Prognostic factors for patients with Ewing sarcoma (EWS) at first recurrence
10011 Background: The prognosis for patients with recurrent Ewing sarcoma (EWS) is very poor with 5-year survival of 13%. Since 30–40% of patients with newly diagnosed, non-metastatic EWS develop recurrence, the Children's Oncology Group (COG) sought to evaluate prognostic factors for these patients. Data was derived from the phase III, multi-institutional study INT 0091. Methods: Between 1988 and 1994, five hundred and seventy-eight eligible patients with previously untreated EWS or PNET of bone were enrolled on INT 0091. Patients who experienced recurrence or disease progression as their first analytic event were considered. Survival was calculated from date of disease progression to death or last patient contact. Comparisons of the risk for death across groups were accomplished using the log-rank test. Survivor functions were estimated by the method of Kaplan and Meier. Results: Two hundred and sixty-two patients experienced disease progression or recurrence. The median time to first recurrence was 1.3 years (range 0–7.4 years) for all patients, 1.4 years (range 0 to 7.4 years) for patients with initially localized disease and 1 year (range 0 to 6 years) for patients with initially metastatic disease. Time to first recurrence from date of initial diagnosis was a predictor of post-recurrence survival (p<0.0001). Twenty-one percent of patients whose disease recurred or progressed experienced first recurrence 2 or more years from initial diagnosis and had an estimated 5 year post-recurrence survival of 30%. This compares with 7% for those whose first recurrence or progression was earlier. No statistical difference was detected when patients whose disease recurred < 12 months were compared with those whose recurrence was 12–24 months from initial diagnosis. Significant risk factors for death after recurrence included metastatic disease at initial diagnosis, elevated LDH at initial diagnosis and female gender. In patients non-metastatic at initial diagnosis pelvic primary site was also a risk factor for death after recurrence. Conclusions: Patients with longer time to first recurrence represent the subset of patients most likely to survive following recurrence. All patients with recurrent Ewing sarcoma would benefit from collaborative trials to investigate new therapeutic options. No significant financial relationships to disclose.