock ◽  
M. S. Andover ◽  
E. S. Sheets ◽  
E. A. Selby ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Positive Affect ◽  
Psychiatric Disorders ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Self Report ◽  
High Risk Population ◽  
Affect Intensity ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Black Race

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to examine prospective predictors of suicide events, defined as suicide attempts or emergency interventions to reduce suicide risk, in 119 adolescents admitted to an in-patient psychiatric unit for suicidal behaviors and followed naturalistically for 6 months.MethodStructured diagnostic interviews and self-report instruments were administered to adolescent participants and their parent(s) to assess demographic variables, history of suicidal behavior, psychiatric disorders, family environment and personality/temperament.ResultsBaseline variables that significantly predicted time to a suicide event during follow-up were Black race, high suicidal ideation in the past month, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), childhood sexual abuse (CSA), borderline personality disorder (BPD), low scores on positive affectivity, and high scores on aggression. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, only Black race, CSA, positive affect intensity and high aggression scores remained significant.ConclusionsOur findings suggest the following for adolescent populations: (1) in a very high-risk population, risk factors for future attempts may be more difficult to ascertain and some established risk factors (e.g. past suicide attempt) may not distinguish as well; and (2) cross-cutting constructs (e.g. affective and behavioral dysregulation) that underlie multiple psychiatric disorders may be stronger predictors of recurrent suicide events than psychiatric diagnoses. Our finding with respect to positive affect intensity is novel and may have practical implications for the assessment and treatment of adolescent suicide attempters.

scholarly journals Predictive Factors of Recurrence of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinomas: Analysis of 2,538 Patients

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andre de Ywata Carvalho ◽  
Hugo Fontan Kohler ◽  
Camila Couto Gomes ◽  
José Guilherme Vartanian ◽  
Luiz Paulo Kowalski
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Tumor Recurrence ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
American Thyroid Association ◽  
Papillary Thyroid ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Node Metastasis ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Introduction The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased, and its treatment remains controversial. Objective To identify the clinical and pathological factors predictive of tumor recurrence. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 2,538 consecutive patients treated for PTMC, most submitted to total thyroidectomy (98%) followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation (51.7%) at a cancer center from 1996 to 2015. The patients were stratified according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk categories (low, intermediate, or high), and the clinicopathological features were evaluated by multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors for recurrence. Results After a mean follow-up of 58 months (range: 3 to 236.5 months), tumor recurrence was diagnosed in 63 (2.5%) patients, mostly in the lymph nodes. Distant metastasis occurred in 2 (0.1%) patients. There were no cancer-related deaths. The multivariate analysis showed that age < 55 years (p = 0.049; hazard ratio [HR]: 2.54; 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.95 to 0.99), multifocality (p = 0.032; HR: 1.76; 95%CI: 1.05 to 2.96), and the presence of lymph-node metastasis (p < 0.001; HR: 3.69; 95%CI: 2.07–6.57) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Recurrence was observed in 29 (1.5%) out of 1,940 low-risk patients, 32 (5.4%) out of 590 intermediate-risk patients, and in 2 (25%) out of 8 high-risk patients. Conclusions The prognosis of PTMC is excellent, favoring a conservative treatment for most patients. Age < 55 years, multifocality, and node metastasis at diagnosis, as well the ATA staging system effectively predict the risk of recurrence. The presence of these risk factors can help identify patients who should be considered for more aggressive management and more frequent follow-up.

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