Methodologies for Evaluating the Socio-Economic Consequences of Large Earthquakes
A comprehensive methodology for evaluating the socio-economic impacts of large earthquakes was developed during a three-year project carried out by a team of researchers assembled by the nonprofit organization California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREe). New models were developed for some of the methodology components, such as the identification and ranking of critical facilities. For other components, such as the estimation of building and lifeline component damage, existing models from the ATC-13 and NIBS studies were adopted and modified for use within a GIS environment. The methodology was illustrated through a case study for the city of Palo Alto, California. Damage and loss estimates were made for several earthquake scenarios. Critical buildings were identified and the water distribution system for the city was analyzed in terms of its post-earthquake service capacity. An analysis of the hospital facilities in Palo Alto was made to illustrate the use of benefit-cost analysis for seismic rehabilitation decisions.