Factors contributing to cure in T2 pancreatic cancer.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 234-234
Author(s):  
S. Maetani ◽  
R. Doi ◽  
M. Imamura

234 Background: It is crucial to determine whether cancer therapy achieves cure or merely prolongs time to death from cancer (failure time). Unfortunately, conventional survival tests such as log-rank test and Cox regression fail to distinguish between cure and prolonged failure time, both making a great difference in survival benefit. In 1994, Gamel extended the Boag model to three regressions, allowing us to study whether prognostic factors have significant effect on cure rate or failure time. Using the Gamel-Boag regressions, we study curative effects of clinicopathological factors in pancreatic cancer. Methods: Follow-up data from 452 patients who underwent pancreatectomy for T2 ductal cell cancer were analyzed. The prognostic factors to be studied were converted to binary variables, which include sex, age (<=60 or >60 years), tumor size (<=2 or >2 cm) lymphnode metastasis, and six types of invasions, i.e., serosal, retroperitoneal, portal vain, common bile duct and duodenal invasions. By calculating coefficients of the three regressions and their confidence intervals, we evaluated whether each (or combinations) of these variables are associated with increased cure rate or prolonged failure time. Results: Tthere were 11 relapse-free 5-year survivors. Except for tumor size (TS) and lymphnode metastasis (N), no factors were significantly associated with increased cure rate or prolonged failure time. The only factor found to significantly affect cure was TS; the estimated cure rate being 44% for patients with TS <= 2 cm and 4% otherwise (p=0.0001). This effect was not influenced by N and other factors. Only N significantly accelerated failure time; the median failure time being 11.9 months when N was negative and 6.7 months otherwise (p<0.0001). Thus, both TS and N affected the prognosis significantly but in different ways. By contrast the Cox regression showed that both TS and N were significantly associated with hazard reduction (p=0.003 and p<0.001, respectively), which, however, did no reveal a qualitative difference in survival outcome between TS and N. Conclusions: In T2 pancreatic cancer, a highly significant increase in cure rate is found when TS≤2 cm. This increase is not affected by N or tumor extension to nonpancreatic tissues. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

2000 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 2087-2094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan J. Lewis ◽  
Cristina R. Antonescu ◽  
Denis H. Y. Leung ◽  
David Blumberg ◽  
John H. Healey ◽  
...  

PURPOSE: Synovial sarcoma is a high-grade tumor that is associated with poor prognosis. Previous studies analyzing prognostic factors are limited because of inclusion of heterogeneous cohorts of patients with nonextremity and recurrent tumors. The objective of this study was to determine independent prognostic factors of primary synovial sarcoma localized to the extremity. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between July 1, 1982, and June 30, 1996, 112 patients underwent surgical resection for cure at our institution and then were followed-up prospectively. Clinical and pathologic factors examined for prognostic value included age, sex, tumor site and location, depth, size, microscopic status of surgical margins, invasion of bone or neurovascular structures, and monophasic or biphasic histology. The end points analyzed were the time to first local recurrence that was not preceded by a distant recurrence, time to any distant recurrence, and time to disease-related mortality. These end points were modeled using the method of Kaplan and Meier and analyzed by the log-rank test and Cox regression. RESULTS: The median duration of follow-up among survivors in this cohort of 112 patients was 72 months. The 5-year local-recurrence, distant-recurrence, and mortality rates were 12%, 39%, and 25%, respectively. Tumor size ≥ 5 cm (P = .001; relative risk [RR] = 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5 to 5.2) and the presence of bone or neurovascular invasion (P = .04; RR = 2.3; 95% CI, 1.0 to 5.3) were independent adverse predictors of distant recurrence. Tumor size ≥ 5 cm (P = .003; RR = 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4 to 6.3) and the presence of bone or neurovascular invasion (P = .03; RR = 2.7; 95% CI, 1.0 to 6.5) were also independent adverse predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: The natural history of primary synovial sarcoma of the extremity is related to tumor size and invasion of bone and neurovascular structures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Wang ◽  
Bo Yuan ◽  
Zhen-huan Zhou ◽  
Wei-wei Han

