scholarly journals It's a risky business: use of the QCovid risk calculator in a psychiatric rehabilitation population to enhance prevention

BJPsych Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (S1) ◽  
pp. S46-S46
Author(s):  
Jinal Patel ◽  
Fraser Scott ◽  
Rajesh Mohan

AimsSerious mental illness (SMI) is now accepted as a significant risk factor for contracting COVID-19, increasing the rates of adverse outcomes, including hospitalisation and mortality. Risk assessments are the cornerstone of protecting vulnerable groups of individuals. The QCovid risk calculator is a newly developed tool to predict the risk of death or hospitalisation from COVID-19. It has not been applied in SMI populations. We aimed to use the QCovid risk calculator in an inpatient rehabilitation setting to identify and mitigate risk for people with SMI with personalised COVID-19 prevention plans.MethodClinical and sociodemographic characteristics were obtained for 22 inpatients. Firstly, the QCovid risk calculator was used to ascertain the absolute and relative risks to patients (Odds Ratios (OR) of mortality and/or hospitalisation) from COVID-19. Patients were stratified as high (OR > 10), moderate (OR 5-10) and low (OR < 5) risk. Secondly, personalised COVID-19 prevention plans were coproduced by patients and clinicians addressing 1) risk factors contributing to increased QCovid risk, 2) patient's personal goals, concerns, and preferences 3) maximizing patient engagement in COVID-19 infection prevention strategies. Finally, uptake of personalised COVID-19 prevention plans was evaluated after four weeks using a customised patient feedback questionnaire.ResultOf the 22 inpatients (68% male), 14 patients (64%) had schizophrenia and 3 patients (14%) had schizoaffective disorder as primary diagnosis. 13 (59%) patients were prescribed clozapine. QCovid risk stratification showed 10% of patients as high risk, 29% as moderate risk, and 61% as low risk. Apart from SMI in all 22 inpatients, the most common QCovid risk factors were increased body mass index (64%, n = 14; 23% overweight and 41% obese), diabetes mellitus type 1 or 2 (27%, n = 6) and epilepsy (n = 4, 18%). 19 of the 22 patients provided feedback on their personalised COVID-19 prevention plans. Most patients (79%) felt they had “contributed significantly” to their COVID-19 prevention plans, and their individual goals and concerns were valued. 79% were “satisfied” with their COVID-19 prevention plans. Subjective perception of safety from COVID-19 was high, with 95% of patients feeling “safe and well-protected from COVID-19”.ConclusionComprehensive assessment of COVID-19 risks in vulnerable groups enables personalised risk mitigation, both at an individual and service level. Our findings show the importance of applying current knowledge to protect vulnerable patients with SMI through personalised prevention plans. This approach can be scaled up to understand risks for services and teams, while allowing clinicians to adapt their use for individualised COVID-19 prevention.

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eleni Isidora A. Perdikouri ◽  
Kostoula Arvaniti ◽  
Dimitrios Lathyris ◽  
Fani Apostolidou Kiouti ◽  
Eleni Siskou ◽  
...  