AbstractWe aimed to assess the clinicopathological features and to determine the prognostic factors of cervical adenocarcinoma (AC). Relevant data were extracted from surveillance, epidemiology and end results database from 2004 to 2015. The log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard analysis were subsequently utilized to identify independent prognostic factors. A total of 3102 patients were identified. The enrolled patients were characterized by higher proportion of early FIGO stage (stage I: 65.9%; stage II: 14.1%), low pathological grade (grade I/II: 49.1%) and tumor size ≤ 4 cm (46.8%). The 5- and 10-year cancer-specific survival rates of these patients were 74.47% and 70.00%, respectively. Meanwhile, the 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) rates were 71.52% and 65.17%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that married status, surgery as well as chemotherapy were independent favorable prognostic indicators. Additionally, aged > 45, tumor grade III/IV, tumor size > 4 cm, advanced FIGO stage and pelvic lymph node metastasis (LNM) were unfavorable prognostic factors (all P < 0.01). Stratified analysis found that patients without surgery could significantly benefit from chemotherapy and radiotherapy. In addition, chemotherapy could significantly improve the survival in stage II–IV patients and radiotherapy could only improve the survival in stage III patients (all P < 0.01). Marital status, age, grade, tumor size, FIGO stage, surgery, pelvic LNM and chemotherapy were significantly associated with the prognosis of cervical AC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoyi Wu ◽  
Xiaoben Pan ◽  
Baohua Wang ◽  
Xiaolei Zhu ◽  
Jing Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Estimates of the incidence and prognosis of developing liver metastases at the pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) diagnosis are lacking.Methods In this study, we analyzed the association of liver metastases and the PDAC patients outcome. The risk factors associated with liver metastases in PDAC patients were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test. Cox regression was performed to identify factors associated with OS.Results Patients with primary PDAC in the tail of the pancreas had a higher incidence of liver metastases (62.2%) than those with PDAC in the head (28.6%). Female gender, younger age, primary PDAC in the body or tail of the pancreas, and larger primary PDAC tumor size were positively associated with the occurrence of liver metastases. The median survival of patients with liver metastases was significantly shorter than that of patients without liver metastases. Older age, unmarried status, primary PDAC in the tail of the pancreas, and tumor size ≥4 cm were risk factors for OS in the liver metastases cohort.Conclusions Population-based estimates of the incidence and prognosis of PDAC with liver metastases may help decide whether diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging should be performed in patients with primary PDAC in the tail or body of the pancreas. The location of primary PDAC should be considered during the diagnosis and treatment of primary PDAC.


BMC Surgery ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiding Feng ◽  
Youhua Jiang ◽  
Qiang Zhao ◽  
Jinshi Liu ◽  
Hangyu Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The incidence rate of adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) has significantly increased over the past two decades. Surgery remains the only curative treatment. However, there are currently few studies on Chinese AEG patients. The purpose of this study was to retrospectively analyze the survival and prognostic factors of AEG patients in our center. Methods Between January 2008 and September 2014, 249 AEG patients who underwent radical resection were enrolled in this retrospective study, including 196 males and 53 females, with a median age of 64 (range 31–82). Prognostic factors were assessed with the log-rank test and Cox univariate and multivariate analyses. Results The 5-year survival rate of all patients was 49%. The median survival time of all enrolled patients was 70.1 months. Pathological type, intraoperative blood transfusion, tumor size, adjuvant chemotherapy, duration of hospital stay, serum CA199, CA125, CA242 and CEA, pTNM stage, lymphovascular or perineural invasion, and the ratio of positive to negative lymph nodes (PNLNR) were significantly associated with overall survival when analyzed in univariate analysis. Conclusions Our study found that adjuvant chemotherapy, PNLNR, intraoperative blood transfusion, tumor size, perineural invasion, serum CEA, and duration of hospital stay after surgery had significance in multivariate analysis and were independent risk factors for survival.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joachim Geers ◽  
Joris Jaekers ◽  
Halit Topal ◽  
Raymond Aerts ◽  
Cindy Vandoren ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Several clinicopathological predictors of survival after curative surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) have been identified; however, conflicting reports remain. The aim was to analyse clinical and oncological outcomes after curative resection of pCCA and to determine prognostic factors. Methods Eighty-eight consecutive patients with pCCA underwent surgery with curative intent between 1998 and 2017. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Twenty-one prognostic factors were evaluated using multivariate Cox regression models. Results Postoperative complications were observed in 73 (83%) patients of which 41 (47%) were severe complications (therapy-oriented severity grading system (TOSGS) grade > 2), including a 90-day mortality of 9% (n = 8). Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates at 5 and 10 years after surgery were 33% and 19%, and 37% and 30%, respectively. Independent predictors of OS were locoregional lymph node metastasis (LNM) (risk ratio (RR) 2.12, confidence interval (CI) 1.19–3.81, p = 0.011), patient American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification system > 2 (RR 2.10, CI 1.03–4.26, p = 0.043), and depth of tumour penetration (pT) > 2 (RR 2.58, CI 1.03–6.30, p = 0.043). The presence of locoregional LNM (RR 2.95, CI 1.51–5.90, p = 0.002) and caudate lobe resection (RR 2.19, CI 1.01–5.14, p = 0.048) were found as independent predictors of DFS. Conclusions Curative surgery for pCCA carries high risks with poor long-term survival. Locoregional LNM was the only predictor for both OS and DFS.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 525-525
Author(s):  
C. M. Dumontet ◽  
J. C. Reed ◽  
M. Krajewska ◽  
I. Treilleux ◽  
J. R. Mackey ◽  
...  

525 Background: BCIRG 001 (1,491 pts) demonstrated significant superiority of docetaxel/doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide (TAC) over fluorouracil/doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide (FAC) given as adjuvant therapy for N+ operable BC in terms of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) (Martin et al, N Eng J Med, 2005). This ancillary study was aimed to identify tumor-associated factors related to DFS and OS. Methods: Formalin-fixed primary tumors from pts in BCIRG 001 were analysed by immunohistochemistry. Protocol- specified assessment of histological grade (GR), tumor size (TS), estrogen (ER) and progesterone receptors (PR), lymph node status (LN), HER2, MUC1, Mib, p53, Bcl-2, Bax, Bcl-X, Bag-1, tubulin β isotypes II, III and IV, tau protein and detyrosinated a tubulin was performed. Parameters were scored as the percentage of positive cells and analysed as lower or greater than median values. The samples were randomly split into training (2/3) and validation (1/3) sets. Associations between selected parameters and DFS or OS were tested through univariate analyses using the Kaplan Meier method (log-rank test) on the training set. A backward stepwise Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the final model of prognostic factors on the training set. Multivariate analyses were applied to the validation set. Results: 1,350 samples were split into a training (n=906) and a validation (n=444) set. In univariate GR, TS, LN, ER and PR, Mib, tau protein and HER2 were correlated with DFS in both sets. In multivariate ER, PR, TS, LN, Mib (all p<0.01) and tau (p=0.043) were significantly associated with DFS in the training set. In univariate GR, TS, LN, ER and PR, Mib, MUC1, Bcl-2, tubulin III and IV and tau were correlated with OS in both sets, with a trend for p53. In multivariate ER, TS, LN, Mib, p53 (all p<0.01) and PR (p=0.028) were independently correlated with OS in the training set. Conclusions: These data suggest that tau and p53 are independent markers of DFS and OS, respectively, while Mib is correlated with both DFS and OS in pts receiving these forms of adjuvant chemotherapy for N+ BC. Complementary analyses will be presented. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4500-4500
Author(s):  
R. T. Shroff ◽  
M. M. Javle ◽  
X. Dong ◽  
V. S. Kumar ◽  
S. Krishnan ◽  
...  