Bacterial infections are frequent complications in cancer patients. Among them, those caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria increase morbidity and mortality mainly because of limited therapeutic options. Current knowledge regarding MDR infections in patients with solid tumors is limited. We assessed the epidemiology and risk factors of increased mortality in these patients. In this retrospective five-year single cohort observational study, we included all oncological patients with MDR infections. Cancer-related parameters, comorbidities, prior use of antibiotics, previous surgical interventions and hospitalization, as well as the use of invasive procedures were investigated as potential risk factors causing adverse outcomes. Seventy-three patients with MDR infection were included: 37% with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae, 24% with oxacillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and 21% with carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumanni. Previous colonization with MDR bacteria was detected in 14% patients, while 20% of the patients presented MDR colonization or infection at ward admission. Mortality during the infection episode was 32%. Duration of hospitalization and CRP were statistically significant risk factors of mortality, whereas administration of guided antibiotics was a protective factor. Knowledge of local epidemiology of MDR bacteria can help physicians promptly identify cancer patients at risk of MDR infections and initiate timely effective empirical antibiotic treatment that can eventually improve the overall therapeutic management.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yini Wang ◽  
Xueqin Gao ◽  
Zhenjuan Zhao ◽  
Ling Li ◽  
Guojie Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Type D personality and depression are the independent psychological risk factors for adverse outcomes in cardiovascular patients. The aim of this study was to examine the combined effect of Type D personality and depression on clinical outcomes in patients suffering from acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods This prospective cohort study included 3568 patients diagnosed with AMI between February 2017 and September 2018. Type D personality and depression were assessed at baseline, while the major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rate (cardiac death, recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction, revascularization, and stroke) and in-stent restenosis (ISR) rate were analyzed after a 2-year follow-up period. Results A total of 437 patients developed MACEs and 185 had ISR during the follow-up period. The Type D (+) depression (+) and Type D (+) depression (−) groups had a higher risk of MACE [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.74–6.07] (95% CI 1.25–2.96) and ISR (95% CI 3.09–8.28) (95% CI 1.85–6.22). Analysis of Type D and depression as continuous variables indicated that the main effect of Type D, depression and their combined effect were significantly associated with MACE and ISR. Moreover, Type D (+) depression (+) and Type D (+) depression (−) emerged as significant risk factors for MACE and ISR in males, while only Type D (+) depression (+) was associated with MACE and ISR in female patients. Conclusions These findings suggest that patients complicated with depression and Type D personality are at a higher risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Individual assessments of Type D personality and depression, and comprehensive interventions are required.


Author(s):  
Vladimir Anatolievich Klimov ◽  

Diabetesmellitus, overweight and the age of a patient over 65 years old are identified by clinicians as themain factors that can complicate the course of the coronavirus infection and increase the likelihood of fatal outcome. Although in the general human population mortality from coronavirus fluctuateswithin 3–5 %, sometimes very significantly differing in individual countries, this level can reach 15–25 % among patientswith diabetes, especially for those receiving insulin therapy. Diabetes mellitus as a concomitant disease in COVID-19 is considered one of the most significant risk factors for the development of adverse outcomes due to a more severe course of infection in conditions of hyperglycemia and other aggravating factors.


Author(s):  
Erwin Chiquete ◽  
Jesus Alegre-Díaz ◽  
Ana Ochoa-Guzmán ◽  
Liz Nicole Toapanta-Yanchapaxi ◽  
Carlos González-Carballo ◽  
...  

IntroductionPatients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may develop coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Risk factors associated with death vary among countries with different ethnic backgrounds. We aimed to describe the factors associated with death in Mexicans with confirmed COVID-19.Material and methodsWe analysed the Mexican Ministry of Health’s official database on people tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection by real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction (rtRT-PCR) of nasopharyngeal fluids. Bivariate analyses were performed to select characteristics potentially associated with death, to integrate a Cox-proportional hazards model.ResultsAs of May 18, 2020, a total of 177,133 persons (90,586 men and 86,551 women) in Mexico received rtRT-PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2. There were 5332 deaths among the 51,633 rtRT-PCR-confirmed cases (10.33%, 95% CI: 10.07–10.59%). The median time (interquartile range, IQR) from symptoms onset to death was nine days (5–13 days), and from hospital admission to death 4 days (2–8 days). The analysis by age groups revealed that the significant risk of death started gradually at the age of 40 years. Independent death risk factors were obesity, hypertension, male sex, indigenous ethnicity, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, immunosuppression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, age > 40 years, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Only 1959 (3.8%) cases received IVM, of whom 1893 were admitted to the intensive care unit (96.6% of those who received IMV).ConclusionsIn Mexico, highly prevalent chronic diseases are risk factors for death among persons with COVID-19. Indigenous ethnicity is a poorly studied factor that needs more investigation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Liu ◽  
Hao Wu ◽  
Bei Zhu ◽  
Yi Yang ◽  
Peng Cheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: A new type of pneumonia caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) appeared in Wuhan, China. However, the risk factors and characteristics related to the severity of the disease and its outcomes need to be further explored.Methods: In this retrospective study, we evaluated COVID-19 patients with severe disease and those who were critically ill, as diagnosed at Jinyintan Hospital (Wuhan, China). The demographic information, clinical characteristics, complications, and laboratory results for the patients were evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression methods were used to analyze risk factors related to hospital deaths.Results: The 235 COVID-19 patients included were divided into a severe group of 183 (78%) and a critical group of 52 (22%). Of these patients, 185 (79%) were discharged, and 50 (21%) died during hospitalization. In multivariate logistic analyses, age (OR=1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.14, P=0.009), critical disease (OR=48.23, 95% CI 10.91-323.13, P<0.001), low lymphocyte counts (OR=15.48, 95% CI 1.98-176.49, P=0.015), elevated interleukin 6 (IL-6) (OR=9.11, 95% CI 1.69-67.75, P=0.017), and elevated aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (OR=8.46, 95% CI 2.16-42.60, P=0.004) were independent risk factors for adverse outcomes.Conclusions: The results show that advanced age (> 64 years), critical illness, low lymphocyte levels, and elevated IL-6 and AST were factors for the risk of death for COVID-19 patients who had severe disease and those who were critically ill.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. e0255999
Author(s):  
Naila Shoaib ◽  
Naila Noureen ◽  
Rimsha Munir ◽  
Farhad Ali Shah ◽  
Noshaba Ishtiaq ◽  
...  