4500 Background: The IGFR pathway is activated in pancreatic cancer and may result in aggressive disease course. The study of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) involved in this pathway may provide prognostic information and predict response to IGFR directed agents. We investigated IGFR pathway SNPs in patients with LAPC. Methods: We evaluated 39 SNPs from 7 candidate genes in the IGFR pathway (IGF1R, IGF2R, IGF1, IGF2, IRS1, IRS2, IGFBP3) in 105 LAPC patients. DNA extraction from whole blood was performed using the Qiagen Flexigene DNA and Promega Maxwell 16 kits. Genotyping was performed using the Sequenom method. Overall survival was measured from date of diagnosis to date of death or last follow-up. Kaplan-Meier plot, log-rank test, and Cox regression were used to compare survival of patients according to genotype corrected for previously identified prognostic factors, including induction chemotherapy, CA 19–9, albumin, LDH, hemoglobin and Karnofsky performance status (KPS). Results: Median survival time (MST) was 15 months (95% CI 13.3–16.7). Induction chemotherapy, LDH, CA 19–9 level, hemoglobin, and KPS were not significantly associated with survival. Serum albumin and three SNPs of the IGF pathway (IGF1R IVS20–3431A>G, IRS1 G971R, and IGF2 *4352A>G) were significantly associated with prognosis ( Table ). Two of the three genotypes remained as significant predictors for survival in Cox regression analysis when adjusted for clinical factors. A significant combined genotype effect was observed wherein patients with all three deleterious alleles had significantly worse survival than those with only two or one (10 vs. 16.3 vs. 21.3 months, p< 0.0001). Conclusions: These data suggest that SNPs in the IGFR pathway genes may have prognostic value for LAPC patients. This information may identify population subgroups that could benefit from IGFR-targeted agents. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 314-314
Author(s):  
Tobin Joel Crill Strom ◽  
Sarah E. Hoffe ◽  
Shivakumar Vignesh ◽  
Jason Klapman ◽  
Cynthia L. Harris ◽  
...  

314 Background: Resectable pancreatic cancer patients often present with obstructive jaundice necessitating the placement of biliary stents or percutaneouse drainage catheters. We sought to evaluate whether preoperative biliary drainage affects recurrence and survival. Methods: An IRB-approved study was conducted on our institutional tumor registry to identify pancreatic cancer patients who were treated with upfront surgery between 2000 and 2012. Patients were then stratified by preoperative use of endoscopically placed stents (ERCP), percutaneous catheters (PTC), or no biliary drainage (NBD). The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Survival curves were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis (MVA) was performed with a Cox regression model. Results: We identified 202 patients for the study (21 PTC; 89 ERCP; 92 NBD). Key differences between the 3 groups were mean pathologic tumor size (p=0.005), pathologic T3/4 (p =0.01), and pathologic N1 (p=0.007) status, with more aggressive pathologic features in PTC patients. PTC patients had a non-significant increase in rate of hepatic recurrences compared with ERCP and NBD patients (47.4% vs. 26.6% vs. 28.7%, respectively; p=0.20). PTC patients also had worse median and 3 year survival (21 months and 16%) compared to ERCP (23.3 months and 39%) and NBD patients (29 months and 45%, p=0.02). MVA revealed that PTC was an independent predictor of worse overall survival (HR 2.3[95% CI 1.3-4.0], p=0.005), along with pathologic tumor size (HR 1.1[1.0-1.3], p=0.008), nodes positive (HR 1.1[1.1-1.2], p=0.001), and post-operative CA19-9 >90 (HR 2.6[1.5-4.4], p=0.001). Conclusions: Patients with resectable pancreatic cancer who require a pre-operative PTC drain had a non-significant increase in hepatic recurrence rate and worse overall survival than patients who either had an ERCP stent placed or no biliary decompression prior to surgery. Given their worse prognosis, patients who require PTC placement might also benefit from neoadjuvant treatment with restaging prior to surgery.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 298-298
Author(s):  
Kei Saito ◽  
Yousuke Nakai ◽  
Hiroyuki Isayama ◽  
Takashi Sasaki ◽  
Naminatsu Takahara ◽  
...  

298 Background: Smoking is recognized as a risk factor for pancreatic cancer, but its associations with prognosis are not fully elucidated. Smoking was associated with poor outcomes in colon cancer, especially in patients with K-ras mutation (J Clin Oncol. 2013;31:2016-23). Therefore, we conducted this retrospective analysis of the associations of K-ras mutation, smoking and prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. Methods: Patients with pancreatic cancer who received surgery or chemotherapy at the University of Tokyo Hospital were retrospectively studied. The prognosis of patients with mutant and wild K-ras were compared. Overall survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods and compared by long-rank test. Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) to evaluate the prognostic factors in patients with pancreatic cancer with mutant K-ras or wild K-ras. Results: Between January 2009 and August 2013, K-ras mutation analysis was evaluated in 187 patients (47 surgical resection and 140 chemotherapy). K-ras mutation was detected in 74.3%. The rates of current-, ex- and never-smokers were 18.2%, 31.6% and 50.3%, respectively. In patients with mutant K-ras, the rate of male gender (46.0% vs. 29.0%), presence of distant metastasis (50.4% vs. 31.3%) and median CA19-9 (374 U/mL vs. 136 U/mL) were significantly higher than that in patients with wild K-ras. The rate of ever smokers (current- and ex-smokers) did not differ significantly (48.2% in mutant K-ras vs. 56.3% in wild K-ras, p=0.403). Median survival time (MST) was 16.7 (95%CI, 11.9-21.8) months in patients with mutant K-ras, compared with 20.3 (95%CI, 15.8-34.6) in patients with wild K-ras (p=0.193). Meanwhile, MST was 22.2 (95%CI, 16.9-27.9) vs. 14.8 (95%CI, 9.1-19.4) months in patients with and without smoking (p=0.024). After adjustment by age, gender, performance status, CA19-9 and treatment, HRs of smoking were 1.96 (95%CI, 1.06-3.68, p=0.032) in patients with mutant K-ras, but the association was not significant in patients with wild-K-ras (HR 1.35 [95%CI, 0.37-5.28], p=0.653). Conclusions: As previously reported in colon cancer, smoking was associated with poor prognosis in pancreatic cancer with K-ras mutation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 760-760
Author(s):  
Laurent Mineur ◽  
Eric François ◽  
Jean Marc Phelip ◽  
Rosine Guimbaud ◽  
Carine Plassot ◽  
...  

760 Background: Pts included in clinical trials represent the unusual population in mCRC. This study aims to provide oncologist with a better understanding of the potential benefit of CT with CTX in older patients with mCRC KRAS wild type and evaluate prognostic variables on the PFS including the age. Methods: Premium cancer study is a French multicentre prospective community-based registry. 493 pts enrolled and 487 included between September 2009 to March 2012 from 94 French centers and physicians. Pts had to provide written informed consent and protocol submitted to regulatory authorities. Predefined efficacy endpoints was PFS. CTX was administrated at 250 mg/m2 weekly (n=100; 20.3%) or 500 mg/m2 every 2 weeks (n=380;77,2%), other n=13; 2.5%) CT regimen choice was at physician’s discretion.. The main analysis is PFS as well as analysis of prognostic factors of this PFS (29 items including age (< 65 years n=229; 65-74 years n= 165.; ≥75years n=93). Univariate analysis was performed for each covariate, PFS was estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves and compared by log-rank test. univariable Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association between each variable and outcome. Multivariable stepwise Cox models were then fitted for final variable selection of prognostic factors on PFS. Results: Univariate significant prognostic factors for PFS are OMS (0-1 vs 2-3), Tobacco, Site of tumor (right vs other), Number of metastatic organ (1 vs 2-3), Resecability of metastatic disease defined before CT (definitively non resectable metastases vs possible resectable), Surgery of mCRC, folliculitis or xerosis or paronychia grade 0-1 vs 2-4. Age was unidentified as a prognostic factor in univariate analysis. Four factors were independently associated with a better PFS: xerosis [hazard ratio (HR0,651); 95% confidence interval (CI) 0,494-0,857], (WHO PS) 0–1 (HR0,519 ; 95% CI 0,371–0,726) and folliculitis (HR 0,711; 95% CI0,558–0,956) metastases surgery 0,287(CI 0,205-0,403). Conclusions: CTX in combination with standard CT is effective, age is not identified as a prognostic factor for the PFS. Both groups of pts based on age benefit from CTX.


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