Background The primary goal of the presented cross-sectional observational study was to determine the clinical and demographic risk factors for adverse coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes in the Pakistani population. Methods We examined the individuals (n = 6331) that consulted two private diagnostic centers in Lahore, Pakistan, for COVID-19 testing between May 1, 2020, and November 30, 2020. The attending nurse collected clinical and demographic information. A confirmed case of COVID-19 was defined as having a positive result through real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay of nasopharyngeal swab specimens. Results RT-PCR testing was positive in 1094 cases. Out of which, 5.2% had severe, and 20.8% had mild symptoms. We observed a strong association of COVID-19 severity with the number and type of comorbidities. The severity of the disease intensified as the number of comorbidities increased. The most vulnerable groups for the poor outcome are patients with diabetes and hypertension. Increasing age was also associated with PCR positivity and the severity of the disease. Conclusions Most cases of COVID-19 included in this study developed mild symptoms or were asymptomatic. Risk factors for adverse outcomes included older age and the simultaneous presence of comorbidities.


PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e10599
Author(s):  
Anurag Mehta ◽  
Smreti Vasudevan ◽  
Anuj Parkash ◽  
Anurag Sharma ◽  
Tanu Vashist ◽  
...  

Background Cancer patients, especially those receiving cytotoxic therapy, are assumed to have a higher probability of death from COVID-19. We have conducted this study to identify the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) in cancer patients with COVID-19 and have explored the relationship of various clinical factors to mortality in our patient cohort. Methods All confirmed cancer cases presented to the hospital from June 8 to August 20, 2020, and developed symptoms/radiological features suspicious of COVID-19 were tested by Real-time polymerase chain reaction assay and/or cartridge-based nucleic acid amplification test from a combination of naso-oropharyngeal swab for SARS-CoV-2. Clinical data, treatment details, and outcomes were assessed from the medical records. Results Of the total 3,101 cancer patients admitted to the hospital, 1,088 patients were tested and 186 patients were positive for SARS-CoV-2. The CFR in the cohort was 27/186 (14.52%). Univariate analysis showed that the risk of death was significantly associated with the presence of any comorbidity (OR: 2.68; (95% CI [1.13–6.32]); P = 0.025), multiple comorbidities (OR: 3.01; (95% CI [1.02–9.07]); P = 0.047 for multiple vs. single), and the severity of COVID-19 presentation (OR: 27.48; (95% CI [5.34–141.49]); P < 0.001 for severe vs. not severe symptoms). Among all comorbidities, diabetes (OR: 3.31; (95% CI [1.35–8.09]); P = 0.009) and cardiovascular diseases (OR: 3.77; (95% CI [1.02–13.91]); P = 0.046) were significant risk factors for death. Anticancer treatments including chemotherapy, surgery, radiotherapy, targeted therapy, and immunotherapy administered within a month before the onset of COVID-19 symptoms had no significant effect on mortality. Conclusion To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study from India reporting the CFR, clinical associations, and risk factors for mortality in SARS-CoV-2 infected cancer patients. Our study shows that the frequency of COVID-19 in cancer patients is high. Recent anticancer therapies are not associated with mortality. Pre-existing comorbidities, especially diabetes, multiple comorbidities, and severe symptoms at presentation are significantly linked with COVID-19 related death in the cohort.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prakash Prabhakarrao Doke ◽  
Sonali Hemant Palkar ◽  
Jayashree Sachin Gothankar ◽  
Archana Vasantrao Patil ◽  
Amruta Paresh Chutke ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The health of women during the preconception phase though critical, is a comparatively ignored part in her life cycle. The presence of health risks is judged as hazardous to the wellbeing of women and their forthcoming progeny. The study aimed to estimate the prevalence of various pregnancy outcomes and assess the association between various risk factors and adverse outcomes. Methods: It was a population-based cross-sectional analytical study. The study was carried out in Nashik District, having a large mountainous area. It included two randomly selected blocks, one tribal and one nontribal, in which interventions were planned in the later stage. For comparison, two adjacent blocks, one tribal and one nontribal, were also included. All women who had a pregnancy outcome in the preceding 12 months (01 April 2017 to 31 March 2018) were interviewed. Trained Accredited Social Health Activists under the direct supervision of Auxiliary Nurse Midwives and Medical Officers conducted the survey. Multivariate analysis was carried out to find the adjusted risk ratio of having a particular adverse outcome because of the specified potential risk factors.Results: A total of 9,307 women participated in the study. The prevalence of adverse pregnancy outcomes was abortion 4.1%; stillbirth 1.6%; preterm birth 4.1%; LBW 11.2%; congenital physical defect 2.6%. Prevalence of consanguineous marriage, heavy work during the last six months of pregnancy, pre-existing illness, tobacco consumption, direct exposure to pesticides and domestic violence during pregnancy was 17.6%; 16.9%; 2.2%; 5.6%; 2.3%; and 0.8%, respectively. Risk factors that were significantly associated with abortion include existing illness at the time of conception and performing heavy work in the last six months of pregnancy. Consanguinity, tobacco consumption during pregnancy and pre-existing illness were identified as risk factors for stillbirth. Significant risk factors of LBW were heavy work in the last six months of pregnancy, pre-existing illness and residence in a tribal area. Conclusion: The survey showed that risk factors differentially affect outcomes of pregnancy. Preconception and antenatal care should include counselling about consanguineous marriages, identifying and managing a pre-existing illness, avoiding tobacco consumption in the prenatal and natal period, and avoiding heavy work during pregnancy.


Hand ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 155894472093919
Author(s):  
Haroon M. Hussain ◽  
Alexander L. Roth ◽  
Assem A. Sultan ◽  
Hiba K. Anis ◽  
Peter J. Stern

Background Proximal interphalangeal joint (PIPJ) arthrodesis can provide reliable pain relief and restore hand function in patients with PIPJ arthritis. However, there is a paucity of literature on patient-specific preoperative risk factors that are associated with adverse outcomes after PIPJ arthrodeses. Therefore, the primary purpose of this study was to assess preoperative predictors of nonunion and reoperation after PIPJ arthrodesis. Methods This study identified all patients who underwent PIPJ arthrodesis at a single community practice between 1987 and 2013. The final analysis included 415 PIPJs treated with arthrodesis. The mean follow-up was 1.3 years. Data on preoperative diagnosis, demographics, comorbidities, and operative techniques were recorded, as well as the occurrence of nonunions and reoperations. Logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors of nonunion and reoperation. Results There were 40 nonunions (10%) and 62 reoperations (15%). Of the reoperations, there were 39 incidences of isolated hardware removal, 9 irrigation and debridement, 8 amputations, 5 revision arthrodeses, and 1 corrective osteotomy. The highest number of nonunions occurred in the traumatic diagnosis group (37%), followed by the rheumatoid group (23%) and the scleroderma group (15%). The highest number of reoperations occurred within the traumatic joint disorder group (40%), followed by the rheumatoid group (24%) and the scleroderma group (11%). Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex ( P < .01) and hepatic disease ( P = .03) were significant risk factors of nonunion. Male sex was also significantly associated with increased reoperation risk ( P < .01). Conclusion Risks of nonunions and reoperations after PIPJ arthrodeses are low; however, these findings may guide clinicians and patients in the preoperative decision-making process and help with targeted postoperative surveillance to mitigate these risks.


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